• Title/Summary/Keyword: ship size estimation

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An Empirical Analysis for Determinants of Secondhand Ship Prices of Bulk Carriers and Oil Tankers

  • Hong, Seung-Pyo;Lee, Ki-Hwan;Kim, Myoung-Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.441-448
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    • 2022
  • The aim of this study was to examine determinants of secondhand Bulk carrier and Oil tanker prices. This study compiled S& P transaction data taken from the Clarksons Research during J anuary 2018 to April 2022 to see how independent variables influenced secondhand ship prices. In the secondhand ship pricing model of entire segments, size, age, and LIBOR showed significant effects on prices. A vessel built in J apan and Korea was traded at a higher price than a vessel built in other countries. In the bulk segment, size, age, Clarksea index, LIBOR, and inflation were meaningful variables. In the Tanker segment, unlike Bulk carrier, only size and age were useful variables. This study performed regression analyses for various sizes of Bulk carriers and Oil tankers. It verified that impacts of variables other than ship size and age were significantly associated with ship type and size while macroeconomic variables had no influence except for bulk carriers. By applying diverse variables affecting secondhand ship price estimation according to various sizes of Bulk carriers and Oil tankers, this study will expand the scope of practical application for investors. It also reaffirms prior research findings that the secondhand ship market is primarily market-driven.

A Study on the Minimum Safe Distance between Two Vessels in Confined Waters

  • Lee, Chun-Ki;Moon, Serng-Bae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.561-565
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    • 2014
  • This paper is mainly concerned with the interaction effects between two vessels and sidewall with a mound. Experimental study on hydrodynamic forces between ship and sidewall with a mound was already shown in the previous paper, measured by varying the distances between ship and sidewall. The ship maneuvering simulation was conducted to find out the minimum safe distance between vessels, which is needed to avoid sea accident in confined waters. From the inspection of this investigation, it indicates the following result. When and if one vessel passes the other vessel through the proximity of sidewall with a mound, the spacing between two vessels is needed for the velocity ratio of 1.2, compared to the case of 1.5. Also, for the case of ship-size estimation, the ship maneuvering motion is more affected by interaction effects for the overtaken small vessel, compared to the overtaking large vessel.

Motion and Sloshing Analysis for New Concept of Offshore Storage Unit

  • Ha, Mun-Keun;Kim, Mun-Sung;Paik, Bu-Keun;Park, Chung-Hum
    • International Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology Speciallssue:Selected Papers
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 2002
  • A New concept for the LNG-FPSO ship, with moonpool and bilge step in bottom, is proposed. This concept is investigated with regard to motion reduction and sloshing phenomena of the cargo and operation tanks. The principal dimensions of the ship are $L\timesb B\times D\times t(design)=270.0\times51.0\times32.32\times13.7(m)$, with a total cargo capacity of 161KT; a 98% loading condition is considered for this study. The moonpools and rectangular step at the bilge have been designed for the purpose of decreasing the motion within the tank. For the motion analysis, linearized three-dimensional diffraction theory, with the simplified boundary condition was used. The six-degree of freedom coupled motion responses were calculated for the LNG-FPSO ship. Viscous effects on the roll motion responses of a vessel were taken into account in this calculation program, using an empirical formula suggested by Himeno(1981). The case study for the moonpool size has been conducted using theoretical estimation and the experimental method. For the optimization of the moonpool size and effect of the bilge step, 9 cases of its size, both with and without bilge step, were involved in the study. no motion responses, especially roll motion, for the designed LNG-FPSO ships are much lower than those of other drill ships and shuttle tankers. The limit criterions are satisfied. To check the cargo tank and operation tank sizes, we performed a sloshing analysis in the irregular waves which focuses on the pressure distribution on the tank wall and the time history of pressure and free surface for No.2 and 5 tanks of LNG-FPSO with chamfers. Finally, optimum tank sire was estimated.

