• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistical approach

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A dynamical stochastic finite element method based on the moment equation approach for the analysis of linear and nonlinear uncertain structures

  • Falsone, Giovanni;Ferro, Gabriele
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.599-613
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    • 2006
  • A method for the dynamical analysis of FE discretized uncertain linear and nonlinear structures is presented. This method is based on the moment equation approach, for which the differential equations governing the response first and second-order statistical moments must be solved. It is shown that they require the cross-moments between the response and the random variables characterizing the structural uncertainties, whose governing equations determine an infinite hierarchy. As a consequence, a closure scheme must be applied even if the structure is linear. In this sense the proposed approach is approximated even for the linear system. For nonlinear systems the closure schemes are also necessary in order to treat the nonlinearities. The complete set of equations obtained by this procedure is shown to be linear if the structure is linear. The application of this procedure to some simple examples has shown its high level of accuracy, if compared with other classical approaches, such as the perturbation method, even for low levels of closures.

A Strategic Approach for Developing a Conceptual Model for Achieving Country Wide Academic Entrepreneurship in Iran

  • Asgari, Omid
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.93-107
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    • 2014
  • Purpose - The pool of entrepreneurs with progressive qualities such as creativity and innovation was considered concurrently with such factors as work and capital that stimulate economic development and growth. This study aims to present a model to support the development of a strategic approach for achieving an overall academic entrepreneurship system in Iran. Research design, data, and methodology - The research design of this study is based on applied research because of its objectives, using principles and techniques formulated for basic research to solve operational and real organizational issues. This design also drives the method used, describing and interpreting the findings. Secondary data (library research) was used for this study's data collection. Because of this research's essential characteristics, no hypothesis is launched, and no research setting, questionnaire design, population or population sampling, validity or reliability tests, or statistical analysis are needed. Results and Conclusions - The model is created using a strategic approach acting in an octal setting comprising social, cultural, legal, economic, political, technological, competitive, and natural environments to present a conceptual framework for future studies.

Analysis of Control Element Assembly Withdrawal at Full Power Accident Scenario Using a Hybrid Conservative and BEPU Approach

  • Kajetan Andrzej Rey;Jan Hruskovic;Aya Diab
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.10
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    • pp.3787-3800
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    • 2023
  • Reactivity Initiated Accident (RIA) scenarios require special attention using advanced simulation techniques due to their complexity and importance for nuclear power plant (NPP) safety. While the conservative approach has traditionally been used for safety analysis, it may lead to unrealistic results which calls for the use of best estimate plus uncertainty (BEPU) approach, especially with the current advances in computational power which makes the BEPU analysis feasible. In this work an Uncontrolled Control Element Assembly (CEA) Withdrawal at Full Power accident scenario is analyzed using the BEPU approach by loosely coupling the thermal hydraulics best-estimate system code (RELAP5/SCDAPSIM/MOD3.4) to the statistical analysis software (DAKOTA) using a Python interface. Results from the BEPU analysis indicate that a realistic treatment of the accident scenario yields a larger safety margin and is therefore encouraged for accident analysis as it may enable more economic and flexible operation.

A Level II reliability approach to rock slope stability (암반사면 안정성에 대한 Level II 신뢰성 해석 연구)

  • Park, Hyuck-Jin;Kim, Jong-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2004.03b
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    • pp.319-326
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    • 2004
  • Uncertainty is inevitably involved in rock slope engineering since the rock masses are formed by natural process and subsequently the geotechnical characteristics of rock masses cannot be exactly obtained. Therefore the reliability analysis method has been suggested to deal properly with uncertainty. The reliability analysis method can be divided into level I, II and III on the basis of the approach for consideration of random variable and probability density function of reliability function. The level II approach, which is focused in this study, assumes the probability density function of random variables as normal distribution and evaluates the probability of failure with statistical moments such as mean and standard deviation. This method has the advantage that can be used the problem which the Monte Carlo simulation approach cannot be applied since the complete information on the random variables are not available. In this study, the analysis results of level II reliability approach compared with the analysis results of level III approach to verify the appropriateness of the level II approach. In addition, the results are compared with the results of the deterministic analysis.

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Response Calibration for Bridges based on Statistical Quality Control Chart (통계적 품질 관리도에 기초한 교량의 응답 보정)

  • Hwang, Jin Ha;An, Seoung Su;Kim, Ju Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents the response calibration method based on quality control range, which is established from the concept and method of statistical quality control for natural frequency ratio and response ratio. To this end, statistical analysis including descriptive statistics analysis, normality test, ANOVA were performed for response characteristics obtained from loading tests and structural analysis for more than hundred and thirty well-conditioned bridges. Suggested method is based on real structural integrity evaluation case studies and statistical quality control approach, in this respect it is expected to provide scientific criteria and systematic procedure for response calibration and load carrying capacity assessment.

The Use of Local Outlier Factor(LOF) for Improving Performance of Independent Component Analysis(ICA) based Statistical Process Control(SPC) (LOF를 이용한 ICA 기반 통계적 공정관리의 성능 개선 방법론)

  • Lee, Jae-Shin;Kang, Bok-Young;Kang, Suk-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.39-55
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    • 2011
  • Process monitoring has been emphasized for the monitoring of complex system such as chemical processing industries to achieve the efficiency enhancement, quality management, safety improvement. Recently, ICA (Independent Component Analysis) based MSPC (Multivariate Statistical Process Control) was widely used in process monitoring approaches. Moreover, DICA (Dynamic ICA) has been introduced to consider the system dynamics. However, the existing approaches show the limitation that their performances are strongly dependent on the statistical distributions of control variables. To improve the limitation, we propose a novel approach for process monitoring by integrating DICA and LOF (Local Outlier Factor). In this paper, we aim to improve the fault detection rate with the proposed method. LOF detects local outliers by using density of surrounding space so that its performance is regardless of data distribution. Therefore, the proposed method not only can consider the system dynamics but can also assure robust performance regardless of the statistical distributions of control variables. Comparison experiments were conducted on the widely used benchmark dataset, Tennessee Eastman process (TE process), and showed the improved performance than existing approaches.

