• 제목/요약/키워드: sales

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대체수요를 고려한 선택관점의 다제품 확산모형 (A Choice-Based Multi-Product Diffusion Model Incorporating Replacement Demand)

  • 김정일;전덕빈
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2006년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.161-164
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    • 2006
  • The sales of consumer durables are composed of first time purchases and replacement purchases. Since the sales for most mature durable products are dominated by replacement sales, it is necessary to develop a model incorporating replacement component of sales in order to forecast total sales accurately. Several single product diffusion models incorporating replacement demand have been developed, but research addressing the multi-product diffusion models has not considered replacement sales. In this paper, we propose a model based on consumer choice behavior that simultaneously captures the diffusion and the replacement process for multi-product relationships. The proposed model enables the division of replacement sales into repurchase by previous users and transition purchase by users of different products. As a result, the model allows the partitioning of the total sales according to the customer groups (first-time buyers, repurchase buyers, and transition buyers), which allows companies to develop their production and marketing plans based on their customer mix. We apply the proposed model to the Korean automobile market, and compare the fitting and forecasting performance with other Bass-type multi-product models.

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중소수출기업의 무역전시회 참가성과 만족도 결정요인에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Determinant of Trade Show Performance of Export-oriented Small and Medium Enterprises.)

  • 최문환;김영일;서민교;권영철
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.117-139
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    • 2008
  • This study examines the determinants of trade show performance of export-oriented small and medium enterprises(SMEs). In this regard, the trade show performance is categorized into two dimensions, such as sales objective performance vs. non-sales objective performance Based on the analysis of 116 exporters participated in trade show held in DaeGu EXCO, it is found that the roles of the show organizers play more important roles in both the sales objective performance and the non-sales objective performance than the roles of the exhibitors do. It is also interesting to find that export experience has a negative influence on both the sales objective performance and the non-sales objective performance. These results suggest that trade show organizers should provide high service quality so as to enhance the trade show performance of exhibitors.

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판촉지향성에 따른 의류상품 쇼핑관련행동과 판촉이용행동 (Analyzing Consumer Behavioral Characteristics with Sales Promotion Orientation: Differences in Shopping and Promotion Usage Behaviors)

  • 이영미;박경애
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.45-56
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study was to segment consumers based on sales promotion orientation and examine the differences between the consumer segments on shopping behaviors and promotion usage behaviors. A total of 462 responses collected from a questionnaire survey to subjects aged over 20s were analyzed. Cluster analysis on sales promotion orientation identified four groups including rational group(21%), active group(28%), insensitive group(22.1%), and interest group(28.9%) of sales promotion. ANOVA revealed significant differences among the four groups on shopping behaviors(information seeking, store visit, and clothing purchase) and promotion usage behaviors(the usage level of sales promotion, impulse buying, brand switching, and store switching). The active and interest groups were more actively seeking information than the other two groups were. The active group was most affected by sales promotion showing the highest impulse buying and brand and store switching behaviors, and the interest group was most active on store visit and clothing purchase. The insensitive group was the least engaged in all the behaviors.

LSTM-based Sales Forecasting Model

  • Hong, Jun-Ki
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.1232-1245
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    • 2021
  • In this study, prediction of product sales as they relate to changes in temperature is proposed. This model uses long short-term memory (LSTM), which has shown excellent performance for time series predictions. For verification of the proposed sales prediction model, the sales of short pants, flip-flop sandals, and winter outerwear are predicted based on changes in temperature and time series sales data for clothing products collected from 2015 to 2019 (a total of 1,865 days). The sales predictions using the proposed model show increases in the sale of shorts and flip-flops as the temperature rises (a pattern similar to actual sales), while the sale of winter outerwear increases as the temperature decreases.

