• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.25 no.1
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• pp.1-22
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• 2008

This study is to evaluate, to the extent to, which advanced currency futures and emerging currency futures markets can predict accurately the future spot rate. To this end, Johansen's the maximum-likelihood cointegration method(1988, 1991) is adopted to test the unbiasedness and efficiency hypothesis. Also, this study is to estimate and compare a quantitative measure of relative efficiency as a ratio of the forecast error variance from the best-fitting quasi-error correction model to the forecast error variance of the futures price as predictor of the spot price in advanced currency futures with in emerging currency futures market. Advanced currency futures is British pound and Japan yen. Emerging currency futures includes Korea won, Mexico peso, and Brazil real. The empirical results are summarized as follows : First, the unbiasedness hypothesis is not rejected for Korea won and Japan yen futures exchange rates. This indicates that the emerging currency Korea won and the advanced currency Japan yen futures exchange rates are likely to predict accurately realized spot exchange rate at a maturity date without the trader having to pay a risk premium for the privilege of trading the contract. Second, in emerging currency futures markets, the unbiasedness hypothesis is not rejected for Korea won futures market apart from Mexico peso and Brazil real futures markets. This indicates that in emerging currency futures markets, Korea won futures market is more efficient than Mexico peso and Brazil real futures markets and is likely to predict accurately realized spot exchange rate at a maturity date without risk premium. Third, this findings show that the results of unbiasedness hypothesis tests can provide conflicting finding. according to currency futures class and forecasts horizon period, Fourth, from the best-fitting quasi-error correction model with forecast horizons of 14 days, the findings suggest the Japan yen futures market is 27.06% efficient, the British pound futures market is 26.87% efficient, the Korea won futures market is 20.77% efficient, the Mexico peso futures market is 11.55%, and the Brazil real futures market is 4.45% efficient in the usual order. This indicates that the Korea won-dollar futures market is more efficient than Mexico peso, and Brazil real futures market. It is therefore possible to concludes that the Korea won-dollar currency futures market has relatively high efficiency comparing with Mexico peso and Brazil real futures markets of emerging currency futures markets.

• Management & Information Systems Review
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.287-307
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• 2012

We empirically examine the price discovery dynamics among the VKOSPI, the KOSPI200 spot, and the KOSPI200 futures markets. The analysis employs the vector-autoregression, Granger causality, impulse response function, and variance decomposition using both daily data from 2009. 04. 13 to 2011. 12. 30 and 1 minute data from the bull market, bear market, and the flat period. The main results are as follows; First, the lead lag relationships between KOSPI200 spot(futures) yield VKOSPI returns could not be found from the daily data analysis. But KOSPI200 spot(futures) have a predictive power for VKOSPI from 1 minute data. Especially KOSPI200 spot(futures) and VKOSPI show the bi-directional effects to each other during the return rising period Second, We chose the VAR(1) the model in daily data but adopt the VAR(3) model in the one minute data to determine the lead lag time. We know that there is predictability during the very short period Third, Spot returns and futures returns makes no difference in daily data results. According to the one minite data results, VKOSPI returns have a predictive power for KOSPI200 spot return, but have no predictive power for KOSPI200 futures return.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2000.07a
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• pp.388-390
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• 2000

The production of electricity and the pattern of consumption in competitive electricity market are changing. The price of electric power in spot market will be varied by the economic electricity availability of generation utilities and electricity consumers. DSM(demand-side management) is a method which provides simultaneously economics to utilities and consumers as main participants in electricity market. In this paper, it is argued that the effect of DSM in competitive electricity market for consumers, generation utilities, and transmission utilities.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.111-139
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• 2003

In this paper, the unbiasedness hypothesis cannot be rejected for JPY. It means that Japanese forward exchange market is efficient. This implies that there would not be an unusual profit from speculation. However, the unbiasedness hypothesis can be rejected for THB, HKD, IDR. It means that Asian forward exchange market is inefficient. This implies that there would be an unusual profit from all available information. This suggests that forward exchange rates cannot be an unbiased estimator of future spot exchange rate. This result explains that the actual pricing for forward rate is not based on the international financial market's pricing mechanism of interest rate parity theory, but rather depends upon that simple market expectations and aspirations.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.93-124
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• 2011

