• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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Overseas Construction Order Forecasting Using Time Series Model (시계열 모형을 이용한 해외건설 수주 전망)

  • Kim, Woon Joong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2018
  • Since 2010, Korea's overseas construction orders have seen dramatic fluctuations. I propose causes and remedies for the industry as a whole. Orders have recorded an annual average of $63.8 billion dollars from 2011 to 2014, reaching its highest at $71.6 billion dollars(2010) which marked the peak of Korea's overseas construction. However, due to a decline in international oil prices, starting in the last half of 2014, Korea's overseas construction orders have followed suit recording $46.1 billion dollar in 2014, $28.2 billion dollars in 2016, and $29.0 billion dollars in 2017. Facing uncertainty in Korea's overseas construction market, caused by continued slow growth of the global economy, Korean EPC contractors are at a critical point in regards to their award-winning capabilities. Together with declining oil prices, the challenges have never been bigger. To mitigate the challenges, I would suggest policy direction as a way to grow and develop the overseas construction industry. Proper counterplans are needed to foster Korea's overseas construction industry. Forecasting total order amount for overseas construction projects is essencial. Analyzing contract award & tender structure and its changing trends in both overseas and world construction markets should also be included. Korea has great potential and global competitiveness. These measures will serve to enhance Korea's overall export strategy in uncertain overseas markets and global economy.

Analysis of Changes in Citizen Satisfaction with Parks & Green Spaces in Daegu City, Korea (대구시 공원녹지에 대한 시민 만족도의 경시적 변화 분석)

  • Eom, Boong-Hoon;Han, Sung-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2011
  • This study was carried out to investigate the changes in citizen satisfaction with parks and green spaces in Daegu. Three surveys were conducted using the same measurement tools in 1986, 2001, and 2010. Major results are as follows: 1. The overall satisfaction level with parks and green spaces increased remarkably over the last25years. Satisfaction levels with city spaces overall were higher than that of nearby surrounding areas. 2. Diversity of green spaces was the most distinguished indicator in increasing level of satisfaction while the management level of green space facilities showed the lowest improvement. 3. The factor analysis for individual variables for satisfaction resulted in two factors: functions and physical conditions were categorized as one factor, and indicators for the planning of green spaces were the other. Using a regression model, the major variables found for satisfaction were diversity, management level of woods, quantitative level, function of static recreation, and management level of facilities, respectively. 4. Regarding satisfaction level by the type of green spaces, green spaces by streets showed a remarkable increase while green spaces in industrial areas showed the lowest improvement. A factor analysis for each type of green space resulted in 3 factors: green spaces of urban parks, green spaces of urban recreational facilities, and green spaces of each district including residential areas and industrial areas.

Tracking Moving Object using Hierarchical Search Method (계층적 탐색기법을 이용한 이동물체 추적)

  • 방만식;김태식;김영일
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.568-576
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes a moving object tracking algorithm by using hierarchical search method in dynamic scenes. Proposed algorithm is based on two main steps: generation step of initial model from different pictures, and tracking step of moving object under the time-yawing scenes. With a series of this procedure, tracking process is not only stable under far distance circumstance with respect to the previous frame but also reliable under shape variation from the 3-dimensional(3D) motion and camera sway, and consequently, by correcting position of moving object, tracking time is relatively reduced. Partial Hausdorff distance is also utilized as an estimation function to determine the similarity between model and moving object. In order to testify the performance of proposed method, the extraction and tracking performance have tested using some kinds of moving car in dynamic scenes. Experimental results showed that the proposed algorithm provides higher performance. Namely, matching order is 28.21 times on average, and considering the processing time per frame, it is 53.21ms/frame. Computation result between the tracking position and that of currently real with respect to the root-mean-square(rms) is 1.148. In the occasion of different vehicle in terms of size, color and shape, tracking performance is 98.66%. In such case as background-dependence due to the analogy to road is 95.33%, and total average is 97%.

