• Title/Summary/Keyword: short term neural network

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Short-term Load Forecasting Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망을 이용한 단기 부하예측모형)

  • Park, Moon-Hee
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.68-76
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a new neural network training algorithm which reduces the required training time considerably and overcomes many of the shortcomings presented by the conventional back-propagation algorithm. The algorithm uses a modified form of the back-propagation algorithm to minimize the mean squared error between the desired and actual outputs with respect to the inputs to the nonlinearities. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model using the new algorithm is applied to forecast the short-term electric load. Inputs to the ANN are past loads and the output of the ANN is the hourly load forecast for a given day.

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Supervised learning-based DDoS attacks detection: Tuning hyperparameters

  • Kim, Meejoung
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.560-573
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    • 2019
  • Two supervised learning algorithms, a basic neural network and a long short-term memory recurrent neural network, are applied to traffic including DDoS attacks. The joint effects of preprocessing methods and hyperparameters for machine learning on performance are investigated. Values representing attack characteristics are extracted from datasets and preprocessed by two methods. Binary classification and two optimizers are used. Some hyperparameters are obtained exhaustively for fast and accurate detection, while others are fixed with constants to account for performance and data characteristics. An experiment is performed via TensorFlow on three traffic datasets. Three scenarios are considered to investigate the effects of learning former traffic on sequential traffic analysis and the effects of learning one dataset on application to another dataset, and determine whether the algorithms can be used for recent attack traffic. Experimental results show that the used preprocessing methods, neural network architectures and hyperparameters, and the optimizers are appropriate for DDoS attack detection. The obtained results provide a criterion for the detection accuracy of attacks.

A robust collision prediction and detection method based on neural network for autonomous delivery robots

  • Seonghun Seo;Hoon Jung
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.329-337
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    • 2023
  • For safe last-mile autonomous robot delivery services in complex environments, rapid and accurate collision prediction and detection is vital. This study proposes a suitable neural network model that relies on multiple navigation sensors. A light detection and ranging technique is used to measure the relative distances to potential collision obstacles along the robot's path of motion, and an accelerometer is used to detect impacts. The proposed method tightly couples relative distance and acceleration time-series data in a complementary fashion to minimize errors. A long short-term memory, fully connected layer, and SoftMax function are integrated to train and classify the rapidly changing collision countermeasure state during robot motion. Simulation results show that the proposed method effectively performs collision prediction and detection for various obstacles.

Forecasting Short-Term KOSPI using Wavelet Transforms and Fuzzy Neural Network (웨이블릿 변환과 퍼지 신경망을 이용한 단기 KOSPI 예측)

  • Shin, Dong-Kun;Chung, Kyung-Yong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • The methodology of KOSPI forecast has been considered as one of the most difficult problem to develop accurately since short-term KOSPI is correlated with various factors including politics and economics. In this paper, we presents a methodology for forecasting short-term trends of stock price for five days using the feature selection method based on a neural network with weighted fuzzy membership functions (NEWFM). The distributed non-overlap area measurement method selects the minimized number of input features by removing the worst input features one by one. A technical indicator are selected for preprocessing KOSPI data in the first step. In the second step, thirty-nine numbers of input features are produced by wavelet transforms. Twelve numbers of input features are selected as the minimized numbers of input features from thirty-nine numbers of input features using the non-overlap area distribution measurement method. The proposed method shows that sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy rates are 72.79%, 74.76%, and 73.84%, respectively.

Application of Neural Networks to Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Electrical Load Pattern (전력부하의 유형별 단기부하예측에 신경회로망의 적용)

  • Park, Hu-Sik;Mun, Gyeong-Jun;Kim, Hyeong-Su;Hwang, Ji-Hyeon;Lee, Hwa-Seok;Park, Jun-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents the methods of short-term load forecasting Kohonen neural networks and back-propagation neural networks. First, historical load data is divided into 5 patterns for the each seasonal data using Kohonen neural networks and using these results, load forecasting neural network is used for next day hourly load forecasting. Next day hourly load of weekdays and weekend except holidays are forecasted. For load forecasting in summer, max-temperature and min-temperature data as well as historical hourly load date are used as inputs of load forecasting neural networks for a better forecasting accuracy. To show the possibility of the proposed method, it was tested with hourly load data of Korea Electric Power Corporation(1994-95).

