• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical confidence

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The Forecast analysis on Non-electrical Machinery and Equipment of Macroeconomic variables (기계산업 수출액에 대한 거시경제변수의 예측 실험 - 보건과학분야의 정밀기계 수출액 포함 -)

  • Kim Jong-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.471-484
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    • 2006
  • The focus of analysis is effect on Non-electrical Machinery and Equipment of Macroeconomic variables through long-term and short-term periods. Also, this paper is related with implication on steady growth possibility of Non-electrical Machinery and Equipment. The period of variables is from 1985 to April in 2005. In case of not-available data is treated as missing figures. As spatial scope, these data are Non-electrical Machinery and Equipment on the basis of KSIC. In case of items, it composes MTI 1&3 digit of Korea International Trade Association (KITA), on the basis of HSK & classification of Korea Machinery industries. According to Granger causality test, yield of Cooperate Bond and export amount of Machinery have a meaning at statistical Confidence level of 10%. In case of index of the unit cost of export and export amount of Machinery, they have an interactive Granger cause. In yen dollar exchange rate and export amount of Machinery, former variable gives an unilateral Granger cause to latter that.

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Developing the Measurement Model of Service Quality in the Public Sector (공공부문의 서비스품질 측정모형 개발)

  • Rha, Jun-Young;Rhee, Seung-Kyu
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.339-352
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    • 2007
  • Beyond SERVQUAL-based service quality research, we develop a measurement model of public service quality that would provide researchers and practitioners in the public sector with a foundation for systematic investigation and implementation. Firstly, we explore the attributes of public service quality that lead to customer satisfaction by using the critical incident technique (CIT). We identified four dimensions of public service qualities. We also found that the critical attributes of service quality differ according to the types of customers. Secondly, to achieve a high degree of empirical confidence, we conduct statistical tests and analyses on the classification scheme and on the attributes of service quality that we derived from the CIT analysis. Through these analyses, we could remove the redundancy among attributes and group the attributes into new constructs, which are mutually exclusive and exhaustive; we built a more sophisticated measurement model of service quality.

Stochastic Estimation of Voltage Sags Based on Voltage Monitoring (전압 모니터링에 기반한 순간전압강하 확률적 추계 방법)

  • Son, Jeongdae;Park, Chang-Hyun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.10
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    • pp.1271-1277
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    • 2018
  • This paper deals with a voltage sag assessment based on a voltage monitoring program. The voltage sag performance at a specific site can be evaluated by analyzing voltage monitoring data recorded for a long time period. Although an assessment based on voltage monitoring is an effective way to understand voltage sag performance at a measurement site, the statistical confidence of voltage sag frequency estimation heavily depends on the length of monitoring period and the number of recorded events. Short monitoring period and insufficient recorded data can not provide a reliable assessment result. This paper proposes a compensation assessment method by combining a computer simulation approach for in case that monitoring period and data are not enough for a valid assessment.

Statistical analysis of the energy for cable cutting (케이블 절단에 필요한 에너지 통계적 분석)

  • Choi, Chang-Sun;Kang, Won-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.400-403
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    • 2011
  • We performed Instron and Impact tests to estimate necessary explosive charge weight for cutting the cable whose diameter is 22 mm. The cutting energy measured by Instron was 21.3 J. Impact test were performed 8 times each at 5 different energies. The Impact test results were analysed by Probit methods. The cutting energy was calculated 37.7 J with 99.99% probability at 99% confidence, which is roughly equivalent to 250 mg of Zirconium potassium Perchlorate (ZPP).

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Evaluation of Resilient Modulus Models for Recycled Materials (재활용 도로재료의 회복탄성계수 산정을 위한 적용 모델의 평가)

  • Son, Young-Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2010
  • Many models have been used to represent the effects of confining stress, bulk stress, and shear stress on the value of the resilient modulus (Mr). This study was conducted to estimate Mr of the recycled materials such as recycled concrete aggregate (RCA) and recycled asphalt pavement (RAP) through the repeated load cyclic test. Also, two models were applied to estimation of Mr for comparing between measured Mr values and predicted Mr values. The first model (A-model) can provide a quick and easy estimation of the Mr based on the bulk stress, while the second model (N-model) includes not only the bulk stress but also the shear stress. Statistical analysis indicated that all results using the both of models are significant at a 95 % confidence level. Therefore, the both of models could be used as an effective prediction model of Mr for RCA and RAP. Especially, the Model 2 including the parameters of the bulk stress and the shear stress could give more reliable estimation at the high range of Mr values.

