• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.265-279
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• 2022

Tunnel convergence prediction is essential for the safe construction and design of tunnels. This study proposes five machine learning models of deep neural network (DNN), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), Gaussian process regression (GPR), support vector regression (SVR), and decision trees (DT) to predict the convergence phenomenon during or shortly after the excavation of tunnels. In this respect, a database including 650 datasets (440 for training, 110 for validation, and 100 for test) was gathered from the previously constructed tunnels. In the database, 12 effective parameters on the tunnel convergence and a target of tunnel wall convergence were considered. Both 5-fold and hold-out cross validation methods were used to analyze the predicted outcomes in the ML models. Finally, the DNN method was proposed as the most robust model. Also, to assess each parameter's contribution to the prediction problem, the backward selection method was used. The results showed that the highest and lowest impact parameters for tunnel convergence are tunnel depth and tunnel width, respectively.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.137-158
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• 2008

Rapid development of various information technologies creates new opportunities in online and offline markets. In this changing market environment, customers have various demands on new products and services. Therefore, their power and influence on the markets grow stronger each year. Companies have paid great attention to customer relationship management. Especially, personalized product recommendation systems, which recommend products and services based on customer's private information or purchasing behaviors in stores, is an important asset to most companies. CRM is one of the important business processes where reliable information is mined from customer database. Data mining techniques such as artificial intelligence are popular tools used to extract useful information and knowledge from these customer databases. In this research, we propose a recommendation system that predicts customer's purchase intention. Then, customer's purchasing intention of specific product is predicted by using data mining techniques using receipt data set. The performance of this suggested method is compared with that of other data mining technologies.

• Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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• 2005.11a
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• pp.516-525
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• 2005

Case-based reasoning (CBR) has been widely used in various areas due to its convenience and strength in complex problem solving. Generally, in order to obtain successful results from CBR, effective retrieval of useful prior cases for the given problem is essential. However, designing a good matching and retrieval mechanism for CBR systems is still a controversial research issue. Most prior studies have tried to optimize the weights of the features or selection process of appropriate instances. But, these approaches have been performed independently until now. Simultaneous optimization of these components may lead to better performance than in naive models. In particular, there have been few attempts to simultaneously optimize the weight of the features and selection of the instances for CBR. Here we suggest a simultaneous optimization model of these components using a genetic algorithm (GA). We apply it to a customer classification model which utilizes demographic characteristics of customers as inputs to predict their buying behavior for a specific product. Experimental results show that simultaneously optimized CBR may improve the classification accuracy and outperform various optimized models of CBR as well as other classification models including logistic regression, multiple discriminant analysis, artificial neural networks and support vector machines.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.109-128
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• 2016

This paper presents a new combined forecasting method that is guided by the soft set theory (CFBSS) to predict business failures with different sample sizes. The proposed method combines both qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis to improve forecasting performance. We considered an expert system (ES), logistic regression (LR), and support vector machine (SVM) as forecasting components whose weights are determined by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The proposed procedure was applied to real data sets from Chinese listed firms. For performance comparison, single ES, LR, and SVM methods, the combined forecasting method based on equal weights (CFBEWs), the combined forecasting method based on neural networks (CFBNNs), and the combined forecasting method based on rough sets and the D-S theory (CFBRSDS) were also included in the empirical experiment. CFBSS obtains the highest forecasting accuracy and the second-best forecasting stability. The empirical results demonstrate the superior forecasting performance of our method in terms of accuracy and stability.

• Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.120-125
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• 2009

본 논문에서는 통계적 분류방법을 이용하여 문화재 자료의 분석을 수행하였다. 분류방법으로는 선형판별분석, 로지스틱회귀분석, 의사결정나무분석, 신경망분석, SVM분석을 사용하였다. 각각의 분류방법에 대한 개념 및 이론에 대해 간략히 소개하고, 실제자료 분석에서는 "지역별 문화재 통계분석 및 모형개발 연구 1차(2008)"에 사용된 자료 중 익산시 자료를 근거로 매장문화재에 대한 분류방법별 적합모형을 구축하였다. 구축된 모형과 모의실험의 결과를 통해 각각의 적합모형에 대한 비교를 수행하여 모형의 성능을 비교하였다. 분석에 사용된 도구로는 최근 가장 관심을 갖는 R-project를 사용하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2008.06d
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• pp.485-490
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• 2008

