• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenarios

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Assessment of the Potential Impact of Climate Change on the Drought in Agricultural Reservoirs under SSP Scenarios (SSP 시나리오를 고려한 농업용 저수지의 이수측면 잠재영향평가)

  • Kim, Siho;Jang, Min-Won;Hwang, Syewoon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.2
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    • pp.35-52
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    • 2024
  • This study conducted an assessment of potential impacts on the drought in agricultural reservoirs using the recently proposed SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) scenarios by IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). This study assesses the potential impact of climate change on agricultural water resources and infrastructure vulnerability within Gyeongsangnam-do, focusing on 15 agricultural reservoirs. The assessment was based on the KRC (Korea Rural Community Corporation) 1st vulnerability assessment methodology using RCP scenarios for 2021. However, there are limitations due to the necessity for climate impact assessments based on the latest climate information and the uncertainties associated with using a single scenario from national standard scenarios. Therefore, we applied the 13 GCM (General Circulation Model) outputs based on the newly introduced SSP scenarios. Furthermore, due to difficulties in data acquisiton, we reassessed potential impacts by redistributing weights for proxy variables. As a main result, with lower future potential impacts observed in areas with higher precipitation along the southern coast. Overall, the potential impacts increased for all reservoirs as we moved into the future, maintaining their relative rankings, yet showing no significant variability in the far future. Although the overall pattern of potential impacts aligns with previous evaluations, reevaluation under similar conditions with different spatial resolutions emphasizes the critical role of meteorological data spatial resolution in assessments. The results of this study are expected to improve the credibility and accuracy formulation of vulnerability employing more scientific predictions.

Study on the Effect of Message Sidedness on Brand Attitudes of Luxury Fashion Brands Regarding Eco-Friendly Activities: The Moderating Role of Regulatory Focus (럭셔리 패션브랜드의 친환경 활동에 대한 메시지 측면성이 브랜드 태도에 미치는 영향 연구: 조절초점의 역할을 중심으로)

  • Hye Yeon Jeong;Ho Jung Choo
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.251-264
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    • 2024
  • This study identified the structural impact relationships, mediated by information reliability and brand authenticity, of different types of environmental messages from the perspective of luxury fashion brands, leading to formation of brand attitudes. Additionally, the study investigated how the impact of message sidedness on the formation of information reliability and brand authenticity varies according to consumers' regulatory focus tendencies. Data were collected through online surveys targeting individuals from Generation MZ, utilizing a professional research firm. A total of 300 respondents (150 for one-sided scenarios and 150 for two-sided scenarios) were selected. The collected data were validated using SPSS and AMOS. The following results were obtained. First, message sidedness influenced information reliability and brand authenticity, both of which demonstrated positive effects on brand attitude as mediating factors. However, message sidedness did not directly affect brand attitude. Second, consumers with both promotion and prevention focus tendencies perceived higher information reliability in two-sided message scenarios, and the perception difference in information reliability based on message sidedness was more pronounced among consumers with a prevention focus. Additionally, consumers with a prevention focus did not show a significant difference in brand authenticity between one- and two-sided message scenarios, while consumers with a promotion focus demonstrated an increase in brand authenticity in two-sided message scenarios compared to one-sided ones.

Preliminary Evaluation of Clearance Level of Uranium in Metal Waste Using the RESRAD-RECYCLE Code (RESRAD-RECYCLE 전산코드를 활용한 금속폐기물 내 우라늄 자체처분 허용농도 예비 평가)

  • SunWoo Lee;JungHwan Hong;JungSuk Park;KwangPyo Kim
    • Journal of Radiation Industry
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.457-469
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    • 2023
  • The clearance level by nuclide is announced by the Nuclear Safety and Security Commission. However, the clearance level of uranium existing in nature has not been announced, and research is needed. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to evaluate the clearance level of uranium nuclides appropriate to domestic conditions preliminary. For this purpose, this study selected major processes for recycling metal wastes and analyzed the exposure scenarios and major input factors by investigating the characteristics of each process. Then, the radiation dose to the general public and workers was evaluated according to the selected scenarios. Finally, the results of the radiation dose per unit radioactivity for each scenario were analyzed to derive the clearance level of uranium in metal waste. The results of the radiation dose assessment for both the general public and workers per unit radioactivity of uranium isotopes were shown to meet the allowable dose (individual dose of 10 µSv y-1 and collective dose of 1 Man-Sv y-1) regulated by the Nuclear Safety and Security Commission. The most conservative scenarios for volumetric and surface contamination were evaluated for the handling of the slag generated after the melting of the metal waste and the direct reuse of the contaminated metal waste into the building without further disposal. For each of these scenarios, the radioactivity concentration by uranium isotope was calculated, and the clearance level of uranium in metal waste was calculated through the radioactivity ratio by enrichment. The results of this study can be used as a basic data for defining the clearance level of uranium-contaminated radioactive waste.

An Analysis on the Ancillary Benefit of Greenhouse Gases Reduction in Korea

  • Yanghoon Song;Han, Wha-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.19 no.E1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2003
  • Greenhouse gases (GHG) could lead to global warming, which may bring about various disturbances to global ecosystem. Other than primary benefits that are too extensive, the ancillary benefit from GHG reduction has been estimated to provide justification for national actions. Five scenarios for 5 to 40% reduction of GHG were evaluated for the benefit/cost efficiency, using the cost estimates from a previous study. Their benefits were also estimated using a European model. As a result of this study, it can be concluded that lower reduction scenarios (5∼10%) seem to be more efficient than higher reduction scenarios (30∼40%).

