• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical confidence

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Modified inverse moment estimation: its principle and applications

  • Gui, Wenhao
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.479-496
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    • 2016
  • In this survey, we present a modified inverse moment estimation of parameters and its applications. We use a specific model to demonstrate its principle and how to apply this method in practice. The estimation of unknown parameters is considered. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters is obtained for the classical maximum likelihood estimation. Inverse moment and modified inverse moment estimators are proposed and their properties are studied. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the performances of these estimators. As far as the biases and mean squared errors are concerned, modified inverse moment estimator works the best in all cases considered for estimating the unknown parameters. Its performance is followed by inverse moment estimator and maximum likelihood estimator, especially for small sample sizes.

The Analysis of Geospatial Efficiency of Goheung-Gun Aquaculture Type Ochon-Gye Using Bootstrap-DEA (고흥군 양식어업형 어촌계의 입지에 따른 어업효율성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Cheon;Lee, Chang-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.23-46
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to understand the production efficiency of individual fishing communities and provide directions for improvement. The subject of the study is aquaculture type Ochon-Gye in Goheung-gun. The analysis method used bootstrap-DEA to overcome the statistical reliability problem of the traditional DEA analysis technique. In addition, data mining-GIS was applied to identify the spatial productivity of fishing communities. The values of technology efficiency, pure technology efficiency, and scale efficiency were estimated for 32 aquaculture-type fishing villages. Then, using the benchmarking reference set and weights, the projection was presented through adjustment of the input factor excess, and furthermore, the confidence interval of the efficiency values considering statistical significance was estimated using bootstrap.

Inference for exponentiated Weibull distribution under constant stress partially accelerated life tests with multiple censored

  • Nassr, Said G.;Elharoun, Neema M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.131-148
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    • 2019
  • Constant stress partially accelerated life tests are studied according to exponentiated Weibull distribution. Grounded on multiple censoring, the maximum likelihood estimators are determined in connection with unknown distribution parameters and accelerated factor. The confidence intervals of the unknown parameters and acceleration factor are constructed for large sample size. However, it is not possible to obtain the Bayes estimates in plain form, so we apply a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to deal with this issue, which permits us to create a credible interval of the associated parameters. Finally, based on constant stress partially accelerated life tests scheme with exponentiated Weibull distribution under multiple censoring, the illustrative example and the simulation results are used to investigate the maximum likelihood, and Bayesian estimates of the unknown parameters.

Parameter estimation of an extended inverse power Lomax distribution with Type I right censored data

  • Hassan, Amal S.;Nassr, Said G.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.99-118
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we introduce an extended form of the inverse power Lomax model via Marshall-Olkin approach. We call it the Marshall-Olkin inverse power Lomax (MOIPL) distribution. The four- parameter MOIPL distribution is very flexible which contains some former and new models. Vital properties of the MOIPL distribution are affirmed. Maximum likelihood estimators and approximate confidence intervals are considered under Type I censored samples. Maximum likelihood estimates are evaluated according to simulation study. Bayesian estimators as well as Bayesian credible intervals under symmetric loss function are obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. Finally, the flexibility of the new model is analyzed by means of two real data sets. It is found that the MOIPL model provides closer fits than some other models based on the selected criteria.

Analysis of Bioequivalence Study using a Log-transformed Model (로그변환 모델에 따른 생물학적 동등성 판정 연구)

  • 이영주;김윤균;이명걸;정석재;이민화;심창구
    • YAKHAK HOEJI
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.308-314
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    • 2000
  • Logarithmic transformation of pharmacokinetic parameters is routinely used in bioequivalence studies based on pharmacokinetic and statistical grounds by the United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA), European Committee for Proprietary Medicinal Products (CPMP), and Japanese National Institute of Health and Science (NIHS). Although it has not yet been recommended by the Korea Food and Drug Administration (KFDA), its use is becoming increasingly necessary in order to harmonize with international standards. In the present study, statistical procedures for the analysis of a bioequivalence based on the log transformation and a related SAS procedure were demonstrated in order to aid the understanding and application. The AUC parameters used in this demonstration were taken from the previous bioequivalence study for two aceclofenac tablets, which were performed in a single-dose crossover design. Analysis of variance (ANOVA), statistical power to detect 20% difference between the tablets, minimum detectable difference and confidence intervals were all assessed following log-transformation of the data. Bioequivalence of two aceclofenac tablets was then estimated based on the guideline of FDA. Considering the international effort for harmaonization of guidelines for bioequivalence tests, this approach may require a further evaluation for a future adaptation in the Korea Guidelines of Bioequivalence Tests (KGBT).

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A Comparison of the Interval Estimations for the Difference in Paired Areas under the ROC Curves (대응표본에서 AUC차이에 대한 신뢰구간 추정에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Hee-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.275-292
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    • 2010
  • Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curves can be used to assess the accuracy of tests measured on ordinal or continuous scales. The most commonly used measure for the overall diagnostic accuracy of diagnostic tests is the area under the ROC curve(AUC). When two ROC curves are constructed based on two tests performed on the same individuals, statistical analysis on differences between AUCs must take into account the correlated nature of the data. This article focuses on confidence interval estimation of the difference between paired AUCs. We compare nonparametric, maximum likelihood, bootstrap and generalized pivotal quantity methods, and conduct a monte carlo simulation to investigate the probability coverage and expected length of the four methods.

