• 제목/요약/키워드: social time preference rate

검색결과 19건 처리시간 0.025초

Revisiting Social Discount Rates for Public Investment

  • SONG, JOONHYUK
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.75-98
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    • 2017
  • This paper aims to estimate the social discount rate (SDR) rather than dig into its theoretical foundation. As SDRs can be derived by investigating both the rate of return on investment and the social time preference rate, we estimate the marginal productivity of both private and public capital and the time preference rate based on the Euler equation. In order to provide a single representative SDR, the weighted averages of the marginal productivity and time preference rate, whose weights are determined by the flow of funds data reflecting the social demand of funds, are presented. Based on the empirical results, we argue that the marginal productivity of private capital stands in the middle of the 3% range while that of public capital varies from 4.5% to 8.6%, with the time preference rate showing a decreasing trend from 3.2% in the early 2000s to 1.2% by around 2030. The single representative SDR or the weighted SDR is estimated to be approximately 3.0~4.5% and expected to continue its downward trend for the foreseeable future.

공공임업투자(公共林業投資)에 대한 사회경제적(社會經濟的) 분석(分析)(I) - 사회적(社會的) 할인율(割引率)의 추정에 대하여 - (Socioeconomic Analysis of Public Forestry Investment(I) - On the Estimation of Social Discount Rate -)

  • 장철수
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제81권3호
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    • pp.280-286
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    • 1992
  • 공공임업투자분석(公共林業投資分析)에 있어서 사회적 비용-편익분석법을 사용할 경우 적정 할인율의 선택은 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 공공경제학 부문에서 토론 되고 있는 사회적(社會的) 할인율(割引率)이 소개되며 그의 한가지 척도로서 사회적(社會的) 시간선호율(時間選好率)이 우리나라에 대하여 추정되어졌다. 사용된 모델은 소비에 대한 사회적(社會的) 한계효용탄력성(限界效用彈力性) 계수(係數)와 실질 소비성장율(消費成長率)등 두가지 변수에 기초를 두고 있다. 적용 결과 우리나라의 사회적(社會的) 시간선호율(時間選好率)은 6.2%이며 소비에 대한 사회적(社會的) 한계효용(限界效用) 탄력성계수(彈力性係數)는 -1.38로 나타났다. 이러한 결과들은 합리적인 자원배분정책을 수립하는데 유용한 기초자료로 이용 될 수 있을 것이다.

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구매시점을 중심으로 소셜커머스 구매환경이 미치는 소비자 선호 별 효용 분석 (Analysis of Consumer Preferences on Social Commerce Buying Environment)

  • 최소영;임형수;전덕빈;강성열
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2017
  • Based on increased popularity and use of social network services as a marketing tool, social commerce became an emerging trend in e-commerce platforms. Social commerce involves sellers offering potential consumers the products and services at a lower price in a limited time period. Through comparison of the performances of domestic social commerce websites, we found that the buying environment such as price, number of available products, and the remaining time period for sale has a significant difference influencing on the purchase decisions of consumers. This study aims to analyze the interaction effects and preference levels of four characteristics (price, discount rate, number of purchases and purchase time) by conducting choice-based conjoint analysis. Survey experiment was performed using a sample of 146 undergraduate and graduate students. The results showed that consumers importantly consider purchase time, discount rate, price, number of purchases in the order of their preference. Also, discount effect is more significant on purchase decisions than price effect and consumers distinguish less the differences among the buying environment characteristics in the closing days of purchase period. Customer segmentation using the preference levels of characteristics indicates that the preference levels have different effects in the purchase utility of each segment. The proposed customer segmentation and differences in feature utilities are expected to be valuable in forming future sales promotion strategies in social commerce.

