• 제목/요약/키워드: statistical limits

검색결과 279건 처리시간 0.031초

A revised ecosystem-based fishery risk assessment incorporating IUU fishing (IUU어업을 고려한 생태계기반 자원평가)

  • Youjung KWON;Sung Il LEE;Chang Ik ZHANG
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • 제60권3호
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    • pp.244-257
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    • 2024
  • Considering the negative impact of IUU fishing on fishery resources and fishery management, a revised approach for estimating risks of the ecosystem-based fisheries assessment (EBFA) of Zhang et al. (2011) was developed that incorporates three components of the IUU (illegal, unreported and unregulated) fishing as penalties. In this study, we introduced ways to develop indicators of IUU fishing suitable for the Korean fishery and apply them to ecosystem-based resource assessment. The indicator for the illegal fishing component was set as the fishing without licenses or permits, and that for the unreported fishing component was set as unreported fishing activities. Indicators for the unregulated fishing component were set as fishing operated by illegal fishing gear, illegal fish capture, fishing operations in prohibited fishing area, and fishing with restrict permits. IUU fishing significantly impacts the stock of target species. Therefore, in this study, the influence of IUU fishing is included in the Species Risk Index (SRI) at the species level, and weights are assigned based on the ratio of the stock, as $SRI={{\sum\limits_j}{\lambda}_j{\cdot}ORI/{\sum\limits_j}{\lambda}_j}+P_f(B_i/B)$. The revised ecosystem-based fisheries assessment method, which considers the impact of IUU fishing, was applied to major fisheries on the south coast of Korea. It is necessary to reduce the non-reporting rate through the expansion of the TAC system and improve the accuracy of statistical compilation. To this end, the electronic fishing reporting system, which is being implemented on all vessels in Korean distant water fishing vessels, should be introduced to the coastal and offshore fisheries as well.

Study on the Chemical Management - 1. Chemical Characteristics and Occupational Exposure Limits under Occupational Safety and Health Act of Korea (화학물질 관리 연구-1. 산업안전보건법상 관리 화학물질의 특성과 노출기준 비교)

  • Park, Jihoon;Ham, Seunghon;Kim, Sunju;Lee, Kwonseob;Ha, Kwonchul;Park, Donguk;Yoon, Chungsik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: This study aims to compare the physicochemical characteristics, toxicological data with Occupational Exposure Limits (OELs) of chemicals under the Occupational Safety and Health Act(OSHA) regulated by the Ministry of Employment and Labor of Korea. Methods: Information on chemicals which have OELs on physicochemical characteristics and toxicological data was collected using Material Safety Data Sheet(MSDS) from Korea Occupational Safety and Health Agency(KOSHA) and the Korea Information System for Chemical Safety Management(KISChem) in 2014. Statistical analyses including correlation and simple regression were performed to compare the OELs with chemical characteristics including molecular weight, boiling point, odor threshold, vapor pressure, vapor density, solubility and octanol-water partition coefficient(OWPC) and toxicological data such as median lethal dose($LD_{50}$) and median lethal concentration($LC_{50}$). Results: A total of 656 chemicals have OELs under OSHA in Korea. The numbers of chemicals which have eight-hour time weighted average(TWA) and short term exposure limits(STEL) are 618 and 190, respectively. TWA was significantly correlated with boiling point and STEL was only correlated with vapor pressure among physicochemical characteristics. Solubility and OWPC between "skin" and "no skin" substances which indicate skin penetration were not significantly different. Both $LD_{50}$ and $LC_{50}$ were correlated with TWA, while the $LC_{50}$ was not with STEL. As health indicators, health rating and Emergency Response Planning Guidelines(ERPG) rating as recommended by the National Fire Protection Association(NFPA) and American Industrial Hygiene Association(AIHA) were associated with OELs and reflect the chemical hazards. Conclusions: We found relationships between OEL and chemical information including physicochemical characteristics and toxicological data. The study has an important meaning for understanding present regulatory OELs.

