• 한국안전학회지
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.54-59
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• 2023

The relationship between near misses and major accidents can be confirmed using the ratios proposed by Heinrich and Bird. Systematic reviews of previous national and international studies did not reveal the assessment process used in near-miss management systems. In this study, a model was developed for assessing near misses and major factors were derived through case application. By reviewing national and international literature, 14 factors were selected for each dimension of the P2T (people, procedure, technology) model. To identify the causal relationship between accidents and these factors, a near-miss assessment model was developed using a Bayesian network. In addition, a sensitivity analysis was conducted to derive the major factors. To verify the validity of the model, near-miss data obtained from the ethylene production process were applied. As a result, "PE2 (education)," "PR1 (procedure)," and "TE1 (equipment and facility not installed)" were derived as the major factors causing near misses in this process. If actual workplace data are applied to the near-miss assessment model developed in this study, results that are unique to the workplace can be confirmed. In addition, scientific safety management is possible only when priority is given through sensitivity analysis.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제54권11호
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• pp.4181-4194
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• 2022

Main steam safety valves are commonly used in nuclear power plants to provide final protections from overpressure events. Blowdown and dynamic stability are two critical characteristics of safety valves. However, due to the parameter sensitivity and multi-parameter features of safety valves, using traditional method to design and/or optimize them is generally difficult and/or inefficient. To overcome these problems, a surrogate model-based valve design optimization is carried out in this study, of particular interest are methods of valve surrogate modeling, valve parameters global sensitivity analysis and valve performance optimization. To construct the surrogate model, Design of Experiments (DoE) and Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations of the safety valve were performed successively, thereby an ensemble surrogate model (E-AHF) was built for valve blowdown and stability predictions. With the developed E-AHF model, global sensitivity analysis (GSA) on the valve parameters was performed, thereby five primary parameters that affect valve performance were identified. Finally, the k-sigma method is used to conduct the robust optimization on the valve. After optimization, the valve remains stable, the minimum blowdown of the safety valve is reduced greatly from 13.30% to 2.70%, and the corresponding variance is reduced from 1.04 to 0.65 as well, confirming the feasibility and effectiveness of the optimization method proposed in this paper.

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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• 제36권6호
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• pp.365-370
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• 2023

본 논문에서는 위상최적설계를 위한 입자-구조 충돌 모델을 제시한다. 위상최적설계를 위해서는 민감도 분석이 선행되어야 하며, 민감도 분석이 가능한 새로운 모델이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 위상최적설계를 위한 민감도 분석을 수행하기 위한 입자-구조 충돌 모델을 제시한다. 이후 이 모델을 이용하여 위상최적설계를 위한 민감도 분석을 수행한다. 제안한 모델의 정확도를 평가하기 위해 먼저 단순화된 1차원 충돌 문제에 적용한다. 이후, 이 모델을 이용하여 위상 최적화를 통해 입자의 최종 위치를 최적화하여 위상 최적화에 대한 이 모델의 적용 가능성을 확인한다. 이러한 결과는 위상 최적화에서 입자-구조 충돌을 고려하는 것이 가능하다는 것을 보여준다.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제70권2호
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• pp.209-219
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• 2019

By normalizing the internal hysteresis variable and eliminating the redundant parameter, the normalized Bouc-Wen model is considered to be an improved and more reasonable form of the Bouc-Wen model. In order to facilitate application and further research of the normalized Bouc-Wen model, some key aspects of the model need to be uncovered. In this paper, hysteresis characterization of the normalized Bouc-Wen model is first studied with respect to the model parameters, which reveals the influence of each model parameter to the shape of the hysteresis loops. The parameter identification scheme is then proposed based on an improved genetic algorithm (IGA), and verified by experimental test data. It is proved that the proposed method can be an efficacious tool for identification of the model parameters by matching the reconstructed hysteresis loops with the target hysteresis loops. Meanwhile, the IGA is shown to outperform the standard GA. Finally, a simplified identification method is proposed based on parameter sensitivity, which indicates that the efficiency of the identification process can be greatly enhanced while maintaining comparable accuracy if the low-sensitivity parameters are reasonably restricted to narrower ranges.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제32권7호
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• pp.549-555
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• 2008

