• Title/Summary/Keyword: root-mean-square error

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Run-off Forecasting using Distributed model and Artificial Neural Network model (분포형 모형과 인공신경망을 활용한 유출 예측)

  • Kim, Won Jin;Lee, Yong Gwan;Jung, Chung Gil;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.35-35
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    • 2019
  • 본 연구에서는 분포형 수문 모형 Drying Stream Assessment Tool and Water Flow Tracking (DrySAT-WTF)을 활용해 우리나라의 1976년부터 2015년까지의 유출량을 산정하고, 이를 다층퍼셉트론(Multi Layer Perceptron) 인경신경망 모형(Artificial Neural Network Model)에 적용해 미래 유출을 예측하였다. DrySAT-WFT은 전국 표준 유역을 대상으로 하천 건천화 원인 추적 및 평가를 위해 개발된 모형으로 유출모의를 위한 기상자료 외에 건천화 영향 요소를 고려하기 위한 산림 높이, 도로망, 지하수 이용량, 토지이용, 토심 변화에 대한 DB를 적용 가능한 것이 특징이다. DrySAT-WFT를 위한 기상자료로 모의 기간에 대한 일별 강우량, 상대습도, 평균풍속, 평균 및 최고, 최저 기온, 일조시간을 구축하였으며, 연대별 건천화 영향 요소 DB를 구축하여 적용하였다. 전국 다목적 댐 보 12지점의 유량을 활용해 모형의 보정(2005-2010) 및 검증(2011-2015)을 실시한 결과, 평균 결정계수(Coefficient of determination, $R^2$)는 0.76, 모형효율성계수(Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, NSE)는 0.62, 평균제곱근오차(average root mean square error, RMSE)는 3.09로 신뢰성 있는 유출 모의 결과를 나타내었다. 미래 유출량 예측을 위한 MLP-ANN은 1976년부터 2015년까지의 유출 모의 결과를 Training Set으로 훈련하여 $R^2$가 0.5 이상이 되어 신뢰성을 확보하였고, 2016년부터 2018년까지의 기간을 1개월 단위로 실제 유출량과 예측 유출량을 비교하며 적용성을 검증 및 향상시켰다.

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An Application of the Probability Plotting Positions for the Ln­least Method for Estimating the Parameters of Weibull Wind Speed Distribution (와이블 풍속 분포 파라미터 추정을 위한 Ln­least 방법의 확률도시위치 적용)

  • Kang, Dong-Bum;Ko, Kyung-Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.11-25
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    • 2018
  • The Ln-least method is commonly used to estimate the Weibull parameters from the observed wind speed data. In previous studies, the bin method has been used to calculate the cumulative frequency distribution for the Ln-least method. The purpose of this study is to obtain better performance in the Ln-least method by applying probability plotting position(PPP) instead of the bin method. Two types of the wind speed data were used for the analysis. One was the observed wind speed data taken from three sites with different topographical conditions. The other was the virtual wind speed data which were statistically generated by a random variable with known Weibull parameters. Also, ten types of PPP formulas were applied which were Hazen, California, Weibull, Blom, Gringorten, Chegodayev, Cunnane, Tukey, Beard and Median. In addition, in order to suggest the most suitable PPP formula for estimating Weibull parameters, two accuracy tests, the root mean square error(RMSE) and $R^2$ tests, were performed. As a result, all of PPPs showed better performances than the bin method and the best PPP was the Hazen formula. In the RMSE test, compared with the bin method, the Hazen formula increased estimation performance by 38.2% for the observed wind speed data and by 37.0% for the virtual wind speed data. For the $R^2$ test, the Hazen formula improved the performance by 1.2% and 2.7%, respectively. In addition, the performance of the PPP depended on the frequency of low wind speeds and wind speed variability.

