• Title/Summary/Keyword: semi quantitative risk

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Prediction of Maintenance Period of Equipment Through Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plants (화력발전설비 위험도 평가를 통한 기기별 정비주기 예측)

  • Song, Gee Wook;Kim, Bum Shin;Choi, Woo Song;Park, Myung Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.10
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    • pp.1291-1296
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    • 2013
  • Risk-based inspection (RBI) is a well-known method that is used to optimize inspection activities based on risk analysis in order to identify the high-risk components of major facilities such as power plants. RBI, when implemented and maintained properly, improves plant reliability and safety while reducing unplanned outages and repair costs. Risk is given by the product of the probability of failure (POF) and the consequence of failure (COF). A semi-quantitative method is generally used for risk assessment. Semi-quantitative risk assessment complements the low accuracy of qualitative risk assessment and the high expense and long calculation time of quantitative risk assessment. The first step of RBI is to identify important failure modes and causes in the equipment. Once these are defined, the POF and COF can be assessed for each failure. During POF and COF assessment, an effective inspection method and range can be easily found. In this paper, the calculation of the POF is improved for accurate risk assessment. A modified semi-quantitative risk assessment was carried out for boiler facilities of thermal power plants, and the next maintenance schedules for the equipment were decided.

A Study on the Risk Management Tools against Infectious Diseases in the Port-Utilizing Semi-Quantitative Bow-Tie Method

  • Lim, Kukhwan;Oh, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2022
  • Due to the global epidemic of infectious diseases, it has become important for all industries to respond to the risk of infectious diseases. Ports in each country are also responding to the risk of infectious diseases, but the occurrence of infectious diseases in ports of various countries is causing a lot of damage to the logistics of ports. Korea is in the same situation, and cases of infectious diseases in ports are steadily being announced. Therefore, this paper conducted semi-quantitative Bow-Tie risk assessment by substituting measures to cope with infectious disease risks in Korean ports into actual cases of port infectious diseases in Korea, deriving improvements and suggesting directions. As a result, it was concluded that it was necessary to standardize some of the countermeasures against infectious diseases and develop more countermeasures.

Allocation of Safety Integrity Level for Railway Platform Screen Door System considering Semi-Quantitative Risk Reduction Factor (반 정량적 리스크 저감 요소를 고려한 철도 승강장 스크린 도어시스템의 안전 무결성 수준 할당)

  • Song, Ki Tae;Lee, Sung Ill
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.156-163
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    • 2016
  • There exists required safety integrity level (SIL) to assure safety in accordance with international standards for every electrical / electronics / control equipment or systems with safety related functions. The SIL is allocated from lowest level (level 0) to highest level (level 4). In order to guarantee certain safety level that is internationally acceptable, application of methodology for SIL allocation and demonstration based on related international standards is required. However, the theoretical and practical study for safety integrity level is barely under way in the domestic railway industry. This research studied not only the global process of SIL allocation to guarantee safety in accordance with international standards for safety related equipment and system, but the quantitative methodology based on international standard and the semi-quantitative methodology as alternative way for SIL allocation. Specifically, the systematic SIL allocation for platform screen door system of railway is studied applying the semi-quantitative methodology in order to save much time and effort compared to quantitative method.

A Study on Semi Quantitative Risk Analysis for Air Separation Unit using a GRA(Generic Risk Analysis) Method (GRA(Generic Risk Analysis) 기법을 이용한 공기분리시설에 대한 준 정량적 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jung-Soo;Byun, Hun-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.56-66
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    • 2013
  • The gas production plants supply the inert gas to production plants for maintaining safe operation and also supply combustible, flammable, explosive and toxic gases as functions of basic materials needed for producing chemical goods. In addition, gas plants need to be safe and reliable operation because they are operated under high temperature, high pressure, cryogenic and catalytic reactions. As these plants have a complex process in operation, there has been a risk that major industrial accidents such as a fire, explosion and toxic gas released, also risks of asphyxiations by inert gases and burns caused by high temperature and cryogenic substances. This study is to carry out the semi quantitative risk assesment method which is the generic risk analysis (GRA). This method is applied to air separation unit(ASU) to identify its initial risk, safety barriers, residual risk and elements important for safety(EIS). The result of this study, suggested the management tools and procedures of implementation for EIS management.

Development of RBI Procedures and Implementation of a Software Based on API Code (II) - Semi-Quantitative Approach (API 기준에 근거한 RBI 절차 개발 및 소프트웨어의 구현 (II) -준정량적 접근법-)

  • Song, Jung-Soo;Shim, Sang-Hoon;Kwon, Jung-Rock;Yoon, Kee-Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.110-118
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    • 2002
  • During the last ten years, the need has been increase for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments are ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. American Petroleum institute(API) developed a code, API 581 for proposing standard procedures of risk based inspection. Even though the API 581 code covers general RBI procedures, there must be some limitations. In this study, a semi-quantitative assessment algorithm for RBI based on the API 581 code was reconstructed for developing an RBI software. The user-friendly realRBI software is developed with a module for evaluation semi-quantitative risk category using the potential consequence factor and the likelihood factor. Also, inspection planning module for inspection time and inspection method for equipments are included.