Analytical method to analyze the tolerance effect on the vehicle ride comfort is suggested in this paper. Ride comfort is one of the most important performance indices which decide the vehicle design quality. In general, the ride comfort is affected by the variations of parameters of a vehicle model. Therefore, the effects of the parameters on the ride comfort need to be evaluated statistically based on the whole-body vibration of the vehicle. In this paper, weighted RMS values of the acceleration PSD of a seat position are used to define the ride comfort. The equations of motion and the sensitivity equations are derived based on a 5-DOF vehicle model. By employing the sensitivity information of the acceleration at the seat position, the tolerance effect on the vehicle ride comfort could be effectively analyzed.

• 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국소음진동공학회 2002년도 추계학술대회논문집
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• pp.570-575
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• 2002

Servo performance of a disk drive is greatly affected by the mechanical resonance frequencies of the head gimbal assembly (HSA). It is important factor to allow broader bandwidths for servo system in improving overall drive performance. In this paper, an optimal design for ODD suspension is attempted to increase resonance frequencies in tracking direction. Initial model was designed and the design parameter was defined to the model. The mode frequency variation for the change of design parameter was observed by modal analysis using the finite element method(FEM). The sensitivity matrix was calculated from the observed data and so through sensitivity analysis, an optimized ODD suspension was designed to have the higher resonant frequency than the initial model.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제53권2호
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• pp.249-260
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• 2015

Damage detection based on a reference set of measured data usually has the problem of different environmental temperature in the two sets of measurements, and the effect of temperature difference is usually ignored in the subsequent model updating. This paper attempts to identify the structural damage including the temperature difference with artificial measurement noise. Both local damages and the temperature difference are identified in a gradient-based model updating method based on dynamic response sensitivity. The sensitivities of dynamic response with respect to the system parameters and temperature difference are calculated by direct integration method. The measured dynamic responses of the structure from two different states are used directly to identify the structural local damages and the temperature difference. A single degree-of-freedom mass-spring system and a planar truss structure are studied to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.263-276
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• 2007

This paper presents a fuzzy finite element model for the analysis of structures in the presence of multiple uncertainties. A new methodology to evaluate the cumulative effect of multiple uncertainties on structural response is developed in the present work. This is done by modifying Muhanna's approach for handling single uncertainty. Uncertainty in load and material properties is defined by triangular membership functions with equal spread about the crisp value. Structural response is obtained in terms of fuzzy interval displacements and rotations. The results are further post-processed to obtain interval values of bending moment, shear force and axial forces. Membership functions are constructed to depict the uncertainty in structural response. Sensitivity analysis is performed to evaluate the relative sensitivity of displacements and forces to uncertainty in structural parameters. The present work demonstrates the effectiveness of fuzzy finite element model in establishing sharp bounds to the uncertain structural response in the presence of multiple uncertainties.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제55권5호
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• pp.1687-1707
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• 2023

This paper presents a molten salt reactor (MSR) design parameter sensitivity study using a nodal dynamic modelling methodology with explicitly modified point kinetics equation and Mann's model for heat transfer. Six parameters that can impact MSR safety are evaluated. A MATLAB-Simulink model inspired by Thorcon's 550MWth MSR is used for parameter evaluations. A safety envelope was formed to encapsulate power, maximum and minimum temperature, and temperature-induced reactivity feedback. The parameters are perturbed by ±30%. The parameters were then ranked by their subsequent impact on the considered safety envelope, which ranks acceptable parameter uncertainty. The model is openly available on GitHub.

