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A Study on Customer Segmentation Prediction Model using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 고객이탈 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • Seo Kwang Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2005
  • Customer segmentation prediction has attracted a lot of research interests in previous literature, and recent studies have shown that artificial neural networks (ANN) method achieved better performance than traditional statistical ones. However, ANN approaches have suffered from difficulties with generalization, producing models that can overfit the data. This paper employs a relatively new machine learning technique, support vector machines (SVM), to the customer segmentation prediction problem in an attempt to provide a model with better explanatory power. To evaluate the prediction accuracy of SVM, we compare its performance with logistic regression analysis and ANN. The experiment results with real data of insurance company show that SVM superiors to them.

A Study on Predicting Construction Cost of Educational Building Project at early stage Using Support Vector Machine Technique (서포트벡터머신을 이용한 교육시설 초기 공사비 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jae-Min;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2012
  • The accuracy of cost estimation at an early stage in school building project is one of the critical factors for successful completion. So various of techniques are developed to predict the construction cost accurately and expeditely. Among the techniques, Support Vector Machine(SVM) has an excellent ability for generalization performance. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to construct the prediction model for construction cost of educational building project using support vector machine technique. And to verify the accuracy of prediction model for construction cost. The performance data used in this study are 217 school building project cost which have been completed from 2004 to 2007 in Gyeonggi-Do, Korea. The result shows that average error rate was 7.48% for SVM prediction model. So using SVM model on predicting construction cost of educational building project will be a considerably effective way at the early project stage.

Software Reliability Assessment with Fuzzy Least Squares Support Vector Machine Regression

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Hong, Dug-Hun;Kim, Jang-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.486-490
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    • 2003
  • Software qualify models can predict the risk of faults in the software early enough for cost-effective prevention of problems. This paper introduces a least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) as a fuzzy regression method for predicting fault ranges in the software under development. This LS-SVM deals with the fuzzy data with crisp inputs and fuzzy output. Predicting the exact number of bugs in software is often not necessary. This LS-SVM can predict the interval that the number of faults of the program at each session falls into with a certain possibility. A case study on software reliability problem is used to illustrate the usefulness of this LS -SVM.

Modeling of Plasma Process Using Support Vector Machine (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 플라즈마 공정 모델링)

  • Kim, Min-Jae;Kim, Byung-Whan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.10c
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    • pp.211-213
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    • 2006
  • In this study, plasma etching process was modeled by using support vector machine (SVM). The data used in modeling were collected from the etching of silica thin films in inductively coupled plasma. For training and testing neural network, 9 and 6 experiments were used respectively. The performance of SVM was evaluated as a function of kernel type and function type. For the kernel type, Epsilon-SVR and Nu-SVR were included. For the function type, linear, polynomial, and radial basis function (RBF) were included. The performance of SVM was optimized first in terms of kernel type, then as a function of function type. Five film characteristics were modeled by using SVM and the optimized models were compared to statistical regression models. The comparison revealed that statistical regression models yielded better predictions than SVM.

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Combination of Value-at-Risk Models with Support Vector Machine (서포트벡터기계를 이용한 VaR 모형의 결합)

  • Kim, Yong-Tae;Shim, Joo-Yong;Lee, Jang-Taek;Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.791-801
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    • 2009
  • Value-at-Risk(VaR) has been used as an important tool to measure the market risk. However, the selection of the VaR models is controversial. This paper proposes VaR forecast combinations using support vector machine quantile regression instead of selecting a single model out of historical simulation and GARCH.

Kernel-Trick Regression and Classification

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2015
  • Support vector machine (SVM) is a well known kernel-trick supervised learning tool. This study proposes a working scheme for kernel-trick regression and classification (KtRC) as a SVM alternative. KtRC fits the model on a number of random subsamples and selects the best model. Empirical examples and a simulation study indicate that KtRC's performance is comparable to SVM.

