• 제목/요약/키워드: temperature anomaly

검색결과 200건 처리시간 0.026초

GloSea5의 과거기후 모의자료에서 나타난 El Niño와 관련된 동아시아 강수 및 기온 예측성능 (Prediction Skill of East Asian Precipitation and Temperature Associated with El Niño in GloSea5 Hindcast Data)

  • 임소민;현유경;강현석;예상욱
    • 대기
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we investigate the performance of Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5) in Korea Meteorological Administration on the relationship between El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ and East Asian climate for the period of 1991~2010. It is found that the GloSea5 has a great prediction skill of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ whose anomaly correlation coefficients of $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ indices are over 0.96 during winter. The eastern Pacific (EP) El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ and the central Pacific (CP) El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ are considered and we analyze for EP El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$, which is well simulated in GloSea5. The analysis period is divided into the developing phase of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ summer (JJA(0)), mature phase of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ winter (D(0)JF(1)), and decaying phase of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ summer (JJA(1)). The GloSea5 simulates the relationship between precipitation and temperature in East Asia and the prediction skill for the East Asian precipitation and temperature varies depending on the El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ phase. While the precipitation and temperature are simulated well over the equatorial western Pacific region, there are biases in mid-latitude region during the JJA(0) and JJA(1). Because the low level pressure, wind, and vertical stream function are simulated weakly toward mid-latitude region, though they are similar with observation in low-latitude region. During the D(0)JF(1), the precipitation and temperature patterns analogize with observation in most regions, but there is temperature bias in inland over East Asia. The reason is that the GloSea5 poorly predicts the weakening of Siberian high, even though the shift of Aleutian low is predicted. Overall, the predictability of precipitation and temperature related to El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ in the GloSea5 is considered to be better in D(0)JF(1) than JJA(0) and JJA(1) and better in ocean than in inland region.

한국의 춘계한발의 종관기후학적 특성 (Synoptic Climatological Characteristics of Spring Droughts in Korea)

  • 양진석
    • 한국지역지리학회지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.43-56
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구는 한국에 있어서 춘계한발시 기후요소의 분포특성과 지상기압장 및 500hPa등압면의 종관기후학적 특성을 평년과 비교분석한 연구이다. 춘계한발시 한국에 있어서의 일최저기온편차의 지역적 분포는 양의 편차역과 음의 편차역이 혼재하고 있으나 3월은 음의 편차역이 넓게 분포하여 한반도 주변에 서고동저형의 기압배치의 출현빈도가 높음을 반영하고 있다. 일최고기온은 양의 편차를 나타내어 강수일과 운량 및 습도가 감소하여 일사량이 많고 따라서 증발량이 증대됨을 나타낸다. 춘계 한발시 지상기압장의 기압편차가 3월은 한반도를 경계로 동쪽은 음의 편차 서쪽은 양의 전차를 나타내어 서고동저형의 기압배치의 출현빈도가 높고 5월은 한반도와 그 주변은 대상의 정편차역에 속하여 이동성 고기압의 출현빈도가 높음을 반영하고 있다. 500hPa등압면의 고도편차에서 3월은 지상기압장과 유사하게 한반도를 경계로 동쪽은 음의 편차 서쪽은 양의 편차역이 분포하며 4월은 3월과 유사하지만 음의 편차역이 서쪽으로 확장되어 있다. 5월은 한반도와 그 주변이 대상의 양의 편차역에 속하며 캄차카반도 주변 오호츠크 해상에 발달한 저지고기압(blocking high)이 지상 고기압의 동진을 지연시켜 이동성 고기압이 한반도주변에 장기간 정체됨을 나타낸다. 따라서 한발시에는 동서지수는 저지수를 나타내어 동서류가 약한 반면 한반도는 북태평양서안에 형성된 trough의 서쪽에 위치하여 건조한 북서기류의 유입이 빈번함을 나타내고 3원의 한발시에는 3 4월과는 다르게 동서지수가 고지수를 나타내어 건조한 동서류가 강할 때 한발이 출현하여 조춘의 한발시와 만춘의 한발시의 메카니즘이 상이함을 밝혔다.

