• Title/Summary/Keyword: root-mean-square error

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Calibration of the Hargreaves Equation for the Reference Evapotranspiration Estimation on a Nation-Wide Scale (우리나라 기준 증발산량 산정을 위한 Hargreaves 계수 산정)

  • Lee, Khil-Ha;Park, Jae-Hyeon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6B
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    • pp.675-681
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    • 2008
  • In this study, the daily-based reference evapotranspiration was evaluated with Hargreaves equation at the 23 meteorological stations for the time period of 1997-2006. The Hargreaves coefficient was self-calibrated to give the best fit with Penman-Monteith evapotranspiration, being regarded as a reference. On the basis of the estimated parameter set, a generalized regression was conducted to estimate the Hargreaves evapotranspiration by just using temperature data. This study will contribute to water resources planning, irrigation schedule, and environmental management.

Runoff Prediction from Machine Learning Models Coupled with Empirical Mode Decomposition: A case Study of the Grand River Basin in Canada

  • Parisouj, Peiman;Jun, Changhyun;Nezhad, Somayeh Moghimi;Narimani, Roya
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.136-136
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the possibility of coupling empirical mode decomposition (EMD) for runoff prediction from machine learning (ML) models. Here, support vector regression (SVR) and convolutional neural network (CNN) were considered for ML algorithms. Precipitation (P), minimum temperature (Tmin), maximum temperature (Tmax) and their intrinsic mode functions (IMF) values were used for input variables at a monthly scale from Jan. 1973 to Dec. 2020 in the Grand river basin, Canada. The support vector machine-recursive feature elimination (SVM-RFE) technique was applied for finding the best combination of predictors among input variables. The results show that the proposed method outperformed the individual performance of SVR and CNN during the training and testing periods in the study area. According to the correlation coefficient (R), the EMD-SVR model outperformed the EMD-CNN model in both training and testing even though the CNN indicated a better performance than the SVR before using IMF values. The EMD-SVR model showed higher improvement in R value (38.7%) than that from the EMD-CNN model (7.1%). It should be noted that the coupled models of EMD-SVR and EMD-CNN represented much higher accuracy in runoff prediction with respect to the considered evaluation indicators, including root mean square error (RMSE) and R values.

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Prediction of maximum shear modulus (Gmax) of granular soil using empirical, neural network and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system models

  • Hajian, Alireza;Bayat, Meysam
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.291-304
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    • 2022
  • Maximum shear modulus (Gmax or G0) is an important soil property useful for many engineering applications, such as the analysis of soil-structure interactions, soil stability, liquefaction evaluation, ground deformation and performance of seismic design. In the current study, bender element (BE) tests are used to evaluate the effect of the void ratio, effective confining pressure, grading characteristics (D50, Cu and Cc), anisotropic consolidation and initial fabric anisotropy produced during specimen preparation on the Gmax of sand-gravel mixtures. Based on the tests results, an empirical equation is proposed to predict Gmax in granular soils, evaluated by the experimental data. The artificial neural network (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) models were also applied. Coefficient of determination (R2) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) between predicted and measured values of Gmax were calculated for the empirical equation, ANN and ANFIS. The results indicate that all methods accuracy is high; however, ANFIS achieves the highest accuracy amongst the presented methods.

