• Title/Summary/Keyword: simple regression model

Search Result 464, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Collapsibility and Suppression for Cumulative Logistic Model

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Kim, Kil-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.313-322
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper, we discuss suppression for logistic regression model. Suppression for linear regression model was defined as the relationship among sums of squared for regression as well as correlation coefficients of. variables. Since it is not common to obtain simple correlation coefficient for binary response variable of logistic model, we consider cumulative logistic models with multinomial and ordinal response variables rather than usual logistic model. As number of category of a response variable for the cumulative logistic model gets collapsed into binary, it is found that suppressions for these logistic models are changed. These suppression results for cumulative logistic models are discussed and compared with those of linear model.

Empirical seismic fragility rapid prediction probability model of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges

  • Li, Si-Qi;Chen, Yong-Sheng;Liu, Hong-Bo;Du, Ke
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.22 no.6
    • /
    • pp.609-623
    • /
    • 2022
  • To study the empirical seismic fragility of a reinforced concrete girder bridge, based on the theory of numerical analysis and probability modelling, a regression fragility method of a rapid fragility prediction model (Gaussian first-order regression probability model) considering empirical seismic damage is proposed. A total of 1,069 reinforced concrete girder bridges of 22 highways were used to verify the model, and the vulnerability function, plane, surface and curve model of reinforced concrete girder bridges (simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges) considering the number of samples in multiple intensity regions were established. The new empirical seismic damage probability matrix and curve models of observation frequency and damage exceeding probability are developed in multiple intensity regions. A comparative vulnerability analysis between simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges is provided. Depending on the theory of the regional mean seismic damage index matrix model, the empirical seismic damage prediction probability matrix is embedded in the multidimensional mean seismic damage index matrix model, and the regional rapid prediction matrix and curve of reinforced concrete girder bridges, simple supported girder bridges and continuous girder bridges in multiple intensity regions based on mean seismic damage index parameters are developed. The established multidimensional group bridge vulnerability model can be used to quantify and predict the fragility of bridges in multiple intensity regions and the fragility assessment of regional group reinforced concrete girder bridges in the future.

Estimation of peak wind response of building using regression analysis

  • Payan-Serrano, Omar;Bojorquez, Eden;Reyes-Salazar, Alfredo;Ruiz-Garcia, Jorge
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.29 no.2
    • /
    • pp.129-137
    • /
    • 2019
  • The maximum along-wind displacement of a considerable amount of building under simulated wind loads is computed with the aim to produce a simple prediction model using multiple regression analysis with variables transformation. The Shinozuka and Newmark methods are used to simulate the turbulent wind and to calculate the dynamic response, respectively. In order to evaluate the prediction performance of the regression model with longer degree of determination, two complex structural models were analyzed dynamically. In addition, the prediction model proposed is used to estimate and compare the maximum response of two test buildings studied with wind loads by other authors. Finally, it was proved that the prediction model is reliable to estimate the maximum displacements of structures subjected to the wind loads.

A Study on the Prediction of the World Seaborne Trade Volume through the Exponential Smoothing Method and Seemingly Unrelated Regression Model (지수평활법과 SUR 모형을 통한 세계 해상물동량 예측 연구)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun
    • Korea Trade Review
    • /
    • v.44 no.2
    • /
    • pp.51-62
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study predicts the future world seaborne trade volume with econometrics methods using 23-year time series data provided by Clarksons. For this purpose, this study uses simple regression analysis, exponential smoothing method and seemingly unrelated regression model (SUR Model). This study is meaningful in that it predicts worldwide total seaborne trade volume and seaborne traffic in four major items (container, bulk, crude oil, and LNG) from 2019 to 2023 as there are few prior studies that predict future seaborne traffic using recent data. It is expected that more useful references can be provided to trade related workers if the analysis period was increased and additional variables could be included in future studies.

Statistical Models of Air Temperatures in Seoul (서울시 도시기온 변화에 관한 모델 연구)

  • 김학열;김운수
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
    • /
    • v.31 no.3
    • /
    • pp.74-82
    • /
    • 2003
  • Under the assumption that the temperature of one location is closely related to land use characteristics around that location, this study is carried out to assess the impact of urban land use patterns on air temperature. In order to investigate the relationship, GIS techniques and statistical analyses are utilized, after spatially connecting urban land use data in Seoul Metropolitan Area with atmospheric data observed at Automatic Weather Stations (AWS). The research method is as follows: (1) To find out important land use factors on temperature, simple linear regressions for a specific time period (pilot study) are conducted with urban land use characteristics, (2) To make a final model, multiple regressions are carried out with those factors and, (3) To verify that the final model could be appled to explain temperature variations beyond the period, the model is extensively used for 5 different time periods: 1999 as a whole; summer in 1999; 1998 as a whole; summer in 1998; August in 1998. The results of simple linear regression models in the pilot study show that transportation facilities and open space area are very influential on urban air temperature variations, which explain 66 and 61 percent of the variations, respectively. However, the other land use variables (residential, commercial, and mixed land use) are found to have weak or insignificant relationship to the air temperatures. Multiple linear regression with the two important variables in the pilot study is estimated, which shows that the model explains 75 percent of the variability in air temperatures with correct signs of regression coefficients. Thus, it is empirically shown that an increase in open space and a decrease in transportation facilities area can leads to the decrease in air temperature. After the final model is extensively applied to the 5 different time periods, the estimated models explain 68 ∼ 75 percent of the variations in the temperatures is significant regression coefficients for all explanatory variables. This result provides a possibility that one air temperature model for a specific time period could be a good model for other time periods near to the period. The important implications of this result to lessen high air temperature we: (1) to expand and to conserve open space and (2) to control transportation-related factors such as transportation facilities area, road pavement and traffic congestion.