Reliability for Series and Parallel Systems in Bivariate Pareto Model : Random Censorship Case

  • Cho, Jang-Sik;Cho, Kil-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.461-469
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we consider the series and parallel system which include two components. We assume that the lifetimes of two components follow the bivariate Pareto model with random censored data. We obtain the estimators and approximated confidence intervals of the reliabilities for series and parallel systems based on maximum likelihood estimator and the relative frequency, respectively. Also we present a numerical example by giving a data set which is generated by computer.

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A practice on performance testing for web-based systems Hyperlink testing for web-based system

  • Chang, Wen-Kui;Ron, Shing-Kai
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.64-74
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    • 2000
  • This paper investigates the issue of performance testing on web browsing environments. Among the typical non-functional characteristics, index of link validity will be deeply explored. A framework to certify link correctness in web site is proposed. All possible navigation paths are first formulated to represent a usage model with the Markov chain property, which is then used to generate test script file statistically. With collecting any existing failure information followed by tracing these testing browsed paths, certification analysis may be performed by applying Markov chain theory. The certification result will yield some significant information such as: test coverage, reliability measure, confidence interval, etc. The proposed mechanism may provide not only completed but also systemic methodologies to find any linking errors and other web technologies errors. Besides, an actual practice of the proposed approach to a web-based system will be demonstrated quantitatively through a certification tool.

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Noise Reduction of a Small D/C Motor Using 6 Sigma Process (6 시그마 프로세스를 이용한 소형 직류 모터의 소음 절감)

  • 차원준;최연선
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.532-538
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    • 2003
  • This paper studies on the noise reduction for a small automobile DC Motor (a window motor) using the 6 sigma process. The application of 6 sigma process suggested reliable and valuable statistical data for the quality of the DC motor at the production line. In the measurement step in 6 sigma process. the FMEA(failure mode effect analysis) were used for the detection of noise sources. The application of 6 sigma Process gave not only the improving method for the quality of the DC motor but also the confidence of improvement Itself since it was done on the basis of the test results for a number of DC motors at the production line. Consequently the 6 sigma process was proved very effective for the noise reduction at the production line.

A Study on Apparel Store Browsers′ Browsing Motives, Shopping Leadership and Preferred Store Attributes (의류점포 브라우저들의 브라우징 동기, 쇼핑 선도력 및 선호점포 속성에 관한 연구)

  • 정혜영
    • The Research Journal of the Costume Culture
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.86-99
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study was to identify and profile store browsers in terms of their browsing motives, fashion behavioral characteristics, buying behavior and preferred store attributes. The data were collected through questionnaire from 302 female college students by convenient sampling method. Statistical analysis of factor analysis, x²-test, and t-test were performed in analyzing the data. The browsing motives of browsers were to obtains fashion information, sensory stimulation and diversion from routine life. They showed the high level of fashion involvement, shopping confidence, shopping innovativeness, shopping opinion leadership as well s fashion opinion leadership. Browsers tended to be impulse buyers and spent more money on clothing than non-browsers. The attributes that influence their store choice were the variety of products and brands, information availability ,and pleasant store atmosphere.

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A Stochastic Analysis in Fatigue Strength of Degraded Steam Turbine Blade Steel (열화된 증기 터빈블레이드의 피로강도에 대한 확률론적 해석)

  • Kim, Chul-Su;Jung, Hwa-Young;Kim, Jung-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.262-267
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    • 2001
  • In this study, the Reliability of degraded steam turbine blade was evaluated using the limited fatigue data. The statistical estimation of limited fatigue data implies that some unknown uncertainties which may be involved in fatigue reliability analysis. Therefore, an appropriate distribution in the fatigue strength was determined by the characteristic distribution - linear correlation coefficient, fatigue physics, error parameter. 3-parameter Weibull distribution is the most appropriate distribution to assume for infinite region. The load applied on the blade is mainly tensile. The maximum Von-Mises stress is 219.4 MPa at the steady state service condition. The failure probability($F_p$) derived from the strength-stress interference model using Monte carlo simulation under variable service condition is 0.25% at the 99.99% confidence level.

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