• 제목/요약/키워드: seasonal change concept

검색결과 28건 처리시간 0.025초

시간별 전력부하 예측 (Hourly load forecasting)

  • 김문덕;이윤섭
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1992년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.495-497
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    • 1992
  • Hourly load forecasting has become indispensable for practical simulation of electric power system as the system become larger and more complicated. To forecast the future hourly load the cyclic behavior of electric load which follows seasonal weather, day or week and office hours is to be analyzed so that the trend of the recent behavioral change can be extrapolated for the short term. For the long term, on the other hand, the changes in the infra-structure of each electricity consumer groups should be assessed. In this paper the concept and process of hourly load forecasting for hourly load is introduced.

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낙동강 유역 환경유량에 대한 기후변화의 영향 분석 (An Analysis of the Effect of Climate Change on Nakdong River Environmental Flow)

  • 이아연;김상단
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.273-285
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    • 2011
  • This study describes the modeling of climate change impact on runoff across southeast Korea using a conceptual rainfall-runoff model TANK and assesses the results using the concept of environmental flows developed by International Water Management Institute. The future climate time series is obtained by scaling the historical series, informed by 4 global climate models and 3 greenhouse gas emission scenarios, to reflect a $4.0^{\circ}C$ increase at most in average surface air temperature and 31.7% increase at most in annual precipitation, using the spatio-temporal changing factor method that considers changes in the future mean seasonal rainfall and potential evapotranspiration as well as in the daily rainfall distribution. Although the simulation results from different global circulation models and greenhouse emission scenarios indicate different responses in flows to the climate change, the majority of the modeling results show that there will be more runoff in southeast Korea in the future. However, there is substantial uncertainty, with the results ranging from a 5.82% decrease to a 48.15% increase in the mean annual runoff averaged across the study area according to the corresponding climate change scenarios. We then assess the hydrologic perturbations based on the comparison between present and future flow duration curves suggested by IMWI. As a result, the effect of hydrologic perturbation on aquatic ecosystems may be significant at several locations of the Nakdong river main stream in dry season.

계절 변화의 원인에 관한 초등학생의 멘탈 모델 변화 과정 분석 (Analysis of Changes in Elementary Students' Mental Models about the Causes of the Seasonal Change)

  • 김순미;양일호;임성만
    • 한국과학교육학회지
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.893-910
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    • 2013
  • 이 연구의 목적은 계절 변화의 원인에 대한 초등학생의 멘탈 모델의 변화 과정을 파악하는 것이다. 미시 발생적 연구 방법을 사용하여 총 8회기 동안 초등학교 6학년생 8명에게 계절 변화의 원인을 그림과 글, 사고 발성을 통해 설명하게 함으로써 멘탈 모델의 변화를 파악하였다. 연구 진행 시 연구 참여자의 언어적, 행동적 요소 및 면담 내용을 모두 비디오 녹화하였으며, 연구자의 현장 관찰 기록지와 학생이 작성한 멘탈 모델 기록지 등 다각적 자료를 함께 수집하였다. 수집한 결과를 통합하여 프로토콜을 작성하고, 이를 반복적으로 읽으며 귀납적으로 범주화하였다. 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 계절 변화의 원인에 대한 학습자의 멘탈 모델은 회기 내 및 회기 간에 걸쳐 개인마다 다양한 경로로 변화하였으며, 다양한 변화를 일으킨 학습자의 멘탈 모델이 과학적 모델에 더 근접하였다. 또한 자전이나 공전처럼, 계절의 변화와 관련된 선행 지식이 바르게 정착된 학생들은 새로운 정보에 기초하여 과학적 개념과 일치하는 멘탈 모델을 형성하였다. 반면에, 선행 지식이 바르게 정착되지 않은 경우에는 변형된 멘탈 모델에서 벗어나지 못하였다. 둘째, 멘탈 모델이 변화하는 데에는 학습자의 선행지식과 경험 및 정보, 선행 지식의 정확성, 새로운 지식과 기존 멘탈 모델 사이의 불일치 해결, 모형 조작을 통한 멘탈 모델 활성화, 그림으로 그려보기와 같은 요인들이 영향을 미쳤다. 교사는 학습자의 과학적 개념 형성을 위하여 그들에게 다양한 멘탈 모델을 구성할 수 있는 경험을 충분히 제공하고, 기존 멘탈 모델과 불일치하는 새로운 수업자료 제시를 통해 학습자가 의문을 느끼게 하고, 이를 해결하도록 할 필요가 있다.

