• 제목/요약/키워드: severe weather

검색결과 281건 처리시간 0.026초

Review of Operational Multi-Scale Environment Model with Grid Adaptivity

  • Kang, Sung-Dae
    • Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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    • 제10권S_1호
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2001
  • A new numerical weather prediction and dispersion model, the Operational Multi-scale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity(OMEGA) including an embedded Atmospheric Dispersion Model(ADM), is introduced as a next generation atmospheric simulation system for real-time hazard predictions, such as severe weather or the transport of hazardous release. OMEGA is based on an unstructured grid that can facilitate a continuously varying horizontal grid resolution ranging from 100 km down to 1 km and a vertical resolution from 20 -30 meters in the boundary layer to 1 km in the free atmosphere. OMEGA is also naturally scale spanning and time. In particular, the unstructured grid cells in the horizontal dimension can increase the local resolution to better capture the topography or important physical features of the atmospheric circulation and cloud dynamics. This means the OMEGA can readily adapt its grid to a stationary surface, terrain features, or dynamic features in an evolving weather pattern. While adaptive numerical techniques have yet to be extensively applied in atmospheric models, the OMEGA model is the first to exploit the adaptive nature of an unstructured gridding technique for atmospheric simulation and real-time hazard prediction. The purpose of this paper is to provide a detailed description of the OMEGA model, the OMEGA system, and a detailed comparison of OMEGA forecast results with observed data.

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Developing and Evaluating Damage Information Classifier of High Impact Weather by Using News Big Data (재해기상 언론기사 빅데이터를 활용한 피해정보 자동 분류기 개발)

  • Su-Ji, Cho;Ki-Kwang Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the importance of impact-based forecasting has increased along with the socio-economic impact of severe weather have emerged. As news articles contain unconstructed information closely related to the people's life, this study developed and evaluated a binary classification algorithm about snowfall damage information by using media articles text mining. We collected news articles during 2009 to 2021 which containing 'heavy snow' in its body context and labelled whether each article correspond to specific damage fields such as car accident. To develop a classifier, we proposed a probability-based classifier based on the ratio of the two conditional probabilities, which is defined as I/O Ratio in this study. During the construction process, we also adopted the n-gram approach to consider contextual meaning of each keyword. The accuracy of the classifier was 75%, supporting the possibility of application of news big data to the impact-based forecasting. We expect the performance of the classifier will be improve in the further research as the various training data is accumulated. The result of this study can be readily expanded by applying the same methodology to other disasters in the future. Furthermore, the result of this study can reduce social and economic damage of high impact weather by supporting the establishment of an integrated meteorological decision support system.

Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis of the Heavy Rainfall Event Occurred on 6th August 2003 over the Korean Peninsula (앙상블 민감도를 이용한 2003년 8월 6일 집중 호우 역학 분석)

  • Noh, Namkyu;Kim, Shin-Woo;Ha, Ji-Hyun;Lim, Gyu-Ho
    • Atmosphere
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2013
  • Ensemble sensitivity has been recently proposed as a method to analyze the dynamics of severe weather events. We adopt it to investigate the physical mechanism which caused the heavy rainfall over the Korean Peninsula on 6th August 2003. Two rainfall peaks existed in this severe weather event. The selected response functions are 1 hour accumulated rainfall amount of each rainfall peak. Sensitivity fields were calculated using 36 ensemble members which were generated by WRFDA. The sensitive regions for the first rainfall peak are located over the Shandong Peninsula and the Yellow Sea at 12 hours before the first rainfall peak. However, the 12-h forecast sensitivity for the second rainfall peak is revealed near Typhoon ETAU (0310) and midlatitude trough. These results show that the first rainfall peak was induced by low pressure which located over the northern part of the Korean Peninsula while the second rainfall peak was caused by the interaction between typhoon ETAU and midlatitude trough.

Characterization of Aerosol Concentration during Severe Asian Dust Period at Busan, Korea in 20 March 2010 (2010년 3월 20일 부산지역에 발생한 극심한 황사의 에어로솔 농도 분포 특성)

