• Title/Summary/Keyword: statistic technique

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Validation Technique of Trace-Driven Simulation Model Using Weighted F-measure (가중 F 척도를 이용한 Trace-Driven 시뮬레이션 모델의 검증 방법)

  • HwangBo, Hoon;Cheon, Hyeon-Jae;Lee, Hong-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.185-195
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    • 2009
  • As most systems get more complicated, system analysis using simulation has been taken notice of. One of the core parts of simulation analysis is validation of a simulation model, and we can identify how well the simulation model represents the real system with this validation process. The difference between input data of two systems has an effect on the comparison between a simulation model and a real system at validation stage, and the result with such difference is not enough to ensure high credibility of the model. Accordingly, in this paper, we construct a model based on Trace-driven simulation which uses identical input data with the real system. On the other hand, to validate a model by each class, not by an unique statistic, we validate the model using a metric transformed from F-measure which estimates performance of a classifier in data mining field. Finally, this procedure enables precise validation process of a model, and it helps modification by offering feedback at the validation phase.

Analysis of Noise Influence on a Chaotic Series and Application of Filtering Techniques (카오스 시계열에 대한 잡음영향 분석과 필터링 기법의 적용)

  • Choi, Min Ho;Lee, Eun Tae;Kim, Hung Soo;Kim, Soo Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.1B
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2011
  • We studied noise influence on nonlinear chaotic system by using Logistic data series which is known as a typical nonlinear chaotic system. We regenerated Logistic data series by the method of adding noise according to noise level. And, we performed some analyses such as phase space reconstruction, correlation dimension, BDS statistics, and DVS Algorithms which are known as the methods of nonlinear deterministic or chaotic analysis. If we see the results of analysis, the characteristics of data series are gradually changed from nonlinear chaotic data series to random stochastic data series according to increasing noise level. We applied Low Pass Filter (LPF) and Kalman Filter techniques for the investigation of removing effect of the added noise to data series. Typical nonparametric method cannot distinguish nonlinear random series but the BDS statistic can distinguish the nonlinear randomness of the time series. Therefore this study used the BDS statistic which is well known as nonlinear statistical method for the investigation of randomness of time series for the effect of removing noise of data series. We found that Kalman filter is better method to remove the noise of chaotic data series even for high noise level.

Effects of dye-guidance brushing etching technique on the performance of pits and fissures sealant (Dye-guidance와 brushing을 통한 산부식 방법이 치면열구전색술의 수복의 질에 미치는 영향)

  • Hung, Phan Ai;Lee, Nan-Young;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.106-121
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of suggested etching method on the performance of pits and fissures sealant. In the first part, seventy extracted sound human permanent third molars and premolars were used. The teeth were randomly divided and performed in three different groups as follows : conventional etching, enameloplasty, and testing group. Non-pumicing, dye-guidance vigorous brushing-start etching technique was applied on the occlusal of testing group. Then the pit and fissure sealant was applied on all of the specimens. After the thermocycling and immersing in 1% methylene blue, the resin embedded sections were made. The microleakage data on the section were then recorded under the stereoscope and statistic analysis was done. Additional experiments were also performed : direct fissure surface etched pattern experiment, replica study, and micro-shear bond strength testing observation. The second part included two groups. A paired study was designed to evaluate the influence the environment has on the performance of the sealant. After etching, half of each occlusal surface received one of the two following treatments in succession: sealing in laboratory and intraoral condition (group 1), sealing in intraoral condition with and without a single-bonding agent (group 2). The results of present study can be summarized as follows: - The microleakage of testing group was significant different with conventional method (P<.05) and was not different with the enameloplasty group (P>.05). - The quality and quantity of etched enamel were improved. - Microshear bond strength of testing group was higher than control group (p<.05). - The environmental condition was influenced on the performance of the sealant. The testing etching method modified the capacity of the etching agent to penetrate into the pits and fissures, and simultaneous enhance their efficiency in vitro condition.

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Availability of Statistical Quality Control of Nuclear Medicine Blood Test Using Population Distribution (모집단 분포를 이용한 핵의학 혈액검사의 통계적 품질관리의 유용성)