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수온 데이터 예측 연구를 위한 통계적 방법과 딥러닝 모델 적용 연구 (Statistical Method and Deep Learning Model for Sea Surface Temperature Prediction)

  • 조문원;최흥배;한명수;정은송;강태순
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.543-551
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화 영향으로 이상고수온, 태풍, 홍수, 가뭄 등 재난 및 안전 관리기술은 지속적으로 고도화를 요구받고 있으며, 특히 해수면 온도는 한반도 주변에서 발생되는 여름철 적조 발생과 동해안 냉수대 출현, 소멸 등에 영향을 신속하게 분석할 수 있는 중요한 인자이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 해수면 온도 자료를 해양 이상현상 및 연구에 적극 활용되기 위해 통계적 방법과 딥러닝 알고리즘을 적용하여 예측성능을 평가하였다. 예측에 사용된 해수면 수온자료는 흑산도 조위관측소의 2018년부터 2022년까지 자료이며, 기존 통계적 ARIMA 방법과 Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit(GRU)을 사용하였고, LSTM의 성능을 더욱 향상할 수 있는 Sequence-to-Sequence(s2s) 구조에 Attention 기법을 추가한 Attention Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)기법을 사용하여 예측 성능 평가를 진행하였다. 평가 결과 Attention LSTM 모델이 타 모델과 비교하여 더 좋은 성능을 보였으며, Hyper parameter 튜닝을 통해 해수면 수온 성능을 개선할 수 있었다.

Bulk Gadolinium의 Curie점 결정 (The Determination of Curie Point of Bulk Gadolinium)

  • 이일수;이의완;이상윤
    • 한국재료학회지
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.422-423
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    • 1993
  • 이 short note에서 우리는 bulk gadolinium의 강자성에서 상자성으로의 전이온도(즉, Curie점) 측정에 대한 결과를 보고하고자 한다. 이 결과보고는 gadolinium박막에 대한 이전의 결과에 정당성을 주기 위해서 쓰여졌다. 본 실험에서 bulk gadolinium의 Curie점은 시료의 저항을 온도의 함수로 측정함으로써 결정하였다. 이는 Curie점에서 비열의 특이성이 바로 비저항의 특이성으로 연결되기 때문이다. 결과적으로 우리는 bulk gadolinium의 Curie점이 19.2${\pm}$0.$3^{\circ}C$가 되고이 값은 비열의 실험치로 결정한 다른 그룹들의 실험값들과 잘 일치하고 있음을 알 수 있었다.

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저궤도 위성의 자세센서 별 추적기 초기 운용 분석 (Analysis of Initial Activation and Checkout Results of Attitude Sensor Star Trackers for a LEO Satellite)

  • 임조령;최홍택
    • 항공우주기술
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2012
  • 본 기술논문에서는 고기동 고정밀 위성의 별 추적기 초기 점검 원격측정 데이터가 분석되었다. 최근에 발사된 위성은 고기동 고정밀 위성이므로 고도의 요구조건을 만족하기 위해 광학계, 전자부, 배플이 분리된 형태로 광학계 부분의 온도를 20 degC 근처로 유지하면서 저주파 오차 성능을 향상 시킨 프랑스 SODERN사의 SED36을 사용하였다. 본 논문에서는 위성으로부터 내려 받은 원격측정 데이터의 처리를 통해 초기 점검 상태, 요구 조건 만족 여부, 이상 현상 및 주요 임무 기동에서의 별 추적기 잡음각 성능 분석 결과를 제시하였다.

The Characteristics of Signal versus Noise SST Variability in the North Pacific and the Tropical Pacific Ocean

  • Yeh, Sang-Wook;Kirtman, Ben P.
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2006
  • Total sea surface temperature (SST) in a coupled GCM is diagnosed by separating the variability into signal variance and noise variance. The signal and the noise is calculated from multi-decadal simulations from the COLA anomaly coupled GCM and the interactive ensemble model by assuming both simulations have a similar signal variance. The interactive ensemble model is a new coupling strategy that is designed to increase signal to noise ratio by using an ensemble of atmospheric realizations coupled to a single ocean model. The procedure for separating the signal and the noise variability presented here does not rely on any ad hoc temporal or spatial filter. Based on these simulations, we find that the signal versus the noise of SST variability in the North Pacific is significantly different from that in the equatorial Pacific. The noise SST variability explains the majority of the total variability in the North Pacific, whereas the signal dominates in the deep tropics. It is also found that the spatial characteristics of the signal and the noise are also distinct in the North Pacific and equatorial Pacific.