Whole-body Vibration Exposure of Drill Operators in Iron Ore Mines and Role of Machine-Related, Individual, and Rock-Related Factors

  • Chaudhary, Dhanjee Kumar;Bhattacherjee, Ashis;Patra, Aditya Kumar;Chau, Nearkasen
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.268-278
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    • 2015
  • Background: This study aimed to assess the whole-body vibration (WBV) exposure among large blast hole drill machine operators with regard to the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) recommended threshold values and its association with machine- and rock-related factors and workers' individual characteristics. Methods: The study population included 28 drill machine operators who had worked in four opencast iron ore mines in eastern India. The study protocol comprised the following: measurements of WBV exposure [frequency weighted root mean square (RMS) acceleration ($m/s^2$)], machine-related data (manufacturer of machine, age of machine, seat height, thickness, and rest height) collected from mine management offices, measurements of rock hardness, uniaxial compressive strength and density, and workers' characteristics via face-to-face interviews. Results: More than 90% of the operators were exposed to a higher level WBV than the ISO upper limit and only 3.6% between the lower and upper limits, mainly in the vertical axis. Bivariate correlations revealed that potential predictors of total WBV exposure were: machine manufacturer (r = 0.453, p = 0.015), age of drill (r = 0.533, p = 0.003), and hardness of rock (r = 0.561, p = 0.002). The stepwise multiple regression model revealed that the potential predictors are age of operator (regression coefficient ${\beta}=-0.052$, standard error SE = 0.023), manufacturer (${\beta}=1.093$, SE = 0.227), rock hardness (${\beta}=0.045$, SE = 0.018), uniaxial compressive strength (${\beta}=0.027$, SE = 0.009), and density (${\beta}=-1.135$, SE = 0.235). Conclusion: Prevention should include using appropriate machines to handle rock hardness, rock uniaxial compressive strength and density, and seat improvement using ergonomic approaches such as including a suspension system.

Sensitivity Analysis of Wind-Wave Growth Parameter during Typhoon Season in Summer for Developing an Integrated Global/Regional/Coastal Wave Prediction System (전지구·지역·국지연안 통합 파랑예측시스템 개발을 위한 여름철 태풍시기 풍파성장 파라미터 민감도 분석)

  • Oh, Youjung;Oh, Sang Meong;Chang, Pil-Hun;Kang, KiRyong;Moon, Il-Ju
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.179-192
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    • 2021
  • In this study, an integrated wave model from global to coastal scales was developed to improve the operational wave prediction performance of the Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA). In this system, the wave model was upgraded to the WaveWatch III version 6.07 with the improved parameterization of the source term. Considering the increased resolution of the wind input field and the introduction of the high-performance KMA 5th Supercomputer, the spatial resolution of global and regional wave models has been doubled compared to the operational model. The physical processes and coefficients of the wave model were optimized for the current KMA global atmospheric forecasting system, the Korean Integrated Model (KIM), which is being operated since April 2020. Based on the sensitivity experiment results, the wind-wave growth parameter (βmax) for the global wave model was determined to be 1.33 with the lowest root mean square errors (RMSE). The value of βmax showed the lowest error when applied to regional/coastal wave models for the period of the typhoon season when strong winds occur. Applying the new system to the case of August 2020, the RMSE for the 48-hour significant wave height prediction was reduced by 13.4 to 17.7% compared to the existing KMA operating model. The new integrated wave prediction system plans to replace the KMA operating model after long-term verification.