  • Jung, Woon-Seon;Park, Sung-Hwa;Lee, Dong-In;Kang, Deok-Du;Kim, Dongchul
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.275-289
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    • 2014
  • Asian dust (or yellow sand) occurring mainly in spring in East Asia is affected by the distribution of weather systems. This study was performed to investigate the characteristics of suspended particulate for Asian dust at Busan, Korea in 20 March 2010, which was one of the extreme case for the last 10 years. There was used the data of weather chart, satellite, automatic weather system (AWS), $PM_{10}$, laser particle counter (LPC), and backward trajectories model. In synoptically, the high pressure was located in the northwestern part and low pressure was located in the northeastern part of Korea. The strong westerly winds from surface to upper layer makes it possible to move air masses rapidly. Air masses passing through Gobi Desert in Mongolia and Inner Mongolia plateau covered the entire Korean peninsula. As the results of aerosol analysis, $PM_{10}$ concentration at Gudeok mountain in Busan was recorded $2,344{\mu}g/m^3$ in 2300 LST 20 March 2010 and their concentration was markedly increased at coarse mode particle. In surface condition, westerly wind about 3 ~ 5 m/s was dominant and small particles of $0.3{\sim}0.5{\mu}m$ were distributed on the whole. In heavy metal components analysis, the elements from the land was predominated.

A study on the saving of energy consumption load using electrical heat control system (전기적 열제어 시스템을 사용한 에너지 소비량 감소에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Kyu Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • 제49권1호
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    • pp.58-66
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    • 2013
  • Most of steam power plant in Korea are heating the feed water system to prevent freezing water flowing in the pipe in winter time. The heating system is operated whenever the ambient temperature around the power plant area below 5 degree Centigrade. But this kind of heat supplying system cause a lot of energy consuming. If we think about the method that the temperature of the each pipe is controled by attaching the temperature measuring sensor like RTD sensor and heat is supplied only when the outer surface temperature of the pipe is under 5 degree Centigrade, then we can save a plenty of energy. In this study, the computer program package for simulation is used to compare the energy consumption load of both systems. Energy saving rate is calculated for the location of Youngweol area using the data of weather station in winter season, especially the January' severe weather data is analyzed for comparison. Various convection heat transfer coefficients for the ambient air and the flowing water inside the pipe was used for the accurate calculation. And also the various initial flowing water temperature was used for the system. Steady state analysis is done previously to approximate the result before the simulation. The result shows that the temperature control system using RTD sensor represents the high energy saving effect which is more than 90% of energy saving rate. Even in the severe January weather condition, the energy saving rate is almost 60%.

Statistical Techniques to Derive Heavy Rain Impact Level Criteria Suitable for Use in Korea (통계적 기법을 활용한 한국형 호우영향도 기준 산정 연구)

  • Lee, Seung Woon;Kim, Byung Sik;Jung, Seung Kwon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제40권6호
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    • pp.563-569
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    • 2020
  • Presenting the impact of meteorological disasters departs from the traditional weather forecasting approach for meteorological phenomena. It is important to provide impact forecasts so that precautions against disruption and damage can be taken. Countries such as the United States, the U.K., and France already conduct impact forecasting for heavy rain, heavy snow, and cold weather. This study improves and applies forecasts of the impact of heavy rain among various weather phenomena in accordance with domestic conditions. A total of 33 impact factors for heavy rain were constructed per 1 km grids, and four impact levels (minimal, minor, significant, and severe) were calculated using standard normal distribution. Estimated criteria were used as indicators to estimate heavy rain risk impacts for 6 categories (residential, commercial, utility, community, agriculture, and transport) centered on people, facilities, and traffic.

A study on the analytical method for calculating the inside air temperature transient and energy consumption load of the building using two different controllers (두개의 제어기를 사용한 건물 내부의 온도변화와 에너지소비량을 계산하기 위한 해석적 연구)

  • Han, Kyu-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • 제48권1호
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    • pp.82-90
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    • 2012
  • Four different buildings having various wall construction are analyzed for the effect of wall mass on the thermal performance and inside building air and wall temperature transient and also for calculating the energy consumption load. This analytical study was motivated by the experimental work of Burch et al. An analytical solution of one-dimensional, linear, partial differential equations is obtained using the Laplace transform method, Bromwich and modified Bromwich contour method. A simple dynamic model using steady state analysis as simplified methods is developed and results of energy consumption loads are compared with results obtained using the analytical solution. Typical Meteorological Year data are processed to yield hourly average monthly values. This study is conducted using weather data from two different locations in Korea: Daegu having severe weather in summer and winter and Jeju having mild weather almost all year round. There is a significant wall mass effect on the thermal performance of a building in mild weather condition. Buildings of heavyweight construction with insulation show the highest comfort level in mild weather condition. A proportional controller provides the higher comfort level in comparison with buildings using on-off controller. The steady state analysis gives an accurate estimate of energy load for all types of construction. Finally, it appears that both mass and wall insulation are important factors in the thermal performance of buildings, but their relative merits should be decided in each building by a strict analysis of the building layout, weather conditions and site condition.

