• Title/Summary/Keyword: streamflow evaluation

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Effects of ILFs on DRAM algorithm in SURR model uncertainty evaluation caused by interpolated rainfall using different methods

  • Nguyen, Thi Duyen;Nguyen, Duc Hai;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.137-137
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    • 2022
  • Evaluating interpolated rainfall uncertainty of hydrological models caused by different interpolation methods for basins where can not fully collect rainfall data are necessary. In this study, the adaptive MCMC method under effects of ILFs was used to analyze the interpolated rainfall uncertainty of the SURR model for Gunnam basin, Korea. Three events were used to calibrate and one event was used to validate the posterior distributions of unknown parameters. In this work, the performance of four ILFs on uncertainty of interpolated rainfall was assessed. The indicators of p_factor (percentage of observed streamflow included in the uncertainty interval) and r_factor (the average width of the uncertainty interval) were used to evaluate the uncertainty of the simulated streamflow. The results showed that the uncertainty bounds illustrated the slight differences from various ILFs. The study confirmed the importance of the likelihood function selection in the application the adaptive Bayesian MCMC method to the uncertainty assessment of the SURR model caused by interpolated rainfall.

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TMDL Evaluation of Nakdong River Basin Using Load Duration Curve and Streamflow-Load Rating Curve (부하지속곡선과 유량-부하량 상관곡선을 이용한 낙동강 유역의 오염총량평가)

  • Shon, Tae Seok;Joo, Jae Seung;Park, Jae Beom;Shin, Hyun Suk
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.475-481
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    • 2011
  • The TMDL standard flow as applying watershed management regime uses the average low flow of past 10 years. Moreover, the TMDL implementation assessment has been enforced through management of pollutant load satisfied objective water quality. Even though the present allocation and management through averaged low flow are still convenient, they are not enough to solve ultimate goals of watershed management to keep up recovery of water body. To maintain the same water quality concentration, the standard flow is required to consider total discharge in management plan which helps to keep healthy ecosystem. In view of this, it would be possible to approach reasonable assessment by reflecting variably changeable discharge from precipitation-streamflow relation and the TMDL standard establishment considering artificial regulated flow. Therefore, this study attempts to develop the TMDL method using Load Duration Curve (LDC) and Streamflow-Load Rating Curve (QLRC) considering total discharge and finds drawbacks with solutions as applying on Nakdong river TMDL unit watershed. Finally, this research evaluates possibility of application on pollutant load allocating and implementation assessment in Korea.

Evaluation of Evapotranspiration and Soil Moisture of SWAT Simulation for Mixed Forest in the Seolmacheon Catchment (설마천유역 혼효림에서 실측된 증발산과 토양수분을 이용한 SWAT모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Lee, Ji-Wan;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.289-297
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    • 2010
  • Common practice of Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model validation is to use a single variable (i.e., streamlfow) to calibrate SWAT model due to the paucity of actual hydrological measurement data in Korea. This approach, however, often causes errors in the simulated results because of numerous sources of uncertainty and complexity of SWAT model. We employed multi-variables (i.e., streamflow, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture), which were measured at mixed forest in Seolmacheon catchment ($8.54\;km^2$), in order to assess the performance and reduce the uncertainties of SWAT model output. Meteorological and surface topographical data of the catchment were obtained as basic input variables and SWAT model was calibrated using daily data of streamflow (Jan. - Dec.), evapotranspiration (Sep. - Dec.), and soil moisture (Jun. - Dec.) collected in 2007. The model performance was assessed by comparing its results with the observation (i.e., streamflow of 2003 to 2008 and evapotranspiration and soil moisture of 2008). When the multi-variable measurements were used to calibrate the SWAT model, the model results showed better agreement with the measurements compared to those using a single variable measurement by showing increases in coefficient of determination ($R^2$) from 0.72 to 0.76 for streamflow, from 0.49 to 0.59 for soil moisture, and from 0.52 to 0.59 for evapotranspiration. The findings highlight the importance of reliable and accurate collective observation data for improving performance of SWAT model and promote its facilitation for estimating more realistic hydrological cycles at catchment scale.