The introduction of competition in the generation of electricity has raised the fundamental question of whether markets provide the right incentives for the provision of the capacity needed to maintain system reliability. Capacity mechanisms are adopted around the world to guarantee appropriate level of investment in electricity generation capacity. In this study, we discuss these approaches and analyze the capacity pricing mechanisms from the adequacy perspective. We conclude that the design of capacity mechanism is very important to decrease electricity spot price and increase total electric capacity. Specifically, the constant of capacity pricing mechanism made a difference to the performance of electricity market. However, the slope of capacity price mechanism is better than the constant of that in improving performance of electricity market.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.168-175
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• 2006

The cultural grounds of lave r have been surveyed using SPOT-5 satellite images. The facilities of laver cultivation area in the coastal waters of Korea were calculated. 10 m resolution multispectral images of SPOT-5 are adopted for the southern are a of Jebu Island, Hwaseong city to develop an automatic detection approach of laver nets that consists of the following: band difference technique, canny edge detector and morphological analysis: The number of satellite-based facilities was relatively high as compared with the licensed number in 2005, 676,749 chaek and 572,745 chaek(柵, unit of measure for laver farm), respectively. The ratio of a law abiding facility was very low at 52.9%. These data could be applied to control its national production keeping a stable market price for the government body.

• Cartoon and Animation Studies
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• s.17
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• pp.53-67
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• 2009

According to the changes of current regulation of media, the broadcasting environment has been loosened by market power, and came into competitive era for broadcasting industry with new technology of combined broadcasting and communication. To resolve these issues, the broadcasting provides are trying process of new channel brand identity to introduce their channels. The purpose of the research is to analyze Spot animation that has fast access to viewers among channel brand identity factors, review expandability and usage of Spot animation character to plan, manage character that can improve awareness and loyalty. Therefore it will study creation background and production, activities of each character representing KBS and MBC, compare the structure, color, material, expression of Spot animation character and summarize properties. To conclusion, three characters of KBS and MBC failed to apply structured and professional plan and management, only expressed image that each channel pursue on Station ID Spot animation and had issues of not deeply sighting expandability and usefulness as a character. The important factor to improve channel brand value of broadcasting provider is to have differentiated identity, and the core of it is to make image-responsible Station ID to be effective. Therefore, Spot animation and character of Station ID is a very important factor so there must be professional research and structural management from the early planning and production for character that represents the providers.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.55 no.5
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• pp.202-213
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• 2006

This paper presents a new approach for optimal dispatch of energy and frequency regulation reserve considering contingency in a competitive electricity market. It is necessary to introduce the reserve market with the spot energy market for operating efficiently and obtaining the security of the electricity market. However, the reserve market is closely connected with the energy market since the energy and reserve are produced from the same resources. Thus, it is inevitable to co-optimize the energy and ancillary service for efficient operation of energy and ancillary service market. Therefore, this paper proposes a new method for optimal dispatch of energy and frequency regulation reserve considering n-1 contingency of generator and transmission line using constraints and sensitivity based on AC power flow To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, the numerical studies have been performed for 5-bus sample system and modified IEEE 14-bus system.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2009.07a
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• pp.569_570
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• 2009

This paper presents a methodology to find the profit maximized Nash Equilibriums of each generator(or GenCo), which considers the Ramp-rate of each generator under a competitive market environment. The ramp-rate of a generator is one of the physical or technical constraints of a generator and means the ability to increase or decrease the output instantaneously. In this paper, we found several Nash Equilibriums of the generation allocation problem through Dynamic Programming in a competitive market. Individual generators participate in a game to maximize its profit through competitions and play a game with bidding strategies of its generation quantities in a spot market.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.42 no.5
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• pp.341-346
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• 2018

Supramax bulk carriers cover a wide range of ocean transportation requirements, from major to minor bulk cargoes. Market forecasting for this segment has posed a challenge to researchers, due to complexity involved, on the demand side of the forecasting model. This paper addresses this issue by using technical indicators as input features, instead of complicated supply-demand variables. Artificial neural networks (ANN), one of the most popular machine-learning tools, were used to replace classical time-series models. Results revealed that ANN outperformed the benchmark binomial logistic regression model, and predicted direction of the spot market with more than 70% accuracy. Results obtained in this paper, can enable chartering desks to make better short-term chartering decisions.