Assessment of Semi-Quantitative Health Risks of Exposure to Harmful Chemical Agents in the Context of Carcinogenesis in the Latex Glove Manufacturing Industry

  • Yari, Saeed;Asadi, Ayda Fallah;Varmazyar, Sakineh
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.sup3
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 2016
  • Excessive exposure to chemicals in the workplace can cause poisoning and various diseases. Thus, for the protection of labor, it is necessary to examine the exposure of people to chemicals and risks from these materials. The purpose of this study is to evaluate semi-quantitative health risks of exposure to harmful chemical agents in the context of carcinogenesis in a latex glove manufacturing industry. In this cross-sectional study, semi-quantitative risk assessment methods provided by the Department of Occupational Health of Singapore were used and index of LD50, carcinogenesis (ACGIH and IARC) and corrosion capacity were applied to calculate the hazard rate and the biggest index was placed as the basis of risk. To calculate the exposure rate, two exposure index methods and the actual level of exposure were employed. After identifying risks, group H (high) and E (very high) classified as high-risk were considered. Of the total of 271 only 39 (15%) were at a high risk level and 3% were very high (E). These risks only was relevant to 7 materials with only sulfuric acid placed in group E and 6 other materials in group H, including nitric acid (48.3%), chromic acid (6.9%), hydrochloric acid (10.3%), ammonia (3.4%), potassium hydroxide (20.7%) and chlorine (10.3%). Overall, the average hazard rate level was estimated to be 4 and average exposure rate to be 3.5. Health risks identified in this study showed that the manufacturing industry for latex gloves has a high level of risk because of carcinogens, acids and strong alkalisand dangerous drugs. Also according to the average level of risk impact, it is better that the safety design strategy for latex gloves production industry be placed on the agenda.

A study on the risk assessment based on the semi-quantitative methodology (준 정량적 방법의 위험성 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Da-Woon;Oh, Sang-Min;Yoo, Deung-Ryeol;Seo, Jung-Wook;Kim, Du-Ill
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.1425-1432
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    • 2011
  • The various risk assessment methodologies have been introduced in the railway industries. The risk assessment suggested by CENELEC are described with two ways; quantitative and qualitative methods. However, in the industry application level, the quantitative method is hard to apply for a project because of somehow complicated or few statistical figures which was driven from the on-site and the qualitative method is too subject to have the confidence of its results fully. In this paper, the state-of-the-art methods which were suggested in Europe recently are introduced and compared to existing quantitative and qualitative methods. Furthermore, the application measures of railway projects are investigated.

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Typical Pseudo-accident Scenarios in the Petrochemical Process (석유화학 공정의 가상사고 시나리오 유형분석)

  • 윤동현;강미진;이영순;김창은
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a set of typical pseudo-accident scenarios related to major equipments in petrochemical plants, which would be useful for performing such quantitative risk analysis techniques as fault tree analysis, event tree analysis, etc. These typical scenarios address what the main hazard of each equipment might be and how the accident might develop from an "initiating event". The proposed set of accident scenarios consists of total thirteen (13) scenarios specific for five (5) major equipments like reactor, distillation column, etc., and has been determined and screened out of one hundred and twenty-five (125) potential accident scenarios that were generated by performing semi-quantitative risk analysis practically for twenty-five (25) petrochemical processes, considering advices from the operation experts. It is assumed that with simple consideration or incorporation of plant-specific conditions only, the proposed accident scenarios could be easily reorganized or adapted for the relevant process with less time and labor by the safety engineers concerned in the petrochemical industries.ndustries.

Semi-quantitative Risk Assessment using Bow-tie Method for the Establishment of Safety Management System of Hydrogen Fuel Storage Facility in a Combined Cycle Power Plant (복합화력발전소 내 수소연료 저장설비의 안전관리 체계 구축을 위한 Bow-tie 기법을 활용한 반정량적 위험성 평가)

  • Hee Kyung Park;Si Woo Jung;Yoo Jeong Choi;Min Chul Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2024
  • Hydrogen has been selected as one of the key technologies for reducing CO2 emissions to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. However, hydrogen safety issues should be fully guaranteed before the commercial and widespread utilization of hydrogen. Here, a bow-tie risk assessment is conducted for the hydrogen fuel supply system in a gas turbine power plant, which can be a mass consumption application of hydrogen. The bow-tie program is utilized for a qualitative risk assessment, allowing the analysis of the causes and consequences according to the stages of accidents. This study proposed an advanced bow-tie method, which includes the barrier criticality matrix and visualized maps of quantitative risk reduction. It is based on evaluating the importance of numerous barriers for the extent of their impact. In addition, it emphasizes the prioritization and concentrated management of high-importance barriers. The radar chart of a bow tie allows the visual comparison of risk levels before/after the application of barriers (safety measures). The risk reduction methods are semi-quantitatively analyzed utilizing the criticality matrix and radar chart, and risk factors from multiple aspects are derived. For establishing a secure hydrogen fuel storage system, the improvements suggested by the bow-tie risk assessment results, such as 'Ergonomic equipment design to prevent human error' and 'Emergency shutdown system,' will enhance the safety level. It attempts to contribute to the development and enhancement of an efficient safety management system by suggesting a method of calculating the importance of barriers based on the bow-tie risk assessment.

A Study on Implementation of Risk Based Inspection Procedures to a Petrochemical Plant (RBI 절차의 석유화학 플랜트 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Jung-Soo;Shim, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Ji-Yoon;Yoon, Kee-Bong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.416-423
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    • 2003
  • During the last ten years, the need has been increased for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments and ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. RBI (Risk Based Inspection) methodology is one of the most promising technologies satisfying the need in the field of integrity management. In this study, a user-friendly software, realRBl for RBI based on the API 581 code was developed. This software has modules for evaluating qualitative and semi-quantitative risk level, analyzing quantitative risks using the potential consequences of a failure of the pressure boundary, and assessing the likelihood of failure. A quantitative analysis was performed for 16 columns in a domestic NCC (Naphtha Cracking Center) plant whose operating time reaches about 12 years. Each column was considered as two equipment parts by dividing into top and bottom. Generic column failure frequencies were adjusted based on likelihood data. After determining release rate, release duration and release mass for each failure scenario, flammable/explosive and toxic consequences were assessed. Current risks for 32 equipment parts were evaluated and risk based prioritization were determined as a final result.