• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.53 no.6
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• pp.31-41
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• 2011

This study was conducted to predict future land-cover changes under climate change scenarios and to cluster analysis of regional land-cover characteristics. To simulate the future land-cover according to climate change scenarios - A1B, A2, and B1 of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES), Dyna-CLUE (Conversion of Land Use Change and its Effects) was applied for modeling of competition among land-use types in relation with socioeconomic and biophysical driving factors. Gyeonggi-do were selected as study areas. The simulation results from 2010 to 2040 suggested future land-cover changes under the scenario conditions. All scenarios resulted in a gradual decrease in paddy area, while upland area continuously increased. A1B scenario showed the highest increase in built-up area, but all scenarios showed only slight changes in forest area. As a result of cluster analysis with the land-cover component scores, 31 si/gun in Gyeonggi-do were classified into three clusters. This approach is expected to be useful for evaluating and simulating land-use changes in relation to development constraints and scenarios. The results could be used as fundamental basis for providing policy direction by considering regional land-cover characteristics.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2005.11a
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• pp.246-251
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• 2005

Accident scenarios analysis is a course to understand, analyze, and describe a process of an accident and behavior pattern of the parties to an accident. The method of accident scenarios is that we described patterns represented between accidents and hazardous conditions, and then provide data to prevent the accident. We have carried out scenarios analysis in various fields so far, but it was not taking account of system. In this research, we made a study on technology of accident scenarios analysis using QFD (Quality Function Deployment) to analyze systematically and evaluate quantitatively types of hazards and scenarios of railway accident. And we analyses accident scenarios of a subject of work-related fatality accident to railway employee and conducted risk assessment for different scenarios. Also we defined relation between unsafe events and hazardous conditions caused to work-related fatality accident, and attempted to quantitatively assess work-related fatality accident and the parties to accidents. The results of this research will be used in analyzing for important causes and contributing factors of work-related fatality accidents at the step of risk assessment of railway system, and quantitatively assessing frequency of work-related accidents and risk.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.287-297
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• 2007

Increasing carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel use and land-use change has been perturbing the balanced global carbon cycle and changing the carbon distribution among the atmosphere, the terrestrial biosphere, the soil, and the ocean. SGCM(Simple Global Carbon Model) was used to simulate global carbon cycle for the IPCC emissions scenarios, which was six future carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel use and land-use change set by IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations for four scenarios were simulated to continuously increase to $600{\sim}1050ppm$ by the year 2100, while those for the other two scenarios to stabilize at $400{\sim}600ppm$. The characteristics of these two $CO_2$-stabilized scenarios are to suppress emissions below $12{\sim}13$ Gt C/yr by tile year 2050 and then to decrease emissions up to 5 Gt C/yr by the year 2100, which is lower than the current emissions of $6.3{\pm}0.4$ Gt C/yr. The amount of carbon in the atmosphere was simulated to continuously increase for four scenarios, while to increase by the year $2050{\sim}2070$ and then decrease by the year 2100 for the other two scenarios which were $CO_2$-stabilized scenarios. Even though the six emission scenarios showed different simulation results, overall patterns were such similar that the amount of carbon was in the terrestrial biosphere to decrease first several decades and then increase, while in the soil and the ocean to continuously increase. The ratio of carbon partitioning to tile atmosphere for the accumulated total emissions was higher for tile emission scenario having higher atmospheric $CO_2$, however that was decreasing as time elapsed. The terrestrial biosphere and the soil showed reverse pattern to the atmosphere.

• Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.46-52
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• 2017

In this study, safety evaluation scenarios on "cut-in" situation are presented to assess the performance of automatic emergency braking systems. The ASSESS project in EU is surveyed for derive efficient test scenarios for cut-in situation. The TASS database are also analyzed to find representative accident scenarios in Korea. With the results of the ASSESS and TASS, the safety evaluation scenarios in cut-in situations are suggested and the scenarios are tested with simulation software PRESCAN.

