• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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A Study on the Outliers Detection in the Number of Railway Passengers for the Gyeongbu Line From Seoul to Major Cities Using a Time Series Outlier Detection Technique (시계열 이상치 탐지 기법을 활용한 경부선 주요도시 철도 승객수의 이상치 탐색 연구)

  • LEE, Jiseon;YOON, Yoonjin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.469-480
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    • 2017
  • On April 1, 2004, KTX (Korea Train eXpress), the first HSR (High-Speed Rail) in Korea, was introduced to Gyeongbu Line. The introduction of the KTX service led to a change in the number of passengers for Gyeongbu Line. Previous studies have analyzed the pre and post-event changes of the intervening events by either simple statistics or intervention ARIMA analysis. However, the intervention ARIMA model has a limitation that several assumptions such as the occurrence time and the type of intervention events are necessary. To this end, this study analyzed the effects of intervention event on the number of passengers using the Gyeongbu line based on a time series outlier detection technique which can overcome limitations in the previous studies. The time series outlier detection technique can analyze the time, effect type and size of an intervention event without the assumption of the time and effect type of the intervention event. The data were collected from the Korea Transport Database (KTDB) for twelve years from 2003 to 2014 (144 months). The analysis results showed that the size of the influence type in the same intervention events was different across the major city routes, and the intervention event which could not be found by previous study methods was also found.

Modeling, Discovering, and Visualizing Workflow Performer-Role Affiliation Networking Knowledge

  • Kim, Haksung;Ahn, Hyun;Kim, Kwanghoon Pio
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.691-708
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    • 2014
  • This paper formalizes a special type of social networking knowledge, which is called "workflow performer-role affiliation networking knowledge." A workflow model specifies execution sequences of the associated activities and their affiliated relationships with roles, performers, invoked-applications, and relevant data. In Particular, these affiliated relationships exhibit a stream of organizational work-sharing knowledge and utilize business process intelligence to explore resources allotting and planning knowledge concealed in the corresponding workflow model. In this paper, we particularly focus on the performer-role affiliation relationships and their implications as organizational and business process intelligence in workflow-driven organizations. We elaborate a series of theoretical formalisms and practical implementation for modeling, discovering, and visualizing workflow performer-role affiliation networking knowledge, and practical details as workflow performer-role affiliation knowledge representation, discovery, and visualization techniques. These theoretical concepts and practical algorithms are based upon information control net methodology for formally describing workflow models, and the affiliated knowledge eventually represents the various degrees of involvements and participations between a group of performers and a group of roles in a corresponding workflow model. Finally, we summarily describe the implications of the proposed affiliation networking knowledge as business process intelligence, and how worthwhile it is in discovering and visualizing the knowledge in workflow-driven organizations and enterprises that produce massively parallel interactions and large-scaled operational data collections through deploying and enacting massively parallel and large-scale workflow models.

PSCAD/EMTDC Based Modeling and Simulation Analysis of a Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Generation System (PSCAD/EMTDC를 미용한 계통연계형 태양광발전시스템의 모델링 및 모의 해석)

  • Jeon Jin-Hong;Kim Eung-Sang;Kim Seul-Ki
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2005
  • The paper addresses modeling and analysis of a grid-connected photovoltaic generation system (PV system). PSCAD/EMTDC, an industry standard simulation tool for studying the transient behavior of electric power system and apparatus, is used to conduct all aspects of model implementation and to carry out extensive simulation study. This paper is aimed at sharing with the PSCAD/EMTDC user community our user-defined model for PV system applications, which is not yet available as a standard model within PSCAD/EMTDC. An equivalent circuit model of a solar cell has been used for modeling solar array. A series of parameters required for array modeling have been estimated from general specification data of a solar module. A PWM voltage source inverter (VSI) and its current control scheme have been implemented. A maximum power point tracking (MPPT) technique is employed for drawing the maximum available energy from the PV array. Comprehensive simulation results are presented to examine PV array behaviors and PV system control performance in response to irradiation changes. In addition, dynamic responses of PV array and system to network fault conditions are simulated and analysed.

Rule-Based Fuzzy-Neural Networks Using the Identification Algorithm of the GA Hybrid Scheme

  • Park, Ho-Sung;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2003
  • This paper introduces an identification method for nonlinear models in the form of rule-based Fuzzy-Neural Networks (FNN). In this study, the development of the rule-based fuzzy neural networks focuses on the technologies of Computational Intelligence (CI), namely fuzzy sets, neural networks, and genetic algorithms. The FNN modeling and identification environment realizes parameter identification through synergistic usage of clustering techniques, genetic optimization and a complex search method. We use a HCM (Hard C-Means) clustering algorithm to determine initial apexes of the membership functions of the information granules used in this fuzzy model. The parameters such as apexes of membership functions, learning rates, and momentum coefficients are then adjusted using the identification algorithm of a GA hybrid scheme. The proposed GA hybrid scheme effectively combines the GA with the improved com-plex method to guarantee both global optimization and local convergence. An aggregate objective function (performance index) with a weighting factor is introduced to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization of the model. According to the selection and adjustment of the weighting factor of this objective function, we reveal how to design a model having sound approximation and generalization abilities. The proposed model is experimented with using several time series data (gas furnace, sewage treatment process, and NOx emission process data from gas turbine power plants).

