• 제목/요약/키워드: severity factor

검색결과 524건 처리시간 0.024초

구조방정식을 이용한 고령운전자 교통사고 인적 피해 심각도 분석 (고양시를 중심으로) (An Analysis of Traffic Accident Injury Severity for Elderly Driver on Goyang-Si using Structural Equation Model)

  • 김솔람;윤덕근
    • 한국도로학회논문집
    • /
    • 제17권3호
    • /
    • pp.117-124
    • /
    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : The purpose of this study is to verify traffic accident injury severity factors for elderly drivers and the relative relationship of these factors. METHODS : To verify the complicated relationship among traffic accident injury severity factors, this study employed a structural equation model (SEM). To develop the SEM structure, only the severity of human injuries was considered; moreover, the observed variables were selected through confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). The number of fatalities, serious injuries, moderate injuries, and minor injuries were selected for observed variables of severity. For latent variables, the accident situation, environment, and vehicle and driver factors were respectively defined. Seven observed variables were selected among the latent variables. RESULTS : This study showed that the vehicle and driver factor was the most influential factor for accident severity among the latent factors. For the observed variable, the type of vehicle, type of accident, and status of day or night for each latent variable were the most relative observed variables for the accident severity factor. To verify the validity of the SEM, several model fitting methods, including ${\chi}^2/df$, GFI, AGFI, CFI, and others, were applied, and the model produced meaningful results. CONCLUSIONS : Based on an analysis of results of traffic accident injury severity for elderly drivers, the vehicle and driver factor was the most influential one for injury severity. Therefore, education tailored to elderly drivers is needed to improve driving behavior of elderly driver.

A Study on Incidence of Risk Factor for Assessing Maritime Traffic Risk

  • Kim, Inchul
    • 해양환경안전학회지
    • /
    • 제23권3호
    • /
    • pp.217-223
    • /
    • 2017
  • In order to assess risk as a basic step for securing safety, it requires to select risk factors and determine the frequency and the severity of the consequence of each risk factor. This research adopted common risk factors among well-known maritime risk assessment models, and proposed objective criteria to gauge the risk level of each risk factor. The starting points of risk evolution were chosen for criteria according to related studies and seafarers' experience. The rate of risk appearance over the criteria is named as the incidence of risk factor. Therefore, the total risk level is expressed as the combination of incidence of each risk factor and severity. This quantitative method would be applied to measuring and comparing the risk level of target maritime zones, and it would also be useful to survey which risk factor be focused for reducing the total risk of a certain maritime zone.

교통사고심각도 영향요인 분석에 관한 연구 - 곡선부가 포함된 국도를 중심으로 - (Analysis on Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity - Case Study : Arterial Included Curve Section -)

  • 박재홍;윤덕근;성정곤
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제28권6호
    • /
    • pp.84-89
    • /
    • 2013
  • The main causes of traffic accidents can be classified by 3 factors - human error, vehicle deficiency and road environmental problem and most accidents occurs not only 1 factor but combination of 2 or 3-factors. Among these factors, road environmental factor is the most important factor due to influence the behavior of cars and road users and road environmental factor affects 30% of total accidents approximately. The 5 years traffic accidents data analyzed to verify the accidents severity on Korea National Highways. In order to analyze the severity, Ordered Probit Model was used. As a independent variables of this model the number of lane, neighbor road environments, sight distance, vertical grade, lane width, shoulder width and traffic volume were used and as a dependent variables the minor injuries, serious injuries and fatalities were used. Research results shows that sight distance and lane width are identified as significant factors for the traffic accident severity and lesser sight distance and lane width shows greater traffic accident severity.

건설 보통인부의 안전재해 영향요인 및 재해강도 분석 (An Analysis on the Accident Influence Factor and Severity of Construction General Workers)

  • 신원상;손창백
    • 대한건축학회논문집:구조계
    • /
    • 제34권3호
    • /
    • pp.69-76
    • /
    • 2018
  • General workers who assist various technicians in different fields with their work across the whole construction sites without having a particular skill are at risk of the highest accident rate and their accident form becomes varied. Accordingly, this study was conducted to identify the relationship between form of safety accident and influence factor in general workers and analyze accident severity by influence factor. The followings are the results from this study. First, as a result of analyzing major form of accident and influence factors in general workers with network analysis methodology, nine forms of accident and seventeen influence factors were drawn. Second, it was found that in accident severity among general workers, collapsing, among various forms of accident, appeared the highest, followed by fall, electric shock, fire, hit by an object, bumped against, trip, scission getting cut chopped in order. Third, main points of special, concentrated, and permanent management were presented in order to reduce the safety accident in general workers effectively.