• The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.256-268
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• 2020

This study is about a design method for deriving task safety scenarios for the application of collaborative robots. A five-step process for deriving task safety scenarios for collaborative robots has been proposed, which focuses on the type of collaboration between human and collaborative robot. The three types of collaboration were classified according to the collaboration workspace and the worktime of human and collaborative robot. Based on these three types of collaboration, task safety scenarios include scenarios that predict risk from unintended use during work. Collaboration with collaborative robot is a human-centered process because human actions can create dangerous situations. Besides, we improved the understanding of this design methodology by presenting examples of the application of task safety scenarios according to the process for each type of collaboration.

• Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.6-15
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• 2023

This paper develops scenarios to evaluate the safety performance of Unmanned Ground Vehicle on military circumstances. The scenarios were created using Pegasus Project 6-layer format. These scenarios consist of straight road, curved road, merging road and crossroad. We adapt these scenarios to unpaved road. The characteristics of unpaved roads were divided into roughness, friction coefficient and road frequency. This adaption is validated via computer simulation. We observe the scan lines of vehicle become tangled of the straight road that make the cognitive abilities of the vehicle low and the lane-keeping is unable when vehicles entering curved off-roads over 40 km/h. The developed scenarios will contribute to enhancing stability from the perspective of introducing autonomous driving technology to Korean military.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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• v.24 no.5
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• pp.495-503
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• 2016

Regulation for the testing and operation of autonomous vehicles on public roadways has been recently developed all over the world. For example, the licensing standards and the evaluation technology for autonomous vehicles have been proposed in California, Nevada and EU. But specific safety evaluation scenarios for autonomous vehicles have not been proposed yet. This paper presents safety evaluation scenarios for extraordinary service permission of autonomous vehicles on highways. A total of five scenarios are selected in consideration of safety priority and real traffic situation. These scenarios are developed based on existing ADAS evaluation and simulation of autonomous vehicle algorithm. Also, Safety evaluation factors are developed based on ISO requirements, other papers and the current traffic regulations. These scenarios are investigated via computer simulation.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.41 no.3
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• pp.165-172
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• 2017

Current scenarios for marine spill accidents were developed based on probable maximum spill accidents. However,, accidents of similar scale to maximum spill accidents are virtually non-existent, and training or deployment of response equipment based on these scenarios can be cost prohibitive. Current scenarios require realism for practical use and need to be designed for purpose of use. In this study we developed scenarios that may replace current scenarios by using the HNS accident standard codes based on past accident cases. Scenarios were developed by modularizing the HNS accident standard code, that is classified into three scenarios: Maximum Frequency Scenario, Maximum Damage Scenario, and Maximum Vulnerability Scenario. The situation of an accident presented in each scenario developed in this process is much like a real accident, and therefore, it is has practical application.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.661-670
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• 2007

In this study, collision accident scenarios are derived for crashworthy design of rolling stocks because the detailed guidelines to complement domestic safety regulations with respect to collision accidents of rolling stocks are under preparation. Through this study, several collision accident scenarios are broadly investigated for those of advanced countries like USA, UK and EU. Next, the basic engineering considerations which are necessary to derive the collision accident scenarios are reviewed and analysed in some details. Finally, two collision accident scenarios are derived considering the circumstances of domestic railroads.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.53 no.6
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• pp.2019-2024
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• 2021

For evaluating the radiological safety of dismantled concrete, the process of disposal and recycling of the radioactive concrete generated during the dismantling of Kori Unit 1 is analyzed. Four scenarios are derived based on the analysis of the concrete recycling and disposal process, and the potential exposure to the workers and public during this process are calculated. VISIPLAN and RESRAD code are used for evaluating the dosages received by the workers and public in the following four scenarios: concrete inspection, transport of concrete by the truck driver, driving on a recycled concrete road, and public living near the landfilled concrete waste. Two worker exposure scenarios in the processing of concrete and two public exposure scenarios in recycling and disposal are considered; in all the scenarios, the exposure dose does not exceed the annual dose limit for each representative.