Study on Improving Oriental Medicine Statistical System for Multidimensional Statistical Data

  • Yea, Sang-Jun;Kim, Chul;Kim, Jin-Hyun;Jang, Hyun-Chul;Kim, Sang-Kyun;Song, Mi-Young
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2011
  • Oriental medicine statistics are essential in research planning, research evaluation, and policy decision based on objective data. However, integrated administration of such statistics is not presently possible in the oriental medicine field, which has been slow in incorporating information communication technology. In an effort to address this problem, the Korea Institute of Oriental Medicine (KIOM) developed an oriental medicine statistical system in 2009, and the system has been offered in the traditional medicine information portal of OASIS. However, according to a 2010 survey targeting OASIS users, those surveys reported that needs for a system where various statistical data can be extracted via an interactive approach to multidimensional data. As a result of an analysis of the functions of the existing system, it was found that it is necessary to array and arithmetically analyze Stats Value, Drill Up & Drill Down, and Pivot. To this end, the existing DB schema should be redesigned. Based on our analysis result, we redesigned the database into a structure that is applicable to the reverse pivot algorithm. We used J2EE/JSP and a Flex framework to design and develop an oriental medicine statistical system that can provide multidimensional statistical data. Considering that the improved oriental medicine statistical system is planned to be offered by OASIS of KIOM, utilization and value of oriental medicine statistical data are expected to be enhanced.

Machine Learning Approach for Pattern Analysis of Energy Consumption in Factory (머신러닝 기법을 활용한 공장 에너지 사용량 데이터 분석)

  • Sung, Jong Hoon;Cho, Yeong Sik
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2019
  • This paper describes the pattern analysis for data of the factory energy consumption by using machine learning method. While usual statistical methods or approaches require specific equations to represent the physical characteristics of the plant, machine learning based approach uses historical data and calculate the result effectively. Although rule-based approach calculates energy usage with the physical equations, it is hard to identify the exact equations that represent the factory's characteristics and hidden variables affecting the results. Whereas the machine learning approach is relatively useful to find the relations quickly between the data. The factory has several components directly affecting to the electricity consumption which are machines, light, computers and indoor systems like HVAC (heating, ventilation and air conditioning). The energy loads from those components are generated in real-time and these data can be shown in time-series. The various sensors were installed in the factory to construct the database by collecting the energy usage data from the components. After preliminary statistical analysis for data mining, time-series clustering techniques are applied to extract the energy load pattern. This research can attributes to develop Factory Energy Management System (FEMS).

Statistical Estimates from Black Non-Hispanic Female Breast Cancer Data

  • Khan, Hafiz Mohammad Rafiqullah;Ibrahimou, Boubakari;Saxena, Anshul;Gabbidon, Kemesha;Abdool-Ghany, Faheema;Ramamoorthy, Venkataraghavan;Ullah, Duff;Stewart, Tiffanie Shauna-Jeanne
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.19
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    • pp.8371-8376
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    • 2014
  • Background: The use of statistical methods has become an imperative tool in breast cancer survival data analysis. The purpose of this study was to develop the best statistical probability model using the Bayesian method to predict future survival times for the black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients diagnosed during 1973-2009 in the U.S. Materials and Methods: We used a stratified random sample of black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patient data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional regression methods. Four advanced types of statistical models, Exponentiated Exponential (EE), Beta Generalized Exponential (BGE), Exponentiated Weibull (EW), and Beta Inverse Weibull (BIW) were utilized for data analysis. The statistical model building criteria, Akaike Information Criteria (AIC), Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), and Deviance Information Criteria (DIC) were used to measure the goodness of fit tests. Furthermore, we used the Bayesian approach to obtain the predictive survival inferences from the best-fit data based on the exponentiated Weibull model. Results: We identified the highest number of black non-Hispanic female breast cancer patients in Michigan and the lowest in Hawaii. The mean (SD), of age at diagnosis (years) was 58.3 (14.43). The mean (SD), of survival time (months) for black non-Hispanic females was 66.8 (30.20). Non-Hispanic blacks had a significantly increased risk of death compared to Black Hispanics (Hazard ratio: 1.96, 95%CI: 1.51-2.54). Compared to other statistical probability models, we found that the exponentiated Weibull model better fits for the survival times. By making use of the Bayesian method predictive inferences for future survival times were obtained. Conclusions: These findings will be of great significance in determining appropriate treatment plans and health-care cost allocation. Furthermore, the same approach should contribute to build future predictive models for any health related diseases.

A Study on the Effect of Fisheries Damage Factors on Fisheries Price (어업피해발생요인이 어가에 미친 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.135-151
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    • 2010
  • Conventional studies concerning about economic evaluation of fisheries damages caused by public undertakings have focused on showing the causality between marin environmental variation and fisheries production. But almost all of them have ignored the effect of fisheries damages factors on fisheries price. The study tries to suggest a model how to examine the existence and measurement of the effect of fisheries damage factors on fisheries price using statistical approach, in other words, the estimation of the statistical coincidence between two different population means. The paper tries to give a good application of the model using the case of fisheries damages caused by oil leakage pollution which happened three years ago in the coast of Taean province.