Optimized ANNs for predicting compressive strength of high-performance concrete

  • Moayedi, Hossein;Eghtesad, Amirali;Khajehzadeh, Mohammad;Keawsawasvong, Suraparb;Al-Amidi, Mohammed M.;Van, Bao Le
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.867-882
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    • 2022
  • Predicting the compressive strength of concrete (CSoC) is of high significance in civil engineering. The CSoC is a highly dependent and non-linear parameter that requires powerful models for its simulation. In this work, two novel optimization techniques, namely evaporation rate-based water cycle algorithm (ER-WCA) and equilibrium optimizer (EO) are employed for optimally finding the parameters of a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) neural processor. The efficiency of these techniques is examined by comparing the results of the ensembles to a conventionally trained MLP. It was observed that the ER-WCA and EO optimizers can enhance the training accuracy of the MLP by 11.18 and 3.12% (in terms of reducing the root mean square error), respectively. Also, the correlation of the testing results climbed from 78.80% to 82.59 and 80.71%. From there, it can be deduced that both ER-WCA-MLP and EO-MLP can be promising alternatives to the traditional approaches. Moreover, although the ER-WCA enjoys a larger accuracy, the EO was more efficient in terms of complexity, and consequently, time-effectiveness.

Implementation of finite element and artificial neural network methods to analyze the contact problem of a functionally graded layer containing crack

  • Yaylaci, Murat;Yaylaci, Ecren Uzun;Ozdemir, Mehmet Emin;Ay, Sevil;Ozturk, Sevval
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.501-511
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    • 2022
  • In this study, a two-dimensional model of the contact problem has been examined using the finite element method (FEM) based software ANSYS and based on the multilayer perceptron (MLP), an artificial neural network (ANN). For this purpose, a functionally graded (FG) half-infinite layer (HIL) with a crack pressed by means of two rigid blocks has been solved using FEM. Mass forces and friction are neglected in the solution. Since the problem is analyzed for the plane state, the thickness along the z-axis direction is taken as a unit. To check the accuracy of the contact problem model the results are compared with a study in the literature. In addition, ANSYS and MLP results are compared using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2), and good agreement is found. Numerical solutions are made by considering different values of external load, the width of blocks, crack depth, and material properties. The stresses on the contact surfaces between the blocks and the FG HIL are examined for these values, and the results are presented. Consequently, it is concluded that the considered non-dimensional quantities have a noteworthy influence on the contact stress distributions, and also, FEM and ANN can be efficient alternative methods to time-consuming analytical solutions if used correctly.

Research of the crack problem of a functionally graded layer

  • Murat Yaylaci;Ecren Uzun Yaylaci;Muhittin Turan;Mehmet Emin Ozdemir;Sevval Ozturk;Sevil Ay
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2024
  • In this study, the two-dimensional crack problem was investigated by using the finite element method (FEM)-based ANSYS package program and the artificial neural network (ANN)-based multilayer perceptron (MLP) method. For this purpose, a half-infinite functionally graded (FG) layer with a crack pressed through two rigid blocks was analyzed using FEM and ANN. Mass forces and friction were neglected in the solution. To control the validity of the crack problem model exercised, the acquired results were compared with a study in the literature. In addition, FEM and ANN results were checked using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2), and a well agreement was found. Numerical solutions were made considering different geometric parameters and material properties. The stress intensity factor (SIF) was examined for these values, and the results were presented. Consequently, it is concluded that the considered non-dimensional quantities have a noteworthy influence on the SIF. Also FEM and ANN can be logical alternative methods to time-consuming analytical solutions if used correctly.

Dental characteristics on panoramic radiographs as parameters for non-invasive age estimation: a pilot study

  • Harin Cheong;Akiko Kumagai;Sehyun Oh;Sang-Seob Lee
    • Anatomy and Cell Biology
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.474-481
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    • 2023
  • The dental characteristics created by acquired dental treatments can be used as age estimators. This pilot study aimed to analyze the correlation between the number of teeth observed for dental characteristics and chronological age and to develop new non-invasive age estimation models. Dental features on panoramic radiographs (420 radiographs of subjects aged 20-89 years) were classified and coded. The correlation between the number of teeth for each selected code (codes V, X, T, F, P, and L) and age was observed, and multiple regression was performed to analyze the relationship between them. Eleven regression models with various combinations of dental sextants were presented. The model with the data from both sides of the posterior teeth on both jaws showed the best performance (root mean square error of 14.78 years and an adjusted R2 of 0.461). The model with all teeth was the second-best. Based on these results, we confirmed statistically significant correlations between certain dental features and chronological age. We also observed that some regression models performed sufficiently well to be used as adjunctive methods in forensic practice. These results provide valuable information for the design and performance of future full-scale studies.

