• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제28권6호
• /
• pp.369-380
• /
• 2019

Statistical distributions are very useful in describing wind speed characteristics and in predicting wind power potential of a specified region. Although the Weibull distribution is the most popular one in wind energy literature, it does not seem to be able to perfectly fit all the investigated wind speed data in nature. Thus, many studies are still being conducted to find flexible distribution for modelling wind speed data. In this study, we propose a new Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution for wind speed characterization. The Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution with two shape parameters is flexible enough to model different shapes of wind speed data and thus it can be an alternative wind speed distribution for the assessment of wind energy potential. Therefore, suitability of the Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution is investigated on real wind speed data taken from different regions in the South Africa. Numerical results of the conducted analysis confirm that the new Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution is suitable for modelling most of the considered real wind speed cases and it also can be used for predicting wind power.

• 한국안전학회지
• /
• 제25권2호
• /
• pp.78-83
• /
• 2010

An installation of automated speed enforcement system(ASES) was known for traffic safety and accident preventive effects that traffic characteristics transmute by speed distribution stabilizing. This study is verified the variations of average speed, 85% speed, speed distribution and dispersion as traffic characteristics depend on enforcement system influences in the road. We tested selected 5 areas. By and large, it has a little differences depend on road geometric structure and traffic environment but that is not too much. After all, after automated speed enforcement system installed in all of test areas, average speed, 85% accumulated speed, speed distribution and dispersion characteristics were declined and equalized. The speed dispersion was smaller than before installed the ASES. The speed dispersion value of each case that is the limited speed has been 70Km/h, 80Km/h at flat and straight, 80Km/h at downhill and straight or downhill and left-curved area was 77.3%, 65.2%, 68.7% and 54.1%. Each of the data was declined. We could analyze that average speed distributed depletion factor was declined rapidly by 66.3% in test area.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제26권6호
• /
• pp.383-395
• /
• 2018

An accurate determination of wind speed distribution is the basis for an evaluation of the wind energy potential required to design a wind turbine, so it is important to estimate unknown parameters of wind speed distribution. In this paper, Gumbel distribution is used in modelling wind speed data, and alternative robust estimation methods to estimate its parameters are considered. The methodologies used to obtain the estimators of the parameters are least absolute deviation, weighted least absolute deviation, median/MAD and least median of squares. The performances of the estimators are compared with traditional estimation methods (i.e., maximum likelihood and least squares) according to bias, mean square deviation and total mean square deviation criteria using a Monte-Carlo simulation study for the data with and without outliers. The simulation results show that least median of squares and median/MAD estimators are more efficient than others for data with outliers in many cases. However, median/MAD estimator is not consistent for location parameter of Gumbel distribution in all cases. In real data application, it is firstly demonstrated that Gumbel distribution fits the daily mean wind speed data well and is also better one to model the data than Weibull distribution with respect to the root mean square error and coefficient of determination criteria. Next, the wind data modified by outliers is analysed to show the performance of the proposed estimators by using numerical and graphical methods.

• 대한금속재료학회지
• /
• 제46권3호
• /
• pp.150-158
• /
• 2008

The temperature distribution of high speed tool steel rod has been studied during high speed hot rolling procedures. The tool steel rod shows severe temperature gradient during rolling procedures and the temperature at the center of rod are much higher than that at the surface of rod. This temperature gradient accumulated after every rolling procedure and the center of rolled rod could be remelt in some procedures to cause inside defects. In this study, the temperature distribution was simulated using finite element method and the processing parameters such as rolling speed, cooling condition, have been discussed to prevent the temperature increases at the center of rod.

• 한국농림기상학회지
• /
• 제19권3호
• /
• pp.130-139
• /
• 2017

기상청 동네예보 풍속으로부터 농작물의 강풍피해를 예측하기 위해, 방재기상관측지점 19곳의 2012년 풍속자료를 이용하여 기상청 동네예보의 3시간 간격과 동일한 0000, 0300 ${\cdots}$ 2100 시간대의 풍속과 직전 3시간 동안의 최대풍속 간의 관계를 직선회귀식으로 표현하였다. 매 3시간 마다 추정된 최대풍속 중 가장 큰 값을 일 최대풍속으로 간주하고, 이 때의 추정오차를 정규분포와 Weibull 분포 확률밀도함수로 표현하였다. 또한 일 최대풍속과 작물 피해 임계풍속 간의 편차를 추정오차 기반 확률 분포에 적용하여 확률누적값으로 풍해 '주의보'와 '경보' 단계를 설정하였다. 19지점별 최대풍속 추정 회귀계수(a, b)와 추정오차의 표준편차 및 Weibull 분포의 모수(${\alpha}$, ${\beta}$)는 공간내삽하여 분포도로 작성하고 종관기상관측지점 4곳(순천, 남원, 임실, 장수)의 격자값을 추출하였다. 이를 이용해 2012년의 일 최대풍속을 추정하고, 배 만삼길 품종의 낙과 발생 사례에서 제시된 풍속 10m/s를 낙과 임계풍속으로 간주, 풍해 주의보와 경보를 판정하였다. 그 결과, 최대풍속 추정오차를 Weibull 분포로 표현하여 풍해 위험 정도를 판정하는 것이 정규분포만을 이용하는 것보다 더 현장에 정확한 주의보를 발령할 수 있었다.