Development of Standard Activity Model for Small and Medium sized Plant: Focused on Detailed Design Phase (중소형 플랜트의 표준화된 플랜트 엔지니어링 활동 모델 개발: 상세설계를 중심으로)

  • Shin, Jung Uk;Yeom, Choong Sub
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2018
  • Plant Engineering is a series of activities going through following life cycle phases: planning, basic design, detailed design, procurement and construction, commissioning, operation and maintenance, to produce a target product. From among these phases of plant engineering life cycle, a detailed design phase is an important phase producing final design deliveries. Luckily, through technical co-operation and experiences of constructing plants, large Korean engineering companies have accumulated know-hows of efficient detailed designs. However, smaller engineering companies have less experience of performing detailed designs so there is always a risk of causing design errors in the detailed design phase. To mitigate the risk of design errors in the detailed design phase, it is necessary to systematize a concrete activity model of a detailed design phase. In this paper, we have developed a prototype of a detailed design activity model through a widely used function modeling methodology called IDEF0.

STUDY ON AUTOMATIC 3D WING SHAPE MODELING AND GRID GENERATION (3차원 날개 모델링 및 격자 생성 자동화에 대한 연구)

  • Ryu, G.Y.;Kim, B.S.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2009.04a
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    • pp.125-129
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    • 2009
  • In this paper automatic 3D wing shape modeling program is introduced. The program is developed in Visual Basic based on Net Framework 3.5 environment by using CATIA COM Library, and it is used together with CATIA system to model 3D wings with or without flaps. With this program users can easily construct wing models by specifying geometry parameters which are usually design variables with the aid of easy-to-use GUI environment, and specifying sectional airfoil data is done either by using analytic shape functions such as NACA series airfoils or by providing input files with point data describing the airfoil shape. When all the input parameters are provided, users can either work further with the model in the CATIA system which would be automatically started by the program or save the resultant model in the format of users choice. Unstructured grid generation program is also briefly described which can make grid generation task for a 3D wing easy and efficient one when used together with the wing modeling program by choosing STL format as the model's output format.

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Rigorous Modeling of Single Channel DPF Filtration and Sensitivity Analysis of Important Model Parameters (단일 채널 DPF의 PM 포집 모델링 및 모델 파라미터의 민감도 해석)

  • Jung, Seung-Chai;Park, Jong-Sun;Yoon, Woong-Sup
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2006
  • Prediction of diesel particulate filtration is typically made by virtue of modeling of particulate matter(PM) collection. The model is closed with filtration parameters reflecting all small scale phenomena associated with PM trapping, and these parameters are to be traced back by inversely analyzing large-scale empirical data-the pressure drop histories. Included are soot cake permeability, soot cake density, soot density in the porous filter wall, and percolation constant. In the present study, a series of single channel DPF experiment is conducted, pressure histories are inversely analyzed, and the essential filtration parameters are deducted by DPF filtration model formulated with non-linear description of soot cake regression. Sensitivity analyses of model parameters are also made. Results showed that filtration transients are significantly altered by the extent of percolation constant, and the soot density in the porous filter wall is controlling the filtration qualities in deep-bed filtration regime. In addition, effect of soot particle size on filtration quality is distinct in a period of soot cake regime.

Analysis of the Structural Behaviors of Tunnel Linings in Joomunjin Standard Sand by Centrifugal Model Tests (원심모형실험에 의한 사질토 지반내 터널 복공의 역학적 거동에 관한 연구)

  • 김택곤;김영근;박중배;이희근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 1999
  • A series of centrifuge model tests were performed in order to investigate the behaviors of various tunnel linings. A 1/100-scaled aluminum and hydrostone horseshoe tunnel linings with a radius km, height km were buried in a depth of C/D=3 with dry Joomunjin standard sand, the relative density of which was 86%. Bending moments and thrusts along the tunnel circumference were measured by 12 strain gages. Earth pressures in soil and on lining were estimated by pressure transducers, ground surface settlements at center and edges by using LVDTs. Average Ko(coefficient of earth pressure at rest) was 0.39 for the model sand. The structural behaviors of lining depended on its damaged conditions. But, as a rule, on the crown, the tensile circumferential strain of lining occurred at the inner surface, and the compressive at the outer surface, then positive bending moment was created at the crown. The circumferential strain of the inner surface on the springline was tensile, and the outer compressive, so negative bending moment was measured at the springline. For hydrostone linings, cracks initiated at the inner surface on the crown, and the outer on the springline over average 40g.

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Analysis of Nonlinear Behavior for Addiction in Digital Sport (디지털 스포츠 중독의 비선형 거동 해석)

  • Bae, Young-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.977-982
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    • 2017
  • Recently, the effort that converge the sport and ICT continues together with developing ICT. The game is a representative example. The digital sport is developing as mixed type that are composed with sport and digital such as screen golf and screen bowling. The addiction problem exist in the digital sport like the addiction problem exist in general sport. In this paper, we propose the addiction model in the digital sport as fractional-order. We represent time series and phase portrait for nonlinear behavior from proposed fractional-order model and we confirms the difference between them.

A Study on Velocity Distribution Around Ship Stern by Improved Power Law Flow Model (멱법칙 유동모델의 개선에 의한 선미 유동장내 속도분포 연구)

  • 김시영
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.1391-1397
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    • 1992
  • Improved power law flow model was suggested for the calculation of wake flow characteristics around the three dimensional ship stern in case of the formation of bilge vortex in the direction of stern. In comparison with the power law and Coles flow model, the flow velocity calculated based on this study was delayed around the boundary of inner layer and outer layer in reverse flow. More accurate results was obtained with this improved power law flow model by the velocity calculation around ship stern. Accuracy was validated with the comparison of other calculation results and experimental datas.