동양의 전통적 환경인식과 환경관 (Thre Traditional Perception and Viewpoint to Natural Environment in the Orient)

  • 오홍석
    • 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 1992
  • In the orient, ancestor's perception to natural environment was related on the change of climate. Man had been a essence of the warm blood animal, which had suited in mild climate for living and acting. The weather of hot or cold was not only comfort in human life but influences negatively on human behavior. The most people of oriental was particularly interrelated to seasonal change of climate in earlier time. Because, there are elements such as temperature, humidity and wind in the category of climate, these elements differentiated seasonal change. The main methods of perception of natural environment were observed and classified. Although these methods were in the primitive stage, these coincided the tendency of modern science. For example, confucian was recognized the law of vertical air current that warm air rised and cold air sinked. And they could classify all elements nature based on the principles of 'Yin and Yang(陰陽論)' such as male and female, the sun and moon. shade and light etc. Thus results of the observation and the classification concerned with physical environment can be utilize a wisdom for progressive life of inhabitants. It was a origin of the education in natural environment. Commonness in the viewpoint of environment in the orient if recognized the law of circulation. Buddhism, originated in india, realized that all of phenomena in the world was changed slowly through the principles of cycle(輪廻說) such as male and female, the sun and moon, shade and light etc. Thus results of the observation and the classification concerned with physical environment can be utilized a wisdom for progressive life of inhabitants. It was a origin of the education in natural environment. Commonness in the viewpoint of environment in the orient if recognized the law of circulation. Buddhism, originated in India, realized that all of phenomena in the world was changed slowly through the principles of cycle(輪廻說). For example, whole of land is shifted from young stage to old stage as the life cycle of humanbeing. The theory of karma effects(葉報設) is so signify with the good result that good one's action is reap a sweet fruit. The most environmental problem in today must realized as a consequence of men's act. Then Taoism emphasized the pure nature without the artificiality. Because complexual environment was composed of several elements, It was maintained through the artificiality. Because complexual environment was composed of several elements, It was maintained through the interaction of cause and effects. The solution of environmental problem is maintenanced the harmony between cause and effects by a philosophical concept.

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현대 스포츠 인스파이어드 패션에 나타난 하이브리드 (Hybrid Phenomena in Modern Sports-Inspired Fashion)

  • 이영민;박재옥
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.569-587
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    • 2010
  • In the field of fashion in this modern era, the tendency of diversification has created a variety of hybrid patterns and this tendency is being accelerated simultaneously by the hybrid trend. This research aims to analyze the aesthetic features of hybrid fashion in the modern "Sports Inspired Fashion(SIF)." We analyze fashion in the past 10 years from 2001 S/S to 2010 S/S. We focus on the four largest worldwide collections from New York, Paris, Milano, and London and concentrate on analyzing the contents from 38 volumes of Gap Press magazine. To accomplish our goal of study, we first define the concept of sports-inspired fashion and propose a framework of analysis to study hybrid patterns by reviewing the previous studies on hybrid patterns. Second, we analyze a wide range of sports-inspired fashion examples that have appeared in Gap Press magazines for the past 10 years(those which have been inspired by sports uniforms and training wears). Third, we analyze and classify the hybrid patterns of sports-inspired fashion. The results of our research are as follows. We have collected a total of 534 SIF works from the whole set of 61359 pictures and examined 23 sports fields. In terms of seasonal changes, the SIF works were found the most in the spring collections. Then, we have identified 25 hybrid patterns. The time hybrid pattern comprises more than half of the data(58.2%). The class-culture hybrid patterns comprise 18.8%, while the gender hybrid patterns comprise 18.2%. However, the intercultural hybrid patterns were rarely found, comprising merely 5% of the data. Our analysis confirms that sports and sports wear fashion are changing and developing in truly diverse ways in this modern era. This trend has continued to influence the high fashion in the modern age and is expected to exert a continuous impact on the change of fashion in the future.

Virechana karma (therapeutic purgation) in the restoration of gut microbiota concerning Amavata (RA): A scientific exposition

  • Godbole, Amrit;Sweta, Sweta;Abhinav, Abhinav;Singh, O.P.
    • 셀메드
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.1.1-1.4
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    • 2021
  • Background: Amavata is a disease that occurs as a result of the error of metabolism. Poor dietary habits and faulty Dincharya (daily regimen) and ritucharya (seasonal regimen) leading to deranged metabolism and Agni (metabolic fire) which results in the formation of Ama(undigested product of metabolism). When Amaconceals with Vata(subtle energy associated with movement) and circulates in the body under the influence of Vyana Vayu (omnipresent air)it clogs the srotasas (microchannels) and initiates the inflammatory cascade. Amavata is commonly correlated with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) while other forms of auto-immune disorders can also be included in Amavata.Dysbiosis of the gut microbiota (GM) has been connected to the onset of diverse autoimmune diseases. In this study, it was hypothesized that Panchakarma (bio-purificatory methods) based intervention such as Virechana Karma (therapeutic purgation) may influence microbiota. Materials and Methods: Various Ayurvedic literature were reviewed for the etiopathogenesis of Amavata. Different databases were searched with research papers related to Gut Dysbiosis and autoimmunity and management of RA. A connecting link between Intestinal Dysbiosis with the autoimmune mechanisms was established and it was also found that the bowel cleansing introduced a change to the GM. Conclusion: It was concluded that Virechana karma is effective in gut flora Dysbiosis. This study aims to correlate the ancient Ayurvedic principles related to Agni Bala(metabolic energy) and biopurificatory treatment modalities like Virechana karma (therapeutic purgation)with the modern concept of gut microbiota and its role in the pathogenesis of various autoimmune disorders such as rheumatoid arthritis. The article creates an understanding about principles of Ayurveda and its rationality in today's scientific world and thereby opens newer vistas of research in therapeutics from Ayurveda, which may be helpful in the management of various immune-mediated Diseases through Ayurveda.

