• 제목/요약/키워드: system uncertainty

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An Improved Analytic Model for Power System Fault Diagnosis and its Optimal Solution Calculation

  • Wang, Shoupeng;Zhao, Dongmei
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2018
  • When a fault occurs in a power system, the existing analytic models for the power system fault diagnosis could generate multiple solutions under the condition of one or more protective relays (PRs) and/or circuit breakers (CBs) malfunctioning, and/or an alarm or alarms of these PRs and/or CBs failing. Therefore, this paper presents an improved analytic model addressing the above problem. It takes into account the interaction between the uncertainty involved with PR operation and CB tripping and the uncertainty of the alarm reception, which makes the analytic model more reasonable. In addition, the existing analytic models apply the penalty function method to deal with constraints, which is influenced by the artificial setting of the penalty factor. In order to avoid the penalty factor's effects, this paper transforms constraints into an objective function, and then puts forward an improved immune clonal multi-objective optimization algorithm to solve the optimal solution. Finally, the cases of the power system fault diagnosis are served for demonstrating the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed model and method.

Upgrade of gamma electron vertex imaging system for high-performance range verification in pencil beam scanning proton therapy

  • Kim, Sung Hun;Jeong, Jong Hwi;Ku, Youngmo;Jung, Jaerin;Cho, Sungkoo;Jo, Kwanghyun;Kim, Chan Hyeong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.1016-1023
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    • 2022
  • In proton therapy, a highly conformal proton dose can be delivered to the tumor by means of the steep distal dose penumbra at the end of the beam range. The proton beam range, however, is highly sensitive to range uncertainty, which makes accurately locating the proton range in the patient difficult. In-vivo range verification is a method to manage range uncertainty, one of the promising techniques being prompt gamma imaging (PGI). In earlier studies, we proposed gamma electron vertex imaging (GEVI), and constructed a proof-of-principle system. The system successfully demonstrated the GEVI imaging principle for therapeutic proton pencil beams without scanning, but showed some limitations under clinical conditions, particularly for pencil beam scanning proton therapy. In the present study, we upgraded the GEVI system in several aspects and tested the performance improvements such as for range-shift verification in the context of line scanning proton treatment. Specifically, the system showed better performance in obtaining accurate prompt gamma (PG) distributions in the clinical environment. Furthermore, high shift-detection sensitivity and accuracy were shown under various range-shift conditions using line scanning proton beams.

Flexible operation and maintenance optimization of aging cyber-physical energy systems by deep reinforcement learning

  • Zhaojun Hao;Francesco Di Maio;Enrico Zio
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.1472-1479
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    • 2024
  • Cyber-Physical Energy Systems (CPESs) integrate cyber and hardware components to ensure a reliable and safe physical power production and supply. Renewable Energy Sources (RESs) add uncertainty to energy demand that can be dealt with flexible operation (e.g., load-following) of CPES; at the same time, scenarios that could result in severe consequences due to both component stochastic failures and aging of the cyber system of CPES (commonly overlooked) must be accounted for Operation & Maintenance (O&M) planning. In this paper, we make use of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to search for the optimal O&M strategy that, not only considers the actual system hardware components health conditions and their Remaining Useful Life (RUL), but also the possible accident scenarios caused by the failures and the aging of the hardware and the cyber components, respectively. The novelty of the work lies in embedding the cyber aging model into the CPES model of production planning and failure process; this model is used to help the RL agent, trained with Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) and Imitation Learning (IL), finding the proper rejuvenation timing for the cyber system accounting for the uncertainty of the cyber system aging process. An application is provided, with regards to the Advanced Lead-cooled Fast Reactor European Demonstrator (ALFRED).

Influence of Parameter Uncertainty on Petroleum Contaminants Distribution in Porous Media

  • Li, J.B.;Huang, G.H.;Zeng, G.M.;Chakma, A.;Chen, Z.
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2002.07a
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    • pp.627-630
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    • 2002
  • A methodology based on factorial design and Motto Carlo methods is developed and implemented for incorporating uncertainties within a multiphase subsurface flow and transport simulation system. Due to uncertainties in intrinsic permeability and longitudinal dispersivity, the predicted output is also uncertain based on the well-developed multiphase compositional simulator. The simulation results reveal that the uncertainties in input parameters pose considerable influences on the predicted output, and the mean and variance of permeability will have significant impacts on the modeling output. The proposed method offers an effective tool for evaluating uncertainty in multiphase flow simulation system.