A Study on K-Wave's Business Expansion: Based on Creativity Type Model (한류의 비즈니스 확장에 관한 연구: 창의성 유형 모델 기반으로)

  • Song, Minzheong
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.39-54
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to expand K-Wave business. For this, it firstly investigated previous studies and pointed out limitations of the current scope of the K-Wave business. Therefore, as a theoretical background, it attempts to construct an analysis framework based on four types of creativity type model and to redefine the concept of K-Wave business, which refers to a series of business activities that create, utilize the asset, and reuse the originality of intellectual property assets. This study analyzes the business activities of K-Wave's asset creation, utilization, and talent linkage during 2013~2017. The scope of the asset creation covers the highest ranked movies, dramas, and K-pops, while the utilization of those is analyzed in cosmetics, food, and fashion industries. The personal talent is the source of new K-Wave value creation and Webtoon IP is analyzed. As a result, in the case of movies and dramas, the representative market is China, which is the result of the efforts to avoid the continuation of China's regulation and the development of local OTTs. It is confirmed that the product development for Chinese consumers is active as activities of K-Wave utilization in cosmetics, food and fashion. Interesting is that new K-Wave content is circulated in the beauty sector. Finally, it is confirmed that Webtoon IP, which has been structured with a solid story in individual talent, is the origin of new K-Wave asset creation such as movies and dramas.

A Study on the Relationship between Income Instability and the Degree of Preparation for Old Life and Satisfaction with Current Life (소득위험과 노후준비정도 및 현재생활의 만족도 간의 관련성)

  • Lee, Chan-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.337-343
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    • 2019
  • The need for preparation for old life has been further increased due to the increase of the elderly population and changes in economic conditions today. The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between income instability and the degree of preparation for old life and satisfaction of current life. The key variables were extracted through prior study review. And the data collected through the survey were statistically analyzed with a structural equation model. The analysis found that the indirect effect of the current income risk on the satisfaction of current life through the preparation for old life had a significant negative effect under the statistically significant level of 0.05. However, it was found that the direct effects of current income risk on the satisfaction of current life were not statistically significant. An additional analysis was conducted by dividing the age, the number of dependents by two groups respectively. To summarize the results, preparation for old life played a significant role as a prerequisite for improving the satisfaction of current life. And the variability(risk) of current income played an important role in preparing for old life. At this time, the degree of relevance between the factors(potential variables) differed somewhat between the two groups. The results of this analysis will be meaningful in providing basic source of data to prepare for a satisfactory life in each individual's current situation. This study, meanwhile, has limitations that have only been done with cross-sectional analysis and would like to analyze time-series changes in the future.

Designing Tracking Method using Compensating Acceleration with FCM for Maneuvering Target (FCM 기반 추정 가속도 보상을 이용한 기동표적 추적기법 설계)

  • Son, Hyun-Seung;Park, Jin-Bae;Joo, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SC
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.82-89
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents the intelligent tracking algorithm for maneuvering target using the positional error compensation of the maneuvering target. The difference between measured point and predict point is separated into acceleration and noise. Fuzzy c-mean clustering and predicted impact point are used to get the optimal acceleration value. The membership function is determined for acceleration and noise which are divided by fuzzy c-means clustering and the characteristics of the maneuvering target is figured out. Divided acceleration and noise are used in the tracking algorithm to compensate computational error. The filtering process in a series of the algorithm which estimates the target value recognize the nonlinear maneuvering target as linear one because the filter recognize only remained noise by extracting acceleration from the positional error. After filtering process, we get the estimates target by compensating extracted acceleration. The proposed system improves the adaptiveness and the robustness by adjusting the parameters in the membership function of fuzzy system. To maximize the effectiveness of the proposed system, we construct the multiple model structure. Procedures of the proposed algorithm can be implemented as an on-line system. Finally, some examples are provided to show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Dispersion in the Unsteady Separated Flow Past Complex Geometries (복합지형상에서 비정상 박리흐름에 의한 확산)

  • Ryu, Chan-Su
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.512-527
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    • 2001
  • Separated flows passed complex geometries are modeled by discrete vortex techniques. The flows are assumed to be rotational and inviscid, and a new techlnique is described to determine the stream functions for linear shear profiles. The geometries considered are the snow cornice and the backward-facing step, whose edges allow for the separation of the flow and reattachment downstream of the recirculation regions. A point vortex has been added to the flows in order to constrain the separation points to be located at the edges, while the conformal mappings have been modified in order to smooth the sharp edges and to let the separation points free to oscillate around the points of maximum curvature. Unsteadiness is imposed to the flow by perturbing the vortex location, either by displacing the vortex from the equilibrium, or by imposing a random perturbation with zero mean to the vortex in equilibrium. The trajectories of passive scalars continuously released upwind of the separation point and trapped by the recirculating bubble are numerically integrated, and concentration time series are calculated at fixed locations downwind of the reattachment points. This model proves to be capable of reproducing the trapping and intermittent release of scalars, in agreement with the simulation of the flow passed a snow cornice performed by a discrete multi-vortex model, as well as with direct numerical simulations of the flow passed a backward-facing step. The results of simulation indicate that for flows undergoing separation and reattachment the unsteadiness of the recirculating bubble is the main mechanism responsible for the intense large-scale concentration fluctuations downstream.