A Statistical Study Evaporation tn DAEGU Area (대구지방의 증발량에 대한 통계학적 연구)

  • 김영기
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.3160-3169
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    • 1973
  • Rainfall, evaporation, and permeability of water are the most important factors in determining the demand of water. The Daegu area has only a meteorologi observatory and there is not sufficient data for adapting the advanced method for derivation of the estimated of evaporation in the Daegu area. However, by using available data, the writer devoted his great effort in deriving the most reasonable formula applicable to the Daegu area and it is adaptable for various purposes such as industry and estimation of groundwater etc. The data used in this study was the monthly amount of evaporation of the Daegu area for the past 13 years(1960 to 1970). A year can be divided into two groups by relative degrees of evaporation in this area: the first group (less evaporation) is January, February, March, October, November, and December, and the second (more evaporation) is April, May, June, July, August, and September. The amount of evaporation of the two groups were statistically treated by the theory of probability for derivation of estimated formula of evaporation. The formula derved is believed to fully consider. The characteristic hydrological environment of this area as the following shows: log(x+3)=0.8963+0.1125$\xi$..........(4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 month) log(x-0.7)=0.2051+0.3023$\xi$..........(1, 2, 3, 10, 11, 12 month) This study obtained the above formula of probability of the monthly evaporation of this area by using the relation: $F_(x)=\frac{1}{{\surd}{\pi}}\int\limits_{-\infty}^{\xi}e^{-\xi2}d{\xi}\;{\xi}=alog_{\alpha}({\frac{x_0+b'}{x_0+b})\;(-b<x<{\infty})$ $$log(x_0+b)=0.80961$ $$\frac{1}{a}=\sqrt{\frac{2N}{N-1}}\;Sx=0.1125$$ $$b=\frac{1}{m}\sum\limits_{i-I}^{m}b_s=3.14$$ $$S_x=\sqrt{\frac{1}{N}\sum\limits_{i-I}^{N}\{log(x_i+b)\}^2-\{log(x_i+b)\}^2}=0.0791$$ (4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 month) This formula may be advantageously applied to estimation of evaporation in the Daegu area. Notation for general terms has been denoted by following: $W_(x)$: probability of occurance. $$W_(x)=\int_x^{\infty}f(x)dx$$ P : probability $$P=\frac{N!}{t!(N-t)}{F_i^{N-{\pi}}(1-F_i)^l$$ $$F_{\eta}:\; Thomas\;plot\;F_{\eta}=(1-\frac{n}{N+1})$$ $X_l\;X_i$: maximun, minimum value of total number of sample size(other notation for general terms was used as needed)

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Satellite Anomalous Behavior Detection System through Rough-Set and Fuzzy Model (러프집합과 퍼지 모델을 이용한 인공위성의 이상 동작 검출 시스템)

  • Yang, Seung-Eun
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2017
  • Out-of-limit (OOL) alarm method that is threshold checking of telemetry value is widely used for the satellites fault diagnosis and health monitoring. However, it requires engineering knowledge and effort to define delicate threshold value and has limitations that anomalous behaviors within the defined limits can't be detected. In this paper, we propose a satellite anomalous behavior detection system through fuzzy model that is composed by important statistical feature selected by rough-set theory. Not pre-defined anomaly is detected because only normal state data is used for fuzzy model. Also, anomalous behavior within the threshold limit is detected by using statistic feature that can be collected without engineering knowledge. The proposed system successfully detected non-ordinary state for battery temperature telemetry.

Setting Guidelines for ATP Bioluminescence Hygiene Monitoring of Distribution Trays in Used Children's Foodservices (어린이 급식소의 배식용기 표면에 대한 ATP(Adenosine Triphosphate) 위생 모니터링 가이드라인 설정)