  • Cheon, Jun Hong;Cho, Eun Bit;Yoo, Seon Hee;Kim, Nyeon Ok
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine Technology
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2016
  • Purpose The importance of quality control by the error to a minimum, which for the purpose of enhancing the reliability of the examination is not be emphasized excess. Currently, most nuclear medicine laboratory are conducting the internal and external quality control, and they are applying the Levey-Jennings or Westgard Multi-Rules by using the commercialized quality control materials. The reliability of the nuclear medicine blood test which affects the diagnosis of patients and the treatment policy is being secured through this quality control activity. Therefore, researchers will evaluate the utility of the statistic quality control using the population distribution of the nuclear medicine blood test conducted targeting the checkup examinees by the additional technique of the reliability improvement. Materials and Methods A statistic analysis was performed about 12 items of the nuclear medicine blood test targeting 41,341 peoples who used the health screening and promotion center in Asan Medical Center from January, 2014 to December, 2014. The results of 12 items of the nuclear medicine blood test was divided into the monthly percentage of three groups: within reference values, over reference, and under reference to analyze the average value of the population distribution, standard deviation, and standard deviation index (SDI). Results The standard deviation of the population distribution mostly showed a result within ${\pm}2SD$ in all groups. However, When the standard deviation of the population distribution represented a result over ${\pm}2SD$, it was confirmed SDI was showing a result of SDI > -2 or SDI > 2. As a result of analyzing the population distribution of 12 items(AFP, CEA, CA19-9, CA125, PSA, TSH, FT4, Anti-Tg-Ab, Anti-TPO-Ab, Calcitonin, 25-OH-VitD3, Insulin) of the nuclear medicine blood part basic test, when SDI of the monthly percentage which deviated from the reference values was over ${\pm}2.0$, CA19-9 September was 2.2, Anti-Tg-Ab may was 2.2, Insulin January was 2.3, Insulin March was 2.4. It was confirmed these cases were attributed to the abnormality of the test reagent (maximum combination rate of isotope reagent declined) and the decline of the test response time. Conclusion The population distribution includes the entire attribute which becomes the study object. It is expected the statistic quality management using the population distribution which was conducted targeting the checkup examinees by dividing into three groups: within reference values, over reference, and under reference by means of this characteristics will be able to play a role of complementing the internal quality control program which is being carried out in the laboratory.

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Statistical Analysis and Countermeasure about Fire Mistaken Dispatch (통계적 분석을 통한 화재 오인출동의 현황과 대책)

  • Eom, Sang-Yong;Kim, Kyoung-Jin;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2013
  • In this research, the fire mistaken dispatch records for the past 11 years have been analyzed by using a statistic technique. Fire mistaken dispatch occurred yearly average $48,371{\pm}5,763$ time at 95 % confidence level. This is 1.2 times more than the dispatch for extinguishing the fire. Fire mistaken dispatch has been increased mainly by malfunctioning alarm among other various reasons and the reason of mistaken dispatch is different depending on the population of the region. In big cities, the burning smell accounts for the most of mistaken dispatch but in rural areas, the garbage incineration is the major reason for mistaken dispatch. As a result of calculating the mean time between fire mistaken dispatches (MTBFmd) by region, MTBFmd of Daejeon is 20.61 hr/time and its reliability is 95.26 % at t=1 hr. On the other hand, the MTBFmd of Gyeonggi is 0.58 hr/time and its reliability is 17.91 % at t=1 hr.

Statistical Errors of Articles Published in the Journal of Oriental Rehabilitation Medicine(I) (한방재활의학과학회지의 통계적 오류에 관한 고찰(I))

  • Park, Tae-Yong;Heo, Tae-Young;Shin, Byung-Cheul
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.105-130
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to assess the statistical methods errors used in the journal of Oriental Rehabilitation Medicine(JORM) and to identify the types of errors in statistical analysis. Methods : We reviewed quantitative articles that were published in the JORM from January 2005 through October 2009. Those were not used by statistical analysis such as literature studies, case study, review articles were not included in this analysis. A total of 296 articles was reviewed. We evaluated the adequacy and the validity of the statistical techniques with our checklist established be modified Lee's checklist, and three statistical evaluators assessed together to minimize bias. Results : Of the 222 articles, 213 were used in inferential and descriptive statistics. Of those 80% of articles adopting descriptive and inferential statistics were detected having statistical errors. One articles used 1.7 statistical method unit generally. Most frequently employed statistics were student t-test, one way ANOVA. pearson correlation analysis, Mann-whitney U test, paired t-test, and chi-square test in their order. However, most frequent statistics having errors were similar in order. The most common statistic errors were as follow: 1. absence of normality test, 2. misuse between paired test and unpaired test, 3. wrong choice of repeated measures analysis without consideration of time variables, 4, increase of Type I error by using inappropriate multiple test, 5. inappropriate application of discrete or categorical data instead of continuous data in correlation analysis, 6. poor consideration of basic consumption in chi-square test, 7. confusion between frequency comparison and average comparison, 8. mentioning the statistical technique without using it. Conclusions : We found various mistake or misuses in the applications of statistical methodologies in the articles published in the JORM. Careful consideration of statistical use and review from the specialist of statistics are warranted for improving the quality of JORM.