Development of an Application Model of Simple NIOSH Lifting Equation to Multi-stacking Complex Lifting Tasks (다단적재 복합들기 작업에 대한 NIOSH 단순들기 수식의 적용 모형 개발)

  • Park, Jae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.76-82
    • /
    • 2009
  • The NIOSH lifting equation has been used as a dominant tool in evaluating the hazard levels of lifting tasks. Although it provides two different ways for each simple and complex lifting task, the NIOSH simple lifting equation is almost used for not only simple tasks but also complex tasks. However, most of lifting tasks in industries are in the form of complex lifting. Therefore some errors occur inevitably in the evaluation of complex lifting tasks. Among complex lifting tasks, a multi-stacking task is the most popular in lifting tasks. To compensate the error in the evaluation of multi-stacking tasks by using the NIOSH simple lifting equation, a set of calculations for finding LIs(Lifting Indices) was performed for the systematically varying multi-stacking tasks. Then a regression model which finds the equivalent height in simple lifting task for multi-stacking task was established. By using this model, multi-stacking tasks can be evaluated with less error. To validate this model, some real multi-stacking tasks were evaluated as examples.

Mean Lifetime Estimation with Censored Observations

  • Kim, Jin-Heum;Kim, Jee-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.299-308
    • /
    • 1997
  • In the simple linear regression model Y = .alpha.$_{0}$ + .beta.$_{0}$Z + .epsilon. under the right censorship of the response variables, the estimation of the mean lifetime E(Y) is an interesting problem. In this paper we propose a method of estimating E(Y) based on the observations modified by the arguments of Buckley and James (1979). It is shown that the proposed estimator is consistent and our proposed procedure in the simple linear regression case can be naturally extended to the multiple linear regression. Finally, we perform simulation studies to compare the proposed estimator with the estimator introduced by Gill (1983).83).

  • PDF

Detection of Change-Points by Local Linear Regression Fit;

  • Kim, Jong Tae;Choi, Hyemi;Huh, Jib
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.31-38
    • /
    • 2003
  • A simple method is proposed to detect the number of change points and test the location and size of multiple change points with jump discontinuities in an otherwise smooth regression model. The proposed estimators are based on a local linear regression fit by the comparison of left and right one-side kernel smoother. Our proposed methodology is explained and applied to real data and simulated data.

Hybrid Fuzzy Least Squares Support Vector Machine Regression for Crisp Input and Fuzzy Output

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Seok, Kyung-Ha;Hwang, Chang-Ha
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.141-151
    • /
    • 2010
  • Hybrid fuzzy regression analysis is used for integrating randomness and fuzziness into a regression model. Least squares support vector machine(LS-SVM) has been very successful in pattern recognition and function estimation problems for crisp data. This paper proposes a new method to evaluate hybrid fuzzy linear and nonlinear regression models with crisp inputs and fuzzy output using weighted fuzzy arithmetic(WFA) and LS-SVM. LS-SVM allows us to perform fuzzy nonlinear regression analysis by constructing a fuzzy linear regression function in a high dimensional feature space. The proposed method is not computationally expensive since its solution is obtained from a simple linear equation system. In particular, this method is a very attractive approach to modeling nonlinear data, and is nonparametric method in the sense that we do not have to assume the underlying model function for fuzzy nonlinear regression model with crisp inputs and fuzzy output. Experimental results are then presented which indicate the performance of this method.

An estimator of the mean of the squared functions for a nonparametric regression

  • Park, Chun-Gun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.577-585
    • /
    • 2009
  • So far in a nonparametric regression model one of the interesting problems is estimating the error variance. In this paper we propose an estimator of the mean of the squared functions which is the numerator of SNR (Signal to Noise Ratio). To estimate SNR, the mean of the squared function should be firstly estimated. Our focus is on estimating the amplitude, that is the mean of the squared functions, in a nonparametric regression using a simple linear regression model with the quadratic form of observations as the dependent variable and the function of a lag as the regressor. Our method can be extended to nonparametric regression models with multivariate functions on unequally spaced design points or clustered designed points.

  • PDF