• Title/Summary/Keyword: series model

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The Application of Transition Probabilities Models on Estimating the Mobility of Industrial Manpower in Korea (산업인력(産業人力)의 이동(移動)에 관한 추이확률(推移確率) 모형(模型)의 응용(應用))

  • Gang, Jeong-Hyeok
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 1989
  • A class of standard optimization techniques to estimate the stationary transition probabilities among states is discussed. With the use of aggregate time series data on employed labor in industrial sectors, the alternative restricted estimates including minimum absolute deviation, unweighted, weighted, generalized inverse, minimum chi-square and maximum likelihood are evaluated and compared. Analytic and numerical results are shown favorably with the viewpoint of the validity and predictive potentiality of model.

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Value at Risk Forecasting Based on Quantile Regression for GARCH Models

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol;Noh, Jung-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.669-681
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    • 2010
  • Value-at-Risk(VaR) is an important part of risk management in the financial industry. This paper present a VaR forecasting for financial time series based on the quantile regression for GARCH models recently developed by Lee and Noh (2009). The proposed VaR forecasting features the direct conditional quantile estimation for GARCH models that is well connected with the model parameters. Empirical performance is measured by several backtesting procedures, and is reported in comparison with existing methods using sample quantiles.

Confinement Effectiveness on Compressive Zone of RC Walls (철근콘크리트 벽체 압축단부의 구속효과)

  • 김장훈;안상훈
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.459-464
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    • 2001
  • A great level of strength and deformability on compressive zone of RC wall is essentially required when subjected to high axial and in-plane lateral loading due to earthquakes. One of the best ways to handle this situation is to provide the confinement effectiveness to the compressive zone by reinforcing steel. For this a series of design charts were constructed to evaluate the confinement effectiveness for a given steel configuration in accordance with a well-known model and part of them are presented in this paper. Using the chart, designers can choose a desirable steel arrangement in flexural compressive zone of RC walls for a prescribed confinement factor.

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Fracture Analysis Considering the Non-uniform Corrosion Distribution (비선형 부식분포를 고려한 철근덮개 파괴해석)

  • 오병환;장봉석
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.1041-1044
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    • 2001
  • This study was performed to evaluate the effect of non-uniform corrosion distribution on the analysis of concrete cover failure. A series of experiments have been undertaken to measure the corrosion rate of reinforcement according to the concentration of chloride ion so as to suggest a relationship between the reinforcement corrosion rate and chloride ion density. The corrosion induced pressure depending on the density of chloride ion has been derived. And nonlinear analysis assuming nonlinear corrosion distribution for cover cracking was achieved and compared with other experimental results to verify the accuracy of the model. Analysis was also performed for various parameters to compare their effects.

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Forecasting Short-term Electricity Prices in South Korean Electricity Market (한국전력시장에서의 단기전력가격 예측)

  • Chae, Yeoung-Jin;Kim, Doo-Jung;Kim, Eun-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.83-85
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    • 2008
  • The authors develop and compare the performance of short-term forecasting models on electricity market prices in Korea. The models are based on time-series methods. The outcome shows that the EGARCH model has the best results in the out-of-sample forecasts.

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Low-cost asymmetric control half-bridge inverter for LCD backlight (LCD 백라이트용 저가의 비태칭 제어 하프브리지 인버터)

  • 최성진
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.509-512
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    • 2000
  • LCD displays for flat monitors the backlit using Cold Cathode Flourescent Lamps(CCFLs) In this paper a low-cost series resonant half-bridge inverter for LCD backlight is proposed as a CCFL ballast. It is regulated by asymmetric control for its fixed frequency soft switching model. The attractiveness of this topology is primarily its low cost because of using BJT switches and reduction of anti-parallel diode. Design procedure and experimental verification from 5W 15"LCD backlight are presented.

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신뢰성 및 정비성 요구조건 만족을 위한 직렬시스템의 중복 구조 설계

  • Kim, Jong-Un;Park, Jun-Seo;Yu, Won-Hui
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.105-109
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    • 2006
  • MTTR and MTBSF are two representative quantitative maintainability and reliability requirements for railway systems. we deal with the redundancy allocation problem to satisfy the two requirements. The redundancy increases MTBSF and changes MTTR. Parallel redundancy and the exponential lifetime distribution of components are considered for the series systems. Mathematical model and example are presented for the redundancy optimization problem of minimizing the cost subjecting to MTTR and MTBSF requirements.

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A STUDY ON THE EFFECT OF POWER TRANSFORMATION IN SPATIAL STATISTIC ANALYSIS

  • LEE JIN-HEE;SHIN KEY-IL
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.173-183
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    • 2005
  • The Box-Cox power transformation is generally used for variance stabilization. Recently, Shin and Kang (2001) showed, under the Box-Cox transformation, invariant properties to the original model under the large mean and relatively small variance assumptions in time series analysis. In this paper we obtain some invariant properties in spatial statistics. Spatial statistics, Invariant Property, Variogram, Box-Cox power Transformation.

DC Motor Speed Control Using Fuzzy Algorithm (퍼지 알고리즘을 이용한 DC 모터 속도제어)

  • Kim, Yoon-Ho;Yoon, Byung-Do;Cho, Sung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1992.07b
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    • pp.1238-1241
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    • 1992
  • The series type DC motor is normally nonlinearly modeled, but in this paper, the nonlinear model is linearized for the speed control. The proposed algorithm is constructed by the fuzzy logic controllers. Then the system is investigated for the effects of changes by the scale factor, and fuzziness of fuzzy variables.

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Cascade-Correlation Network를 이용한 종합주가지수 예측

  • 지원철;박시우;신현정;신홍섭
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.745-748
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    • 1996
  • Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) was predicted using Cascade Correlation Network (CCN) model. CCN was suggested, by Fahlman and Lebiere [1990], to overcome the limitations of backpropagation algorithm such as step size problem and moving target problem. To test the applicability of CCN as a function approximator to the stock price movements, CCN was used as a tool for univariate time series analysis. The fitting and forecasting performance fo CCN on the KOSPI was compared with those of Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP).

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