• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenario planning

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The Scenario Approach Method for Family Nursing Intervention Based on the Movie 'Mabin's Room' (영화 '마빈스룸' 가족간호중재 -시나리오 접근법-)

  • Park, Kyung-Min;Kim, Chung-Nam
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.627-638
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    • 2001
  • Caring is an essential element of nursing. In a family with a patient. a critical situation may happen not only for the patient but also for the members of the family. Therefore, a caring service from the healthcare providers can also be requested for the family members. The movie 'Mabin's Room' deals with family problems. In this study, the assessment, problem, diagnosis and planning for the family nursing situation for family problems were made focusing on the role of characters in the movie 'Mabin's Room'. Regarding family nursing intervention, the framework of the story 'Mabin's Room' was reorganized to solve the problems based on the role of community health nurse. In this scenario approach method, the situation in the movie is used without change but the scenario related to the roles (or communication) of community health nurse for solving the family problems is added. It is a problem solving oriented method by reorganizing the scenario in a movie story situation. The reorganized scenario in this study is just an example of scenario approach method. Community Health Nurses can cultivate their creativity by solving various problems in the community by adopting or modifying this simple scenario in practice.

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Application of CBM-CFS3 Model to Assess Carbon Stock and Age Class Changes Over Long Term Forest Planning in a Korea's National Forest (산림탄소축적을 고려한 국유림 장기경영계획 수립을 위한 CBM-CFS3 모델의 적용)

  • Jang, Kwangmin;Won, Hyun-Kyu;Kim, Young-Hwan;Tak, Kwang-IL;Shin, Man Yong;Lee, Kyeonghak
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.100 no.4
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    • pp.591-597
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    • 2011
  • Forest carbon stock changes in a national forest were assessed by CBM-CFS3 model with different management scenarios to support decision making for a long term forest planning. Management scenarios were composed with 4 different levels of timber harvesting - current harvesting level (scenario1), 30% increment in each period (scenario2), 3 times increment (scenario3), and 5 times increment (scenario4). For each scenarios, changes in total carbon stocks, carbon stocks of each carbon pools, carbon stocks of harvested wood products (HWP) and age class structure were estimated over 100-year planning horizon. The estimated total carbon stock including HWP at the end of final period (100 years) was 433.1 tC/ha under scenario 1, but the age class structure has skewed right to the upper classes, which is not desirable for sustainable forest management. Under the scenario 4, however, the total carbon stock decrease to 385.5 tC/ha and the area of old growth forest show a significant decline. The estimated total carbon stock under scenario 2 and 3 were 411.7 tC/ha and 410.5 tC/ha respectively, and it was able to maintain the initial level of the forest carbon stocks during the planning horizon. Also the age class structures under the scenario 2 and 3 were evenly distributed from class 1 to class 8. Overall, scenario 2 and 3 were the most acceptable forest management options, in terms of carbon stock changes and age class structure.

Deterministic Optimal Simulation of Spatial Growth Form for Urbanized Area Using CA Model and Simplified WSM-AHP Techniques (CA기법과 WSM-AHP 간편법을 이용한 도시확산의 결정론적 최적 모의)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to analyze the sensitivity of WSM(weighted scenario method)-AHP method according to variation of nonlinear exponent for accessibility criteria, which are used to make urbanization potential maps with the optimal weighting value for multiple criteria in grid-based GIS technique. Besides this study tried to develop WSM-AHP2 which is simplified by using rank of the potential value for each scenario. The two methods were applied to the test area, Suwon city located south area of Seoul, with time series land-use maps of 1986 and 1996. The evaluation system of urbanization potential have 7 criteria including 6 accessibility criteria. The results of WSM-AHP2, the optimal weighting values and their corresponding potential maps, have almost similar with those of WSM-AHP. In the application of CA(cellular automata) model for expansion of urbanized area using the three potential maps by WSM-AHP, WSM-AHP2, and specialists's AHP evaluation, it also showed that the accuracy of simulation for actual urban area is the highest in the potential map of WSM-AHP, followed by WSM-AHP2 and specialists's AHP evaluation. From the results of this study, WSM-AHP and simplified WSM-AHP2 will be used to generate the optimal potential maps for land-use planning in urban fringe area.