공공투자사업 평가의 적정 사회적할인율 추정에 관한 연구 (Study on Estimation of the Appropriate Social Discount Rate for Evaluating Public Investment Project)

  • 장병철;손의영;오미영
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2010
  • 공공투자사업평가 시 사회적할인율의 높고 낮음에 따라 비용 편익분석의 결과가 상이하다는 점에서 적정 수치는 매우 중요한 요소이다. 그리고 사회적할인율의 개념을 무엇으로 적용하는 것이 합리적인지에 대한 많은 논란과 연구가 현재까지 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 사회적할인율의 개념을 크게 세 가지 사회적 시간선호율, 사회적 투자수익률 그리고 이 둘을 가중평균 한 값으로 구분하였다. 추정방법으로는 사회적 시간선호율의 경우 소비이자율과 Pearce and Ulph식을 사용하였고, 사회적 투자수익률은 민간 총 자본 수익률을 사용하였다. 그리고 가중평균은 투자의 잠재가격을 이용한 Squire, L., Herman G. van der Tak식과 공공투자와 대치되는 민간투자와 민간 소비지출비율을 이용하여 추정하였다. 본 연구에서는 현재 시점의 사회적할인율을 추정하기 위해 연대구분을 1990년대, 2000년~2003년, 2004년~2008년으로 각각 구분한 후, 과거 한국개발연구원에서 제시된 1999년 7.5%, 2004년 6.5%, 그리고 2007년~현재 5.5%와 각각 비교하였다. 추정결과는 1990년대 6.6~10.7%, 2000년~2003년 4.0~7.0%, 2004년~2008년 2.4~3.9%로 각각 추정되었다. 현재 공공투자 사업평가에 사용되고 있는 사회적할인율 5.5%는 본 연구의 추정결과 보다 약1.6~3.1% 높은 것으로 나타났다. IMF이후 급격하게 하락한 소비이자율은 계속적으로 낮아지고 있고 앞으로도 지속될 것으로 예측하고 있다. 따라서 공공투자 사업의 목적인 현 세대부터 장래세대까지 모두를 고려한 사회적 자원의 재분배를 실현시키기 위해 선 현재의 사회적할인율은 점차 하향조정할 필요가 있다.

한국의 인공임신중절과 남아선호관이 출생시 성비의 불균형에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Induced Abortion and Son Preference on the Imbalance of Sex Ratio in Korea)

  • Cho, Nam-Hoon;Hong, Moon-Sik;Kim, Il-Hyun
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.77-97
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    • 1994
  • Despite the fact that the national family planning program in korea has accomplished its primary goals of fertility reduction and universal contraceptive use, the induced abortion is still high and there has been an increasing trend in the population sex ratio at birth. It seems that the changes in the imbalance of sex ratio have originated from traditonal boy preference. This indicates that much of the current family planning program can be overhauled, so that the program quality could be better controlled, by preventing the number of unwanted pregnancies and the imbalance of sex ratios. This paper aims, therefore, to examine the determinants of induced abortion through the investigation of pregnancy outcomes and their changes over time and to study the interaction between induced abortion, boy preference and the imbalance of sex ratio in Korea. The abortion rate had increased rapidly until the mid-1980s when there were about the same number of abortions as live births. Thereafter, the abortion rate has been maintained at this high level. By parity it shows a much higher abortion rate for a higher parity at all time. From the first parity, the sex composition of previous children stands out as the most important factor in deciding the pregnancy outcome at all time. The probability of a pregnancy ending in an abortion increases substantially when parents already had a son. The decline of the desired family size and the sustained strong son preference has made the sex of children a more important factor in the determination of the pregnancy outcome. Women's education has had consistently positive effects on the probability of a pregnancy ending in an abortion, but the effect shows a steady decline over time. The premarital pregnancy and urban residence also increase the abortion probability. This study suggests that the main concerns of the family planning program should be to strengthen the social support policies so as to weaken the son preference value leading to a balanced sex ratio and prevention of induced abortions.

