• Title/Summary/Keyword: system uncertainty

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New algorithm to estimate proton beam range for multi-slit prompt-gamma camera

  • Ku, Youngmo;Jung, Jaerin;Kim, Chan Hyeong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.3422-3428
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    • 2022
  • The prompt gamma imaging (PGI) technique is considered as one of the most promising approaches to estimate the range of proton beam in the patient and unlock the full potential of proton therapy. In the PGI technique, a dedicated algorithm is required to estimate the range of the proton beam from the prompt gamma (PG) distribution acquired by a PGI system. In the present study, a new range estimation algorithm was developed for a multi-slit prompt-gamma camera, one of PGI systems, to estimate the range of proton beam with high accuracy. The performance of the developed algorithm was evaluated by Monte Carlo simulations for various beam/phantom combinations. Our results generally show that the developed algorithm is very robust, showing very high accuracy and precision for all the cases considered in the present study. The range estimation accuracy of the developed algorithm was 0.5-1.7 mm, which is approximately 1% of beam range, for 1×109 protons. Even for the typical number of protons for a spot (1×108), the range estimation accuracy of the developed algorithm was 2.1-4.6 mm and smaller than the range uncertainties and typical safety margin, while that of the existing algorithm was 2.5-9.6 mm.

Challenge through Annulment of ICSID Arbitral Awards (ICSID 중재판정의 취소를 통한 불복)

  • Kim, Yong Il;Oh, Hyon Sok
    • Journal of Arbitration Studies
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.3-22
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    • 2021
  • This article examines the Challenge through Annulment of ICSID Arbitral Awards. Either party may request annulment of the award by applying in writing addressed to the ICSID Secretary-General on one or more of the grounds under Article 52 of the ICSID Convention. The annulment proceedings must focus on the award itself. Because committees have no inherent supremacy over the arbitral tribunal, they should not review the tribunal's findings on evidence, damage, interest, and cost findings. Otherwise, the parties would have, in effect, two opportunities, and that will almost certainly weaken the reliability of the entire ICSID system. In short, because of the limited scope of review under ICSID annulment and because annulment is not an opportunity for the parties to re-try the case, committees should not allow new arguments or new evidence. Since an annulment committee is not a court of appeals, it cannot create a new res judicata. Committees can only decide not to annul an award, thus confirming the existing res judicata or annul the award, in which case the affected decision ceases to be res judicata. An obvious annulment decision stipulating which particular findings of the award remain res judicata should prevent any uncertainty in resubmission proceedings.

A Proposal for Risk Management according to Organizational Tendency for the Overseas EPC Projects of Public Company (공기업 해외발전 EPC 사업 진출 시 조직성향에 따른 위험관리 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Hyung Sik;Koo, Il Seob
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 2022
  • Power generation construction projects involving large amounts of capital can affect the survival of a company along with huge economic losses in the event of a business failure. In general, private companies are organizations with challenging risk taking tendencies while public companies have a risk averse tendency to avoid risk, so these differences in organizational tendencies make it difficult to respond to risk. In particular, public companies are more likely to fail than private companies because they choose the contradiction of risk picking to enter overseas markets with high uncertainty despite their tendency to risk averse due to the nature of the organization. Therefore, these organizations need risk management techniques that reflect a risk-averse strategy. Accordingly, this paper analyzes the risk management research papers of the existing overseas development EPC business in order to find the risk management techniques related to the organizational tendencies of public companies and proposes "establishing a performance audit system for risk management of the organizational tendencies of public companies" as a way to extract the risk factors through the examples of overseas development projects of public companies and to manage the organizational tendencies of public companies that affect them.

