• 제목/요약/키워드: subjective probability

검색결과 129건 처리시간 0.028초

승갈탕(升葛湯)을 사용한 아토피 피부염 환자에 대한 임상시험 (A Clinical Research about the Effects of Seunggaltang on Patients with Atopic Dermatitis)

  • 신상호;김자혜;김미보;윤화정;유선애;이승연;이미연;김규곤;고우신
    • 한방안이비인후피부과학회지
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    • 제20권2호통권33호
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    • pp.199-212
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    • 2007
  • Objective : The purpose of this clinical research was to investigate the effects of Seunggaltang on patients with atopic dermatitis. Methods : Thirteen patients were treated with Seunggaltang and ten patients were treated with placebo for 8 weeks. We observed skin humidity, skin sebum,, transepidermal water loss, skin melanin, skin erythema, total IgE class and number of allergen. And Clinic Index of Atopic Dermatitis(Extent, Intensity, Subjective symptoms, Total score) was used to evaluate the effects of Seunggaltang. Statistical analysis was performed by using paired sample T-test. Statistical significance was achieved if the probability was less than 5%(P<0.05). The result were as follows : 1. Statistically, Seunggaltang didn't showed significant effect on skin humidity, skin sebum, skin transepidermal water loss, skin melanin and skin erythema. 2. Statistically, Seunggaltang showed significant effect on Clinic Index of atopic dermatitis. 3. Statistically, Seunggaltang didn't showed significant effect on total IgE class and number of allergen. 4. Before and after treatment, the results of blood test and urinalysis were normal. Conclusion : We speculate that Seunggaltang has some therapeutic effects in mitigating the symptoms of atopic dermatitis.

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전자무역 활성화를 위한 글로벌 전자무역거래법의 요건과 역할기능의 이론적 기초 (Some Theoretical Foundations on the Necessities and Functions of Global Electronic Transactions Act)

  • 김기선
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제17권
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    • pp.129-146
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    • 2002
  • The electronic technology development have occurred in the face of existing legal barriers to legal efficacy of computer information goods, and the liberating promise of electronic transactions cannot fully realized unless there is predictability in the legal rules that govern such transactions. This study analyzes some theoretical fundamentals of the Act. First, it proposes that the Act clarify and set forth uniform legal principles applicable to computer information transactions. Secondly, it suggests that if the individual is risk averse, the acceptance set for electronic transactions will be a convex set, and that the application of the Act will make the acceptance set more expanded by lowering the probability of conflicts and by downsizing the risk averness. Thirdly, it also suggest that through the mothod of contingent commodities analysis, the application of the Act by means of its restricted regulations will give more expected utility than the absence of the Act. Fourthly, it derives some implications that the degree of legitimate restriction will be affected by the objective risk inherent to the electronic transactions, and the individual's subjective risk-averseness. Finally, it concludes that harmonization of restriction and protection of individual's rights in electronic transaction process will be a necessary condition for more efficient body of law from the law-economic perspectives.

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건설공사의 리스크분석을 위한 퍼지평가모형 개발 (Development of Fuzzy Model for Analyzing Construction Risk Factors)

  • 박서영;강인석;김창학;손창백
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2001년도 학술대회지
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    • pp.519-524
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    • 2001
  • 국내·외적으로 건설공사의 리스크관리에 대한 중요성은 더욱 커져가고 있지만, 합리적인 리스크인자의 구축방법과 개별 리스크인자의 분석 및 정량화가 용이하지 않기 때문에 실무적 운용이 가능한 리스크분석시스템을 구축한 경우는 극히 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 전문가의 주관적 판단과 언어적 변량을 이용하여 리스크를 정량화하기 위한 퍼지분석방법을 제시한다. 본 퍼지분석방법은 건설공사의 리스크인자를 발생확률 발생강도, 발생빈도로 구분하여 평가하게 함으로서 그 적용성과 정확성을 높일 수 있도록 하였고, 언어적 변량을 이용하여 리스크를 정량화하기 때문에 복잡한 자료의 구축과 분석시간을 단축하였으며, 그 적용이 매우 쉽다는 장점을 갖게 된다.

