• Title/Summary/Keyword: scenario planning

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A Study on Selection of Cross-Docking Center based on Existing Logistics Network (기존 물류 네트워크 기반에서 크로스 - 도킹 거점선정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, In-Chul;Lee, Myeong-Ho;Kim, Nae-Heon
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2006
  • Many Firms consider the application of a cross-docking system to reduce inventory and lead-time. However, most studies mainly concentrate on the design of a cross-docking system. This study presents the method that selects the cross-docking center under the existing logistics network. Describing the operation environment to apply the cross-docking system, the selection criteria of the cross-docking center, and the main constraints of transportation planning under the environment of multi-level logistics network, we define the selection problem of the cross-docking center applied to a logistics field. We also define the simulation model that can analyze variously the cross-docking volume and develop the selection methodology of the cross-docking center. The simulation model presents the algorithm and influence factors of the cross-docking system, the decision criteria of the system, policy parameter, and input data. In addition, this study analyzes the effect of increasing the number of simultaneous receiving and shipping docks, and the efficiency of the overnight transportation and cross-docking by evaluating each scenario after simulating the scenarios with the practical data of the logistics field.

A Satellite View of Urban Heat Island: Causative Factors and Scenario Analysis

  • Wong, Man Sing;Nichol, Janet;Lee, Kwon-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.617-627
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    • 2010
  • Although many researches for heat island study have been developed, there is little attempt to link the findings to actual and hypothetical scenarios of urban developments which would help to mitigate the Urban Heat Island (UHI) in cities. The aim of this paper is to analyze the UHI at urban area with different geometries, land use, and environmental factors, and emphasis on the influence of different geometric and environmental parameters on ambient air temperature. In order to evaluate these effects, the parameters of (i) Air pollution (i.e. Aerosol Optical Thickness (AOT)), (ii) Green space Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), (iii) Anthropogenic heat (AH) (iv) Building density (BD), (v) Building height (BH), and (vi) Air temperature (Ta) were mapped. The optimum operational scales between Heat Island Intensity (HII) and above parameters were evaluated by testing the strength of the correlations for every resolution. The best compromised scale for all parameters is 275m resolution. Thus, the measurements of these parameters contributing to heat island formation over the study areas of Hong Kong were established from mathematical relationships between them and in combination at 275m resolution. The mathematical models were then tabulated to show the impact of different percentages of parameters on HII. These tables are useful to predict the probable climatic implications of future planning decisions.

The COVID-19 pandemic: an unprecedented tragedy in the battle against childhood obesity

  • Storz, Maximilian Andreas
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.63 no.12
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    • pp.477-482
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    • 2020
  • The childhood obesity pandemic has emerged as an important public health problem in many countries. Obese children are likely to become obese adults, and adult obesity is associated with an increased risk of morbidity. Therefore, controlling the childhood obesity epidemic has become a top public health priority worldwide. The current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic may significantly impede this important mission and constitute an unprecedented tragedy in the global battle against childhood obesity. This manuscript presents evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic will aggravate the childhood obesity epidemic and lead to significant weight gain in school children by creating an unprecedented obesogenic environment. Within the last few months, many countries took uncompromising measures in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, including school closures and quarantine. While these steps are often necessary to ensure infection control, they may have a significant negative effect on children's mental and physical health. Physical, nutritional, and psychosocial factors that promote obesity in children during this special situation complementarily contribute to an unprecedented obesogenic environment. Large-scale quarantine and home confinement will impose new and unfamiliar stressors on children, thereby worsening the childhood obesity epidemic. Most importantly, adverse childhood events resulting from a predicted increase in domestic violence within the next few months will significantly contribute to this concern. The scenario presented in this review is of paramount public health importance and must be considered during future pandemic planning. Involved stakeholders, including governments, schools, and families, must make all possible efforts to minimize the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on childhood obesity.