  • Moon, Hye-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Dietetic Association
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.243-253
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to set new guidelines for adenosine triphosphate (ATP) bioluminescence hygiene monitoring of distribution trays at children's foodservices. Five dietitians visited 223 foodservices (95 institutional, 128 small) to examine whether they adhered to the norms of 'Keeping distribution tray sanitary by washing/sanitizing' and 'Performing food distribution in a clean and appropriate way'. In this visit, dietitians swabbed 100 ㎠ area of the distribution trays twice, once for obtaining ATP measurements and the second time for Aerobic Plate Counts (APC) using 3M Petrifilm Plates. Chi-square test and ANOVA were applied using SPSS 23.0 software. SPSS 23.0 was used to conduct graphical and statistical analysis of the raw data of ATP measurements, which were further transformed by a Box-Cox transformation. The mean of APC from all the subjects inspected was 3.8×102±2,102.0 CFU/100 ㎠. A total of 208 (93.3%) trays were observed within the acceptable limits of APC (Pass<5.0×102 CFU/100 ㎠). APCs taken at institutional foodservices showed significantly lower levels (1.4×102±600.0 CFU/100 ㎠, P<0.01) compared to the small foodservices (5.5×102±2,718.7 CFU/100 ㎠). No significant differences were observed between the two groups in ATP measurements and in the performance rate of 2 checklist items. As against the 93.3% APC adequacy from the total subjected inspection, total ATP adequacy (Pass≤300 RLU/100 ㎠) was only 71.7%. Therefore, more practical guidelines should be prepared for the assessment of the hygiene of distribution trays. In the graphical and statistical analysis, levels below 250 RLU/100 ㎠ was considered 'Pass', while equal to or greater than 350 RLU/100 ㎠ was considered 'Fail' for distribution trays.

A Causational Study for Urban 4-legged Signalized Intersections using Structural Equation Method (구조방정식을 이용한 도시부 4지 신호교차로의 사고원인 분석)

  • Oh, Jutaek;Lee, Sangkyu;Heo, Taeyoung;Hwang, Jeongwon
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES : Traffic accidents at intersections have been increased annually so that it is required to examine the causations to reduce the accidents. However, the current existing accident models were developed mainly with non-linear regression models such as Poisson methods. These non-linear regression methods lack to reveal complicated causations for traffic accidents, though they are right choices to study randomness and non-linearity of accidents. Therefore, to reveal the complicated causations of traffic accidents, this study used structural equation methods(SEM). METHODS : SEM used in this study is a statistical technique for estimating causal relations using a combination of statistical data and qualitative causal assumptions. SEM allow exploratory modeling, meaning they are suited to theory development. The method is tested against the obtained measurement data to determine how well the model fits the data. Among the strengths of SEM is the ability to construct latent variables: variables which are not measured directly, but are estimated in the model from several measured variables. This allows the modeler to explicitly capture the unreliability of measurement in the model, which allows the structural relations between latent variables to be accurately estimated. RESULTS : The study results showed that causal factors could be grouped into 3. Factor 1 includes traffic variables, and Factor 2 contains turning traffic variables. Factor 3 consists of other road element variables such as speed limits or signal cycles. CONCLUSIONS : Non-linear regression models can be used to develop accident predictions models. However, they lack to estimate causal factors, because they select only few significant variables to raise the accuracy of the model performance. Compared to the regressions, SEM has merits to estimate causal factors affecting accidents, because it allows the structural relations between latent variables. Therefore, this study used SEM to estimate causal factors affecting accident at urban signalized intersections.

A Probabilistic Study on the Engineering Characteristics of Soil in Korea by the Unified Soil Classification (통일분류(統一分類)에 의한 우리나라 토질(土質) 공학적(工學的) 특성(特性)에 관한 확률론적(確率論的) 연구(硏究))

  • Chung, Chul Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 1989
  • This paper probabilisticly analyses the variance of the soil parameters on kinds of soil by conducting statistical analysis through the Unified Soil Classification System. Data used are the result of soil test which the Korea National Housing Corporation conducted in 176 sites of 74 cities throughout the country during the past 13 years from 1974 to 1986. In this paper, soil parameters such as natural water contents, specific gravity of soil particle, Atterberg limits, N-values, unconfined compression strength, compression index and shear strength parameter etc., is analysed. The result of the analysis is as follows. 1) The variance in physical properties of the soil is, when compared with coefficient of variation which is statistical variable, comparatively small. 2) The shear strength parameter is proved to be about 40% and compression index is about 32%. 3) The variance in specific gravity is 0.87-2.49% in granular soil and 0.91~5.03% in cohesive soil respectively. So, the degree of the variance is very small.

