• 제목/요약/키워드: slow inflation

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Radar Measurement of Slow Deformation in the Baekdusan Stratovolcano

  • Kim, Sang-Wan;Won , Joong-Sun
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2005
  • Baekdusan is a Cenozoic stratovolcano in which a series of micro-seismic events and gaseous emissions have been reported in 1990s. Two-pass DInSAR technique was applied to determine displacement in the volcano by using 10 ERS SAR and 41 JERS-1 SAR datasets. Most interferometric phases out of 58 JERS-1 differential interferograms showed concentric fringe patterns that correlated with elevation. From an analysis of fringe-duration relation, the fringe patterns were found to be severely distorted specifically by stratified troposphere. To estimate the tropospheric delay, we used the data in the Sobaeksan located about 20 km away from the summit of Baekdusan. The maximum and mean magnitudes of the phase delay in the Baekdusan were respectively 13.8 cm and 3.8 cm over 1200 m in altitude. After removing tropospheric effects, a mean inflation rate was estimated to be about 3 mm per year from 1992 to 1998. Although the inflation rate of the volcano is inconclusive without ground truth data, the results indicate that there exists slow upward deformation in the Baekdusan volcano.

The Impact of Global Uncertainty Shocks on Macroeconomics: The Case of Vietnam

  • TRAN, Ha Hong;NGUYEN, Vinh Thi Hong;TRINH, Nam Hoang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권9호
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    • pp.263-269
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    • 2022
  • The global financial crisis of 2008-2009 and the COVID-19 pandemic that started in 2019 along with the slow and unstable recovery of the global economy have raised concerns about the impact of global uncertainty on the macroeconomics of the countries. The paper used the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model to examine the impact of global uncertainty shocks on Vietnam's economy from the period 2008-2022. We found that Vietnam's output dropped following the shock of global uncertainty, the peak was in the third month, and lasted for one year. Inflation in Vietnam had a rapid downturn in the first month, peaked in the seventh month, and took a long time to cease. When the economy experienced the shock of increased global uncertainty, Vietnam's policy interest rate was adjusted downward. Additionally, we included a long-term interest rate to consider the overall impact of monetary policy into account. A decreasing trend was also found with this rate. The global uncertainty shock effects acted as the aggregate demand shocks, reducing output and inflation as the uncertainty increases and vice versa, thus monetary policy can be used to regulate Vietnam's economy to deal with negative shocks without the trade-offs between output and inflation as aggregate supply shocks.

회전하는 타이어의 접지면 동특성 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Slow Rolling tire for Prediction of the Tire Forces and Moments)

  • 김항우;황갑운;조규종
    • 전산구조공학
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.161-169
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    • 1997
  • 차량의 동적특성, 즉 소음, 진동, 승차감 및 조종안정성능 등에 중요한 영향을 미치는 부품중에 하나로 차체의 중량을 지지하고 노면과 접촉하여 회전하면서 조타성을 지니는 타이어를 고려하지 않을 수 없다. 지금까지의 이러한 타이어 최적설계에 이용되어지고 있는 예측기법으로는 유한요소해석 방법이 널리 활용되어 지고 있으나, 이는 타이어에 공기압 주입 및 차량의 조종안정성능이 우수한 타이어 제품개발 및 개선을 위해 차량 주행시 타이어와 노면과의 접지면에 작용하는 힘과 모멘트를 예측할 수 있는 유한요소해석 적용기법을 개발하였으며,이러한 해석기법을 통한 결과와 실측치는 매우 유사한 관계를 지니고 있음을 알 수 있었다.

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Using a Refined SBAS Algorithm to Determine Surface Deformation in the Long Valley Caldera and Its Surroundings from 2003-2010

  • Lee, Won-Jin;Lu, Zhong;Jung, Hyung-Sup;Park, Sun-Cheon;Lee, Duk Kee
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2018
  • The Long Valley area and its surroundings are part of a major volcano system where inflation occurred in the resurgent dome in the 1990s. We used ENVISAT data to monitor surface deformation of the Long Valley area and its surroundings after the inflation, from 2003-2010. To retrieve the time series of the deformation, we applied the refined Small BAseline Subset (SBAS) algorithm which is improved using an iterative approach to minimize unwrapping error. Moreover, ascending and descending data were used to decompose the horizontal and vertical deformation in detail. To confirm refined SBAS results, we used GPS dataset. The InSAR errors are estimated as ${\pm}1.0mm/yr$ and ${\pm}0.8mm/yr$ from ascending and descending tracks, respectively. Compare to the previous study of 1990s over the Long Valley and its surroundings, Paoha Island and CASA geothermal area still subside. The deformation pattern in the Long Valley area during the study period (2003-2010) went through both subsidence (2003-2007) and slow uplift(2007-2010) episodes. Our research also shows no deformation signal near McGee Creek. Our study provided a better understanding of the surface changes of the indicators in the 1990s and 2000s.