• 지능정보연구
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.125-140
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• 2013

어떤 클래스에 속한 레코드의 개수가 다른 클래스들에 속한 레코드의 개수보다 매우 많은 경우에, 이 데이터 집합을 '불균형 데이터 집합'이라고 한다. 데이터 분류에 사용되는 많은 기법들은 이러한 불균형 데이터에 대해서 저조한 성능을 보인다. 어떤 기법의 성능을 평가할 때에 적중률뿐만 아니라, 민감도와 특이도도 함께 측정하여야 한다. 고객의 이탈을 예측하는 문제에서 '유지' 레코드가 다수 클래스를 차지하고, '이탈' 레코드는 소수 클래스를 차지한다. 민감도는 실제로 '유지'인 레코드를 '유지'로 예측하는 비율이고, 특이도는 실제로 '이탈'인 레코드를 '이탈'로 예측하는 비율이다. 많은 데이터 마이닝 기법들이 불균형 데이터에 대해서 저조한 성능을 보이는 것은 바로 소수 클래스의 적중률인 특이도가 낮기 때문이다. 불균형 데이터 집합에 대처하는 과거 연구 중에는 소수 클래스를 Oversampling하여 균형 데이터 집합을 생성한 후에 데이터 마이닝 기법을 적용한 연구들이 있다. 이렇게 균형 데이터 집합을 생성하여 예측을 수행하면, 특이도는 다소 향상시킬 수 있으나 그 대신 민감도가 하락하게 된다. 본 연구에서는 민감도는 유지하면서 특이도를 향상시키는 모델을 개발하였다. 개발된 모델은 Support Vector Machine (SVM), 인공신경망(ANN) 그리고 의사결정나무 기법 등으로 구성된 하이브리드 모델로서, Hybrid SVM Model이라고 명명하였다. 구축과정 및 예측과정은 다음과 같다. 원래의 불균형 데이터 집합으로 SVM_I Model과 ANN_I Model을 구축한다. 불균형 데이터 집합으로부터 Oversampling을 하여 균형 데이터 집합을 생성하고, 이것으로 SVM_B Model을 구축한다. SVM_I Model은 민감도에서 우수하고, SVM_B Model은 특이도에서 우수하다. 입력 레코드에 대해서 SVM_I와 SVM_B가 동일한 예측치를 도출하면 그것을 최종 해로 결정한다. SVM_I와 SVM_B가 상이한 예측치를 도출한 레코드에 대해서는 ANN과 의사결정나무의 도움으로 판별 과정을 거쳐서 최종 해를 결정한다. 상이한 예측치를 도출한 레코드에 대해서는, ANN_I의 출력값을 입력속성으로, 실제 이탈 여부를 목표 속성으로 설정하여 의사결정나무 모델을 구축한다. 그 결과 다음과 같은 2개의 판별규칙을 얻었다. 'IF ANN_I output value < 0.285, THEN Final Solution = Retention' 그리고 'IF ANN_I output value ${\geq}0.285$, THEN Final Solution = Churn'이다. 제시되어 있는 규칙의 Threshold 값인 0.285는 본 연구에서 사용한 데이터에 최적화되어 도출된 값이다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 것은 Hybrid SVM Model의 구조이지 특정한 Threshold 값이 아니기 때문에 이 Threshold 값은 대상 데이터에 따라서 얼마든지 변할 수 있다. Hybrid SVM Model의 성능을 UCI Machine Learning Repository에서 제공하는 Churn 데이터 집합을 사용하여 평가하였다. Hybrid SVM Model의 적중률은 91.08%로서 SVM_I Model이나 SVM_B Model의 적중률보다 높았다. Hybrid SVM Model의 민감도는 95.02%이었고, 특이도는 69.24%이었다. SVM_I Model의 민감도는 94.65%이었고, SVM_B Model의 특이도는 67.00%이었다. 그러므로 본 연구에서 개발한 Hybrid SVM Model이 SVM_I Model의 민감도 수준은 유지하면서 SVM_B Model의 특이도보다는 향상된 성능을 보였다.