• Title/Summary/Keyword: supply risk

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Evaluation for conjunctive operation of multi-regional water supply system through risk analysis (위기대응 취약성 분석을 통한 광역상수도 연계운영 평가)

  • Hwang, Jinsoo;Choi, Taeho;Hong, Gonghyun;Lee, Doojin;Koo, Jayong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.269-279
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    • 2019
  • This study would present a risk analysis method to evaluate stable tap water supply in a multi-regional water supply system and propose a measure for the evaluation of the effect of the conjunctive operation of the multi-regional water supply system using this. Judging from the vulnerability for the crisis response of the entire N. multi-regional water supply system, as compared to the result of Scenario 1 in which no conjunctive pipes were operated, it was found that in Scenario 2, in which conjunctive pipes were partially operated, the vulnerability of crisis response decreased by about 30.6%, and as compared to Scenario 3, the vulnerability of crisis response decreased by 86.2%. In setting a plan for stable tap water supply in N multi-regional water supply system, using the estimated value and the method for the evaluation of the vulnerability of crisis response by pipe, by interval and by line, it is judged that this can be utilized as a basis for the judgment of the evaluation of the operation or the additional installation of conjunctive pipes.

A Risk Assessment of Orchard Pollination Services using a Species Distribution Model for Wild Pollinators (야생화분매개곤충 분포 모형을 활용한 과수원 수분 서비스 위험도 평가)

  • Koh, In-Su;Choe, Hye-Yeong;Kwon, Hyuk-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2020
  • Wild pollinators provide important pollination services for crops. However, their geographical ranges and impact on pollination services have not been fully explored within the scope of Korean agricultural land. This study aims to identify spatial supply-demand mismatches across orchard fields in the context of assessing pollination service risk. We first used National Ecosystem Survey data and a species distribution model (MaxEnt) to develop the geographic range of each of 32 wild pollinators belonging to three families (Diptera, Hymenoptera, and Lepidoptera). We then summed the modeled presence probability of each species to obtain a measure of spatially explicit pollinator richness. This modeled richness, defined as pollination supply, was compared with the summed area of orchard fields at the municipal boundary level to identify areas with supply-demand mismatches. The study found that Lepidoptera showed the highest species richness (8.3±1.5), followed by Hymenoptera (4.3±0.8) and Diptera (3.5±0.8) species. Median orchard area was 1.5 ㎢ (range of 0-176.7 ㎢) among 250 municipal regions in South Korea. The municipal regions were divided into three categories (tertiles) of low, middle, and high pollination supply and demand according to, respectivley, average polliator richness and orhard area. Finally, we found that 55 municipal regions (accounting for 49% of national orchard land) potentially faced high risk of pollination deficits, 81 regions (48% of national orchard land) faced intermediate risk, and 63 regions faced low risk (3% of national orchard land). In conclusion, this study revealed significant mismatch between pollination supply and demand and developed risk assessment map will guide our future efforts on pollinator habitat conservation and monitoring to conserve crop pollination services.

Evaluation of Irrigation Vulnerability Characteristic Curves in Agricultural Reservoir (농업용 저수지 관개 취약성 특성 곡선 산정)

  • Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Taegon;Choi, Jin-Yong;Kim, Han-Joong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2012
  • Water supply capacity and operational capability in agricultural reservoirs are expressed differently in the limited storage due to seasonal and local variation of precipitation. Since agricultural water supply and demand basically assumes the uncertainty of hydrological phenomena, it is necessary to improve probabilistic approach for potential risk assessment of water supply capacity in reservoir for enhanced operational storage management. Here, it was introduced the irrigation vulnerability characteristic curves to represent the water supply capacity corresponding to probability distribution of the water demand from the paddy field and water supply in agricultural reservoir. Irrigation vulnerability probability was formulated using reliability analysis method based on water supply and demand probability distribution. The lower duration of irrigation vulnerability probability defined as the time period requiring intensive water management, and it will be considered to assessment tools as a risk mitigated water supply planning in decision making with a limited reservoir storage.

Global Trade Management Strategies for Export Companies from the Supply Chain Management Perspective (공급사슬관점에서 수출기업의 글로벌 무역관리 전략)

  • Yang, Jung-Ho
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.35
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    • pp.179-219
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    • 2007
  • Cross-border supply chains undergone complexity in the global trade process, unpredictability and continually evolving regulations and information requirements. Under these circumstances, longer lead time inhibiting quick response to market demands, unanticipated supply chain costs eroding product cost savings, compliance and documentation errors causing delays and fines are challenging global trade companies when they execute global business. These problems are mainly caused by unautomated, unintegrated process which lead to longer and more unpredictable lead times, slower cash flow, cost overruns, and ultimately lower profits and less satisfied customers. Complex and unpredictable global trade environment requires global trade companies of global trade management functions to automate and control this complex environment for driving out cost, time and risk from their business. Global trade management allows cost savings, supply chain efficiencies and improved compliance through improving global supply chain visibility, facilitating cash flow by supply chain financing, enhancing supply chain security and risk management.