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Short-term Electric Load Forecasting in Winter and Summer Seasons using a NARX Neural Network (NARX 신경망을 이용한 동·하계 단기부하예측에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Hee-Myung;Park, June Ho
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.7
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    • pp.1001-1006
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    • 2017
  • In this study the NARX was proposed as a novel approach to forecast electric load more accurately. The NARX model is a recurrent dynamic network. ISO-NewEngland dataset was employed to evaluate and validate the proposed approach. Obtained results were compared with NAR network and some other popular statistical methods. This study showed that the proposed approach can be applied to forecast electric load and NARX has high potential to be utilized in modeling dynamic systems effectively.

A Hybrid Neural Network Framework for Hour-Ahead System Marginal Price Forecasting (하이브리드 신경회로망을 이용한 한시간전 계통한계가격 예측)

  • Jeong, Sang-Yun;Lee, Jeong-Kyu;Park, Jong-Bae;Shin, Joong-Rin;Kim, Sung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.11b
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    • pp.162-164
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents an hour-ahead System Marginal Price (SMP) forecasting framework based on a neural network. Recently, the deregulation in power industries has impacted on the power system operational problems. The bidding strategy of market participants in energy market is highly dependent on the short-term price levels. Therefore, short-term SMP forecasting is a very important issue to market participants to maximize their profits. and to market operator who may wish to operate the electricity market in a stable sense. The proposed hybrid neural network is composed of tow parts. First part of this scheme is pattern classification to input data using Kohonen Self-Organizing Map (SOM) and the second part is SMP forecasting using back-propagation neural network that has three layers. This paper compares the forecasting results using classified input data and unclassified input data. The proposed technique is trained, validated and tested with historical date of Korea Power Exchange (KPX) in 2002.

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The Study of Service Event Relation Analysis Using Recurrent Neural Network (Recurrent Neural Network를 활용한 서비스 이벤트 관계 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Woosung;Park, Youngsuk;Choi, Jeongil
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2018
  • Enterprises need to monitor systems for reliable IT service operations to quickly detect and respond to events affecting the service, thereby preventing failures. Events in non-critical systems can be seen as a precursor to critical system incidents. Therefore, event relationship analysis in the operation of IT services can proactively recognize and prevent faults by identifying non-critical events and their relationships with incidents. This study used the Recurrent Neural Network and Long Short Term Memory techniques to create a model to analyze event relationships in a system and to verify which models are suitable for analyzing event relationships. Verification has shown that both models are capable of analyzing event relationships and that RNN models are more suitable than LSTM models. Based on the pattern of events occurring, this model is expected to support the prediction of the next occurrence of events and help identify the root cause of incidents to help prevent failures and improve the quality of IT services.

A study on the Recognition of Korean Proverb Using Neural Network and Markov Model (신경회로망과 Markov 모델을 이용한 한국어 속담 인식에 관한 연구)

  • 홍기원;김선일;이행세
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics B
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    • v.32B no.12
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    • pp.1663-1669
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    • 1995
  • This paper is a study on the recognition of Korean proverb using neural network and Markov model. The neural network uses, at the stage of training neurons, features such as the rate of zero crossing, short-term energy and PLP-Cepstrum, covering a time of 300ms long. Markov models were generated by the recognized phoneme strings. The recognition of words and proverbs using Markov models have been carried out. Experimental results show that phoneme and word recognition rates are 81. 2%, 94.0% respectively for Korean proverb recognition experiments.

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Cross-Domain Text Sentiment Classification Method Based on the CNN-BiLSTM-TE Model

  • Zeng, Yuyang;Zhang, Ruirui;Yang, Liang;Song, Sujuan
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.818-833
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    • 2021
  • To address the problems of low precision rate, insufficient feature extraction, and poor contextual ability in existing text sentiment analysis methods, a mixed model account of a CNN-BiLSTM-TE (convolutional neural network, bidirectional long short-term memory, and topic extraction) model was proposed. First, Chinese text data was converted into vectors through the method of transfer learning by Word2Vec. Second, local features were extracted by the CNN model. Then, contextual information was extracted by the BiLSTM neural network and the emotional tendency was obtained using softmax. Finally, topics were extracted by the term frequency-inverse document frequency and K-means. Compared with the CNN, BiLSTM, and gate recurrent unit (GRU) models, the CNN-BiLSTM-TE model's F1-score was higher than other models by 0.0147, 0.006, and 0.0052, respectively. Then compared with CNN-LSTM, LSTM-CNN, and BiLSTM-CNN models, the F1-score was higher by 0.0071, 0.0038, and 0.0049, respectively. Experimental results showed that the CNN-BiLSTM-TE model can effectively improve various indicators in application. Lastly, performed scalability verification through a takeaway dataset, which has great value in practical applications.