• Title/Summary/Keyword: space weather effects

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Construction of Korean Space Weather Prediction Center: Introduction

  • Cho, Kyung-Suk;Bong, Su-Chan;Kim, Yeon-Han;Kim, Khan-Hyuk;Hwang, Jung-A;Kwak, Young-Sil;Kim, Rok-Soon;Lee, Jae-Jin;Choi, Seong-Hwan;Baek, Ji-Hye;Park, Young-Deuk
    • Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.32.1-32.1
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    • 2008
  • It is well known that solar and space weather activities can influence the performance and reliability of modern technological system and can endanger human life. Since 2007, the Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI) has initiated a research project for the construction of Korean Space Weather Prediction Center (K-SWPC) to make preparations for the next solar cycle maximum (~2012). In this talk, we briefly introduce the current progress of KASI activities for K-SWPC; extension of ground observation system, construction of space weather database and network, development of prediction models, and space weather effects. In addition, future plans for KSWPC will be discussed.

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KASI's contributions to Space Weather over the past 10 years

  • Cho, Kyungsuk;Park, Young-Deuk
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.64.4-65
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    • 2015
  • For the past decade, supported by the Korean government, the solar and space weather group of Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI) has been researching towards the prevention of hazardous effects on Korean satellites, the stability of wireless telecommunications, and the safety of polar route aviation. So far, we have expanded the ground observation system, made space data more accessible, developed more advanced models for space weather forecasting, from which we have been providing forecasting services to a satisfied domestic clientele. Alongside that, we have continued our research on solar activities and the Sun-Earth connection. In this talk, I will summarize our contributions to space weather over the past 10 years and discuss future plans for next decade.

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Space Weather Effects on GEO Satellite Anomalies during 1997-2009

  • Choi, Ho-Sung;Lee, Jae-Jin;Cho, Kyung-Suk;Cho, Il-Hyun;Park, Young-Deuk
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.30.2-30.2
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    • 2010
  • Numerous operational anomalies and satellite failures have been reported since the beginnings of the "space age". Space weather effects on modern spacecraft systems have been emphasized more and more as increasing their complexity and capability. Energetic particles potentially can destroy and degrade electronic components in satellites. We analyzed the geostationary (GEO) satellite anomalies during 1997-2009 to search possible influences of space weather on the satellite anomalies like power problem, control processor problem, attitude control problem, etc. For this we use particle data from GOES and LANL satellites to investigate space weather effects on the GEO satellites' anomalies depending on Kp index, local time, seasonal variation, and high-energy electron contribution. As results, we obtained following results: (1) there is a good correlation between geomagnetic index(Kp) and anomaly occurrences of the GEO satellite; (2) especially during the solar minimum, occurrence of the satellite anomalies are related to electron flux increase due to high speed solar wind; (3) satellite anomalies occurred more preferentially in the midnight and dawn sector than noon and dusk sector; (4) and the anomalies occurred twice more in Spring and Fall than Summer and Winter; (5) the electron with the lowest energy channel (50-75keV) has the highest correlation (cc=0.758) with the anomalies. High association between the anomalies and the low energy electrons could be understand by the facts that electron fluxes in the spring and fall are stronger than those in the summer and winter, and low-energy electron flux is more concentrated in the dawn sector where the GEO satellite anomalies occurred more frequently than high-energy electron flux. While we could not identify what cause such local time dependences, our results shows that low-energy electrons (~100keV) could be main source of the satellite anomaly, which should be carefully taken into account of operating satellites.

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EFFECTS OF SOLAR ACTIVITY AND SPACE ENVIRONMENT IN 2003 OCT. (2003년 10월의 태양활동과 우주환경의 영향)

  • Cho, Kyung-Seok;Moon, Yong-Jae;Kim, Yeon-Han;Choi, Sung-Whan;Kim, Rok-Soon;Park, Jong-Uk;Kim, Hae-Dong;Lim, Mu-Taek;Park, Young-Deuk
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.315-328
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we present a good example of extreme solar and geomagnetic activities from October to November, 2003. These activities are characterized by very large sunspot groups, X-class solar flares, strong particle events, and huge geomagnetic storms. We discuss ground-based and space-based data in terms of space weather scales. Especially, we present several solar and geomagnetic disturbance data produced in Korea : sunspots, geo-magnetograms, aurora, Ionogram, and Total Electron Content (TEC) map by GPS data. Finally, we introduce some examples of the satellite orbit and communication effects caused by these activities; e.g., the disturbances of the KOMPSAT-1 operational orbit and HF communication.

Pre-study for Polar Routes Space Radiation Forecast Model Development (극항로 우주방사선 예보 모델 개발을 위한 사전 연구)

  • Hwang, Junga;Shin, Daeyun
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we summarized the results of "Pre-study for the development of Polar route space radiation forecast model", funded by National Meteorological Satellite Center, Korea Meteorological Administration. We investigated the aviation space weather-related literature and the airline companies's operation manual associated with the space weather. We also identify the strengths and weaknesses of many pre-existing space radiation calculation programs, and find the potential to be improved. Until now, we don's have our own space radiation calculation program, so we need more improved space radiation calculation program which will be developed by ourselves. Currently most space radiation calculation programs cannot reflect temporary variations in the solar activities and the space weather. Here we analyzed the strengths and weaknesses of those programs, which are widely used in typical space radiation calculations. Finally to reflect the real-time space weather effects in the forecast model, we need to develop more precise forecast model. For that purpose, we suggest the following four steps: (1) at first, we have to choose the ground-based radiation dose calculation program, (2) we have to select a proper atmospheric model in aircraft altitude, (3) we combine the selected ground cosmic radiation dose calculation program and the selected atmospheric model, and finally (4)we have to reflect the real time space weather information and space weather forecast into the newly combined model.