• 유통과학연구
• /
• 제20권3호
• /
• pp.53-58
• /
• 2022

Purpose: Controlling and minority shareholders sometimes have conflicting interests. Controlling shareholders who do not have adequate monitoring can exhibit a strong tendency to maximize their personal wealth. In this case, cash holdings can be the easiest means for them to pursue their personal interests. This study examined whether the largest shareholder's ownership proportion affected the speed at which firms adjust their cash holdings to target levels in Korean distribution and service companies. Research design, data, and methodology: The study uses regression analysis to examine 834 firm-year samples listed on the KOSPI between 2013 and 2018 in the distribution and service sectors. Results: The largest shareholder's ownership is positively related to a firm's cash holdings adjustment speed. That is, the larger the largest shareholder's ownership, the faster the firm adjusts its cash holdings to achieve the target level. Conclusions: This study contributes to the literature by providing evidence that the cash holdings adjustment speed in Korean service and distribution companies is affected by the largest shareholder's ownership. As the agency problem between controlling and minority shareholders in Korea is a major issue, minority owners' sensitivity to agency costs may help restrict controlling owners' ability to maximize their personal wealth.

• 한국음향학회지
• /
• 제39권5호
• /
• pp.400-405
• /
• 2020

복수의 음향유동에 의해 형성되는 유속의 분포를 해석하기 위하여 동일한 두 개의 압전진동자로 구성된 초음파 트랜스듀서에 의해 형성되는 음향유동에 대해 음원 사이의 각도에 따른 음향유동속도의 분포를 조사하였다. 거리에 따른 유체입자속도의 분포를 측정하기 위하여 물과 동일한 밀도를 갖는 표시액을 사용한 간단한 측정방법을 제안하였다. 수치해석적인 방법으로 시뮬레이션한 결과와 실험결과는 유사한 경향을 나타내었으며, 두 음원으로부터 방사된 평면파의 방사빔이 교차하는 각도에 따른 음향유동의 속도 분포의 변화를 해석할 수 있었다.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제34권6호
• /
• pp.469-482
• /
• 2022

The generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is frequently used to fit the block maximum of environmental parameters such as the annual maximum wind speed. There are several methods for estimating the parameters of the GEV distribution, including the least-squares method (LSM). However, the application of the LSM with the expected order statistics has not been reported. This study fills this gap by proposing a fitting method based on the expected order statistics. The study also proposes a plotting position to approximate the expected order statistics; the proposed plotting position depends on the distribution shape parameter. The use of this approximation for distribution fitting is carried out. Simulation analysis results indicate that the developed fitting procedure based on the expected order statistics or its approximation for GEVD is effective for estimating the distribution parameters and quantiles. The values of the probability plotting correlation coefficient that may be used to test the distributional hypothesis are calculated and presented. The developed fitting method is applied to extreme thunderstorm and non-thunderstorm winds for several major cities in Canada. Also, the implication of using the GEVD and Gumbel distribution to model the extreme wind speed on the structural reliability is presented and elaborated.

• 대한용접접합학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 대한용접접합학회 2009년 추계학술발표대회
• /
• pp.226-234
• /
• 2009

The purpose of this study was to investigate the melting phenomenon of filler wire in detail and to obtain the precise temperature distribution of filler wire during GTA welding under the ultra-high welding speed condition in order to develop the ultra-high-speed GTA welding process with the pulse-heated hot-wire system by using three kinds of materials. The melting phenomenon of filler wire was observed using a high-speed camera and the temperature distribution of filler wire was measured using a radiation thermometer. From the above result, the adequate welding conditions of each material to make the GTA welding process with the ultra-high welding speed could be obtained. The ultra-high-speed GTA welding process needed the adequate wire current in order to obtain the adequate temperature distribution and the adequate melting position of filler wire. Moreover, the temperature distributions of three kinds of filler wire could be estimated by using the proposed simple estimation method.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• 제20권5호
• /
• pp.701-718
• /
• 2015

The joint distribution of wind speed and wind direction at a bridge site is vital to the estimation of the basic wind speed, and hence to the wind-induced vibration analysis of long-span bridges. Instead of the conventional way relying on the weather stations, this study proposed an alternate approach to obtain the original records of wind speed and the corresponding directions based on field measurement supported by the Structural Health Monitoring System (SHMS). Specifically, SHMS of Sutong Cable-stayed Bridge (SCB) is utilized to study the basic wind speed with directional information. Four anemometers are installed in the SHMS of SCB: upstream and downstream of the main deck center, top of the north and south tower respectively. Using the recorded wind data from SHMS, the joint distribution of wind speed and direction is investigated based on statistical methods, and then the basic wind speeds in 10-year and 100-year recurrence intervals at these four key positions are calculated. Analytical results verify the reliability of the recorded wind data from SHMS, and indicate that the joint probability model for the extreme wind speed at SCB site fits well with the Weibull model. It is shown that the calculated basic wind speed is reduced by considering the influence of wind direction. Compared to the design basic wind speed in the Specification of China, basic wind speed considering the influence of direction or not is much smaller, indicating a high safety coefficient in the design of SCB. The results obtained in this study can provide not only references for further wind-resistance research of SCB, but also improve the understanding of the safety coefficient for wind-resistance design of other engineering structures in the similar area.