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건설공사의 확률적 위험도분석평가 (Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Construction Projects)

  • 조효남;임종권;김광섭
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1997년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 1997
  • Recently, in Korea, demand for establishment of systematic risk assessment techniques for construction projects has increased, especially after the large construction failures occurred during construction such as New Haengju Bridge construction projects, subway construction projects, gas explosion accidents etc. Most of existing risk analysis modeling techniques such as Event Tree Analysis and Fault Tree Analysis may not be available for realistic risk assessment of construction projects because it is very complex and difficult to estimate occurrence frequency and failure probability precisely due to a lack of data related to the various risks inherent in construction projects like natural disasters, financial and economic risks, political risks, environmental risks as well as design and construction-related risks. Therefor the main objective of this paper is to suggest systematic probabilistic risk assessment model and demonstrate an approach for probabilistic risk assessment using advanced Event Tree Analysis introducing Fuzzy set theory concepts. It may be stated that the Fuzzy Event Tree AnaIysis may be very usefu1 for the systematic and rational risk assessment for real constructions problems because the approach is able to effectively deal with all the related construction risks in terms of the linguistic variables that incorporate systematically expert's experiences and subjective judgement.

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노인 우울에 영향을 미치는 요인: 건강요인과 가족요인의 상대적 영향력을 중심으로 (Relative Effects of Health and Family Factors on Geriatric Depression)

  • 이미애
    • 한국지역사회생활과학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.623-635
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    • 2011
  • Over the past few decades, the proportion of elderly people with depression in Korea has been rapidly increasing. The purpose of this study is to explore relative effects of health and family factors on geriatric depression. The data sources are from Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging(2008). The Analysis sample consists of 4,040 cases. Analysis results show that there is a significant variability in geriatric depression according to sociodemographic characteristics, health characteristics, and family characteristics. Hierarchical logistic regression analyses are employed to assess the causal relationship between health characteristics and geriatric depression. Model II showed that ADL(exp(B)=1.732), having difficulties due to sight deterioration(exp(B)=1.398), having difficulties due to masticatory force deterioration(exp(B)=1.414), having difficulties due to pain(exp(B)=2.435), and subjective health status(exp(B)=2.010) are reported as predictors of geriatric depression. Namely, the probability of having geriatric depression of the above predictors has been 1.7 times, 1.4 times, 1.4 times, 2.4 times. 2.0 times higher than normal figures. Among health characteristics, pain is the most prevalent factor. Model III showed that as for family characteristics, coresiding with children(exp(B)=1.312) and frequency of contacting with children by phones, letters, or emails(exp(B)=1.477) are reported as predictors of geriatric depression. Key findings are that health factors have larger effects than family factors on geriatric depression.

Factors Affecting Brand Values of Private Universities: A Case Study of Ho Chi Minh City University of Technology (HUTECH)

  • Le, Quang Hung
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2019
  • The current higher education in Vietnam demonstrates the intense competition among local universities. Undoubtedly, the issue of enhancing the brand value to attract students is now placed at the top to Vietnamese universities. The research aims to identify the objective and subjective factors affecting the brand value of private universities in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam as mediated by students' perceptions. This paper employs the mixed research methods and data were then analyzed by measuring Cronbach's Alpha coefficient for reliability, analyzing EFA, and using PATH model to test the experiment on the research model affecting HUTECH's brand value. Probability sampling used is Stratified sampling and 500 students of 8 faculties of HUTECH surveyed by convenience sampling. Additionally, this paper also proposes some managerial implications on enhancing the brand value of private universities in Ho Chi Minh City. The results indicate that the new factor, namely geographic location is the most influential factor to enhance the brand value of private universities in general and HUTECH in particular. Brand still plays a determinant role in students' trust when choosing a university. Finally, some implications proposed to enhance the brand value of private universities in Ho Chi Minh City in the context of fierce competition in attracting students.

기질신뢰, 일반신뢰, 상황신뢰, 명성을 고려한 퍼지 신뢰모델 (A Fuzzy Trust Model incorporating Dispositional Trust, General Trust, Situational Trust and Reputation)

  • 이건명;이경미
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.653-658
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    • 2006
  • 신뢰는 다른 상대가 특정한 행동을 할 것이라고 믿는 정도를 나타내는 주관적인 확률값으로 정의할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 신뢰값을 결정하는 데서 고려되는 기질신뢰, 일반신뢰, 상황신뢰를 모두 고려하고, 또한 상대에 대한 명성정보를 이용하는 종합적인 퍼지 신뢰모델을 제안한다. 제안한 모델은 거래에 대한 평가결과들에 대해서 만족하는 정도를 퍼지집합으로 나타내고 평가 항목에 대한 중요도를 ${\lambda}$-퍼지측도의 성질을 만족하도록 설정하고, 평가항목별 만족정도를 Sugeno 퍼지적분을 이용하여 결합하는 방법을 사용한다.