Analysis of National Stream Drying Phenomena using DrySAT-WFT Model: Focusing on Inflow of Dam and Weir Watersheds in 5 River Basins (DrySAT-WFT 모형을 활용한 전국 하천건천화 분석: 전국 5대강 댐·보 유역의 유입량을 중심으로)

  • LEE, Yong-Gwan;JUNG, Chung-Gil;KIM, Won-Jin;KIM, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.53-69
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    • 2020
  • The increase of the impermeable area due to industrialization and urban development distorts the hydrological circulation system and cause serious stream drying phenomena. In order to manage this, it is necessary to develop a technology for impact assessment of stream drying phenomena, which enables quantitative evaluation and prediction. In this study, the cause of streamflow reduction was assessed for dam and weir watersheds in the five major river basins of South Korea by using distributed hydrological model DrySAT-WFT (Drying Stream Assessment Tool and Water Flow Tracking) and GIS time series data. For the modeling, the 5 influencing factors of stream drying phenomena (soil erosion, forest growth, road-river disconnection, groundwater use, urban development) were selected and prepared as GIS-based time series spatial data from 1976 to 2015. The DrySAT-WFT was calibrated and validated from 2005 to 2015 at 8 multipurpose dam watershed (Chungju, Soyang, Andong, Imha, Hapcheon, Seomjin river, Juam, and Yongdam) and 4 gauging stations (Osucheon, Mihocheon, Maruek, and Chogang) respectively. The calibration results showed that the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.76 in average (0.66 to 0.84) and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency was 0.62 in average (0.52 to 0.72). Based on the 2010s (2006~2015) weather condition for the whole period, the streamflow impact was estimated by applying GIS data for each decade (1980s: 1976~1985, 1990s: 1986~1995, 2000s: 1996~2005, 2010s: 2006~2015). The results showed that the 2010s averaged-wet streamflow (Q95) showed decrease of 4.1~6.3%, the 2010s averaged-normal streamflow (Q185) showed decreased of 6.7~9.1% and the 2010s averaged-drought streamflow (Q355) showed decrease of 8.4~10.4% compared to 1980s streamflows respectively on the whole. During 1975~2015, the increase of groundwater use covered 40.5% contribution and the next was forest growth with 29.0% contribution among the 5 influencing factors.

Evaluation of water supply capacity using groundwater abstraction contributing to streamflow (하천유량에 기여하는 지하수 양수량의 물공급 능력 평가)

  • Chung, Il-Moon;Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeongwoo;Chang, Sun Woo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.889-896
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    • 2017
  • In the present study, an integrated SWAT-MODFLOW model was implemented to analyze the method of supplying groundwater abstraction contributing to Musimcheon stream. Various simulations of supply of groundwater to streamflow with current and maximum groundwater abstraction have been explored for 5 years (2011-2015). In 2015, when the severe drought happened, the monthly discharge change rate due to groundwater supply was ranged from 23% in current abstraction to 68% in maximum abstraction. In terms of annual groundwater recharge, these quantities could be applicable recharges ranged from 75 mm (6.2% of annual mean precipitation) to 290 mm (24% of annual mean precipitation) which could be stable annual supply. Since surface water is vulnerable to drought, the water supply using groundwater could be an effective alternative for stream deficiency.

Watershed Modeling Research for Receiving Water Quality Management in Hwaseong Reservoir Watershed (화성호 유역의 수질관리를 위한 유역모델링 연구)

  • Jang, Jae-Ho;Kang, Hyeong-Sik;Jung, Kwang-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.819-832
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    • 2012
  • HSPF model based on BASINS was applied for the Hwaseong Reservoir watershed (HRW) to evaluate the feasibility of water quality management. The watershed was divided into 45 sub-basins considering various watershed environment. Streamflow was calibrated based on the measured meteorological data, discharge data of treatment plants and observed streamflow data for 2010 year. Then the model was calibrated against the field measurements of water qualities, including BOD, T-N and T-P. In most cases, there were reasonable agreements between observed and predicted data. The validated model was used to analyze the characterization of pollutant load from study area. As a result, Non-point source pollutant loads during the rainy season was about 66~78% of total loads. In rainy-season, water quality parameters depended on precipitation and pollutant loads patterns, but their concentration were not necessarily high during the rainy season, and showed a decreasing trend with increasing water flow. As another result of evaluation for load duration curves, in order to improve water qualities to the satisfactory level, the watershed managements considering both time-variant and pollution sources must be required in the HRW. Overall, it was found that the model could be used conveniently to assess watershed characteristics and pollutant loads in watershed scale.