Stochastic Gradient Descent Optimization Model for Demand Response in a Connected Microgrid

  • Sivanantham, Geetha;Gopalakrishnan, Srivatsun
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2022
  • Smart power grid is a user friendly system that transforms the traditional electric grid to the one that operates in a co-operative and reliable manner. Demand Response (DR) is one of the important components of the smart grid. The DR programs enable the end user participation by which they can communicate with the electricity service provider and shape their daily energy consumption patterns and reduce their consumption costs. The increasing demands of electricity owing to growing population stresses the need for optimal usage of electricity and also to look out alternative and cheap renewable sources of electricity. The solar and wind energy are the promising sources of alternative energy at present because of renewable nature and low cost implementation. The proposed work models a smart home with renewable energy units. The random nature of the renewable sources like wind and solar energy brings an uncertainty to the model developed. A stochastic dual descent optimization method is used to bring optimality to the developed model. The proposed work is validated using the simulation results. From the results it is concluded that proposed work brings a balanced usage of the grid power and the renewable energy units. The work also optimizes the daily consumption pattern thereby reducing the consumption cost for the end users of electricity.

Tightly-Coupled GNSS-LiDAR-Inertial State Estimator for Mapping and Autonomous Driving (비정형 환경 내 지도 작성과 자율주행을 위한 GNSS-라이다-관성 상태 추정 시스템)

  • Hyeonjae Gil;Dongjae Lee;Gwanhyeong Song;Seunguk Ahn;Ayoung Kim
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2023
  • We introduce tightly-coupled GNSS-LiDAR-Inertial state estimator, which is capable of SLAM (Simultaneously Localization and Mapping) and autonomous driving. Long term drift is one of the main sources of estimation error, and some LiDAR SLAM framework utilize loop closure to overcome this error. However, when loop closing event happens, one's current state could change abruptly and pose some safety issues on drivers. Directly utilizing GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) positioning information could help alleviating this problem, but accurate information is not always available and inaccurate vertical positioning issues still exist. We thus propose our method which tightly couples raw GNSS measurements into LiDAR-Inertial SLAM framework which can handle satellite positioning information regardless of its uncertainty. Also, with NLOS (Non-light-of-sight) satellite signal handling, we can estimate our states more smoothly and accurately. With several autonomous driving tests on AGV (Autonomous Ground Vehicle), we verified that our method can be applied to real-world problem.

A Study on Prediction of Suspension Time of Unmanned Light Rail according to Safety Personal Deployment (안전요원 배치 여부에 따른 무인운전 경전철의 운행중단 시간예측 연구)

  • Sang Log Kwak
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2023
  • The number of unmanned light rail train operators is continuously increasing in Korea. In a failure event during an operation due to the nature of the unmanned operation, recovery is performed based on the remote control. However, if remote recovery is not feasible, safety personnel arrive at the train to resume the train operation. There are regulations on safety personnel and the suspension time of the train operation. However, there is currently no rule for safety personnel deployment. Currently, railway operating organizations operate in three scenarios: safety personnel on board trains, stationed at stations, and deployed at major stations. Four major factors influence the downtime for each emergency response scenario. However, these four influencing factors vary too much to predict results with simple calculations. In this study, four influencing factors were considered as random variables with high uncertainty. In addition, the Monte Carlo method was applied to each scenario for the safety personnel deployment to predict train service downtime. This study found a 17% difference in train service suspension by safety personnel deployment scenario. The results of this study can be used in setting service goals, such as standards for future safety personnel placement and frequency of service interruptions.

The Effects on the R&D Project Performance according to the Characteristics of Project Management Organizations: The Difference between Public and Private Companies (연구사업관리 주관기관에 따른 기술혁신 R&D 프로젝트 성과 영향분석: 공공과 민간 기업의 차이 비교)

  • Yong-Kyu Lee;So-Hyun Park;Hee Kyung Kim;Taewon Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.116-132
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    • 2023
  • Technology innovation companies are focusing on contributing to business performance by R&D project as a strategic tool. Successful R&D leads to corporate competitiveness enhancement, national industrial development, but there are high uncertainty and risks in R&D. Public and private R&D projects are carried out to achieve various purposes. It was verified how the risk management and benefit management of the R&D project affect the detailed R&D project performance between the Public and private domain. The impact of Project Leadership on R&D performance was also analyzed. Those who have participated in the Public and Private R&D projects at companies or research institutes were surveyed. First, it was found that project risk and benefit management have partially an effect on R&D project performance. Second, Public and private R&D Project Leadership showed partially a interaction effect between project management and project performance.