Measuring Power Dissipation for Urban Maglev Vehicle (도시형 자기부상열차 전력 측정)

  • Park, Jeong-Ung;Kim, Bong-Seop;Lee, Jang-Yeol;Kim, Haeng-Gu
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.3092-3098
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    • 2011
  • This paper deals with analysis of measuring power dissipation when Maglev is running. With the various running scenarios for Maglev, power dissipation was measured and a comparative analysis of it and wheel-on rails were carried out. The purpose of this paper is to confirm the efficiency and economics on operation of Maglev and reflect detail design later. When the running scenarios of Maglev are the status of landing on and levitation, running at rated acceleration and deceleration and according to changes of velocity, the power dissipation was measured. The measured results are analyzed considering with apparent electric power and active power, reactive power and power factor etc. Due to the limited test track condition, it is very limited to compare and analyze Maglev and general trains. Nevertheless, It is a task of great significance to identify the efficiency and economics on operating Maglev through the results of measuring power dissipation. In the future, measuring power dissipation through more various scenarios will be carried out, and the results will be reflected the design.

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Assessment of electricity demand at domestic level in Balochistan, Pakistan

  • Urooj, Rabail;Ahmad, Sheikh Saeed
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2017
  • Electricity is basic need for country development. But at the present time proper planning and policy is require at high pace for power generation network extension due to the increasing population growth rate. Present study aimed to analyze the present and future demand for electricity at household level in Province of Balochistan of Pakistan via simulation modeling. Data of year 2004-2005 was used as baseline data for electricity consumption to predict future demand of electricity at both rural and urban domestic level up to subsequent 30 years, with help of LEAP software. Basically three scenarios were created to run software. One scenario was Business-As-Usual and other two were green scenarios i.e., solar and wind energy scenarios. Results predicted that by using alternative energy sources, demand for electricity will be fulfill and will also reduce burden on non-renewable energy sources due to the greater potential for solar and wind energy present in Balochistan.

The Demand Expectation of Heating & Cooling Energy in Buildings According to Climate Warming (기후 온난화의 영향에 의한 건물의 냉.난방에너지 수요량 예측)

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Suh, Seung-Jik
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2006
  • The impacts of climate changes on building energy demand were investigated by means of the degree-days method. Future trends for the 21st century was assessed based on climate change scenarios with 7 global climate models(GCMs). We constructed hourly weather data from monthly temperatures by Trnsys 16. A procedure to estimate heating degree-days (HDD) and cooling degree-days (CDD) from monthly temperature data was developed and applied to three scenarios for Inchon. In the period 1995-2080, HDD would fall by up to 70%. A significant increase in cooling energy demand was found to occur between 1995-2004(70% based on CDD). During 1995-2080, CDD would Increase by up to 120%. Our analysis shows widely varying shifts in future energy demand depending on season. Heating costs in winter will significantly decrease whereas more expensive electrical cooling energy will be needed.

Point-to-Multipoint Call Control of ATM VC Switching System (ATM VC 교환기의 점대다중점 호 제어)

  • 김응하;오문균
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.229-232
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    • 1998
  • Modern telecommunications are increasingly demanding the addition of complex switching features to switching system software. These improvements also should satisfy customer demands for quick provisioning of new service features. But whenever we have developed the switching system in various types, we met problems that are lack of system engineers and short developments terms. We need new guidelines of software design to meet the demands and overcome our problems. So we propose new software platform, scenario driven call control engine (SDCCE) for ATM switching system software and implement an effective call control software using scenarios for ATM Switching System. A scenario is a set of procedures and supplementary scenarios written in data structure and gives benefits to easy adapt new or modified function by adding a scenario. The goal of SDCCE is to increase reusability and readability of software. Especially, it gives a good software extensibility and maintainability. And when we developed ptmp call processing control software, we could get high productivity by reusing scenarios and procedures of ptp call processing control software. We applied the scenario driven call control software to ATM switching system.

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Estimation of Tritium Concentration in Groundwater around the Nuclear Power Plants Using a Dynamic Compartment Model

  • Choi, Heui-Joo;Lee, Han-Soo;Kang, Hee-Suk;Choi, Yong-Ho
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.239-245
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    • 2003
  • Every nuclear power plant measured concentrations of tritium in groundwater and surface water around the plants periodically. It was not easy to predict the tritium concentration only with these measurement data in case of various release scenarios. KAERI developed a new approach to find the relationship between the tritium release rate and tritium concentration in the environment. The approach was based upon a dynamic compartment model. In this paper the dynamic compartment model was modified to predict the tritium behavior more accurately. The mechanisms considered for the transfer of tritium between the compartments were evaporation, groundwater flow, infiltration, runoff, and hydrodynamic dispersion. Time dependent source terms of the compartment model were introduced to refine the release scenarios. Also, transfer coefficients between the compartments were obtained using realistic geographical data. In order to illustrate the model various release scenarios were developed, and the change of tritium concentration in groundwater and surface water around the nuclear power plants was estimated.

Uncertainties estimation of AOGCM-based climate scenarios for impact assessment on water resources (수자원 영향평가를 위한 기후변화 시나리오의 불확실성 평가)

  • Park E-Hyung;Im Eun-Soon;Kwon Won-Tae;Lee Eun-Jeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.138-142
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    • 2005
  • The change of precipitation and temperature due to the global. warming eventually caused the variation of water availability in terms of potential evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and runoff. In this reason national long-term water resource planning should be considered the effect of climate change. Study of AOGCM-based scenario to proposed the plausible future states of the climate system has become increasingly important for hydrological impact assessment. Future climate changes over East Asia are projected from the coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenarios using multi-model ensembles (MMEs) method (Min et al. 2004). MME method is used to reduce the uncertainty of individual models. However, the uncertainty increases are larger over the small area than the large area. It is demonstrated that the temperature increases is larger over continental area than oceanic area in the 21st century.

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