V4와 에너지 플랫폼 규모화를 통한 2차 전지 제조 기술 확대 방안 (A Study on the Expansion of Secondary Battery Manufacturing Technology through the Scale of V4 and Energy Platform)

  • 서대성
    • 산업융합연구
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    • 제20권10호
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문은 ESG에 따른 신 산업기술 재편으로 V4 지역은 한국의 배터리 제조기지의 변곡점을 제기하고자 한다. 이는 코로나19에 따른 경제 위기속에 러시아-우크라이나 전쟁과 미-중간의 패권을 겨루고 있기 때문이다. 그로 인해 글로벌 공급망 시장은 단절된다. 중국과 러시아로부터의 유럽으로 광물, 곡물조달이나, 가스, 심지어 밀 수입이 여의치 않는 환경에서, 신 공급처의 다각화가 나타나고 있다. 보호주의와 글로컬로써, 이 지역은 러시아-우크라전쟁으로 완충지대(친러, 헝가리)에서 고립지대(반러, 폴란드)로 활용된다. EU 테이퍼링 기간과 높은 인플레이션으로 세계경제 성장은 더 둔화될 전망이다. 논문의 경우 이 지역의 시장단절(chasm) 방안을 다룬다. 이러한 변화에 신사업 기술의 전환과 에너지 공급에 따른 독일의 산업위축이 지난 20년간 경제성장 원동력을 잃게 될 수도 있다. 이는 명목 지표에서 현지 시장 단절(chasm)이 발생하고 있다. 다른 한편으로 한국은 희토류소재 공급망의 불균형에 따른 우회 개발공급 지역으로써, V4지역에 AI를 접목한 에너지 발전 수출(원전 및 전기-수소 발전)지역으로 전개해야 한다. 본 논문은 이러한 산업 연계로 인한 시장단절을 극복하려면, 신에너지 개발과 플랫폼 규모화를 이루고, 세계 각국에서 신뢰적인 공급 기술(차세대 전지, 재활용기술, 저가LFP)을 다각화를 형성할 수 있음을 방증하고 있다.

경제사상의 변화 (공급측면 경제학의 시험) (The changes of economic though (The trial of supply-side economics))

  • 서홍석
    • 한국관광식음료학회지:관광식음료경영연구
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    • 제8권
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    • pp.89-121
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    • 1997
  • Many of the measures and policies advocated by supply-siders, such as lower taxation, less government intervention, more freedom from restrictive legislation and regulation, and the need for increased productivity can be found in writing the classical economist. Nor is supply-side economics a complete divorcement from Keynesian analysis. In both camps the objectives are the same-high level employment, stable prices and healthy economic growth, the means or suggestions for attaining the objectives, however, differ. Consequently, recommended economic policies and measures are different. keynesians rely primarily on the manipulation of effective demand to increase output and employment and to combat inflation. They assume ample resources to be available in order that supply will respond to demand. The supply-siders emphasize the need to increase savings, investment, productivity and output as a means of increasing income. Supply-siders assume that the increase in income will lead to an increase in effective demand. Keynesians suggest that savings, particularly those not invested, dampen economic activity. Supply-siders hold that savings, or at least an increase in after-tax income, stimulates work effort and provides funds for investment. Perhaps keynesians are guilty of assuming that most savings are not going to be invested, whereas supply-siders may erroneously assume that almost all savings will flow into investment and/ or stimulate work effort. In reality, a middle ground is possible. The supply-siders stress the need to increase supply, but Keynes did not preclude the possibility of increasing economic activity by working through the supply side. According to Keynes' aggregate demand-aggregate supply framework, a decrease in supply will increase output and employment. It must be remembered, however, that Keynes' aggregate supply is really a price. Lowering the price or cost of supply would there by result in higher profit and/ or higher output. This coincides with the viewpoint of supply-siders who want to lower the cost of production via various means for the purpose of increasing supply. Then, too, some of the means, such as tax cuts, tax credits and accelerated depreciation, recommended by suply-siders to increase productivity and output would be favored by Keynesians also as a means of increasing investment, curbing costs, and increasing effective demand. In fact, these very measures were used in the early 1960s in the United State during the years when nagging unemployment was plaguing the economy. Keynesians disagree with the supply-siders' proposals to reduce transfer payments and slow down the process of income redistribution, except in full employment inflationary periods. Keynesians likewise disagree with tax measures that favored business as opposed to individuals and the notion of shifting the base of personal taxation away from income and toward spending. A frequent criticism levied at supply-side economics is that it lacks adequate models and thus far has not been quantified to any great extent. But, it should be remembered that Keynesian economics originally was lacking in models and based on a number of unproved assumptions, such as, the stability of the consumption function with its declining marginal propensity to consume. Just as the economic catastrophe of the great depression of the 1930s paved the way for the application of Keynesian or demand-side policies, perhaps the frustrating and restless conditions of the 1970s and 1980s is an open invitation for the application of supply-side policies. If so, the 1980s and 1990s may prove to be the testing era for the supply-side theories. By the end of 1990s we should have better supply-side models and know much more about the effectiveness of supply-side policies. By that time, also, supply-side thinking may be more crystallized and we will learn whether it is something temporary that will fade away, be widely accepted as the new economics replacing Keynesian demand analysis, or something to be continued but melded or fused with demand management.

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