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베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 상황정보에 기반을 둔 소셜커머스 음식 쿠폰 추천시스템 (Social Commerce Food Coupon Recommending System Based On Context Information Using Bayesian Network)

  • 정현주;이상용
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.389-395
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    • 2013
  • 최근 SNS를 활용한 소셜커머스를 통해 식음료 쿠폰의 거래가 활발하게 이루어지고 있다. 소셜커머스 상에서 식음료 쿠폰을 구매하여 사용할 경우 원하는 상품을 할인된 가격으로 이용할 수 있으나, 쿠폰 구입 시 매장의 위치, 이용 가능 기간 및 시간, 할인율 등을 구매자가 직접 비교하여 선택해야 하는 어려움이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 사용자의 위치 및 시간과 구매 이력 등의 상황정보를 고려하여 사용자에게 적합한 소셜커머스 상의 식음료 쿠폰을 추천하는 시스템을 제안한다. 이를 위해 사용자의 상황 인지 및 지속적인 사용자 성향 반영을 위해 베이지안 네트워크 기반의 쿠폰 추천 방법을 제안한다. 또한 사용자가 선호하는 쿠폰 선택 기준에 대한 개인화된 가중치를 반영하기 위해 AHP를 이용하여 선호도의 가중치를 측정하고 분류를 수행한다. 시스템의 효율성을 검증을 하기 위해 12명의 학생을 대상으로 1개월간 20회에 걸쳐 실험을 수행하였으며 그 결과 80%의 추천 만족도를 얻을 수 있었다.

국민기초생활보장제도 수급탈출의 기간의존성 (Duration Dependence in the Exit Rate from National Basic Livelihood Protection Program)

  • 이원진
    • 한국사회복지학
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    • 제63권4호
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    • pp.83-107
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 한국복지패널 1~4차년도 조사 자료를 활용하여 국민기초생활보장제도 수급탈출의 기간의존성을 분석하였다. 수급기간이 길어질수록 수급탈출률이 낮아지는 기간의존성의 존재는 복지의존을 시사하는 중요한 증거가 될 수 있다. 실증적 분석 결과, 성, 연령, 교육수준, 결혼지위, 건강상태, 취업 형태 등의 관찰된 특성을 통제한 후에도 수급기간이 길어질수록 수급탈출률이 낮아지는 현상이 관찰되지만, 관찰되지 않은 이질성을 통제하면 수급기간의 영향이 통계적으로 유의하지 않은 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과에 따르면, 수급기간이 길어질수록 수급탈출률이 낮아지는 현상의 상당부분은 수급자 집단의 이질성으로 인한 허위관계이고 수급탈출의 기간의존성은 크지 않은 것으로 판단된다.

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모유수유 저해요인에 대한 산모와 신생아실 간호사간의 인식정도 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study on the Perception of the Impediment Factors between Mothers and Nurses in Nursery)

  • 이미자
    • 여성건강간호학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.138-152
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    • 1995
  • The condition of nutrition during infancy will greatly affect infants' physical, emotional growth, especially breast feeding is important in their growth and development, and emotional stability, too. Despite such advantages of breast-feeding, its rate has continued to fall year after year in Korea : the 95% rate in 1960's has fallen to 25.4% in 1990. It is known that such a downfall of breast-feeding rate is associated with various factors. The purpose of the study is to examine mother's and nurses' in nursery perception of the impediment factors of breast-feeding : to compare those between of breast-feeding : to compare those between two groups : to provide fundamental data for developing strategies for increasing breast-feeding. The subjects were 45 new mothers from one hospital and the same number of nurses sampled from 3 university hospitals, in Seoul. The data were collected for 11 days from April 12 to April 23, 1994 and a questionnaire was developed based on the interview with 14 nurses and 10 mothers and the literature reviews. Liker's Five-Point Scale was used as measurement. The Data were analyzed using SPSS / PC and descriptive statistics, t-test, ANOVA. The results of study are as follows : 1) Most new mothers get the information about breast-feeding from their mothers, books or newspaper, and relatives in rank than professionals(nurses or doctors). 2) The impediment factors the breast-feeding are categorized as mothers, hospital system, medical personnels and social factors. The most frequently mentioned impediment factors from mothers are 'Difficulty by operational wounds'(3.13), 'Lack of will for breast-feeding'(3.47), 'Insufficient rest and sleep'(3.52) and 'Opposition from husband or his family members'(4.77)in rank. On the other hand those factors from nurses are 'Inadequate nipple condition'(2.37), 'Decreasing milk secretion given medicine after operation'(2.63), 'Mothers knowledge deficit by poorly prepared education'(2.79) and 'Mothers abhorance of breast-feeing'(3.87) in rank. 3) As for the hospital system, the highly perceived impediment factors by mothers are 'Seperation of baby from mother after birth'(2.78), 'Lack of space for breast-feeding in the hospital'(2.93), 'Lack of facility for informing the time for breast-feeding'(3.18) and 'Because of babys' preference artificial nipple by being accustomed to it in hospital(3.97), in rank. Meanwhile, those from nurses are "Seperation of baby from mother after birth",(1.92), "Inconsistency between hospital's nursing time and mother's breast secretion time" scretion time(2.97), "Lack of space for breast-feeding in the hospital"(3.39), and "Lack of facility for informing the time for breast-feeding"(3.74) 4) As for the medical personnels, the highestly perceived Impediment factor from mothers in "Lack of professional nurses for breast-feeding"(2.96), and the lowestly perceived one is "Doctors' reluctance"(4.75). Nurses perceived same as mothers, too. 5) As for the social factors, the highestly perceived impediment factor by mothers and nurses is "Inconvience of social activities"(2.83) and the lowestly ones are "The sense of self-sacrifice"(4.22) by mothers, and "The sense of old fashioned"(4.13) by nurses. 6) The difference of the perception of impediment factors between mothers and nurses is statistically significant only in mother factor.