Floods and Flood Warning in New Zealand

  • Doyle, Martin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.20-25
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    • 2012
  • New Zealand suffers from regular floods, these being the most common source of insurance claims for damage from natural hazard events in the country. This paper describes the origin and distribution of the largest floods in New Zealand, and describes the systems used to monitor and predict floods. In New Zealand, broad-scale heavy rainfall (and flooding), is the result of warm moist air flowing out from the tropics into the mid-latitudes. There is no monsoon in New Zealand. The terrain has a substantial influence on the distribution of rainfall, with the largest annual totals occurring near the South Island's Southern Alps, the highest mountains in the country. The orographic effect here is extreme, with 3km of elevation gained over a 20km distance from the coast. Across New Zealand, short duration high intensity rainfall from thunderstorms also causes flooding in urban areas and small catchments. Forecasts of severe weather are provided by the New Zealand MetService, a Government owned company. MetService uses global weather models and a number of limited-area weather models to provide warnings and data streams of predicted rainfall to local Councils. Flood monitoring, prediction and warning are carried out by 16 local Councils. All Councils collect their own rainfall and river flow data, and a variety of prediction methods are utilized. These range from experienced staff making intuitive decisions based on previous effects of heavy rain, to hydrological models linked to outputs from MetService weather prediction models. No operational hydrological models are linked to weather radar in New Zealand. Councils provide warnings to Civil Defence Emergency Management, and also directly to farmers and other occupiers of flood prone areas. Warnings are distributed by email, text message and automated voice systems. A nation-wide hydrological model is also operated by NIWA, a Government-owned research institute. It is linked to a single high resolution weather model which runs on a super computer. The NIWA model does not provide public forecasts. The rivers with the greatest flood flows are shown, and these are ranked in terms of peak specific discharge. It can be seen that of the largest floods occur on the West Coast of the South Island, and the greatest flows per unit area are also found in this location.

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Analysis of Weather Conditions from Hourly to Seasonal Scales for Pilot Aviation Training Organization(ATO): Case study for Muan International Airport (조종사 양성 전문교육기관을 위한 시간대 및 계절별 기상분석 연구 : 무안국제공항을 중심으로)

  • Son, Byoung Wook;Kim, Hyeonmi;Kim, Hui Yang
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.249-260
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    • 2022
  • Student pilots receiving flight education are inexperienced in piloting and situation judgment skills and are greatly affected by various factors such as psychological, physical, and environmental factors. In particular, one of the most influential factors in the flight education of student pilots is the weather conditions. Unlike large aircraft used in the air transportation business, small aircraft used for flight education have a great impact on education, such as flight restrictions depending on weather conditions, psychological pressure in severe weather, and deterioration of student skills. Therefore, in this study, the meteorological characteristics of meteorological factors that have a great influence on small aircraft were analyzed. As a result of the analysis, an efficient and safe training operation method was suggested to a professional pilot aviation training organization through the adjustment of the training period for the season, the increase in aircraft operation rate, and a safe solo flight plan considering the weather.

Three-dimensional Analysis of Heavy Rainfall Using KLAPS Re-analysis Data (KLAPS 재분석 자료를 활용한 집중호우의 3차원 분석)

  • Jang, Min;You, Cheol-Hwan;Jee, Joon-Bum;Park, Sung-Hwa;Kim, Sang-il;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Atmosphere
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2016
  • Heavy rainfall (over $80mm\;hr^{-1}$) system associated with unstable atmospheric conditions occurred over the Seoul metropolitan area on 27 July 2011. To investigate the heavy rainfall system, we used three-dimensional data from Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS) reanalysis data and analysed the structure of the precipitation system, kinematic characteristics, thermodynamic properties, and Meteorological condition. The existence of Upper-Level Jet (ULJ) and Low-Level Jet (LLJ) are accelerated the heavy rainfall. Convective cloud developed when a strong southwesterly LLJ and strong moisture convergence occurring around the time of the heavy rainfall is consistent with the results of previous studies on such continuous production. Environmental conditions included high equivalent potential temperature of over 355 K at low levels, and low equivalent potential temperature of under 330 K at middle levels, causing vertical instability. The tip of the band shaped precipitation system was made up of line-shaped convective systems (LSCSs) that caused flooding and landslides, and the LSCSs were continuously enhanced by merging between new cells and the pre-existing cell. Difference of wind direction between low and middle levels has also been considered an important factor favouring the occurrence of precipitation systems similar to LSCSs. Development of LSCs from the wind direction difference at heights of the severe precipitation occurrence area was also identified. This study can contribute to the identification of production and development mechanisms of heavy rainfall and can be used in applied research for prediction of severe weather.