장마 강수를 위한 앙상블 통계 예측 모델 개발 (The Development of Ensemble Statistical Prediction Model for Changma Precipitation)

  • 김진용;서경환
    • 대기
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.533-540
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    • 2014
  • Statistical forecast models for the prediction of the summertime Changma precipitation have been developed in this study. As effective predictors for the Changma precipitation, the springtime sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the North Atlantic (NA1), the North Pacific (NPC) and the tropical Pacific Ocean (CNINO) has been suggested in Lee and Seo (2013). To further improve the performance of the statistical prediction scheme, we select other potential predictors and construct 2 additional statistical models. The selected predictors are the Northern Indian Ocean (NIO) and the Bering Sea (BS) SST anomalies, and the spring Eurasian snow cover anomaly (EUSC). Then, using the total three statistical prediction models, a simple ensemble-mean prediction is performed. The resulting correlation skill score reaches as high as ~0.90 for the last 21 years, which is ~16% increase in the skill compared to the prediction model by Lee and Seo (2013). The EUSC and BS predictors are related to a strengthening of the Okhotsk high, leading to an enhancement of the Changma front. The NIO predictor induces the cyclonic anomalies to the southwest of the Korean peninsula and southeasterly flows toward the peninsula, giving rise to an increase in the Changma precipitation.

Type I Chiari malformation presenting orthostatic syncope who treated with decompressive surgery

  • Shin, Hyun-Seung;Kim, Jeong A;Kim, Dong-Seok;Lee, Joon Soo
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제59권sup1호
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    • pp.149-151
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    • 2016
  • Chiari malformations are a congenital anomaly of the hindbrain. The most common, Chiari malformation type I (CM-I), is characterized by herniation of the cerebellar tonsils extending at least 3 mm below the plane of the foramen magnum. Consequently, CM-I is associated with hydrocephalus and symptoms involving compression of the cervicomedullary junction by ectopic tonsils. Several studies have reported the clinical symptoms associated with CM-I, including suboccipital headache, weakness in the upper extremities, facial numbness, loss of temperature sensation, ataxia, diplopia, dysarthria, dysphagia, vomiting, vertigo, nystagmus, and tinnitus. Syncope is one of the rarest presentations in patients with CM-I. There are many hypotheses regarding the causes of syncope in patients with CM-I; however, the mechanisms are not clearly understood. Although surgical decompression for CM-I in patients with syncope has yielded good clinical results in some studies, such cases are rarely reported. We report a case of orthostatic syncope in a patient with CM-I who was treated with surgical intervention.

해수면 온도의 10년 주기 변동에 영향을 받는 Tropical Cyclone의 특징 (Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Activity Influenced by Decadal Variability of SST)

  • 김동혁;강인식
    • 대기
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.485-492
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    • 2008
  • This study confirms that a decadal variation of the SST (Sea Surface Temperature) in the WNP (Western North Pacific) has an influence on the genesis and passage ofa Tropical Cyclone. The decadal mode was obtained by calculating the SST anomaly on the domain $150^{\circ}E-190^{\circ}E$, and $5^{\circ}S-5^{\circ}N$. Such decadal variation was subsequently analyzed to confirm that it is a dominant mode in central Pacific region. Next, after classifying the years into relatively positive years and relatively negative years, the characteristics of Tropical Cyclone in each year, such as a genesis and passage frequency, were investigated. Compared to the relatively negative years, during the relatively positive years, the location of Tropical Cyclone genesis was biased toward South-Eastern region, while the characteristics of the cyclone were more distinct during late season of the year trom September to December than in mid season from June to August. Examining the movement passage through the observation of passage fiequency, there was a significant difference between positive year and negative year in their passages at a 90% confidence level. Moreover, the number of Tropical Cyclone, maximum wind, and life time also showed higher values in positive years than in negative years. These features were confirmed by examining the 850hPa cyclonic flow field, vorticity field, and vertical wind shear field, all of which contribute to the genesis of a Tropical Cyclone.

식물공장 근로자의 작업 환경개선을 위한 현장실측 연구 (The measured field survey for the improvement of the working environment of workers in the plant factory)

  • 권혁민;정석환;강주원;양정훈
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2014
  • A plant factory system is getting the spotlight as alternatives to cope with the weather anomaly and food crisis because of the global warming. A study on 'Plant Processing Factory System' has been proceeded to develope 'low-carbon green growth' since our government selected it as the green technologies in 2010. The plant factory has played a major role in growth industries connected to many other fields like low-carbon as well as lighting and automated system. This study is aimed to solve the problems on low productivity and health problem of plant workers caused by highly concentrated carbon dioxide and low temperature in each process in the plant factory. It is aimed to research data to understand the actual conditions of plant workers and improve the thermal environment.