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Motion and sloshing analysis for new concept of offshore storage unit

  • Ha, Mun-Keun;Kim, Mun-Sung;Paik, Bu-Keun;Park, Chung-Hum
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2000
  • New concept of LNG-FPSO ship with moonpool and bilge step in bottom is considered and investigated in the point of motion reduction and sloshing phenomena of the cargo and operation tanks. The cargo capacity of the ship of which principle dimensions is L x B x D x t(design) =270.0 x 51.0 x 32.32 x 13.7(m) 16K at 98% loading condition. The two moonpools and rectangular step at bilge part are setted up specially for getting the effect of motion decrease. For the motion analysis, linearized three dimensional diffraction theory with the simplified boundary conditions is used. The six-degree of freedom coupled motion responses are calculated for the LNG-FPSO ship. Viscous effects on the roll motion responses of a vessel are taken into account in this calculation program using an empirical formula suggested by Ikeda, Himeno and Tanaka is used. The case study for the moonpool size had been carried out by theoretical estimation and experimental method. For the optimization of the moonpool size and effect of the step, 9 cases of its size and with and without step are considered. From the results of calculation and experiment, it can be concluded that this designed LNG-FPSO ship have possibility to carry out her missions in the rough sea as for the owner's demand waves condition. The motion responses, especially roll motion, for the designed LNG-FPSO ship are much lower than those of another drillship and shuttle tanker and limit criterions are satisfied. For the check of the cargo tank and operation tank sizes we have performed sloshing analysis in the irregular waves which focuses on the pressure distribution on the tank wall and the time history of pressure and free surface for No.2 and No5. tanks of LNG-FPSO with chamfers. Finally we got the tank size which has no resonance and no impact pressure in all filling in the bow quartering and beam sea.

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A Development of the Ship Weight Estimating Method by a Statistical Approach (통계적 접근법에 의한 선박 중량추정 방법 개발)

  • Cho, Yong-Jin
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.426-434
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    • 2011
  • Accurate weight prediction methods are an essential of the ship design in both ship cost managements and performance satisfactions. When no parent or similar ships are available, an adequate method of the ship weight estimating is required. In this study, there was carried out to develop the ship weight estimating method for the preliminary design phase. The weight estimating methods were first surveyed by the references and summarized their characteristics. The weight estimation method by statistical approach was developed for the container ship because the containerized transportation markets is gradually growing and ship's size and loading capacity are rapidly enlarged. The correlation analysis and the multiple regression analysis were used for developing the weight estimating method. As a results of evaluating the developed method, the error ratio of the variation between estimated weight and ship's data was about 5%. And it was only 1% difference with the calculating weight of conceptual design results by shipyard design team that the estimating weight of ultra-large container ship was predicted by the developed method.

Estimation of Optimum Tug Capacity for VLCC and Its Application to VLCC Terminal in Gwang-Yang Harbor

  • Gong, In-Young;Lee, Chang-Min;Yang, Chan-Su;Lee, Han-Jin
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.609-617
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    • 2004
  • The total tug capacity needed for berthing/unberthing operations of a ship may vary depending on the ship's type, size, loading conditions, and environmental circumstances. Traditionally, total tug capacity is determined based on the local guidelines of port authorities or on the rule of thumb. However, the social demands for the enhancement of ship safety at harbor and the economical demands for the cost-effectiveness of tug usage makes it necessary for port authorities to develop more reasonable and detailed guidelines on tug usage which takes various conditions into account. In this paper, the method to estimate the optimum tug capacity of VLCC is suggested by considering various ship conditions such as its size, loading conditions, and environmental circumstances including wind, wave, tidal currents, and geographical characteristics of a terminal. This method is applied to the VLCC terminal located in Gwang-Yang harbor of Korea and the results are compared with the local guidelines of the harbor, which shows that there may be a room for the amendment of local guidelines on tug usage.

Estimation of Optimum Tug Capacity for VLCC and Its Application to VLCC Terminal in Gwang-Yang Harbor

  • In-Yong GONG;Lee, Chang-Min;Chan-Su-YANG;Lee, Han-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2004
  • The total tug capacity needed for berthing/de-berthing operations of a ship may vary depending on the ship type, size, loading conditions, and environmental circumstances. Traditionally, total tug capacity is determined based on the local guidelines of port authorities or on the rule of thumb. However, the social demands for the enhancement of ship safety at harbor and the economical demands for the cost-effectiveness of tug usage makes it necessary for port authorities to develop more reasonable and detailed guidelines on tug usage which takes various conditions into account. In this paper, the method to estimate the optimum tug capacity of VLCC is suggested by considering various ship conditions such as its size, loading conditions, and environmental circumstances such as wind, wave, tidal currents, and geographical characteristics of a terminal. This method is applied to a VLCC terminal located in Gwang-Yang Harbor of Korea and the results are compared with the local guidelines of the harbor, which shows that there may be a room for the amendment of local guidelines on tug usage.

