• Title/Summary/Keyword: system uncertainty

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Uncertainty analysis of speed-power performance based on measured raw data in sea trials

  • Seo, Dae-Won;Oh, Jungkeun
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.396-404
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    • 2021
  • It is important to verify that the contracted speed-power performance of a ship is satisfied in sea trials. International Organization for Standardization (ISO) has published the procedure for measuring and assessing ship speed during sea trials. The results obtained from actual sea conditions inevitably include various uncertainty factors. In this study, double run tests were performed on one container ship to analyze the uncertainty of sea trial on three maximum continuous rating conditions. The uncertainty factors and scale of uncertainty were examined based on the measured raw data during sea trial. The results indicate that the expanded uncertainty for ideal power performance is approximately ±1.4% at 95% confidence level (coverage factor k = 2) and most of the uncertainty factors were because of the shaft power measurement system.

정부출연연구기관에서의 자금조달환경의 불확실성이 관리통제시스템에 미치는 영향 - PBS 제도 도입을 중심으로 -

  • 이민형
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.177-193
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    • 2003
  • This paper examines empirically if the increase of funding uncertainty in government supported R&D institutes(GSRIs) in Korean cause managers to use more effective management control practices. Recently government introduced a new government R&D budget management system, based on competition, named PBS(Project Base System). Government requires GSRIs to be self-supporting and compete for funding from government. The introduction of new budget management system named PBS, has resulted in the increase of funding uncertainty in GSRIs. According to institutional theory, government organizations gain legitimacy by conforming to external expectations regarding management control practices, In contrast, contingency theory proposes that management control practices are driven by the fit between the technical features of the environment and the management control practices. The contingency literature provides that one external factor expected to motivate government managers to use more efficient control practices is the presence of competition and funding uncertainty. This paper use both theoretical perspective to develop hypotheses and examine the influence of funding environment on management control practices. Results show that the more institutionalized environment, the more managers in GSRIs rely on bureaucratic mode of control for conforming to external requirements, and the greater the funding uncertainty, the more managers use results and personal modes of control to improve research team performance.

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Measurements of Three-Dimensional Velocities of Spray Droplets Using the Holographic Velocimetry System

  • Choo, Yeon-Jun;Kang, Bo-Seon
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.1095-1103
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    • 2003
  • The Holographic Particle Velocimetry system can be a promising optical tool for the measurements of three dimensional particle velocities. In this study, the holographic particle velocimetry system was used to measure the sizes and velocities of droplets produced by a commercial full cone spray nozzle. As a preliminary validation experiment, the velocities of glass beads on a rotating disk were measured with uncertainty analysis to identify the sources of all relevant errors and to evaluate their magnitude. The error of the particle velocity measured by the holographic method was 0.75 ㎧, which was 4.5% of the known velocity estimated by the rotating speed of disk. The spray droplet velocities ranged from 10.3 to 13.3 ㎧ with average uncertainty of ${\pm}$ 1.6 ㎧, which was ${\pm}$ 14% of the mean droplet velocity. Compared with relatively small uncertainty of velocity components in the normal direction to the optical axis, uncertainty of the optical axis component was very high. This is due to the long depth of field of droplet images in the optical axis, which is inherent feature of holographic system using forward-scattering object wave of particles.

LOCATION UNCERTAINTY IN ASSET TRACKING USING WIRELESS SENSOR NETWORKS

  • Jo, Jung-Hee;Kim, Kwang-Soo;Lee, Ki-Sung;Kim, Sun-Joong
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2007.10a
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    • pp.357-360
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    • 2007
  • An asset tracking using wireless sensor network is concerned with geographical locations of sensor nodes. The limited size of sensor nodes makes them attractable for tracking service, at the same time their size causes power restrictions, limited computation power, and storage restrictions. Due to such constrained capabilities, the wireless sensor network basically assumes the failure of sensor nodes. This causes a set of concerns in designing asset tracking system on wireless sensor network and one of the most critical factors is location uncertainty of sensor nodes. In this paper, we classify the location uncertainty problem in asset tracking system into following cases. First, sensor node isn't read at all because of sensor node failure, leading to misunderstanding that asset is not present. Second, incorrect location is read due to interference of RSSI, providing unreliable location of asset. We implemented and installed our asset tracking system in a real environment and continuously monitored the status of asset and measured error rate of location of sensor nodes. We present experimental results that demonstrate the location uncertainty problem in asset tracking system using wireless sensor network.

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Uncertainty Management Technology in Mobile Context-Awareness Computing (모바일 상황인식 컴퓨팅에서의 불확실성 관리 기법)

  • Kim, Hoon-Kyu;Won, Yoo-Hun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2013
  • Uncertainty in Context-aware computing is mainly a consequence of the complexity of context acquisition mechanisms and context processing. The presence of uncertainty may harm the users' confidence in the application, rendering it useless. This paper describes a three-phase strategy to manage uncertainty by identifying its possible sources, representing uncertain information, and determining how to proceed, once uncertain context is detected. The level of effort that is necessary to eliminate the uncertainty of context information affects the reliability of the system, because Sensor network system have no intervention of humans. In this paper, We applied proposed method to the development for the sensor network system, Uncertainty management can be applied a part of the system development life-cycle. It confirmed that result of testing show that detection performance is stable.