물-에너지-식량 넥서스 분석을 위한 시설재배지의 기준작물증발산량과 난방 에너지 부하 관계 분석 (Relationship Analysis of Reference Evapotranspiration and Heating Load for Water-Energy-Food Nexus in Greenhouse)

  • 김귀훈;윤푸른;이윤희;이상현;허승오;최진용
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권4호
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2019
  • Increasing crop production with the same amount of resources is essential for enhancing the economy in agriculture. The first prerequisite is to understand relationships between the resources. The concept of WEF (Water-Energy-Food) nexus analysis was first introduced in 2011, which helps to interpret inter-linkages among the resources and stakeholders. The objective of this study was to analyze energy-water nexus in greenhouse cultivation by estimating reference evapotranspiration and heating load. For the estimation, this study used the physical model to simulate the inside temperature of the agricultural greenhouse using heating, solar radiation, ventilated and transferred heat losses as input variables. For estimating reference evapotranspiration and heating load, Penman-Monteith equation and seasonal heating load equation with HDH (Heating Degree-Hour) was applied. For calibration and validation of simulated inside temperature, used were hourly data observed from 2011 to 2012 in multi-span greenhouse. Results of the simulation were evaluated using $R^2$, MAE and RMSE, which showed 0.75, 2.22, 3.08 for calibration and 0.71, 2.39, 3.35 for validation respectively. When minimum setting temperature was $12^{\circ}C$ from 2013 to 2017, mean values of evapotranspiration and heating load were 687 mm/year and 2,147 GJ/year. For $18^{\circ}C$, Mean values of evapotranspiration and heating load were 707 mm/year and 5,616 GJ/year. From the estimation, the relationship between water and heat energy was estimated as 1.0~2.6 GJ/ton. Though additional calibrations with different types of greenhouses are necessary, the results of this study imply that they are applicable when evaluating resource relationship in the greenhouse cultivation complex.

중등학교 과학 및 지구과학 교과서 조경 수역 및 어장에 관한 오개념 분석 (Analysis of Misconceptions on Oceanic Front and Fishing Ground in Secondary-School Science and Earth Science Textbooks)

  • 박경애;이재연;강창근;김창신
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제41권5호
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    • pp.504-519
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    • 2020
  • 해수의 서로 다른 물성이 만나는 해양 전선은 해수의 열교환 및 운동량 교환, 물성의 혼합과정과 같은 해양 역학적 과정과 해양-대기 상호작용으로 기상변화와 기후 변화를 조절하는 중요한 역할을 한다. 이러한 해양 전선이 중등학교 교과서에는 해류가 만난다는 의미를 가지는 '조경 수역'이라는 용어로 사용되고 있으며 동해 어장과의 관련성을 제시하고 있다. 그러나 고등교육과 해양과학자들은 지난 수십 년 동안 이 이 용어를 사용하지 않고 있어서 용어의 적절성이 조사되어야 하며 오개념을 제거할 필요성이 있다. 본 연구에서는 2015 개정교육과정에 기반한 중등학교 교과서 11종(중학교 5종, 고등학교 6종)을 활용하여 이와 관련된 교과 내용을 분석하였다. 또한 중등학교 과학교사 30인을 대상으로 설문 조사를 실시하여 이 문제에 대한 교사들의 인지 정도를 분석하였다. 조경 수역과 어장에 관한 교과서의 내용을 분석한 결과, 과학적 사실과 부합하지 않는 상당히 많은 오류와 오개념이 발견되었다. 교과서에서 조경 수역이라는 개념이 한류와 난류가 만나는 의미로 주로 활용되고 있으나, 수온, 염분, 밀도, 유속 등 해양의 서로 다른 물성이 접하는 '해양 전선'이라는 포괄적인 용어로 대체하는 것이 바람직하다. 교과서에서는 어장의 계절변동을 겨울에 남하하고 여름에 북상하고 북한한류의 계절변동과 연결하고 설명하고 있지만 이는 북한한류의 여름철 강화에 관한 그동안의 과학적 사실에 위배되는 내용이다. 동해의 어장은 동해안 좁은 영역에 국한된 것이 아니라 훨씬 더 넓은 해역에 광범위하게 분포하고 있다. 교사들의 설문 결과는 이러한 오개념이 지난 수십 년 동안 지속되어 왔음을 입증하였다. 본 연구는 조경 수역, 어장, 북한한류와 관련된 오개념을 수정하기 위한 과학적 지식의 중요성과 교육과정으로의 전달 과정의 중요성을 강조하였다. 향후 이 연구가 교과서 수정과 교사교육에 중요한 역할을 할 수 있기를 기대한다.