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Estimation of Environmental Costs Based on Size of Oil Tanker Involved in Accident using Neural Network (신경망을 이용한 유조선 기름 유출사고에 따른 환경비용 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sung-Chul;Bae, Jeong-Hoon;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Seong-Hoon;Kim, Soo-Young;Lee, Jong-Kap
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.60-63
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    • 2012
  • The accident risks in the marine environment are increasing because of the tendency to build faster and larger ships. To secure ship safety, risk-based ship design (RBSD) was recently suggested based on a formal safety assessment (FSA). In the process of RBSD, a ship designer decides which risk reduction option is most cost-effective in the design stage using a cost-benefit analysis (CBA). There are three dimensions of risk in this CBA: fatality, environment, and asset. In this paper, we present an approach to estimate the environmental costs based on the size of an oil tanker involved in an accident using a neural network. An appropriate neural network model is suggested for the estimation,and the neural network is trained using IOPCF data. Finally,the learned neural network is compared with the cost regression equation by IMO MEPC 62/WP.13 (2011).

Research on the estimation of ship size information based on a ground-based radar using AI techniques (인공지능 기법을 이용한 육상 레이더 기반 선박 크기 정보 추정에 관한 연구)

  • JeongSu Lee;Jungwook Han;Kyurin Park;Hye-Jin Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.76-76
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    • 2023
  • 최근 자율주행과 관련한 시장의 관심은 기존 자동차 자율주행에서 선박 자율운항으로 자연스럽게 이동하고 있다. 이에 인공지능 및 빅데이터 등과 같은 최근 기술을 선박 자율주행에 적용하는 자율운항선박(MASS: Maritime Autonomous Surface Ship) 개발이 활발히 진행되고 있으며, 레이더 및 카메라 등과 같은 센서 정보를 선박 자율운항에 적용하여 다양한 선박 운동 및 정보를 획득하는 연구 기술이 집중되고 있다. 이러한 경향에 따라 IMO(International Maritime Organization)과 같은 국제기구에서도 자율운항선박 표준화 본격 논의로 기술표준 선점 경쟁에 참여하고 있다. 이 중 연안 자율운항선박 개발은 IMO에서 주관하는 무인화 핵심기술로 여겨지고 있어, 기존 대양 항해 기술과 함께 연안 항해에 대한 기술 개발의 중요성이 높아지고 있다. 특히 항만 인근 해역에서는 다수의 선박이 입출항함으로 인해 해상에서의 안전과 물류의 효율화가 요구되기 때문에 고도화된 자율운항 기술개발이 필요하다. 하지만 자율운항선박에서의 상황인식 기술은 탑재된 센서의 제한된 시야각 및 기상조건에 따른 인식률이 떨어지는 문제가 생긴다. 이러한 기술적 한계를 극복하기 위해 육상에 설치된 레이더를 활용하여 선박을 탐지할 수 있는 기술이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 고해상도 육상 레이더를 기반하여 얻어진 레이더 화면상의 물표 정보를 이용해 인공지능 기법에 활용하기 위한 라벨링 자동 생성 방법에 대해 소개한다. 얻어진 물표 정보에 인공지능 기법을 적용하여 선박 길이 정보를 추정하는 기술에 대해 소개한다.

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A Study on the Future Traffic Volume Estimation for Kwangyang Port Using The Consideration Factors of Marine Traffic Engineering (해상교통공학적 고려 요소를 이용한 광양항의 장래교통량 예측에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Young-Soo;Kim, Jong-Soo;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 2007
  • To assess the port development and maritime traffic environment, the future traffic volume has been estimated using the number of inbound and outbound vessel for a specific port. The estimation of future traffic volume should be considered as an important factor to establish the degree of fairway congestion, the determination of fairway width and the operational role. Until now, the number of in and out vessel for the port has been only estimated mainly, but the type and size of inbound and outbound ships are different depending on the port's characteristics. So, it is difficult to estimate the future traffic volume using the change of only one item. This paper calculates the future traffic volume using the marine traffic characteristic factors as the number of coastal ship and ocean-going ship, the size of ship and the change of cargo volume per a ship etc. And it compared with the results of Artificial Neural Network(ANN) for accurate identification of nonlinear system.