The Effect of Trade Agreements on Korea's Bilateral Trade Volume: Mitigating the Impact of Economic Uncertainty in Trading Countries

  • Heedae Park;Jiyoung An
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.153-166
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This research empirically analyzes the influence of economic policy uncertainty and free trade agreements (FTAs) on bilateral trade volumes between Korea and its trading partners. The study investigates whether fluctuations in the Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPUI) for both Korea and its trading partners significantly impact trade volumes and whether the implementation of FTAs mitigates these effects. Design/methodology - The study employs dynamic panel data analysis using the system generalized method of moments (system GMM) estimation method to achieve its research objectives. It utilizes country-month-level panel data, including the EPUI, trade volume between Korea and its trading partner countries, and other pertinent variables. The use of system GMM allows for the control of potential endogeneity issues and the incorporation of country-specific and time-specific effects. Findings - The analysis yields significant results regarding the impact of economic policy uncertainty on Korea's exports and imports, particularly before the implementation of FTAs. An increase in the EPUI of trading partners leads to a notable increase in Korea's exports to them. Conversely, an increase in Korea's EPUI negatively affects its imports from trading partners. However, post-FTA implementation, the influence of each country's EPUI on trade volume is neutralized, with no significant difference observed. Originality/value - This research contributes to the existing literature by providing empirical evidence on the interaction effects between economic policy uncertainty and FTAs on bilateral trade volumes. The study's uniqueness lies in its examination of how FTAs mitigate the impact of economic uncertainty on trade relations between countries. The findings underscore the importance of trade agreements as mechanisms to address economic risks and promote international trade relations. In a world where global market uncertainties persist, these insights can aid policymakers in Korea and other countries in enhancing their trade cooperation strategies and navigating challenges posed by evolving economic landscapes.

A Study on the Thermal Effects Measurement and Uncertainty Estimation for High Precision Machine Tools (고정밀 공작기계의 열적효과 측정 및 불확도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Deok-Soo;Kim, Sang-Hwa;Park, Il-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2013
  • When the main spindle of high precision machine tools are run many hours, heat is generated in bearing parts of the inside of the spindle. Also, headstock is appeared distortion by inside and outside temperature difference of a machine. This paper studies method to measure behavior of machine tool about these thermal effects. In addition, it estimates measurement uncertainty factors which can be appeared in thermal effects measurement. Finding the factor of thermal affect measurement is important for estimation of measurement uncertainty. This paper measures thermal effects of high precision machine tools and evaluates the important factors of uncertainty.

An Evaluation of the Uncertainty of Pressure Measurement Systems (압력 측정 시스템의 불확도 평가)

  • 최주호;홍성수
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2002
  • Uncertainty components and evaluation of the system of pressure measurement are presented in this paper. Since early in 1980s, measurement uncertainty is getting more important due to ISO/IEC 17025, which is established for international test and calibration laboratories. Up to now it is true that accuracy, precision, error and etc. have been commonly used in industry to define the amount of error to the products and equipment, but these terms ought to be united into uncertainity in the future. This paper describes how to indicate measurement uncertainty and types of measurement errors, and then shows the evaluation result of measurement system using piezoelectric pressure transducers.

Uncertainty Analysis for Speed and Power Performance in Sea Trial using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 시운전 선속-동력 성능에 대한 불확실성 해석)

  • Seo, Dae-Won;Kim, Min-Su;Kim, Sang-Yeob
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.242-250
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    • 2019
  • The speed and power performance of a ship is not only a guarantee issue between the ship owner and the ship-yard, but also is related with the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI) regulation. Recently, International Organization for Standardization (ISO) published the procedure of the measurement and assessment for ship speed and power at sea trial. The results of speed and power performance measured in actual sea condition must inevitably include various uncertainty factors. In this study, the influence for systematic error of shaft power measurement system was examined using the Monte Carlo simulation. It is found that the expanded uncertainty of speed and power performance is approximately ${\pm}1.2%$ at the 95% confidence level(k=2) and most of the uncertainty factor is attributed to shaft torque measurement system.

Development of Uncertainty Evaluation Model for Vacuum Measurement Standards (진공측정표준의 불확도 평가모델 개발)

  • Hong, S.S.;Lim, J.Y.;Shin, Y.H.
    • Journal of the Korean Vacuum Society
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.313-321
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    • 2011
  • The Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science (KRISS) has three major vacuum systems: an ultrasonic interferometer manometer (UIM), a static volume expansion system (SVES), and an orifice-type dynamic expansion system (ODES). For each system explict measurement model equations with multiple variables are respectively given. According to ISO standards, all these system variables errors were used to calculate the expanded uncertainty (U).