기상요인이 의류제품 판매량에 미치는 영향 - F/W 판매데이터(9월~익년 2월)를 근거로 - (The effects of meteorological factors on the sales volume of apparel products - Focused on the Fall/Winter season -)

  • 김은희;황보현우;채진미
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.117-129
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate meteorological factors' effects on clothing sales based on empirical data from a leading apparel company. The daily sales data were aggregated from "A" company's store records for the Fall/Winter season from 2012 to 2015. Daily weather data corresponding to sales volume data were collected from the Korea Meteorological Administration. The weekend effect and meteorological factors including temperature, wind, humidity, rainfall, fine dust, sea level pressure, and sunshine hours were selected as independent variables to calculate their effects on A company's apparel sales volume. The analysis used a SAS program including correlation analysis, t-test, and multiple-regression analysis. The study results were: First, the weekend effect was the most influential factor affecting sales volume, followed by fine dust and temperature. Second, there were significant differences in the independent variables'effects on sales volume according to the garments' classification. Third, temperature significantly affected outer garments'sales volume, while top garments' sales volume was not influenced significantly. Fourth, humidity, sea level pressure and sunshine affected sales volume partly according to the garments' item. This study can provide proof of significant relationships between meteorological factors and the sales volume of garments, which will serve well to establish better inventory strategies.

영업통제시스템이 판매사원의 직무태도와 판매성과에 미치는 영향 (The Influence of Sales-force System on Salesperson's Job Attitude and Sales Performance)

  • 이호택;유정림
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제17권11호
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The salesperson, the core of the operating activities, plays the role of connecting the inside and outside of the company, representing the company to the consumer and identifying and responding to the customer's needs. The department store industry is the most representative retail industry in South Korea, and competition among its peer group and industry is intensifying, requiring differentiated service sales activities and performance from its employees. This study divided the sales force system into activity control(process-oriented control) and output control(performance-oriented control) and verified the differential impact on the job attitude of the salesperson (e.g., job satisfaction and burn-out), respectively. In addition, the effect of job satisfaction and burn-out of the salesperson on the job performance were checked. Research design, data, and methodology: The survey was conducted on 200 sales people working at five branch stores of Hyundai department store in Seoul, and 194 of them were analyzed. The reliability and validity of the variables were analyzed and hypotheses were verified through the SEM. Results: Results have shown that activity control has a greater impact on burn-out compared to output control, and output control has a greater impact on job satisfaction compared to activity control. It has been shown that the salesperson's burn-out does not affect sales performance, but that job satisfaction has a positive effect on sales performance. Conclusions: This study examines the effect of sales force management system such as activity control and output control, on the job attitude and sales performance in department stores. According to the results of this research, each of two control systems have a discriminatory effect on the job attitude variables. For the sales managers of department store, it is recommended to increase the efficiency of sales management by increasing the use of outcome control compared to activity control.

기상요인, 가격할인 및 주말효과가 의류상품 판매량에 미치는 영향 (The Influences of Meteorological Factors, Discount rate, and Weekend Effect on the Sales Volume of Apparel Products)

  • 황보현우;김은희;채진미
    • 한국의류산업학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.434-447
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    • 2017
  • This study investigated the effects of influencing factors on the sales volume of apparel products. Based on previous studies, weekend effect, discount rate, and meteorological factors including daily average temperature, rainfall, sea level pressure, and fine dust were selected as independent variables to calculate their effects on sales quantity of apparel products. The daily sales data during 2015 - 2016 were collected from casual brands and outdoor brands which "A" apparel manufacturing company had operated. The actual data of "A" company were analyzed using SAS(R) 9.4 and SAS(R) Enterprise Miner 14.1. The results of this study were as follows: First, the influencing factors on total sales volume of apparel products were proved to be the weekend effect, discount rate, and fine dust. Second, the analysis of influencing factors on sales volume of apparel products according to season showed: 1) In casual brands, the average temperature had a significant influence on the sales volume of spring/summer products, and the sea level pressure affected the sales volume of summer/fall/winter products significantly. 2) In outdoor brands, the average temperature and the fine dust had a significant influence on the sales volume of all season's products. The sea level pressure affected the sales volume of summer/fall/ winter products significantly. The weekend effect and the discount effect affected the sales volume of apparel products partly. Third, the effect of rainfall was not proven significant, which was different from the results of past studies.