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Development of an Analytical Framework for Dialogic Argumentation in the Context of Socioscientific Issues: Based on Discourse Clusters and Schemes (과학관련 사회쟁점(SSI) 맥락에서의 소집단 논증활동 분석틀 개발: 담화클러스터와 담화요소의 분석)

  • Ko, Yeonjoo;Choi, Yunhee;Lee, Hyunju
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.509-521
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    • 2015
  • Argumentation is a social and collaborative dialogic process. A large number of researchers have focused on analyzing the structure of students' argumentation occurring in the scientific inquiry context, using the Toulmin's model of argument. Since SSI dialogic argumentation often presents distinctive features (e.g. interdisciplinary, controversial, value-laden, etc.), Toulmin's model would not fit into the context. Therefore, we attempted to develop an analytical framework for SSI dialogic argumentation by addressing the concepts of 'discourse clusters' and 'discourse schemes.' Discourse clusters indicated a series of utterances created for a similar dialogical purpose in the SSI contexts. Discourse schemes denoted meaningful discourse units that well represented the features of SSI reasoning. In this study, we presented six types of discourse clusters and 19 discourse schemes. We applied the framework to the data of students' group discourse on SSIs (e.g. euthanasia, nuclear energy, etc.) in order to verify its validity and applicability. The results indicate that the framework well explained the overall flow, dynamics, and features of students' discourse on SSI.

Robust Optimization of the Solenoid Assembly in Electromagnetic Limited Slip Differential by Considering the Uncertainties in Machining Variables (가공변수의 불확실성을 고려한 전자제어식 차동제한장치 솔레노이드 어셈블리의 강건 최적설계)

  • Oh, Sang-Kyun;Lee, Kwang-Ki;Suh, Chang-Hee;Jung, Yun-Chul;Kim, Young-Suk
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.35 no.10
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    • pp.1307-1313
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    • 2011
  • The mechanical limited slip differential (LSD) in vehicles is being replaced by the electromagnetic LSD because of its fast response and better active control characteristics. The coil housing made of STS 304 is one of the most important parts in the solenoid assembly of the electromagnetic LSD. High geometrical accuracy is a prerequisite for the manufacture of such coil housings, but precision machining is difficult because of the use of STS 304 thin plate and the variance in machining variables. The aim of this study is to optimize the mean and variance of the shape accuracy in the coil housing by finding a robust solution for the machining process conditions. The mean and standard deviation of the jaw contact pressure, cutting speed, and feed rate are considered to be the major parameters for minimizing the geometrical mean and variance. The response surface model based on the second-order Taylor series is combined together to minimize the mean and variance of the shape accuracy of the coil housing.

A Study on the Actual Condition of Graduate School of Entrepreneurial Management viewed from New Educational-Industrial Cooperation Paradigm;The Case Study of 5 Government Supported Graduate Schools of Entrepreneurial Management (신산학협력 패러다임 관점에서 본 창업대학원 사업의 실태조사 연구;전국 5개 창업대학원 사례 연구를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jung-Ho;Min, Kyung-Se
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.43-68
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is to clarify the actual conditions of entrepreneurial school which was drawn from the new industry-academy cooperation paradigm, and to suggest a role model for educational program for entrepreneurial school, in order to increase its self-generating ability. According to survey of 5 entrepreneurial schools, most of curriculums did not show a user-based. This indicates that series of processes, such as analyzing user's(learner, local community, institution) request and setting up the goal are not being conducted professionally and systematically. Through this study, I would like to deliver the importance of new industry-academy cooperation paradigm of entrepreneurial schools and incite them to apply major principles of new industry-academy cooperation paradigm to their entrepreneurial education program, in order to enable continuous survival and development. This study has conducted research on the actual conditions of entrepreneurial school to examine whether the role model of entrepreneurial education program coincides with the paradigm of new industry-academy cooperation paradigm. Thus, this study has conducted two verifications as whole. First, through theoretical examination, this study has drawn out the major principles of new industry-academy cooperation paradigm and considered effective applying method for it. Second, this study has analyzed overseas' cases for development of entrepreneurial education program and proved the propriety of major principles. Through theory and case studies, the study presented a role models for each subjects and provided necessity for applying major principles to entrepreneurial school's research on the actual operating condition.

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