Analysis on Thermal Environment of Marathon Course in 2011 Daegu World Championship in Athletics (대구 세계육상선수권대회 마라톤 구간의 열환경변화분석)

  • Baek, Sang-Hun;Oh, Sang-Hak;Jung, Yong-Hun;Jung, Eung-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.881-890
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    • 2011
  • In this study, thermal environment changes for a marathon course of IAAF World Championship, Daegu 2011 were modeled to provide improvements of thermal environment, so that runners could have the maximum condition and citizens pleasant streets. The three biggest size of intersections were selected for the study. Envi-met, 3G microclimate model, were used for a thermal environment analysis and three different cases - present status, planting roadside tree scenario, and roof-garden scenario - were compared. The followings are the results of the study. 1. The highest thermal distribution were shown at 1 p.m., but there was no significant difference between a thermal distribution at 1 p.m. and that at 5 p.m. since a heat flux from buildings affects thermal distributions rather than insolation does. 2. Tree planting or adding environmental friendly factors might lead a temperature drop effect, but the effect was not significant for areas covered with impermeability packing materials such as concrete or asphalt (especally, for Site case 2) 3. The combination of tree planting and adding environmental friendly factors also brought a temperature drop effect (Site 1 and 2) and this case showed even better result if green spaces (especially, parks) were closed.

Automated PDDL Planning System using Graph Database (그래프 데이터베이스 기반 자동 PDDL Planning 시스템)

  • Ji-Youn Moon
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.709-714
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    • 2023
  • A flexible planning system is an important element for the robot to perform various tasks. In this paper, we introduce an automated planning system architecture that can deal with the changing environment. PDDL is used for symbolic-based task planning, and a graph database is used for real-time environment information updates for automated PDDL generation. The proposed framework was verified through scenario-based experiments.

Study on Cost of Energy(COE) Reduction Scenario of Korean Offshore Wind Power (해상풍력발전의 에너지단가(COE)절감 시나리오 연구)

  • Sung, Jin Ki;Lee, Jong Hoon;Kang, Kung Suk;Lee, Tae Jin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.11
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    • pp.1520-1527
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to derive COE reduction targets of offshore wind power in Korea. In addition, innovation factors for achieving the COE reduction targets were derived. Also the COE reduction targets of offshore wind power was to improve that national policy, technology, industry and improving regulations would like to help. The results of this study has been created based on the various assumptions, scenarios and experts' discussions. Currently, offshore wind power generation price is 229.72won/kWh in 2012. According to the study, COE of offshore wind power has been proposed 88.8won/kWh at third scenario by 2030. This result has shown competitiveness with fossil fuel power generation.

Simulating the Impacts of the Greenbelt Policy Reform on Sustainable Urban Growth: The Case of Busan Metropolitan Area

  • Kim, Jinsoo;Park, Soyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.193-202
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    • 2015
  • The greenbelt of South Korea has been under the process of adjustment and removal since its first designated year. This research is aimed at predicting the effect that the removal of the greenbelt has on urban growth. The SLEUTH model was executed via three calibration phases using historical data between 1990 and 2010. The urban growth of Busan Metropolitan City was predicted under its historical trend, as well as two different scenarios including development and compact development up to the year 2030. The accuracy of model, as verified by ROC, was 85.7%. The historical trend scenario showed the smallest increase, with the urban area expanding from 175.96 km2 to 214.68 km2 in 2030. Scenario 2, the development scenario, showed the most increase, with a 39.9% growth rate from 2010 to 2030. However, according to scenario 3, the compact development scenario, the urban area decreased in comparison to scenario 2. Accordingly, it is necessary to have effective urban growth management to provoke eco-friendly development on the removed areas, and to strengthen the non-removed areas for sustainable development. The results obtained in this study showed that the SLEUTH model can be useful for predicting urban growth, and that it can help policy makers establish proper urban planning as a decision-support tool for sustainable development.

A Study on the Generation Expansion Planning System Under the Cost Based Pool (CBP 시장 체제하에서의 전력수급계획 수립 체계에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seok-Man;Kim, Bal-Ho H.
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.918-922
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    • 2009
  • The power expansion planning is large and capital intensive capacity planning. In the past, the expansion planning was established with the proper supply reliability in order to minimize social cost. However, the planning cannot use cost minimizing objective function in the power markets with many market participants. This paper proposed the power expansion planning process in the power markets. This system is composed of Regulator and GENCO's model. Regulator model used multi-criteria decision making rule. GENCO model is very complex problem. Thus, this system transacted the part by several scenario assuming GENCO model.

A Study on Modal Shift effect - Focused on O/D between Busan-Gyeonggi Area -

  • Kang, Dal-Won;An, Young-Mo;Nam, Ki-Chan;Kwak, Kyu-Seok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.9
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    • pp.777-783
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    • 2011
  • Interest about Modal Shift is not being decreased, and it is drawing limelight as green logistics which meets low carbon green growth of National development vision. As an effect of Modal Shift, not only reduction in CO2 emission but also reduction in social cost, logistics cost etc. are being discussed. However, until now research about its practical transformation effect has been scanty. In this study, the actual expenses via CO2 emission, social cost, and logistics cost etc. by road transportation and rail transportation of container cargo with Origin/Destination between Busan-Kyeonggi Area were calculated and we propose beneficial effects when transportation mode is transformed from road to rail with Scenario Planning.