• Science & Technology Policy
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• v.5 no.11 s.80
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• pp.17-21
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• 1995

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.53-74
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• 2010

The creation and acceptance of new technologies has been speeding up dramatically in modern times. There are also significant uncertainties about the future shape of markets, governance and social values that will have an important impact on organizations and their capacity to meet their objectives. These rapid technological and social change and uncertainties make the upsurge of interest in technology foresight, giving rise to its emergence as a global concept and policy tool. A wide range of future methods are available for technology foresight. Selection of methods will depend upon several factors, most notably available and the time financial resources, and the objectives of the exercise. Although Delphi has been widely used for many years, scenario becomes very popular in recent years. The use of scenarios can take better account of the complexity and unpredictability of the economic, social and political environments. Scenarios tell the stories describing paths to different futures, which help organizations make better decisions today. In this study, the scenario method was employed to draw the images of the future of renewable energy. Renewable energy grows dramatically in recent years. However, there is still considerable uncertainty with regard to the potential of renewable energy due to environment regulation, energy costs, and political and economic developments in the main supplier countries for oil and natural gas. Scenario can help us to identify the risks and opportunities when we develop the renewable energy, and to prepare for them. The scenario method is expected to be more utilized in the national technology foresight.

• Science & Technology Policy
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• v.8 no.5 s.110
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• pp.69-74
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• 1998

• Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.7-17
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• 2004

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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• v.23 no.8
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• pp.934-941
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• 2012

This paper has examined the concept of dependence of spectrum to foresight on future wireless industry. For this, we classified the wireless industry and had a survey on the dependence of spectrum of the wireless industry by experts interview. We had foresighted the trend and changes of future market of wireless industry using survey data. We also had analyzed on factors of growth and level of development of wireless industry.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.121-132
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• 2006

Every country of the world have made their desirable future by improving the methodology of technology forecasting with priority, selection and concentration, despite the limited budget. About 20 years have passed since Defense S&T forecasting has been initiated but supplier-centered technology forecasting has caused the lack of usefulness for the customers. Therefore, we will search and offer technologies that customers need, based on the methodology of technology foresight that has started in England. It is a real value of Defense S&T forecasting that will help our nation, a smaller and weaker country compared to our neighboring countries, has a secure future and prosperity. For this consideration, 8 directions of the development for Defense S&T forecasting are suggested.

• Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.98-107
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• 2008

As the information and communications market goes more uncertain, foresight activities becomes more important. A number of foresight activities, such as trend analysis, have been used to predict customer needs. However previous studies tend to lack objectivity and systematization. In this study, we suggest a meta analysis methodology which combines both top-down and bottom-up approach in order to systematize the analysis process. Secondly, we applied this approach to ICT market to identify essential future technologies. Based on the result from the meta analysis, we have constructed the future technology roadmap.

• Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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• 2008.10b
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• pp.104-112
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• 2008

As the information and communications market goes more uncertain, foresight activities becomes more important. A number of foresight activities, such as trend analysis, have been used to predict customer needs. However previous studies tend to lack objectivity and systematization. In this study, we suggest a meta analysis methodology which combines both top-down and bottom-up approach in order to systematize the analysis process. Secondly, we applied this approach to ICT market to identify essential future technologies. Based on the result from the meta analysis, we have constructed the future technology roadmap.

• Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.211-212
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• 2016

기술예측이란 전략적 연구개발 분야 및 미래유망기술 도출을 위해 장기적인 과학, 기술, 경제, 사회 현상을 조사하기 위한 과정이다. 미래 기술예측의 효과적 추진을 위해 체계적인 방법론과 프로세스를 개발 적용하여 미래 기술의 수용성과 예측성, 참신성을 높일 수 있는 방법으로 인간의 6가지 감각을 기반으로 한 미래 기술예측조사 및 유망기술의 발굴 및 선정을 위한 새로운 접근방식으로써 예측조사 프레임워크를 제안한다.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.39 no.3
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• pp.233-244
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• 2017

This study seeks to analyze the needs of biotechnology companies in relation to their entry into the marine biotechnology industry and to discuss the policy implications associated with empirical tasks based on issues raised from empirical results gathered from a survey data of 200 biotechnology companies in Korea. This study made a comparison between marine and non-marine biotechnology companies and analyzed non-marine biotechnology companies' needs related to their entry into the marine biotechnology companies by using Social Network Analysis (SNA). Empirical results indicate that 23.5% of biotechnology companies produce goods using marine bio-resources. Once the utility of marine bio-resources is established, 58.8% of non-marine biotechnology companies intend to enter the marine biotechnology industry. This study also shows that non-marine biotechnology companies need technical support, information sharing, and the acquisition of raw materials to enter the marine biotechnology industry. The findings in this study provide important pointers for the direction of policies and future research in the area of marine biotechnology industry.