A Comparative Analysis of Vegetation and Agricultural Monitoring of Terra MODIS and Sentinel-2 NDVIs (Terra MODIS 및 Sentinel-2 NDVI의 식생 및 농업 모니터링 비교 연구)

  • Son, Moo-Been;Chung, Jee-Hun;Lee, Yong-Gwan;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the compatibility of the vegetation index between the two satellites and the applicability of agricultural monitoring by comparing and verifying NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) based on Sentinel-2 and Terra MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer). Terra MODIS NDVI utilized 16-day MOD13Q1 data with 250 m spatial resolution, and Sentinel-2 NDVI utilized 10-day Level-2A BOA (Bottom Of Atmosphere) data with 10 m spatial resolution. To compare both NDVI, Sentinel-2 NDVIs were reproduced at 16-day intervals using the MVC (Maximum Value Composite) technique. As a result of time series NDVIs based on two satellites for 2019 and compare by land cover, the average R2 (Coefficient of determination) and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of the entire land cover were 0.86 and 0.11, which indicates that Sentinel-2 NDVI and MODIS NDVI had a high correlation. MODIS NDVI is overestimated than Sentinel-2 NDVI for all land cover due to coarse spatial resolution. The high-resolution Sentinel-2 NDVI was found to reflect the characteristics of each land cover better than the MODIS NDVI because it has a higher discrimination ability for subdivided land cover and land cover with a small area range.

Predictability of Sea Surface Temperature in the Northwestern Pacific simulated by an Ocean Mid-range Prediction System (OMIDAS): Seasonal Difference (북서태평양 중기해양예측모형(OMIDAS) 해면수온 예측성능: 계절적인 차이)

  • Jung, Heeseok;Kim, Yong Sun;Shin, Ho-Jeong;Jang, Chan Joo
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2021
  • Changes in a marine environment have a broad socioeconomic implication on fisheries and their relevant industries so that there has been a growing demand for the medium-range (months to years) prediction of the marine environment Using a medium-range ocean prediction model (Ocean Mid-range prediction System, OMIDAS) for the northwest Pacific, this study attempted to assess seasonal difference in the mid-range predictability of the sea surface temperature (SST), focusing on the Korea seas characterized as a complex marine system. A three-month re-forecast experiment was conducted for each of the four seasons in 2016 starting from January, forced with Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) forecast data. The assessment using relative root-mean-square-error was taken for the last month SST of each experiment. Compared to the CFSv2, the OMIDAS revealed a better prediction skill for the Korea seas SST, particularly in the Yellow sea mainly due to a more realistic representation of the topography and current systems. Seasonally, the OMIDAS showed better predictability in the warm seasons (spring and summer) than in the cold seasons (fall and winter), suggesting seasonal dependency in predictability of the Korea seas. In addition, the mid-range predictability for the Korea seas significantly varies depending on regions: the predictability was higher in the East Sea than in the Yellow Sea. The improvement in the seasonal predictability for the Korea seas by OMIDAS highlights the importance of a regional ocean modeling system for a medium-range marine prediction.

3D Positioning Using a UAV Equipped with a Stereo Camera (스테레오 카메라를 탑재한 UAV를 이용한 3차원 위치결정)

  • Park, Sung-Geun;Kim, Eui-Myoung
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.185-198
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    • 2021
  • Researches using UAVs are being actively conducted in the field of quickly constructing 3D spatial information in small areas. In this study, without using ground control points, a stereo camera was mounted on a UAV to collect images and quickly construct three-dimensional positions through image matching, bundle adjustment, and the determination of a scale factor. Through the experiment, when bundle adjustment was performed using stereo constraints, the root mean square error was 1.475m, and when absolute orientation was performed in consideration of a scale, it was found to be 0.029m. Through this, it was found that when using the data processing method of a UAV equipped with a stereo camera proposed in this study, high-accuracy 3D spatial information can be constructed without using ground control points.