제약회사 영업사원의 마케팅-영업-인터페이스능력이 영업성과에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Marketing-Sales-Interface Capability on Sales Performance for Medical Representative in Pharmaceutical Company)

  • 김응준;이상원
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제21권11호
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    • pp.543-552
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    • 2021
  • 마케팅-영업-인터페이스(MSI) 능력은 영업사원들이 시장에서의 지식과 경험을 보다 효과적으로 조직 내부 자원들과 소통하는 능력으로서 영업성과에 긍정적인 영향을 주는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 연구는 제약회사 영업사원의 마케팅-영업-인터페이스(MSI) 능력이 직무만족도를 통해 영업성과에 영향을 미치는 매개효과를 분석하였다. 전국 제약회사 5곳의 영업사원을 대상으로 2021년 4월 15일부터 4월 23일까지 설문조사를 실시하였으며, 총 257부를 최종 분석에 사용하였다. 분석 결과 영업사원이 지각하는 MSI능력은 직무만족도 및 영업성과에 통계적으로 유의한 정(+)의 영향을 보였다. 또한 제약회사 영업사원이 지각하는 MSI능력은 직무만족도를 매개하여 영업성과에 통계적으로 유의한 정(+)의 영향을 보였다. 분석결과는 제약회사 영업사원의 영업성과 향상을 위해 MSI능력과 직무만족도의 중요성을 시사하며, 직무만족도의 매개효과에 주목하여 영업사원 관리와 관련된 방안 마련이 필요함을 보여준다.

영업사원의 개인역량이 자동차 판매 성과에 미치는 영향 연구: 자동차 대리점 영업사원을 대상으로 (Relationships between Personal Competence and Sales Performance of Sales Representatives: Focusing on Sales Representatives of Automobile Dealership)

  • 김미회;배병윤;전기석
    • 벤처창업연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.17-32
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    • 2019
  • 영업사원들은 자동차산업에서 유통시스템의 핵심적인 역할을 담당하고 있다. 자동차라는 상품의 특성상 고객들은 구매의사 결정과정에 있어 높은 수준의 정보와 지원을 요구한다. 영업사원들은 고객의 요구사항에 맞춰 서비스를 제공함으로써 고객의 결정과정을 돕는다. 따라서 자동차 영업사원의 개인적 역량은 자동차 판매 성과를 높이는데 있어 매우 중요한 영향을 미치게 된다. 이와 같은 배경을 바탕으로 본 연구는 자동차 영업사원의 개인역량이 판매성과 정(+)의 영향이 있을 것으로 보고 실증 분석하였다. 본 연구에서는 개인역량을 1) 판매기술 전문성 2) 영업사원의 태도 및 고객과의 관계형성 3) 감성활용 4) 감성조절 네 가지의 독립변수로 구분하여 종속변수인 판매성과와의 상관관계를 측정하였다. 연구 가설을 검증하기 위해 기존의 선행연구와 문헌을 토대로 가설을 설정하고 검증하였으며 경기도와 강원지역의 자동차 대리점에 근무하는 영업사원 300명을 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하였다. 회수된 유효 설문지 268부는 통계 프로그램 SPSS WIN24.0를 이용해 분석하였다. 실증분석 결과 자동차 영업사원의 개인역량의 요인으로 판매기술 전문성과 감성활용은 영업사원의 판매성과에 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 태도 및 관계형성과 감정조절이 판매성과에 정(+)의 을 미칠 것이라는 가설은 기각되었다. 이와 같은 결과는 개인역량은 영업사원을 채용하는데 있어 고려해야할 중요한 요소임을 시사한다.

항공운송업 및 관련 제조업의 무형자산성 지출과 매출액 간의 선형 관계 실증 분석 (Linear Relationship between Expenditure on intangible capital and Sales - aviation service and related manufacturing firms)

  • 김정연
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.1116-1122
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 연구개발비와 광고선전비를 포함한 재량적 비용의 지출이 매출과 선형 관계를 유지한다는 선행연구의 결과를 항공 운송업과 관련 제조업에 속한 기업의 기업 보고서를 통해 실증 분석한다. 제품의 주기가 짧은 비내구성 제품제조업에 속한 국내 기업의 경우에도 관리비와 판매비 항목 중 특히 연구개발비는 매출과 일차적 선형 관계를 유지하고 있다. 그러나 항공관련 산업의 경우에는 일반 관리비와 판매비 항목이 매출액과 비례하지만 무형자산성 지출인 연구개발비와 광고 선전비 항목은 비내구성 제품제조업의 경우에 비해 일차 회귀식의 조정계수가 낮은 특성을 보인다.