Sentiment Analysis on Indonesia Economic Growth using Deep Learning Neural Network Method

  • KRISMAWATI, Dewi;MARIEL, Wahyu Calvin Frans;ARSYI, Farhan Anshari;PRAMANA, Setia
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The government around the world is still highlighting the effect of the new variant of Covid-19. The government continues to make efforts to restore the economy through several programs, one of them is National Economic Recovery. This program is expected to increase public and investor confidence in handling Covid-19. This study aims to capture public sentiment on the economic growth rate in Indonesia, especially during the third wave of the omicron variant of the covid-19 virus, that is at the time in the fourth quarter of 2021. Research design, data, and methodology: The approach used in this research is to collect crowdsourcing data from twitter, in the range of 1st to 10th October 2021. The analysis is done by building model using Deep Learning Neural Network method. Results: The result of the sentiment analysis is that most of the tweets have a neutral sentiment on the Economic Growth discussion. Several central figures who discussed were Minister of Coordinating for the Economy of Indonesia, Minister of State-Owned Enterprises. Conclusions: Data from social media can be used by the government to capture public responses, especially public sentiment regarding economic growth. This can be used by policy makers, for example entrepreneurs to anticipate economic movements under certain conditions.

Classical and Bayesian inferences of stress-strength reliability model based on record data

  • Sara Moheb;Amal S. Hassan;L.S. Diab
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.497-519
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    • 2024
  • In reliability analysis, the probability P(Y < X) is significant because it denotes availability and dependability in a stress-strength model where Y and X are the stress and strength variables, respectively. In reliability theory, the inverse Lomax distribution is a well-established lifetime model, and the literature is developing inference techniques for its reliability attributes. In this article, we are interested in estimating the stress-strength reliability R = P(Y < X), where X and Y have an unknown common scale parameter and follow the inverse Lomax distribution. Using Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches, we discuss this issue when both stress and strength are expressed in terms of lower record values. The parametric bootstrapping techniques of R are taken into consideration. The stress-strength reliability estimator is investigated using uniform and gamma priors with several loss functions. Based on the proposed loss functions, the reliability R is estimated using Bayesian analyses with Gibbs and Metropolis-Hasting samplers. Monte Carlo simulation studies and real-data-based examples are also performed to analyze the behavior of the proposed estimators. We analyze electrical insulating fluids, particularly those used in transformers, for data sets using the stress-strength model. In conclusion, as expected, the study's results showed that the mean squared error values decreased as the record number increased. In most cases, Bayesian estimates under the precautionary loss function are more suitable in terms of simulation conclusions than other specified loss functions.

Effects of Nursing Students' Knowledge, Attitude and Nursing Professionalism on Confidence in Performance of Patient Safety (졸업학년 간호대학생의 환자안전 지식, 태도 및 간호전문직관이 환자안전 수행자신감에 미치는 효과)

  • Park, Su-Jin;Choi, Hyo-Sin;Kim, Jeong-Yun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.341-350
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    • 2019
  • This research study was conducted to investigate the effect of knowledge, attitude and nursing professionalism on the confidence of the performance of nursing students who had experience with clinical practice and also to provide basic data for the development of nursing students' curriculum. The subjects who participated in this study were 286 students in the 4th year of nursing at two colleges in the Daegu and Gyeongbuk regions. The research data was analyzed using the SPSS 22.0 program. Confidence in performance of patient safety was higher for the women than for men, and for the students of an older age and higher academic achievement. Confidence in performance of patient safety was positively related to knowledge (r=.25, p=.000), attitude (r=.39, p=.000), nursing professionalism (r=.33, p=.000) and all these had statistical significance. On the multiple regression analysis, the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) was .49 and the explanatory power of the model was 49.2% (F=24.04, p=.000). The most important factor affecting confidence in performance of patient safety was the experience of having undergone patient safety education. Based on these results, it is necessary to seek various educational methods to expand the concept of patient safety from the beginning of the undergraduate course work. Especially, we think that various education strategies such as simulation education methods or information videos are needed to develop scenarios related to patient safety.

Impact of Nursing Students' Knowledge, Attitudes, and Performance Confidence in Patient Safety Management on Patient Safety Management Behavior (간호대학생의 환자안전관리 지식, 태도, 수행자신감이 환자안전관리 행위에 미치는 영향)

  • Jihyun Lee;Gaeun Kim
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.149-157
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    • 2024
  • Despite continuous efforts by healthcare institutions and professionals, incidents threatening patient safety continue to occur. Policies related to patient safety are being strengthened, and nursing students are recognized as key personnel in patient safety management. Identifying factors influencing patient safety management behavior can enhance competency in patient safety management and prevent and improve patient safety incidents. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to clarify the impact of nursing students' knowledge, attitudes, and performance confidence related to patient safety management on their patient safety management behavior. A descriptive survey study was conducted, and data collection targeted 138 fourth-year nursing students in K region from October 25th to October 28th, 2022. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 25.0 program. The research findings showed that knowledge, attitudes, and confidence regarding patient safety management were positively correlated with patient safety management behavior. Factors influencing patient safety management behavior were identified as patient safety management education experience (β=.22, p<.001) and confidence (β=.66, p<.001). Based on these results, it is suggested that educational programs aimed at improving patient safety management behavior among nursing students should focus on enhancing patient safety management education experience and confidence.