A Study on the Correlation between Leak Hole Size, Leak Rate, and the Influence Range for Hydrochloric Acid Transport Vehicles (염산 운송차량의 누출공 크기와 누출률 및 영향범위간 상관관계 연구)

  • Jeon, Byeong-Han;Kim, Hyun-Sub
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: The correlation between the size of a leak hole, the volume of the leakage, and the range of influence was investigated for a hydrochloric acid tank-lorry. Methods: For the case of a tank-lorry chemical accident, KORA (Korea Off-site Risk Assessment Supporting Tool) was used to predict the leak rate and the range of influence according to the size of the leak hole. The correlation was studied using R. Results: As a result of analyzing the leak rate change according to the leak hole size in a 35% hydrochloric acid tank-lorry, as the size of the leak hole increased from 1 to 100 mm, the leak rate increased from 0.008 to 83.94 kg/sec, following the power function. As a result of calculating the range of influence under conditions ranging from 1 to 100 mm in size and 10 to 60 minutes of leakage time, it was found that the range spanned from a minimum of 5.4 m to a maximum of 307.9 m. As a result of multiple regression analysis using R, the quadratic function model best explained the correlation between the size of the leak hole, the leak time, and the range of influence with an adjected coefficient of determination of 0.97 and a root mean square error of 22.33. Conclusion: If a correlation database for the size of a leak hole is accumulated for various substances and under various conditions, the amount of leakage and the range of influence can easily be calculated, facilitating field response activities.

Evaluation of Validity and Reliability of Inertial Measurement Unit-Based Gait Analysis Systems

  • Cho, Young-Shin;Jang, Seong-Ho;Cho, Jae-Sung;Kim, Mi-Jung;Lee, Hyeok Dong;Lee, Sung Young;Moon, Sang-Bok
    • Annals of Rehabilitation Medicine
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.872-883
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    • 2018
  • Objective To replace camera-based three-dimensional motion analyzers which are widely used to analyze body movements and gait but are also costly and require a large dedicated space, this study evaluates the validity and reliability of inertial measurement unit (IMU)-based systems by analyzing their spatio-temporal and kinematic measurement parameters. Methods The investigation was conducted in three separate hospitals with three healthy participants. IMUs were attached to the abdomen as well as the thigh, shank, and foot of both legs of each participant. Each participant then completed a 10-m gait course 10 times. During each gait cycle, the hips, knees, and ankle joints were observed from the sagittal, frontal, and transverse planes. The experiments were conducted with both a camera-based system and an IMU-based system. The measured gait analysis data were evaluated for validity and reliability using root mean square error (RMSE) and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) analyses. Results The differences between the RMSE values of the two systems determined through kinematic parameters ranged from a minimum of 1.83 to a maximum of 3.98 with a tolerance close to 1%. The results of this study also confirmed the reliability of the IMU-based system, and all of the variables showed a statistically high ICC. Conclusion These results confirmed that IMU-based systems can reliably replace camera-based systems for clinical body motion and gait analyses.

Design and Evaluation of Blending Algorithm for Rate Adaptive Pace: Simulation Study (심박수 적응형 심박 조율 알고리즘 설계 및 평가: 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Myoung, Hyoun-Seok;Lee, Kyoung Joung
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.32-37
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we designed a blending algorithm for rate adaptive pacing for cardiac pacemaker. Generally, rate adaptive pacing (RAP) is applied to patients whose heart rate does not rise during exercise for chronotropic incompetence (CI) patient. It is very important to develop an algorithm for RAP that can be properly applied to CI patients. In order to design an RAP algorithm we used dual sensors. Firstly, we designed a bio-signal measurement system based on the dual sensors, which are accelerometer and respiratory system. Secondly, we conducted treadmill test for the simulation experiment while using 3-lead ECG as reference. Finally, we designed a blending algorithm based on activation state of the dual sensors. The proposed blending algorithm was subdivided into three sections based on the accelerometer signal, which are rapidly increased section (W1), hardly changed section (W2), and decreased section (W3). Each weight is set aside for each section. To evaluate this algorithm, ten healthy adult males were participated. The correlation and Root Mean Square Error between the proposed algorithm and the reference were compared, and shown to be r=0.88 and 2.82 bpm, respectively. These results show that the proposed blending algorithm of dual sensors enables proper tracking of the heart rate during exercise. Also, it shows the possibility that the proposed blending algorithm can be applied to improve quality of life of the chronotropic incompetence patient.