Self-rated Health and Global Network Position: Results From the Older Adult Population of a Korean Rural Village

  • Youm, Yoosik;Sung, Kiho
    • Annals of Geriatric Medicine and Research
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 2016
  • Background: Since the mid-20th century, the ways in which social networks and older adults' health are related have been widely studied. However, few studies investigate the relationship between self-rated health and position in a complete social network of one entire Korean rural village. This study highlights use of a complete network in health studies. Methods: Using the Korean Social Life and Health Project, the population-based data of adults aged 60 or older and their spouses in one myeon in Ganghwa island (Ganghwa-gun, Incheon, Korea), Incheon, Korea (with a 95% response rate), this study built a $1,012{\times}1,012$ complete social network matrix of the village. The data were collected from 2011 to 2012, and 731 older adults were analyzed. The ordered logistic models to predict self-rated health allowed us to examine social factors from socio-demographic to individual community activities, ego-centered network characteristics, and positions in a complete network. Results: From the network data, 5 network components were identified. Even after controlling for all other factors, if a respondent belonged to a segregated component, the probability that he or she reported good health dropped substantially. Additionally, high in-degree centrality was connected to greater self-rated health. Conclusion: This finding highlights the importance of social position not only from the respondents' point of view but also from the entire village's perspective. Even if a respondent maintained a large social network, when all of those social ties belonged to a segregated group in the village, the respondent's health suffered from this segregation.

Multivariate analysis of critical parameters influencing the reliability of thermal-hydraulic passive safety system

  • Olatubosun, Samuel Abiodun;Zhang, Zhijian
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권1호
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2019
  • Thermal-hydraulic passive safety systems (PSSs) are incorporated into many advanced reactor designs on the bases of simplicity, economics and inherent safety nature. Several factors among which are the critical parameters (CPs) that influence failure and reliability of thermal-hydraulic (t-h) passive systems are now being explored. For simplicity, it is assumed in most reliability analyses that the CPs are independent whereas in practice this assumption is not always valid. There is need to critically examine the dependency influence of the CPs on reliability of the t-h passive systems at design stage and in operation to guarantee safety/better performance. In this paper, two multivariate analysis methods (covariance and conditional subjective probability density function) were presented and applied to a simple PSS. The methods followed a generalized procedure for evaluating t-h reliability based on dependency consideration. A passively water-cooled steam generator was used to demonstrate the dependency of the identified key CPs using the methods. The results obtained from the methods are in agreement and justified the need to consider the dependency of CPs in t-h reliability. For dependable t-h reliability, it is advisable to adopt all possible CPs and apply suitable multivariate method in dependency consideration of CPs among other factors.

The Integration of Social Media to the Theory of Planned Behavior: A Case Study in Indonesia

  • SIHOMBING, Sabrina O.;PRAMONO, Rudy
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.445-454
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    • 2021
  • Leader and leadership are one of the important aspects in the life of a country. This study aims to predict the intention of young voters to vote for state leader elections by expanding the theory of planned behavior to the Indonesian context. Apart from the importance of the presidential election, research rarely uses the theory of planned behavior, and to the best of researchers' knowledge, there are no studies that have applied the theory of planned behavior to predict the intention to vote for the president. Therefore, this study is an attempt to fill that gap. Two hundred questionnaires were distributed using non-probability purposive sampling. Data analysis was carried out using the structural equation modeling (SEM) approach. The results showed that attitude and behavior control were positively related to voters' intention to elect presidential candidates. Furthermore, information from social media also has a positive relationship with the attitude of choosing presidential candidates. However, the results also show that subjective norms do not have a significant relationship with voters' intention. This study contributes knowledge to researchers, practitioners, and policymakers about the factors that influence youth intention to vote in Indonesia, namely, attitudes, perceived behavior control, and information from social media.