Real-Time Prediction for Product Surface Roughness by Support Vector Regression (서포트벡터 회귀를 이용한 실시간 제품표면거칠기 예측)

  • Choi, Sujin;Lee, Dongju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.117-124
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    • 2021
  • The development of IOT technology and artificial intelligence technology is promoting the smartization of manufacturing system. In this study, data extracted from acceleration sensor and current sensor were obtained through experiments in the cutting process of SKD11, which is widely used as a material for special mold steel, and the amount of tool wear and product surface roughness were measured. SVR (Support Vector Regression) is applied to predict the roughness of the product surface in real time using the obtained data. SVR, a machine learning technique, is widely used for linear and non-linear prediction using the concept of kernel. In particular, by applying GSVQR (Generalized Support Vector Quantile Regression), overestimation, underestimation, and neutral estimation of product surface roughness are performed and compared. Furthermore, surface roughness is predicted using the linear kernel and the RBF kernel. In terms of accuracy, the results of the RBF kernel are better than those of the linear kernel. Since it is difficult to predict the amount of tool wear in real time, the product surface roughness is predicted with acceleration and current data excluding the amount of tool wear. In terms of accuracy, the results of excluding the amount of tool wear were not significantly different from those including the amount of tool wear.

Forecasting Exchange Rates using Support Vector Machine Regression

  • Chen, Shi-Yi;Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2005
  • This paper applies Support Vector Regression (SVR) to estimate and forecast nonlinear autoregressive integrated (ARI) model of the daily exchange rates of four currencies (Swiss Francs, Indian Rupees, South Korean Won and Philippines Pesos) against U.S. dollar. The forecasting abilities of SVR are compared with linear ARI model which is estimated by OLS. Sensitivity of SVR results are also examined to kernel type and other free parameters. Empirical findings are in favor of SVR. SVR method forecasts exchange rate level better than linear ARI model and also has superior ability in forecasting the exchange rates direction in short test phase but has similar performance with OLS when forecasting the turning points in long test phase.

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A Sparse Data Preprocessing Using Support Vector Regression (Support Vector Regression을 이용한 희소 데이터의 전처리)

  • Jun, Sung-Hae;Park, Jung-Eun;Oh, Kyung-Whan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.789-792
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    • 2004
  • In various fields as web mining, bioinformatics, statistical data analysis, and so forth, very diversely missing values are found. These values make training data to be sparse. Largely, the missing values are replaced by predicted values using mean and mode. We can used the advanced missing value imputation methods as conditional mean, tree method, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm. But general imputation models have the property that their predictive accuracy is decreased according to increase the ratio of missing in training data. Moreover the number of available imputations is limited by increasing missing ratio. To settle this problem, we proposed statistical learning theory to preprocess for missing values. Our statistical learning theory is the support vector regression by Vapnik. The proposed method can be applied to sparsely training data. We verified the performance of our model using the data sets from UCI machine learning repository.

A Sparse Data Preprocessing Using Support Vector Regression (Support Vector Regression을 이용한 희소 데이터의 전처리)

  • 전성해;박정은;오경환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.499-501
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    • 2004
  • 웹 로그, 바이오정보학 둥 여러 분야에서 다양한 형태의 결측치가 발생하여 학습 데이터를 희소하게 만든다. 결측치는 주로 전처리 과정에서 조건부 평균이나 나무 모형과 같은 기본적인 Imputation 방법을 이용하여 추정된 값에 의해 대체되기도 하고 일부는 제거되기도 한다. 특히, 결측치 비율이 매우 크게 되면 기존의 결측치 대체 방법의 정확도는 떨어진다. 또한 데이터의 결측치 비율이 증가할수록 사용 가능한 Imputation 방법들의 수는 극히 제한된다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 본 논문에서는 Vapnik의 Support Vector Regression을 데이터 전처리 과정에 알맞게 변형한 Support Vector Regression을 제안하여 이러한 문제점들을 해결하였다. 제안 방법을 통하여 결측치의 비율이 상당히 큰 희소 데이터의 전처리도 가능하게 되었다. UCI machine learning repository로부터 얻어진 데이터를 이용하여 제안 방법의 성능을 확인하였다.

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