Analysis on Space Environment from the Anomalies of Geosynchronous Satellites (지구정지궤도 위성의 오동작 사례를 통해 본 우주 환경 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Jin;Hwang, Jung-A;Bong, Su-Chan;Choi, Ho-Sung;Cho, Il-Hynn;Cho, Kyung-Suk;Park, Young-Deuk
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.521-528
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    • 2009
  • While it is well known that space environment can produce spacecraft anomaly, defining space environment effects for each anomalies is difficult. This is caused by the fact that spacecraft anomaly shows various symptoms and reproducing it is impossible. In this study, we try to find the conditions of when spacecraft failures happen more frequently and give satellite operators useful information. Especially, our study focuses on the geosynchronous satellites which cost is high and required high reliability. We used satellite anomaly data given by Satellite News Digest which is internet newspaper providing space industry news. In our analysis, 88 anomaly cases occurred from 1997 to 2008 shows bad corelation with Kp index. Satellite malfunctions were likely to happen in spring and fall and in local time from midnight to dawn. In addition, we found the probability of anomaly increase when high energy electron flux is high. This is more clearly appeared in solar minimum than maximum period.

A Study of the Disaster Safety Management Systems on the Satellite Communication Networks for Solar Maximum (태양극대기 대비 위성통신망에 관한 재난안전관리시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jongwoo
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.78-85
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    • 2012
  • This paper takes precautions proposals against prospective disasters from the space weather maximum in 2013. The space weather maximum could wreak havoc in this world. A geomagnetic space storm sparked by a solar eruption like the one that flared toward earth is bound to strike again and could wreak havoc across the modern world. Despite of the fact that not only researches by colleges and institutions current researches have been focusing on warning systems of space communication and the earth network systems, but also management and control systems are not situated for the space weather blasters. The purpose of the study is that the damage reduces methods implementation on the ultimate space weather communication systems by above lists proposed type analysis. In result, the implementation of the communication disaster management systems deals with the smart IT converged GIS analysis on the flare, solar proton event, geomagnetic storm to the effects of the geomagneticsphere, ionosphere and troposphere from solar maximum. This research can provide affective methods for the saving lives and property protections that implementation of the disaster prediction and disaster prevention systems adapts smart IT systems and converged high tech information systems using decision making support systems of the GIS methodology.

ANALYSIS ON GPS PWV EFFECTS AS AN INITIAL INPUT DATA OF NWP MODEL (수치예보모델 초기치로서 GPS 가강수량 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Won;Cho, Jung-Ho;Baek, Jeong-Ho;Park, Jong-Uk
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.285-296
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    • 2007
  • The Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) from GPS with high resolution in terms of time and space might reduce the limitations of the numerical weather prediction (NWP) model for easily variable phenomena, such as precipitation and cloud. We have converted to PWV from Global Positioning System (GPS) data of Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI) and Ministry of Maritime Affairs & Fisheries (MOMAF). First of all, we have selected the heavy rainfall case of having a predictability limitation in time and space due to small-scale motion. In order to evaluate the effect for GPS PWV, we have executed the sensitivity experiment with PWV from GPS data over Korean peninsula in the Weather Research & Forecasting 3-Dimensional Variational (WRF-3DVAR). We have also suggested the direction of further research for an improvement of the predictability of NWP model on the basis of this case.

DEVELOPMENT OF KAO SPACE WEATHER MONITORING SYSTEM: II. NOWCAST, FORECAST AND DATABASE (한국천문연구원의 태양 및 우주환경 모니터링 시스템 개발: II. 실시간 진단, 예보, 데이터베이스)

  • Park, So-Young;Cho, Kyung-Seok;Moon, Yong-Jae;Park, Hyung-Min;Kim, Rok-Soon;Hwangbo, Jung-Eun;Park, Young-Deuk;Kim, Yeon-Han
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2004
  • Nowcast and forecast based on realtime data are quite essential for space weather monitoring. We have developed the web pages (http://sun.kao.re.kr) of the KAO Space Weather Monitoring system by using ION (IDL on the Net). They display latest solar and geomagnetic data, and present their expected effects on satellite, communications and ground power system. In addition, daily NOAA/SEC prediction reports on the probability of solar X-ray flares, proton events and geomagnetic storms are provided. To predict the arrival times of interplanetary shocks and CMEs, two different types of prediction models are also implemented. A work is in progress to develop web-based database of several solar and geomagnetic activities. These data are automatically downloaded to our data server in every minute, or every day using IDL and FTP programs. In this paper, we will introduce more details on the development of the KAO Space Weather Monitoring system.