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우리나라 부부의 영구피임 결정요인 (Determinants of Sterilization among Married Couples in Korea)

  • 김주희;이선미;서문희;강대룡;정우진
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제40권6호
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    • pp.461-466
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to examine the determinants of sterilization in South Korea. Methods : This study was based on the data from the Korea National Fertility Survey carried out in the year 2000 by the Korea Institute of Health and Social Affairs. The subjects of the analysis were 4,604 women and their husbands who were in their first marriage, in the age group of 15-49 years. The data were analyzed by multiple logistic regression analysis. Results : Consistent with the findings of previous studies, the woman#s age and the number of total children increased the likelihood of sterilization. In addition, the year of marriage had a strong positive association with sterilization. Interestingly, the number of surviving sons tended to increase the likelihood of sterilization, whereas the woman#s education level and age at the time of marriage showed a negative association with sterilization. Religion, place of residence, son preference, and the husband#s education level, age and type of occupation were not significant determinants of sterilization. Conclusions : The sex of previous children and lower level of education are distinct determinants of sterilization among women in South Korea. More studies are needed in order to determine the associations between sterilization rate and decreased fertility.

공동주택단지 내 휘트니스 센터 시설현황 분석에 관한 연구 (The Present Status Analysis of Interior Planning in a Fitness Center Inside an Apartment Complex)

  • 조영연
    • 한국실내디자인학회논문집
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2005
  • Lately due to the sudden growth of the construction of an apartment complex in domestic market, many construction companies are eager to provide various public facilities to increase the apartment distribution rate. An introduction of a fitness center is popularized as a part of such development. There has been a continuing development in a private fitness based on analyzing the user's data. However a public fitness is quite different from the private in terms of a user's classification, preference rate, the pattern of use, and location which requires a different facility plan. Nevertheless, all these days a public fitness in an apartment house has been developed without a specific facility plan based on relevant materials. It is worried that such development would cause the facilities not to function as appropriate resident facilities and sink to idle ones. Therefore the purpose of this paper is to make the standard considered in facility planning in future and the base to guide an applying method. In the paper the present condition of fitness centers inside apartment houses has been compared to analyze the progress of the existing facilities and the appropriateness of the organization and the structure division. The result of the research shows that public resident facilities is not the place to perform passive role for fixed activities but one to form a community through the human relationship based on the facility. Therefore a fitness center inside the apartment complex have to be designed to provide service and leisure space as one of main community facilities for residents. To obtain this purpose, when choosing facilities of an apartment complex, first of all the residents' standard of living, apartment size, residents' distinction rate of age and sex, the needs of the times should be fully considered Secondly, the size of each facility space have to be decided based on the practical data analysis in facility use such as space preference, average staying time. Also, future living culture requires the change of the function and space according to the change of social values, so continuing research and data analysis are required to related to fitness center inside an apartment complex in order to present systematic approaching method and the paper will be expected to be a little step toward it.