The Effect of Storycrafting Program on Mathematical Creativity and Communication (스토리크래프팅 프로그램이 수학적 창의성 및 의사소통능력에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyewon;Chang, Hyewon
    • Journal of Elementary Mathematics Education in Korea
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.677-694
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    • 2016
  • Storycrafting is a creative educational technique in Finland. Since 2011, storytelling approach of mathematics textbooks in South Korea can be regarded as opportunities for interesting learning of mathematics as well as its improper application to mathematics lessons. We need to revise and improve the storytelling method. The purpose of this study is to make a storycrafting program that encourages students to make mathematical stories for themselves and to analyze the effect of the storycrafting program on mathematical creativity and communication. To do so, we developed a storycrafting program of mathematics for sixth graders, which is composed of 33 lessons. And we applied them to one sixth class as experimental group. Through pre-test and post-test, their mathematical creativity and communication were tested. Based on the result of t-test, we can verify the statistical meaningful effect of the storycrafting program. This study contains some conclusions and suggestions.

Long-Term Water Quality Trend Analysis with NTrend 1.0 Program in Nakdong River (NTrend 1.0에 의한 낙동강 수질 장기변동 추세분석)

  • Yu, Jae Jeong;Shin, Suk Ho;Yoon, Young Sam;Song, Jae Kee
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.895-902
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    • 2010
  • The effect of seasonality on water quality variation is very significant. Generally, it reduce the power of the trend extraction. A parametric time-series model was used for detecting trends in historic constituent concentration data. The effect of seasonality is able to remove from time series decomposition technique. According to such statistic methode, long-term water quality trend analysis system (NTrend 1.0) was developed by Nakdong River Water Environmental Research Center. The trend analysis of BOD variation was conducted with NTrend 1.0 at Goreong and Moolkum site in Nakdong river to show the effect of water quality management action plan. Power test of trend extraction was tried each case of 'deseasonalized and deannulized' data and 'deseasonalized' data. Analysis period was from 1989 to 2006, and it's period was divided again three times, 1989~1993, 1994~1999 and 2000~2006 according to action plan period. The BOD trend was downward in Goreong site during three times and it's trend slope was very steep, and upward in Moolkum during 1989~1993, but it was turned downward during 1994~1999 and 2000~2006. It was revealed that it's very effective to reduce the concentration of BOD by water quality management action plan in that watershed. The result of power test was shown that it is high for trend extraction power in case of 'deseasonalized' data.

Hurst's memory for SOI and tree-ring series (남방진동지수, 나이테 자료에 대한 허스트 기억)

  • Kim Byung Sik;Kim Hung Soo;Seoh Byung Ha;Yoon Kang Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.792-796
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    • 2005
  • The methods of times series analysis have been recognized as important tools for assisting in solving problems related to the management of water resources. Especially, After more than 40 years the so-called Hurst effect remains an open problem in stochastic hydrology. Until now, its existence has been explained fly R/S analysis that roots in early work of the British hydrologist H.E. Hurst(1951). Today, the Hurst analysis is mostly used for the hydrological studies for memory and characteristics of time series and many methodologies have been developed for the analysis. So, there are many different techniques for the estimation of the Hurst exponent(H). However, the techniques can produce different characteristics for the persistence of a time series each other. We found that DFA is the most appropriate technique for the Hurst exponent estimation for both the shot term memory and long term memory. We analyze the SOI(Southern Oscillations Index) and 6 tree-ring series for USA sites by means of DFA and the BDS statistic is used for nonlinearity test of the series. From the results, we found that SOI series is nonlinear time series which has a long term memory of H=0.92. Contrary to earlier work of Rao(1999), all the tree- ring series are not random from our analysis. A certain tree ring series show a long term memory of H=0.97 and nonlinear property. Therefore, we can say that the SOI and tree-ring series may show long memory and nonlinearity.

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Discrimination of Geographic Origin by Trace Elements Contents in Rehmannia Radix Preparat using X-ray Fluorescence Analysis (X-선 형광 분석방법을 이용한 숙지황의 무기원소 함량분석과 지리적 특성 규명)

  • Bae, Hey-Ree;Lee, Si-Kyung;Whang, In-Jae;Kang, Jeong-Mi;Lee, Jin-Ho;Kim, Jeong-Han
    • Journal of Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.345-348
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    • 2015
  • Dried Rehmannia Radix Preparat, produced in different geographic origins of Korea and China, were investigated for the trace element contents using X-ray fluorescence spectrometry. When the estimated data for 35 kind of elements including K, P, S, Cl, Si, Al, Fe, Sn, etc on 143 samples were analyzed by canonical discrimination technique, the average classification correct rate was 92.3% and the significance was less than 0.0001. In case of reducing the number of elements for statistic analysis from 35 to 8 and to 3, the correct rates were also reduced to 88.1% and to 84.6%. The correct rate for Chinese samples ranged from 94.6-96.0%, while those for Korean ranged from 72.5-89.9%.