Designing Augmented Spatial Experiences of Architectural Heritage - Information Modeling for Intelligent Content Service Platform - (건축문화유산의 공간경험 디자인 - 지능형 콘텐츠 서비스 플랫폼과 정보표현체계 -)

  • Jang, Sun-Young;Kim, Seongjun;Kim, Sung-Ah
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2019
  • Currently, museums and architectural heritage provide augmented user experiences by incorporating various media technologies. They still, however, suffer from the limitation of entertainment-based and the provision of location-based simple and repetitive contents. In addition, while acting as a key medium of experience for architectural heritage, the concept of space is not properly reflected in current services. The purpose of this study is to design user space experience considering such characteristics of architectural heritage. The spatial experience content and content production platform are defined. This software platform creates content that enhances the experience of the place by giving a context-based digital data associated with space and objects. The spatial experience content is designed as a series of experience sequences. The composition of the sequence borrows the method of film and narrative which segment and connect consecutive experiences on a scene basis considering user's detailed spatial experience. Therefore, content components can be combined and reproduced in various types. Augmented contents were extracted by using rule-based reasoning function of ontology at the moment. As a practical example of architectural heritage, the Seokjojeon Hall is used to reveal a spatial experience scenario.

Traffic management for large-scale evacuation with public transportation and calculation of appropriate operating ratio

  • Ham, Seunghee;Lee, Jun;Lee, Sang Jo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.3347-3352
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    • 2022
  • In 2013, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) changed the recommended maximum range of the Emergency Planning Zone (EPZ) to 30 km, and the Kori Nuclear Power Plant in Republic of Korea has also expanded the EPZ to 30 km, following the recommendation. As a result, metropolitan cities with a high population density are contained within the EPZ, and evacuating millions of people should be considered if the 30 km range of evacuation is to take place. This study proposes an evacuation plan using buses (public transportation) to transport people outside of the EPZ, quickly and efficiently. To verify the appropriate mode share ratio of buses that can guarantee the right of vulnerable road users and reduce traffic congestion, a model was built simulating the Kori Nuclear Power Plant in Ulsan Metropolitan City. The scenarios were established by changing the mode share ratio of buses and passenger cars by 10%. Considering a large-scale network analysis at the city level, a cell transmission model was applied to calculate the evacuation time in each scenario. The result shows that the optimal mode share ratio of buses is 40%, with a total evacuation time of 132 min, considering feasible bus fleets in Ulsan Metropolitan City.

Strengthening the Competitiveness, Productivity and Innovation of Cross-border Industrial Corridors

  • Charles Conteh;JiYoung Park;Kathryn Friedman;Ha Hwang;Barry Wright
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.75-100
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    • 2023
  • Over the past few decades, globalization has been shifting economic power upward to transnational actors on the one hand, and downward to subnational or regional spaces on the other. This phenomenon has resulted in the centrality of territorially delimited subnational regions acting as critical loci of economic governance within a complex and globally distributed value chain of trade and service flows. Within this broader context of industrial restructuring are economic regions that span national borders in their collective assets. The paper focuses on investigating the economic competitiveness and productivity of cross-border (or binational) economic regions. Using the conceptual framework of economic clusters, an econometric model that measures proxies of geographic proximity of firms in the life sciences cluster, and a new binational economic model, the paper examines the key characteristics, potentials and constraints of economic competitiveness and productivity in a cross-border region comprising counties in Western New York and regional municipalities in Southern Ontario. The findings demonstrate the direct and indirect benefits of closer cross-border economic cooperation. The paper then concludes with some policy observations about leveraging cross-border economic clusters for strategic industrial cooperation.

Apophis Rendezvous Mission: II. Payloads and Operation Scenario

  • Jeong, Minsup;Choi, Young-Jun;Moon, Hong-Kyu;Kim, Myung-Jin;Choi, Jin;Moon, Bongkon;JeongAhn, Youngmin;Lee, Hee-Jae;Baek, Seul-Min;Yang, Hongu;Ishiguro, Masateru
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.44.1-44.1
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    • 2021
  • We plan to visit the Apophis, a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (PHA). Apophis will have an extremely close encounter with the Earth on April, 2029. At the closest position, Apophis approaches 0.1 lunar distances from the Earth. The science goals are 1) mapping the surface of the asteroid before and after the encounter, 2) measuring surface roughness before and after the encounter, and 3) measuring interplanetary space environments such as magnetic field and dust particles. For the science goal, we are planning to employ five instruments for this mission, which are Polarimetric Asteroid Camera (PolACam), Asteroid Terrain Mapping Camera (MapCam), Laser Altimeter, Dust Particle Detector (DPDetector), Magnetometer (Mag). In this presentation, we plan to give a talk on the instruments.