무선 인터넷의 구조적 특성상 한 셀에서 대역폭을 공유하고 그 안에서 각기 다른 QoS를 요구하는 서비스들이 한정된 자원을 사용한다. 트래픽의 변화와 패턴을 예측하기 위한 분석은 실제 서비스를 제공하기 전인 기획단계에서 매우 중요한 도구로 사용이 된다. 무선망의 트래픽을 예측하기 위해서는 유선망의 분석과는 다른 방법이 필요하기 때문에 정확한 분류를 위해서 본 연구에서는 세션의 단위로 분석할 것을 제안한다. 또한 Classification and Regression Tree(CART) 와 Support Vector Machine(SVM) 의 두 개의 판별 분류 기법을 서로 비교하고 그 성능을 평가한다. 두 개의 판별 기법의 오차는 CART의 경우 0.0094 그리고 SVM의 경우 0.0089로 둘 다 우수한 성능을 보였지만 쉬운 결과 해석이 가능한 CART가 사용하기 용이함을 보인다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.155-159
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• 2003

최근 들어 SVM(support vector machines)은 기계학습의 분야에서 많은 응용이 이루어지고 있으며 특히 분류(classification)나 회귀(regression)분석의 영역에서 많은 연구가 진행중이다. 본 논문에서는 SVM을 이용하여 입력영상자료(image data)를 분류하고자 한다. RGB 컬러 영상자료가 입력되면 이미지 크기에 관계없이 이미지 자체를 입력패턴으로 인식하고 SVM을 통한 훈련(training)을 거친 결과(weight 들과 bias 추정치)를 이용하여 입력영상자료가 사람인가를 분류할 수 있는 문제를 다룬다. 제안된 방법의 타당성은 152개의 영상자료에 적용하여 분석되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2002.10d
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• pp.313-315
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• 2002

본 논문에서는 학습 중 모멘트를 동적으로 조절하여 수련속도와 학습 성능을 향상시키는 동적모멘트를 제안하고 회귀방법으로 동적모멘트의 성능을 재확인한다. 제안된 학습방법은 기존의 정적모멘트와는 달리 수렴 정도에 따라 현재의 학습에 과거의 학습률을 단리 반영하는 방법으로 다른 학습법에 비해 보다 유연한 초평면을 갖으며 수렴에 이르는 시간이 오래 걸리는 KR(Kernel Relaxation)에 적용하여 그 성능을 확인한다. 본 논문에서 사용한 회귀방법은 RMS 오류율을 사용하였으며 제안된 학습방법인 동적모멘트를 SVM(support vector machine)의 순차 학습방법 중 최근 발표된 KR에 적용하여 RMS 오류율을 확인하였다. 실험의 공정성을 위해 신경망 분류기 표준평가데이터인 SONAR 데이터를 사용하였으며 실험 결과 동적모멘트를 이용한 회귀율이 정적모멘트를 이용한 방법보다 향상되었음을 확인하였다.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.1489-1502
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• 2019

This work introduces a novel unweighted combination method (UCSS) for business failure perdition (BFP). With considering features of BFP in the age of big data, UCSS integrates the quantitative and qualitative analysis by utilizing soft set theory (SS). We adopt the conventional expert system (ES) as the basic qualitative classifier, the logistic regression model (LR) and the support vector machine (SVM) as basic quantitative classifiers. Unlike other traditional combination methods, we employ soft set theory to integrate the results of each basic classifier without weighting. In this way, UCSS inherits the advantages of ES, LR, SVM, and SS. To verify the performance of UCSS, it is applied to real datasets. We adopt ES, LR, SVM, combination models utilizing the equal weight approach (CMEW), neural network algorithm (CMNN), rough set and D-S evidence theory (CMRD), and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and SS (CFBSS) as benchmarks. The superior performance of UCSS has been verified by the empirical experiments.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.22 no.11
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• pp.111-116
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• 2017

This paper proposes a data mining approach to predicting stock price direction. Stock market fluctuates due to many factors. Therefore, predicting stock price direction has become an important issue in the field of stock market analysis. However, in literature, there are few studies applying data mining approaches to predicting the stock price direction. To contribute to literature, this paper proposes comparing single classifiers and ensemble classifiers. Single classifiers include logistic regression, decision tree, neural network, and support vector machine. Ensemble classifiers we consider are adaboost, random forest, bagging, stacking, and vote. For the sake of experiments, we garnered dataset from Korea Stock Exchange (KRX) ranging from 2008 to 2015. Data mining experiments using WEKA revealed that random forest, one of ensemble classifiers, shows best results in terms of metrics such as AUC (area under the ROC curve) and accuracy.