• Title/Summary/Keyword: speed distribution

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The new odd-burr rayleigh distribution for wind speed characterization

  • Arik, Ibrahim;Kantar, Yeliz M.;Usta, Ilhan
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.369-380
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    • 2019
  • Statistical distributions are very useful in describing wind speed characteristics and in predicting wind power potential of a specified region. Although the Weibull distribution is the most popular one in wind energy literature, it does not seem to be able to perfectly fit all the investigated wind speed data in nature. Thus, many studies are still being conducted to find flexible distribution for modelling wind speed data. In this study, we propose a new Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution for wind speed characterization. The Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution with two shape parameters is flexible enough to model different shapes of wind speed data and thus it can be an alternative wind speed distribution for the assessment of wind energy potential. Therefore, suitability of the Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution is investigated on real wind speed data taken from different regions in the South Africa. Numerical results of the conducted analysis confirm that the new Odd-Burr Rayleigh distribution is suitable for modelling most of the considered real wind speed cases and it also can be used for predicting wind power.

A Study on the Variations of Runing Speed Characteristics by Automated Speed Enforcement System (속도위반단속시스템에 의한 주행속도 특성 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Wan-Ki;Ryu, Boo-Hyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2010
  • An installation of automated speed enforcement system(ASES) was known for traffic safety and accident preventive effects that traffic characteristics transmute by speed distribution stabilizing. This study is verified the variations of average speed, 85% speed, speed distribution and dispersion as traffic characteristics depend on enforcement system influences in the road. We tested selected 5 areas. By and large, it has a little differences depend on road geometric structure and traffic environment but that is not too much. After all, after automated speed enforcement system installed in all of test areas, average speed, 85% accumulated speed, speed distribution and dispersion characteristics were declined and equalized. The speed dispersion was smaller than before installed the ASES. The speed dispersion value of each case that is the limited speed has been 70Km/h, 80Km/h at flat and straight, 80Km/h at downhill and straight or downhill and left-curved area was 77.3%, 65.2%, 68.7% and 54.1%. Each of the data was declined. We could analyze that average speed distributed depletion factor was declined rapidly by 66.3% in test area.

Alternative robust estimation methods for parameters of Gumbel distribution: an application to wind speed data with outliers

  • Aydin, Demet
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 2018
  • An accurate determination of wind speed distribution is the basis for an evaluation of the wind energy potential required to design a wind turbine, so it is important to estimate unknown parameters of wind speed distribution. In this paper, Gumbel distribution is used in modelling wind speed data, and alternative robust estimation methods to estimate its parameters are considered. The methodologies used to obtain the estimators of the parameters are least absolute deviation, weighted least absolute deviation, median/MAD and least median of squares. The performances of the estimators are compared with traditional estimation methods (i.e., maximum likelihood and least squares) according to bias, mean square deviation and total mean square deviation criteria using a Monte-Carlo simulation study for the data with and without outliers. The simulation results show that least median of squares and median/MAD estimators are more efficient than others for data with outliers in many cases. However, median/MAD estimator is not consistent for location parameter of Gumbel distribution in all cases. In real data application, it is firstly demonstrated that Gumbel distribution fits the daily mean wind speed data well and is also better one to model the data than Weibull distribution with respect to the root mean square error and coefficient of determination criteria. Next, the wind data modified by outliers is analysed to show the performance of the proposed estimators by using numerical and graphical methods.

Temperature Distribution of High Speed Tool Steel Rod During High Speed Hot Rolling Procedure (고속열간압연에서 고속도공구강 봉재의 온도분포 해석)

  • Jeong, Hyo Tae;Lee, Soo Yeon;Ha, Tae Kwon;Jung, Jae Young
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.150-158
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    • 2008
  • The temperature distribution of high speed tool steel rod has been studied during high speed hot rolling procedures. The tool steel rod shows severe temperature gradient during rolling procedures and the temperature at the center of rod are much higher than that at the surface of rod. This temperature gradient accumulated after every rolling procedure and the center of rolled rod could be remelt in some procedures to cause inside defects. In this study, the temperature distribution was simulated using finite element method and the processing parameters such as rolling speed, cooling condition, have been discussed to prevent the temperature increases at the center of rod.

Prediction of Wind Damage Risk based on Estimation of Probability Distribution of Daily Maximum Wind Speed (일 최대풍속의 추정확률분포에 의한 농작물 강풍 피해 위험도 판정 방법)

  • Kim, Soo-ock
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.130-139
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    • 2017
  • The crop damage caused by strong wind was predicted using the wind speed data available from Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA). Wind speed data measured at 19 automatic weather stations in 2012 were compared with wind data available from the KMA's digital forecast. Linear regression equations were derived using the maximum value of wind speed measurements for the three-hour period prior to a given hour and the digital forecasts at the three-hour interval. Estimates of daily maximum wind speed were obtained from the regression equation finding the greatest value among the maximum wind speed at the three-hour interval. The estimation error for the daily maximum wind speed was expressed using normal distribution and Weibull distribution probability density function. The daily maximum wind speed was compared with the critical wind speed that could cause crop damage to determine the level of stages for wind damage, e.g., "watch" or "warning." Spatial interpolation of the regression coefficient for the maximum wind speed, the standard deviation of the estimation error at the automated weather stations, the parameters of Weibull distribution was performed. These interpolated values at the four synoptic weather stations including Suncheon, Namwon, Imsil, and Jangsu were used to estimate the daily maximum wind speed in 2012. The wind damage risk was determined using the critical wind speed of 10m/s under the assumption that the fruit of a pear variety Mansamgil would begin to drop at 10 m/s. The results indicated that the Weibull distribution was more effective than the normal distribution for the estimation error probability distribution for assessing wind damage risk.