Uncertainty assessment of point and regional frequency analysis using Bayesian method (베이지안기법을 이용한 지점 및 지역빈도해석의 불확실성 평가)

  • Lee, Jeonghoon;Lee, Okjeong;Kim, Sangdan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.406-406
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    • 2021
  • 극한강우사상의 분석은 다양한 극치 분포로 구성된 극치이론을 통해 가능하다. 일반적으로 단일 지점의 극한사상의 분석을 위한 지점빈도해석 (Point Frequency Analysis, PFA)이 다양한 재현기간에 해당하는 강우량을 추정하는데 널리 사용되어왔다. 하지만 수문기후학적 극치기록은 시간적 그리고 공간적으로 제한적이다. 따라서 모의 불확실성을 줄이고 신뢰성 높은 결과를 도출하기 위해 서로 유사한 분포를 가질 수 있는 인근 지점의 활용하는 지역빈도해석 (Regional Frequency Analysis, RFA) 방법이 개발되어 적용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 부산, 울산, 경남지역의 기상청 종관기상관측시스템(Automated Synoptic Observing System, ASOS) 울산, 부산, 통영, 진주, 거창, 합천, 밀양, 산청, 거제, 남해지점 일강수량을 자료를 기반으로 Metropolis-Hasting 알고리즘을 사용하여 일반극치분포(Generalized Extreme Value, GEV)의 매개변수를 추정하고 PFA 및 RFA의 불확실성을 평가하고자 한다. 이러한 연구는 공간적 구성 요소(예, 지리적 좌표, 고도)를 고려하지 못하며 추가변수 (예, 공변량)를 분석에 결합할 수 없는 등의 RFA의 한계를 극복하고, 명시적으로 불확실성을 추정하여 결과의 신뢰성을 확보 할 수 있는 계층적 베이지안 모델의 개발에 도움이 되리라 기대된다.

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An Experimental Method for the Evaluation of Dead Load Stress in Existing Concrete Bridges (콘크리트 교량의 고정하중 응력에 관한 실험적 측정방법)

  • Park, Dae Sung;Kim, Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.4A
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    • pp.701-706
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    • 2006
  • This paper describes an attempt to develop a practical method for the measurement of dead load stress in existing concrete bridges. In most cases, the dead load stress was determined by various theoretical calculations. However, the theoretical calculation cannot always provide a sufficient information on the current stress state due to lots of uncertainty. The key idea incorporated with this paper is the partial sectioning method which is able to estimate current stress state in concrete bridges subjected to dead load. The proposed method is applied to the safety assessment of actual concrete bridges and the applicability of this system is investigated.

Analysis of the Effectiveness of Project Risk Management (PRM) on the Project Success: Focused on the Implementation Phase of Overseas Construction Projects (프로젝트 리스크 관리(PRM)가 프로젝트 성공에 미치는 효과성 분석: 해외건설사업 수행단계 전반을 중심으로)

  • Sullim Jung;Dae-Cheol Kim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.221-230
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    • 2023
  • Under increased complexity and uncertainty of overseas construction projects, it is important for construction companies to improve their own project risk management capabilities instead of risk-taking strategies to secure competitiveness in the overseas construction market. Although most of the risks occur in project execution stage, many previous studies focused on planning stage including risk identification and analysis among PRM process. Therefore, this study aims to verify the effectiveness of whole PRM process during project execution stage through empirical study on participants of overseas construction projects. As the result it was found that first, the factor directly affects the project success is the execution process of PRM. It implies that appropriate actions such as appointing charged manager for risks, timely implementation of responding plan, continuous risk monitoring and updating established plan are the key for contribution to the project success. Second, the importance of communication in PRM is also found, which is not conducted at a specific but throughout the entire PRM process and need to be managed as essential factor for successful PRM..