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Frequentist and Bayesian Learning Approaches to Artificial Intelligence

  • Jun, Sunghae
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2016
  • Artificial intelligence (AI) is making computer systems intelligent to do right thing. The AI is used today in a variety of fields, such as journalism, medical, industry as well as entertainment. The impact of AI is becoming larger day after day. In general, the AI system has to lead the optimal decision under uncertainty. But it is difficult for the AI system can derive the best conclusion. In addition, we have a trouble to represent the intelligent capacity of AI in numeric values. Statistics has the ability to quantify the uncertainty by two approaches of frequentist and Bayesian. So in this paper, we propose a methodology of the connection between statistics and AI efficiently. We compute a fixed value for estimating the population parameter using the frequentist learning. Also we find a probability distribution to estimate the parameter of conceptual population using Bayesian learning. To show how our proposed research could be applied to practical domain, we collect the patent big data related to Apple company, and we make the AI more intelligent to understand Apple's technology.

A System for Medical Statistical Analysis Using Guide Maps and Interactive Visualization (가이드 맵과 인터랙티브 시각화를 이용한 의료 통계분석 시스템)

  • Lee Don-Soo;Choi Soo-Mi
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.8 no.7
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    • pp.1000-1011
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a system for medical statistical analysis that helps medical professionals analyze clinical data more easily and accurately. It is able to recommend proper methods according to the distribution of sample data, and provides guide maps composed of icons for the understanding of the process of analysis. Besides general statistical analysis, it includes commonly-used statistical methods for medical fields, such as survival analysis and methods for repetitive measurements. The results of analysis are interactively displayed by 3D glyph-based visualization with uncertainty.

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Intercomparison Tests of National Standard Measuring System for Switching Impulse Voltage rated 500 kV (500 kV 개폐충격전압시스템의 비교시험)

  • Kim, I.S.;Kim, M.K.;Jeong, J.Y.;Moon, I.W.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.261-263
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    • 2003
  • This paper represents the development of national standard(NS) for switching impulse(SI) voltage measuring system rated 500 kV. A traceability of the NS to the international standard could be achieved by the intercomparison test with CSIRO of Australia. According to the IEC 60060-2, a measurement uncertainty was assessed. As a result of the tests, a measurement uncertainty and step response characteristics were satisfied with the requisite for NS.

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Delay-dependent Robust and Non-fragile Stabilization for Descriptor Systems with Parameter Uncertainties and Time-varying Delays (변수 불확실성과 시변 시간지연을 가지는 특이시스템의 지연 종속 강인 비약성 안정화)

  • Kim, Jong-Hae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.10
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    • pp.1854-1860
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we deal with the problem of delay-dependent robust and non-fragile stabilization for descriptor systems with parameter uncertainties and time-varying delays on the basis of strict LMI(linear matrix inequality) technique. Also, the considering controller is composed of multiplicative uncertainty. The delay-dependent robust and non-fragile stability criterion without semi-definite condition and decomposition of system matrices is obtained. Based on the criterion, the problem is solved via state feedback controller, which guarantees that the resultant closed-loop system is regular, impulse free and stable in spite of all admissible parameter uncertainties, time-varying delays, and controller fragility. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

A Stochastic Dynamic Programming Model to Derive Monthly Operating Policy of a Multi-Reservoir System (댐 군 월별 운영 정책의 도출을 위한 추계적 동적 계획 모형)

  • Lim, Dong-Gyu;Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Sheung-Kown
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2012
  • The goal of the multi-reservoir operation planning is to provide an optimal release plan that maximize the reservoir storage and hydropower generation while minimizing the spillages. However, the reservoir operation is difficult due to the uncertainty associated with inflows. In order to consider the uncertain inflows in the reservoir operating problem, we present a Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) model based on the markov decision process (MDP). The objective of the model is to maximize the expected value of the system performance that is the weighted sum of all expected objective values. With the SDP model, multi-reservoir operating rule can be derived, and it also generates the steady state probabilities of reservoir storage and inflow as output. We applied the model to the Geum-river basin in Korea and could generate a multi-reservoir monthly operating plan that can consider the uncertainty of inflow.

A Process of the Risk Management for a Space Launch Vehicle R&D Project (우주발사체 개발사업의 위험관리 프로세스)

  • Cho, Dong Hyun;Yoo, Il Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2016
  • Many countries concentrated on the space developments to enhance the national security and the people's quality of life. A space launch vehicle for accessing the space is a typical large complex system that is composed of the high-technology like high-performance, high-reliability, superhigh-pressure, etc. The project developing large complex system like space launcher is mostly conducted in the uncertain environment. To achieve a goal of the project, its success probability should be enhanced consistently by reducing its uncertainty during the life cycle: it's possible to reduce the project's uncertainty by performing the risk management (RM) that is a method for identifying and tracing potential risk factors in order to eliminate the risks of the project. In this paper, we introduce the risk management (RM) process applied for a Space Launch Vehicle R&D Project.