• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.1423-1431
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• 2016

When the sample size in a certain domain is too small to produce adequate information, small area model with random effects is usually used. Also, if we do not consider an inherent pattern which data possess, it considerably affects inference. In this paper, we mainly focus on modeling to handle increased variation of the Current Population Survey (CPS) median income as the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) mean income increases. In a hierarchical Bayesian framework, most estimations are carried out through the Gibbs sampler while the grid method is used to generate parameters from non-standard form. Numerical study indicates that the performance of proposed model is better than that of CPS method in terms of four comparison measurements.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.349-359
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• 2015

We study a semiparametric Bayesian approach to small area estimation under a nested error linear regression model with area level covariate subject to measurement error. Consideration is given to radial basis functions for the regression spline and knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of covariate with measurement errors in the nested error linear regression model setup. We conduct a hierarchical Bayesian structural measurement error model for small areas and prove the propriety of the joint posterior based on a given hierarchical Bayesian framework since some priors are defined non-informative improper priors that uses Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to fit it. Our methodology is illustrated using numerical examples to compare possible models based on model adequacy criteria; in addition, analysis is conducted based on real data.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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• pp.1481-1483
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• 1999

Power distribution system planning for maximum customer satisfaction and system efficiency requires accurate forecast of future demand in service area. Spatial load forecasting method provides a more accurate estimation of both magnitudes and location of future electrical load. This method considers the causes of load growth due to addition of customers and per capita consumption among customers by land use (residential, commercial and industrial). So the land-use study and it's preference for small area is quite important. This paper proposes land-use preference estimation method based on fuzzy logic. Fuzzy logic is applied to computing preference scores for each land-use and by these scores the customer growth is allocated in service area. An simulation example is used to illustrate the proposed method.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 1994년도 수공학연구발표회논문집
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• pp.279-284
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• 1994

• 한국조사연구학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국조사연구학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.131-152
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• 2001

지방화와 정보화사회에서는 지역내총생산(GRDP)이 지역 경제정책 수립에 필수적인 정보로 인식되고 있다. 특히 충청북도의 경제자립도를 제고하고 효과적인 지역경제 발전계획을 수립하기 위해서 개발하는 지역경제 예측시스템에는 충북 GRDP의 분기별 추계가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 충북 GRDP를 분기별로 추계하기 위하여 소지역 추정법을 적용하는 방안을 제안하였고, 한국은행의 전국 GRDP와 통계청의 충북 연간 GRDP의 변화추이가 공행성을 갖는다는 조건하에서 분기별 충북 GRDP를 추계하고자 하였다. 경제활동 부문별로 전국 분기별 GDP에서 분기별 변화추이 모형을 추정하고, 이를 충북 연간 GRDP를 분기별로 세분화하는데 적용하여 분기별 충북 GRDP를 추계하였다.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.181-187
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• 2009

In this study, a runoff hydrograph and runoff volume were calculated by using the kinetic wave theory for small urban watersheds based on the concept of low impact development(LID), and the effective imperviousness was estimated based on these calculations. The degree of sensitivity of the effective imperviousness of small watersheds to the impervious to pervious area ratio, infiltration capability, watershed slope, roughness coefficient and surface storage depth was then analyzed. From this analysis, the following conclusions were obtained: The effective imperviousness and paved area reduction factor decreased as the infiltration capability of pervious area increased. As the slope of watersheds becomes sharper, the effective imperviousness and the paved area reduction factor display an increasing trend. As the roughness coefficient of impervious areas increases, the effective imperviousness and the paved area reduction factor tend to increase. As the storage depth increases, the effective imperviousness and the paved area reduction factor show an upward trend, but the increase is minimal. Under the conditions of this study, it was found that the effective imperviousness is most sensitive to watershed slope, followed by infiltration capability and roughness coefficient, which affect the sensitivity of the effective imperviousness at a similar level, and the storage depth was found to have little influence on the effective imperviousness.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제99권3호
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• pp.285-291
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• 2010