Evaluation of the Evapotranspiration Models in The SLURP Hydrological Model (SLURP모형에서 증발산 모형의 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Cho, Doo Chan;Kim, Hung-Soo;Seoh, Byung-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.178-183
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    • 2004
  • Hydrological models simulate the land phase component of the water cycle and provide a mechanism for evaluating the effects of climatic variation and change on water resources. Evapotranspiration(ET) is a critical process within hydrological models. This study evaluates five different methods for estimating ET in the SLURP(Semi-distrubuted Land Use Runoff Process)model, in the Yongdam basin. The five ET methods were the FAO Penman-Monteith, Motorn CRAE(Complementary Relationship Area Evapotranspiration), the Spittlehouse-Black, the Granger, the Linarce model. We evaluated the five ET models, based on the ability of SLURP model to simulate daily streamflow. and How the five ET methods influence the sensitivity of simulated streamflow to changes in key model parameters and validation SLURP independently for each ET methods.

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Flow Assessment and Prediction in the Asa River Watershed using different Artificial Intelligence Techniques on Small Dataset

  • Kareem Kola Yusuff;Adigun Adebayo Ismail;Park Kidoo;Jung Younghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.95-95
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    • 2023
  • Common hydrological problems of developing countries include poor data management, insufficient measuring devices and ungauged watersheds, leading to small or unreliable data availability. This has greatly affected the adoption of artificial intelligence techniques for flood risk mitigation and damage control in several developing countries. While climate datasets have recorded resounding applications, but they exhibit more uncertainties than ground-based measurements. To encourage AI adoption in developing countries with small ground-based dataset, we propose data augmentation for regression tasks and compare performance evaluation of different AI models with and without data augmentation. More focus is placed on simple models that offer lesser computational cost and higher accuracy than deeper models that train longer and consume computer resources, which may be insufficient in developing countries. To implement this approach, we modelled and predicted streamflow data of the Asa River Watershed located in Ilorin, Kwara State Nigeria. Results revealed that adequate hyperparameter tuning and proper model selection improve streamflow prediction on small water dataset. This approach can be implemented in data-scarce regions to ensure timely flood intervention and early warning systems are adopted in developing countries.

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Evaluation of low streamflow via distributed hydrological watershed modelling considering reservoir-weir releases and streamflow routing in Geum river basin (댐-보 연계방류를 고려한 분포형 유역수문 모델링을 통한 금강유역의 하천갈수 평가기법 개발)

  • Lee, Yonggwan;Kim, Wonjin;Jung, Chunggil;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.103-103
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    • 2020
  • Drying Stream Assessment Tool and Water Flow Tracking (DrySAT-WFT)은 하천건천화 평가 및 예측을 위해 개발된 물수지 기반의 분포형 수문모형이다. 그러나 물수지 모형의 특성상 토양층 사이를 이동하는 수직적인 물의 거동은 파악하기 용이하나, 하천 및 지표를 따라 이동하는 물의 수평적인 거동 추적에는 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 DrySAT-WFT 모형에 댐·보 방류량을 고려한 하도 갈수량 추적 알고리즘을 적용하여 유출 모의 성능을 개선하고, 개선된 유출 모형을 금강 유역(9,915.5 ㎢)에 적용하여 건천화 원인 추적 및 평가를 수행하였다. 하천건천화 원인 추적을 위한 영향요소로 1976년부터 2015년까지 구축한 산림높이, 도로망, 지하수 이용량, 토지이용, 토심, 기상 자료를 활용하였다. 건천화 영향요소를 적용하기 전 기상자료만을 활용해 모의한 유출결과를 기준 시나리오로 설정하고 댐·보 지점을 대상으로 검보정을 진행하였다. 이후 각 건천화 영향요소를 적용한 유출 시나리오별 유량의 감소 비율과 건천화 기여 비율을 산정하여 영향평가를 수행하였다.

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