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Soil Investigation Strategies for Soil Risk Assessment (토양위해성평가를 위한 합리적 토양조사방안 연구)

  • Jeong, Seung-Woo;An, Youn-Joo
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.36-43
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    • 2007
  • The objectives of soil investigation in risk assessment of contaminated sites are to characterize the level and area of contamination, and provide the important physical and chemical properties of contaminated sites for later exposure assessment. This study suggests two soil investigation strategies to be considered in the soil risk assessment in Korea. First, soil investigation for characterizing soil properties is additionally required to the current investigation method that has focused on chemical analysis. Second, application of statistical concepts to soil investigation plan and soil data analysis are required for confidential decison-making on contamination and determining the exposure soil concentration. This study provides a practical soil investigation strategy to involve the current Korean soil analysis guidance with the minimum sample number required for satisfying statistical limits.

A Study on the Measurement Accuracy and Linearity of the Mandibular Kinesiograph (Mandibular Kinesiograph의 선형충실도 및 계측정확도에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, In-Kwon
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
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    • 제22권7호통권182호
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    • pp.607-620
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    • 1984
  • The validity of the Kinesiegraph (MHG-5R) output was studied using a non-ferromagnetic positioning device within working range of a 3 cm wide by 4 cm deep by 5 cm high three dimensional lattice. To determine how well observed values of the M K G outputs may predict case values of actual measurements, relationships between those values were tested by viewing scatter plots and correlation between observed values and actual values. In order to devise some form of served values of the M k G outputs (volts), statistical regression analysis was performed. The statistical analysis showed that observed values and actual values were strongly correlated. However, high correlation does not necessarily mean perfect predictability of given linear models. The formulated models were not able to predict all of acutal values this is partly 엳 새the discreteness of dependent variables (actual values) and also is because of independent nature of observed values. In conclusion, unless the Kinesiograph is suitably modified, the inherent nonlinearity characteristic of the system output limits its application to the measurement of a limited range of jaw movements.

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Pharmacokinetics of Two Cyclosporine Formulations Using FPIA and HPLC Assay in Volunterrs

  • Kwon, Kwang-Il;Kim, Moo-Heon;Park, Jong-Woo;Lee, Chang-Hyun
    • Archives of Pharmacal Research
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.385-390
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    • 1995
  • The analytical methods for the analysis of cyclosporine (CsA), a fluorescence polarization immunoassay (FPIA) and HPLC method, were compared in a pharmacokinetic study of two CsA soft capsule formultaions ($Sandimmun^{\circledR}$; Sandoz, $Implanta^{\circledR}$; Hanmi). Sixteen healthy volunteers completed the study and each subjected single doses ($4{\tiems}100$ mg) of the test and the reference formulations in a two-way crossover design with a one-week drug-free interval between doses. Following each administration, whole blood concentrations of CsA were monitored over a period of 24 hour by both FPIA and HPLC methods. Blood concentrations nad pharmacokinetic parameters determined by either analytical method showed large intersubject variation, with the FPIA data showing relatively higher magnitude of intersubjecte variation than the HPLC data. The blood concentrations determined by FPIA were 1.1-1.3 times higher than those determined by HPLC. There were strong and significant correlations between the two methods (r>0.83 : p<0.0001). Intersubuject variation for the $AUC_{inf}{\;}and{\;}AUC_{24hr}$ of the test formulation was slightly reduced without statistical significance (paried -t test : p>0.05 $t_{max}$ was earlier nad $C_{max}$ was slightly lower for the test formulation, $AUC_{24h}, {\;}C_{max}, {\;}T_{max}$ and MRT determined separately from the data obtained by the two methods for the two formulations were examined by analyses of variance (ANOVA) for the bioequivalency evaluation. Results of ANOVA and confidence limits of terst/reference ratios of $AUC_{24th}$, $C_{max}$, $t_{max}$ and MRT, and statistical tests indicated the bioequivalence of the two formulations (i.e., test/reference ratio was within $100{\times}20%$) except for $C_{max}$ and $t_{max}$. The mean of tmax also showed 11.1% and 9.3% differences but the detection limit were 29.2% and 29.6% as determined by FPIA and HPLC resepctively. This experiments suggest that the data yielded for the two formulations demonstrated that they were bioequivalent.

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