제5차 국가산림자원조사는 국가단위의 산림자원 통계량을 산출하기 위해 설계되어 2006년부터 야외 표본점 자료를 수집하고 있다. 하지만, 표본의 개수가 적은 소면적 시군구의 산림통계를 산출하기 위해서는 보정자료를 이용하는 소면적 추정기법의 적용이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 야외 표본점의 위치정보를 활용할 수 있는 공간통계기반 합성추정법을 적용하여 소면적 시군구의 임상별 산림면적 및 ha당 평균축적 등을 추정할 수 있는 방안을 제시하기 위해 수행하였다. 먼저 조사된 표본점은 수종별 흉고단면적의 비율에 의해 임상별로 사후층화되었다. 합성추정법을 적용하기 위하여 목표 시군과 인접하는 시군들을 하나의 가상 시군으로 설정한 후, 이러한 가상 시군에 포함되는 표본점 자료를 산림통계량 산출에 이용하였다. 합성추정법에 의한 임상별 비율은 임상도와 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 한편, 합성추정법에 의한 임상별 ha당 평균축적은 표준오차가 ${\pm}3.5\;m^3/ha{\sim}{\pm}7.7\;m^3/ha$로 직접추정에 의한 표준오차(${\pm}7.8\;m^3/ha{\sim}{\pm}24.7\;m^3/ha$)보다 낮아 상대적으로 정확한 추정치를 나타내었다.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제60권8호
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• pp.1492-1501
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• 2011

A wide-area protection intelligent technique has been used to improve a reliability in power systems and to prevent a blackout. Nowadays, voltage and current phasor estimation has been executed by GPS-based synchronized PMU, which has become an important way of wide-area blackout protection for the prevention of expending faults in power systems. As this technique has the difficulties in collecting and sharing of information, there have been used a FNET method for the wide-area intelligent protection. This technique is very useful for the prediction of the inception fault and for the prevention of fault propagation with accurate monitoring frequency and frequency deviation. It consists of FDRs and IMS. It is well known that FNET can detect the dynamic behavior of system and obtain the real-time frequency information. Therefore, FDRs must adopt a optimal frequency estimation method that is robust to noise and fault. In this paper, we present comparative studies for the frequency estimation method using IRDWT(improved recursive discrete wavelet transform), for the frequency estimation method using FRDWT(fast recursive discrete wavelet transform). we used the Republic of Korea 345kV power system modeling data by EMTP-RV. The user-defined arbitrary waveforms were used in order to evaluate the performance of the proposed two kinds of RDWT. Also, the frequency variation data in various range, both large range and small range, were used for simulation. The simulation results showed that the proposed frequency estimation technique using FRDWT can be the optimal frequency measurement method applied to FDRs.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제32권4호
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• pp.27-43
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• 1990

This study aimed at developing a generalized model on the estimation of the long - term run - off volume for practical purpose. During the research period of last 3 years( 1986-1988), 3 types of estimation model on the long - term run - off volume(Effective rainfall model, unit hydrograph model and barne's model for dry season) had been developed by the author. In this study, through regressional analysis between determinant factors (bi of effective rainfall model, ai of unit hydrograph model and Wi of barne's model) and catchment characteris- tics(catchment area, distance round the catchment area, massing degree coefficient, river - exte- nsion, river - slope, river - density, infiltration of Watershed) of 11 test case areas by multiple regressional method, a new methodology on the derivation of determinant factors from catchment characteristics in the watershed areas having no hydrological station was developed. Therefore, in the resulting step, estimation equations on run - off volume for practical purpose of which input facor is only rainfall were developed. In the next stage, the derived equations were applied on the Kang - and Namgye - river catchment areas for checking of their goodness. The test results were as follows ; 1. In Kang - river area, average relative estimation errors of 72 hydrographs and of continuous daily run - off volume for 245 days( 1/5/1982 - 31/12) were calculated as 6.09%, 9.58% respectively. 2. In Namgye - river area, average relative estimation errors of 65 hydrographs and of conti- nuous daily run - off volume for 2fl days(5/4/1980-31/12) were 5.68%, 10.5% respectively. In both cases, relative estimation error was averaged as 7.96%, and so, the methodology in this study might be hetter organized than Kaziyama's formula when comparing with the relative error of the latter, 24~54%. However, two case studies cannot be the base materials enough for the full generalization of the model. So, in the future studies, many test case studies of this model should he carries out in the various catchment areas for making its generalization.

• 감성과학
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.73-78
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• 2002

The unique colors of paper, that is, blue, green, red, and yellow were used in the estimation of color from the subjective feeling. The monochrome with unique color or the unique color surrounded with the background color was presented. subject gazed the monochrome or the unique color, which was tailed target rotor. The target and background color were the complementary color each other. The various ratios of the area of gazed color and background were taken. Subject answered the level of subjective feeling consisted of pair of adjective items for unique color presented. With the use of the subjective feeling for the target color presented, the estimation of the unique color was cai\ulcornerlied out due to Fuzzy theory and neural networks. The results of color difference between unique color presented and the estimated color gave very small value for the case without background, while the results of the case with background color depended on the ratio of area of presented color and background color till the ration of 2:1, The relation showed the Kirschman's law, The color difference saturated In the increase of area of background with the ratio more than 2:1.