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A Mixed Integer Nonlinear Programming Approach towards Optimal Earthmoving Equipment Selection (혼합 정수 비선형 계획법 기반 토공사 최적 장비 선정 방법 제시)

  • Ko, Yong-Ho;Ngov, Kheang;Lee, Su-Min;Shin, Do-Hyoung;Han, Seung-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.223-224
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    • 2023
  • Optimal fleet management in the planning stage is one of the most critical activities that guarantee successful construction projects. In South Korea, the construction standard production rate database (CSPRD) is normally employed. However, when it comes to a trade-off problem that involves decision-making on optimal sets of equipment to perform a certain task, the method will require the planners' in-depth knowledge and experience regarding the target process and a time consuming estimation of the performance of every possible scenario must be conducted for the deduction of the optimal fleet management. On this account, this research paper proposes a lightweight method of using mixed integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) in multi-objective problems based on CSPRD-based mathematical equations to assist planners in the preplanning stage of choosing the optimal sets of types and size machinery to efficiently arrange the construction scheduling and budgeting.

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The Analysis of Railroad Operating Costs in Korean Railroad Projects

  • SungWook KANG;DongHee KIM;GyuBae KIM
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: A railroad project is a complex system with large construction costs in the initial stage and ongoing operating costs over its lifecycle. Current railroad projects tend to be based on construction options, which leads to huge deficiencies in operating costs. This phenomenon results from a lack of appropriate tools to accurately estimate a railroad project's lifecycle costs. This study attempts to analyze the major components of railroad operating costs and to propose a decision-making system for analyzing the long-term lifecycle costs of railroad projects. Research design, data and methodology: We review the literature and analyze the current status of railroad operating costs in Korea and overseas. Based on previous projects, a framework for project options and operating costs is proposed. The framework is applied to actual railroad projects to demonstrate the validity of the model. Results: Case analysis shows that our framework is comprehensive in analyzing the primary aspects of railroad operating costs and plays an effective role in choosing various railroad project options. This study points out that the railway project operates inefficiently because estimating long-term costs without reflecting specific project options causes many errors. Conclusions: A major contribution of this study is the development of an improved framework for accurately estimating operating costs and providing policymakers and engineering firms with a holistic decision support system. Detailed components in estimating operating costs of the railroad business are discussed. And we present a decision-making tool that policymakers and private businesses can use in planning the railroad business.

Road Maintenance Planning with Traffic Demand Forecasting (장래교통수요예측을 고려한 도로 유지관리 방안)

  • Kim, Jeongmin;Choi, Seunghyun;Do, Myungsik;Han, Daeseok
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : This study aims to examine the differences between the existing traffic demand forecasting method and the traffic demand forecasting method considering future regional development plans and new road construction and expansion plans using a four-step traffic demand forecast for a more objective and sophisticated national highway maintenance. This study ultimately aims to present future pavement deterioration and budget forecasting planning based on the examination. METHODS : This study used the latest data offered by the Korea Transport Data Base (KTDB) as the basic data for demand forecast. The analysis scope was set using the Daejeon Metropolitan City's O/D and network data. This study used a traffic demand program called TransCad, and performed a traffic assignment by vehicle type through the application of a user equilibrium-based multi-class assignment technique. This study forecasted future traffic demand by verifying whether or not a realistic traffic pattern was expressed similarly by undertaking a calibration process. This study performed a life cycle cost analysis based on traffic using the forecasted future demand or existing past pattern, or by assuming the constant traffic demand. The maintenance criteria were decided according to equivalent single axle loads (ESAL). The maintenance period in the concerned section was calculated in this study. This study also computed the maintenance costs using a construction method by applying the maintenance criteria considering the ESAL. The road user costs were calculated by using the user cost calculation logic applied to the Korean Pavement Management System, which is the existing study outcome. RESULTS : This study ascertained that the increase and decrease of traffic occurred in the concerned section according to the future development plans. Furthermore, there were differences from demand forecasting that did not consider the development plans. Realistic and accurate demand forecasting supported an optimized decision making that efficiently assigns maintenance costs, and can be used as very important basic information for maintenance decision making. CONCLUSIONS : Therefore, decision making for a more efficient and sophisticated road management than the method assuming future traffic can be expected to be the same as the existing pattern or steady traffic demand. The reflection of a reliable forecasting of the future traffic demand to life cycle cost analysis (LCCA) can be a very vital factor because many studies are generally performed without considering the future traffic demand or with an analysis through setting a scenario upon LCCA within a pavement management system.