Analysis of GNSS PPP Positioning Errors Due to Strong Geomagnetic Storm on May 11, 2024 (2024년 5월 11일 강한 지자기 폭풍에 의한 GNSS PPP 측위 오차 분석)

  • Byung-Kyu Choi;Junseok Hong;Dong-Hyo Sohn;Sul Gee Park;Sang Hyun Park
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.269-275
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    • 2024
  • On May 11, 2024, there was a strong solar flare explosion. A powerful geomagnetic storm triggered by a solar flare caused a major ionospheric disturbance over the Korean Peninsula. When a geomagnetic storm occurred, an abnormal change in vertical total electron content (VTEC) values was detected at all Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations in the Korean Peninsula. In addition, we performed GNSS precise point positioning (PPP) processing using observations from the SBAO and MKPO stations. We found that the up-directional position error increased significantly in both stations at around 17:00 UT on the day of year (DOY) 132, 2024. At that point, the root mean square (RMS) values for all position errors (East, North, and Up) increased compared to other dates. Due to very high noise, the L1 signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) values of QZSS pseudo-random noise (PRN) 07 dropped to about 25 dB. As a result, we suggest that the strong geomagnetic storm increased the GNSS PPP position errors in the Korean Peninsula.

Prediction models of rock quality designation during TBM tunnel construction using machine learning algorithms

  • Byeonghyun Hwang;Hangseok Choi;Kibeom Kwon;Young Jin Shin;Minkyu Kang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.507-515
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    • 2024
  • An accurate estimation of the geotechnical parameters in front of tunnel faces is crucial for the safe construction of underground infrastructure using tunnel boring machines (TBMs). This study was aimed at developing a data-driven model for predicting the rock quality designation (RQD) of the ground formation ahead of tunnel faces. The dataset used for the machine learning (ML) model comprises seven geological and mechanical features and 564 RQD values, obtained from an earth pressure balance (EPB) shield TBM tunneling project beneath the Han River in the Republic of Korea. Four ML algorithms were employed in developing the RQD prediction model: k-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB). The grid search and five-fold cross-validation techniques were applied to optimize the prediction performance of the developed model by identifying the optimal hyperparameter combinations. The prediction results revealed that the RF algorithm-based model exhibited superior performance, achieving a root mean square error of 7.38% and coefficient of determination of 0.81. In addition, the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) approach was adopted to determine the most relevant features, thereby enhancing the interpretability and reliability of the developed model with the RF algorithm. It was concluded that the developed model can successfully predict the RQD of the ground formation ahead of tunnel faces, contributing to safe and efficient tunnel excavation.

GCP Placement Methods for Improving the Accuracy of Shoreline Extraction in Coastal Video Monitoring

  • Changyul Lee;Kideok Do;Inho Kim;Sungyeol Chang
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.174-186
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    • 2024
  • In coastal video monitoring, the direct linear transform (DLT) method with ground control points (GCPs) is commonly used for geo-rectification. However, current practices often overlook the impact of GCP quantity, arrangement, and the geographical characteristics of beaches. To address this, we designed scenarios at Chuam Beach to evaluate how factors such as the distance from the camera to GCPs, the number of GCPs, and the height of each point affect the DLT method. Accuracy was assessed by calculating the root mean square error of the distance errors between the actual GCP coordinates and the image coordinates for each setting. This analysis aims to propose an optimal GCP placement method. Our results show that placing GCPs within 200 m of the camera ensures high accuracy with few points, whereas positioning them at strategic heights enhances shoreline extraction. However, since only fixed cameras were used in this study, factors like varying heights, orientations, and resolutions could not be considered. Based on data from a single location, we propose an optimal method for GCP placement that takes into account distance, number, and height using the DLT method.