The Effects of Agents' Competing Interests on Corporate Cash Policy and Cash Holdings Adjustment Speed: The Distribution and Service Industries

  • RYU, Haeyoung;CHAE, Soo-Joon
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Controlling and minority shareholders sometimes have conflicting interests. Controlling shareholders who do not have adequate monitoring can exhibit a strong tendency to maximize their personal wealth. In this case, cash holdings can be the easiest means for them to pursue their personal interests. This study examined whether the largest shareholder's ownership proportion affected the speed at which firms adjust their cash holdings to target levels in Korean distribution and service companies. Research design, data, and methodology: The study uses regression analysis to examine 834 firm-year samples listed on the KOSPI between 2013 and 2018 in the distribution and service sectors. Results: The largest shareholder's ownership is positively related to a firm's cash holdings adjustment speed. That is, the larger the largest shareholder's ownership, the faster the firm adjusts its cash holdings to achieve the target level. Conclusions: This study contributes to the literature by providing evidence that the cash holdings adjustment speed in Korean service and distribution companies is affected by the largest shareholder's ownership. As the agency problem between controlling and minority shareholders in Korea is a major issue, minority owners' sensitivity to agency costs may help restrict controlling owners' ability to maximize their personal wealth.

Analysis of flow speed distribution in the acoustic streaming generated by two piston sources (두 개의 피스톤음원으로부터 발생된 음향유동의 유속분포 해석)

  • Kim, Jungsoon;Jung, Jihee;Kim, Moojoon
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.400-405
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    • 2020
  • To analyze the flow distribution formed by multiple acoustic sources, the distribution of acoustic streaming speed caused by an ultrasonic transducer composed of two identical piezoelectric vibrators was examined for various angles between the sound sources. In order to measure the distribution of the speed along the acoustic axis of the transducer, a simple measurement method using a droplet indicator having density similar to that of water is suggested. The simulation results calculated by a numerical method and experimental results showed a similar tendency, and the change of flow speed distribution with the intersection angle between acoustic beams radiated from two acoustic sources was analyzed.

Estimating quantiles of extreme wind speed using generalized extreme value distribution fitted based on the order statistics

  • Liu, Y.X.;Hong, H.P.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2022
  • The generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) is frequently used to fit the block maximum of environmental parameters such as the annual maximum wind speed. There are several methods for estimating the parameters of the GEV distribution, including the least-squares method (LSM). However, the application of the LSM with the expected order statistics has not been reported. This study fills this gap by proposing a fitting method based on the expected order statistics. The study also proposes a plotting position to approximate the expected order statistics; the proposed plotting position depends on the distribution shape parameter. The use of this approximation for distribution fitting is carried out. Simulation analysis results indicate that the developed fitting procedure based on the expected order statistics or its approximation for GEVD is effective for estimating the distribution parameters and quantiles. The values of the probability plotting correlation coefficient that may be used to test the distributional hypothesis are calculated and presented. The developed fitting method is applied to extreme thunderstorm and non-thunderstorm winds for several major cities in Canada. Also, the implication of using the GEVD and Gumbel distribution to model the extreme wind speed on the structural reliability is presented and elaborated.

Bead Formation and Wire Temperature Distribution during Ultra-high-speed GTA Welding Using Pulse-heated Hot-wire

  • Shinozaki, K.;Yamamoto, M.;Mitsuhata, Koichi;Nagashima, Toshiharu;Kanazawa, T.;Arashin, H.
    • Proceedings of the KWS Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.226-234
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the melting phenomenon of filler wire in detail and to obtain the precise temperature distribution of filler wire during GTA welding under the ultra-high welding speed condition in order to develop the ultra-high-speed GTA welding process with the pulse-heated hot-wire system by using three kinds of materials. The melting phenomenon of filler wire was observed using a high-speed camera and the temperature distribution of filler wire was measured using a radiation thermometer. From the above result, the adequate welding conditions of each material to make the GTA welding process with the ultra-high welding speed could be obtained. The ultra-high-speed GTA welding process needed the adequate wire current in order to obtain the adequate temperature distribution and the adequate melting position of filler wire. Moreover, the temperature distributions of three kinds of filler wire could be estimated by using the proposed simple estimation method.

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Joint distribution of wind speed and direction in the context of field measurement

  • Wang, Hao;Tao, Tianyou;Wu, Teng;Mao, Jianxiao;Li, Aiqun
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.701-718
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    • 2015
  • The joint distribution of wind speed and wind direction at a bridge site is vital to the estimation of the basic wind speed, and hence to the wind-induced vibration analysis of long-span bridges. Instead of the conventional way relying on the weather stations, this study proposed an alternate approach to obtain the original records of wind speed and the corresponding directions based on field measurement supported by the Structural Health Monitoring System (SHMS). Specifically, SHMS of Sutong Cable-stayed Bridge (SCB) is utilized to study the basic wind speed with directional information. Four anemometers are installed in the SHMS of SCB: upstream and downstream of the main deck center, top of the north and south tower respectively. Using the recorded wind data from SHMS, the joint distribution of wind speed and direction is investigated based on statistical methods, and then the basic wind speeds in 10-year and 100-year recurrence intervals at these four key positions are calculated. Analytical results verify the reliability of the recorded wind data from SHMS, and indicate that the joint probability model for the extreme wind speed at SCB site fits well with the Weibull model. It is shown that the calculated basic wind speed is reduced by considering the influence of wind direction. Compared to the design basic wind speed in the Specification of China, basic wind speed considering the influence of direction or not is much smaller, indicating a high safety coefficient in the design of SCB. The results obtained in this study can provide not only references for further wind-resistance research of SCB, but also improve the understanding of the safety coefficient for wind-resistance design of other engineering structures in the similar area.