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System Dynamics Approach to Return Policy at Supply Chain (공급체인에서의 반품계약에 대한 시스템다이내믹스 접근)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Hoonl;Choi, Dong-Hyun;Kim, In-Hoo
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2007
  • This research consists of (1) building (or molding) the Dynamics Simulation Model on Return Policy mainly used in publications, phonographs, and computer industry; which are seen used in supply chain contract known as effective control mechanism under the varied supply chain situations, and (2) analyzing the effects that return rates and seller's contract parameters have in the outcome of the model and (3) observing how the effectiveness of Return Policy changes under such circumstances where the buyer's sales ability and the seller's risk inclination are taken into account. Thus, the main purpose of this research lies in analyzing what exactly are the effects (and or outcome) that sales ability and risk inclination have in Return Policy, and additionally by conducting comprehensive research on Supply Chain Policy Dynamics Simulation Model, we will try to prove that not only the Systems Dynamics approach is highly contributive in supply chain management but also that it will serve as a foothold in future research. As a result of the research, supply chain achievement level turned out to be high when Return Policy is enforced, and the achievement level was even higher when seller's sales ability was taken into consideration along with the Return Policy. On the other hand, the achievement level decreased when the seller had risk aversive tendencies.

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Analysis of U.S. Supply Chain Security Management System (미국 공급망 보안 관리 체계 분석)

  • Son, Hyo-hyun;Kim, Kwang-jun;Lee, Man-hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.1089-1097
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    • 2019
  • An era of smart manufacturing is coming through the rapid development of information and communication technology. As a result, many companies have begun to utilize a variety of hardware and software for the efficient business of the manufacturing process. At this time, the hardware and software used are supplied through manufacturing and distribution processes. These supply processes are exposed to a variety of security threats. As the recent cases of supply chain attacks have increased, foreign countries are establishing supply chain management systems and managing supply chain risks. In Korea, on the other hand, there was research on supply chain risk management in some fields. In this paper, we emphasizes the necessity of supply chain risk management through supply chain attack cases. In addition, we analyze trends of foreign supply chain management system and explains the necessity of domestic supply chain security strategy.

Analyzing the Dysfunction of Fully Shared Stock Information in a Supply Chain with Competiting Retailers (경쟁적 소매상으로 구성된 공급사슬에서 정보공유의 역효과에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Yong-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.95-116
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to show the effect of information sharing strategy on the supply chain performances. While traditional information sharing models assumed centralized stock information, recent supply chain practices often implement fully shared stock information, where real-time stock information is accessible on retailers. When retailers are competing with each other, this fully shared stock information may incur retailers' strategic order behaviors. Thus, this paper analyzes a simple two-level supply chain consisting of one warehouse and two identical competing retailers where the real time stock information is fully shared. The warehouse uses the traditional echelon stock policy. Under this environment the retailers' reorder decisions are derived using the order risk concept and the retailer competition mechanism is analyzed. Computational results show that the supply chain performace degradation in the fully shared stock information is quite significant, implying the importance of designing information sharing strategies in the supply chain design phase.

A Study on Risk Management for Export Control on Strategic Trade in Supply Chain Management

  • Roh, Tae-Hyun;Park, Jin-Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.709-718
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    • 2013
  • In this study, AHP analysis was conducted through a survey that was organized by 9 job categories. The results show that sustainable operation risks have the highest priority level among all criteria with management interest having the highest priority level within sustainable operation risks related attributes. The most important risk attributes among stakeholder risks appeared to be asset security and cargo and conveyance security, with education and training being the most important among regulatory risks. Effective management and response to the risks from export controls on strategic trade require an understanding of supply chain security and compliance programs, effective training programs, investments for development of security systems that meet international standards. In addition, the government needs to focus on developing professionals and providing support for companies with compliance programs, working closely with businesses.

Future water supply risk analysis using a joint drought management index in Nakdong river basin (결합가뭄관리지수(JDMI)를 이용한 낙동강 유역의 미래 용수공급 위험도 분석)

  • Yu, Ji Soo;Choi, Si-Jung;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.spc
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    • pp.1117-1126
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    • 2018
  • Water supply system aims to meet the user's demand by securing water resources in a stable way. However, water supply failure sometimes happens because inflow decreases during drought period. Droughts induced by the lack of precipitation do not always lead to water supply failures. Thus, it is necessary to consider features of actual water shortage event when we evaluate a water supply risk. In this study, we developed a new drought index for drought management, i.e., Joint Drought Management Index (JDMI), using two water supply system performance indices such as reliability and vulnerability. Future data that were estimated from GCMs according to RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were used to estimate future water supply risk. After dividing the future period into three parts, the risk of water supply failure in the Nakdong River basin was analyzed using the JDMI. As a result, the risk was higher with the RCP 4.5 than the RCP 8.5. In case of RCP 4.5, W18 (Namgangdam) was identified as the most vulnerable area, whereas in case of RCP 8.5, W23 (Hyeongsangang) and W33 (Nakdonggangnamhae) were identified as the most vulnerable area.

A Study on the Risk Assessment Case Analysis of LNG Fuelled Ships for Emission Control (배기가스 규제 대응을 위한 LNG연료추진선박의 HAZID 사례 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yoon-Hyeok;Shao, Yu-De;Kim, You-Taek;Jung, Jin-Won;Kang, Ho-Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.162-163
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    • 2018
  • A risk assessment is performed at the initial design stage of LNG-fuelled ships subject to new fuel supply systems due to marine environmental and emissions regulations. Risk assessment involves a series of logical steps that enable systematic risk analysis and evaluation. LNG-fuelled ships mainly consist of a tank for storing LNG, a gas supply unit for supplying LNG to the engine, an engine using LNG as fuel, and a bunkering manifold for receiving LNG. The components of the LNG fuelled ship are determined according to the characteristics, size, rout, and operating distance. Therefore, the risk factors of each ships are different, and the risk analysis also changes. In this study we consider the systems of ships using LNG as a fuel and analyze the risk assessment of certain cases where the actual risk assessment has been carried out.

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