학교와 인접한 회전교차로 보행자 사고심각도 영향요인 분석 (Analysis on the Accident Factors of Pedestrian Accident Severity in Roundabout Near School)

  • 손슬기;박병호
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제33권3호
    • /
    • pp.71-76
    • /
    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the roundabout accidents near schools. This study gives particular attentions discussing characteristics by pedestrian accident severity using the ordered logit models. In pursuing the above, 63 roundabouts installed before 2014 are surveyed for modeling. the traffic accident data from 2014 to 2016 are collected from TAAS data set of Road Traffic Authority. Such 35variables explaining the accidents as environment, human, geometries, school and roundabout factor are selected from literature reviews. The main results are as follows. First, the ordered logit models (${\rho}^2$ of 0.272, $x^2$ of 24.723) which is statistically significant have been developed. Second, environment factor variable is analyzed to be day or night ($X_1$ ), human factor variables are evaluated to be driver gender($X_4$), older driver($X_5$), pedestrian gender($X_7$) and children pedestrian($X_8$ ). Third, geometries factor variable are analyzed to be speed limit sign($X_{16}$) and median barrier($X_{21}$), school factor variables are evaluated to be hump-type crosswalk($X_{25}$), CCTV($X_{26}$) and school zone sign($X_{27}$), roundabout factor are analyzed to be roundabout sign($X_{30}$) and number of circulatory roadway lane($X_{32}$). Finally, this study could give some implications to decreasing the accidents severity at roundabout near schools.

FCM을 적용한 결함심각도 기반 앙상블 모델 (Defect Severity-based Ensemble Model using FCM)

  • 이나영;권기태
    • 정보과학회 컴퓨팅의 실제 논문지
    • /
    • 제22권12호
    • /
    • pp.681-686
    • /
    • 2016
  • 소프트웨어 결함 예측은 프로젝트의 효율적인 관리와 성공에 있어 중요한 요소이다. 이 결함은 심각도에 따라 프로젝트에 영향을 미치는 정도가 다르다. 그러나 기존 연구는 결함 유무만 관심을 두고 심각도를 고려하지 않는다. 본 논문에서는 소프트웨어 관리 효율과 품질 향상을 위해 FCM을 적용한 결함 심각도 기반 앙상블 모델을 제안한다. 제안된 모델은 FCM으로 NASA PC4의 결함심각도를 재분류한다. 그리고 RF(Random Forest)로 심각도에 영향을 주는 입력 column을 선별하여 데이터 핵심 결함 요인을 추출한다. 또한 10-fold 교차검증으로 파라미터를 변경해 모델 성능을 평가한다. 실험 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 결함심각도가 58,40,80에서 30,20,128로 재분류되었다. 둘째, 심각도에 영향을 주는 중요한 입력 column은 정확도와 노드 불순도 측면에서 BRANCH_COUNT였다. 셋째, 성능평가는 트리수가 작고 고려할 변수가 많을수록 좋은 성능을 보였다.

A Two-stage Process for Increasing the Yield of Prebiotic-rich Extract from Pinus densiflora

  • Jung, Ji Young;Yang, Jae-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
    • /
    • 제46권4호
    • /
    • pp.380-392
    • /
    • 2018
  • The importance of polysaccharides is increasing globally due to their role as a significant source of dietary prebiotics in the human diet. In the present study, in order to maximize the yield of crude polysaccharides from Pinus densiflora, response surface methodology (RSM) was used to optimize a two-stage extraction process consisting of steam explosion and water extraction. Three independent main variables, namely, the severity factor (Ro) for the steam explosion process, the water extraction temperature ($^{\circ}C$), and the ratio of water to raw material (v/w), were studied with respect to prebiotic sugar content. A Box-Behnken design was created on the basis of the results of these single-factor tests. The experimental data were fitted to a second-order polynomial equation for multiple regression analysis and examined using the appropriate statistical methods. The data showed that both the severity factor (Ro) and the ratio of water to material (v/w) had significant effects on the prebiotic sugar content. The optimal conditions for the two-stage process were as follows: a severity factor (Ro) of 3.86, a water extraction temperature of $89.66^{\circ}C$, and a ratio of water to material (v/w) of 39.20. Under these conditions, the prebiotic sugar content in the extract was 332.45 mg/g.

판별분석을 활용한 주·야간 고속도로 교통사고 영향요인 비교연구 (Discriminant Analysis of Factors Affecting Traffic Accident Severity During Daytime and Nighttime)

  • 김경태;이수범;최지혜;박시내;서금열
    • 한국도로학회논문집
    • /
    • 제18권3호
    • /
    • pp.127-134
    • /
    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : Low visibility caused by dark surroundings at nighttime affects the likelihood of accidents, and various efforts, such as installing road safety facilities, have been made to reduce accidents at night. Despite these efforts, the nighttime severity index (SI) in Korea was higher than the daytime SI during 2011-2014. This study determined the factors affecting daytime and nighttime accident severity through a discriminant analysis. METHODS : Discriminant analysis. RESULTS : First, drowsiness, lack of attention, and lighting facilities affected both daytime and nighttime accident severity. Accidents were found to be caused by a low ability to recognize the driving conditions and a low obstacle avoidance capability. Second, road conditions and speeding affected only the daytime accident severity. Third, failure to maintain a safe distance significantly affected daytime accident severity and nonsignificantly affected nighttime accident severity. The majority of such accidents were caused by rear-end collisions of vehicles driving in the same direction; given the low relative speed difference in such cases, the shock imparted by the accidents was minimal. CONCLUSIONS : Accidents caused by a failure to maintain a safe distance has lower severity than do accidents caused by other factors.

20대 한국 직장인의 음주 심각도에 대한 직무 스트레스와 BDNF 유전자 다형성의 역할 (The Role of Job Stress and Brain-Derived Neurotrophic Factor Gene Polymorphism on the Severity of Alcohol Drinking in Korean Office Workers in Their Twenties)

  • 김보아;이상익;김시경;신철진;손정우;홍주봉;남영우;주가원
    • 생물정신의학
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.91-98
    • /
    • 2012
  • Objectives : The aim of this study was to examine the effects of brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) genetic polymorphism and job stress on the severity of alcohol drinking. It was hypothesized that individuals with the Met/Met BDNF genotype would be more vulnerable than those carrying the Val allele. Methods : Participants were 133 healthy Korean adults (mean age $28.2{\pm}1.1$). Job stress and the severity index of drinking were investigated through self-reported questionnaires. BDNF (rs6265) gene was genotyped. Results : There was no significant association between job stress and the severity of alcohol drinking. Although the severity of alcohol drinking was not associated with BDNF genetic polymorphism, there was a significant difference in men according to genotype and job stress. Men with homozygous BDNF Met allele were more severe in alcohol drinking when job stress was high, less severe in alcohol drinking when job stress was low than those carrying the Val allele (F = 4.47, p = 0.038). Also higher level of job stress was correlated with higher severity of alcohol drinking in men homozygous for BDNF Met allele (rs = 0.620, p = 0.005). Conclusions : These findings suggest the possibility that Met allele could have differential susceptibility, with men homozygous for BDNF Met allele being more susceptible to both more adverse and less adverse environmental influences.

한국형 전투기 개발을 위한 전투기 임무격렬도 모델 연구 (Study on the Model of Fighter Aircraft Mission Severity for Development of KF-X)

  • 김석호;황영하;신기수
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.248-257
    • /
    • 2009
  • The aim of this paper is to propose fighter aircraft's mission severity model which can be used as one of key factors for designing a structure and determining design life of KF-X. The mission severity is a quantitative data of flight loads and expressed by Nz(Vertical Load Factor) exceedances or occurrences. The severities of the flight loads depended on the circumstances of the countries which operate fighter aircraft. In this paper we have studied on Nz occurrences/exceedances of ROKAF fighter aircraft to generate mission severity model for the KF-X. The analyses of flight data were accomplished by using the Matlab.