• Title/Summary/Keyword: root-mean-square error

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Comparative Analysis of Regional and At-site Analysis for the Design Rainfall by Gamma and Non-Gamma Family (I) (Gamma 및 비Gamma군 분포모형에 의한 강우의 지점 및 지역빈도 비교분석 (I))

  • Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Lee, Soon-Hyuk
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2004
  • This study was conducted to derive the design rainfall by the consecutive duration using the at-site frequency analysis. Using the errors, K-S tests and LH-moment ratios, Log Pearson type 3 (LP3) and Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distributions of Gamma and Non-Gamma Family, respectively were identified as the optimal probability distributions among applied distributions. Parameters of GEV and LP3 distributions were estimated by the method of L and LH-moments and the Indirect method of moments respectively. Design rainfalls following the consecutive duration were derived by at-site frequency analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE) and relative efficiency (RE) in RRMSE for the design rainfall derived by at-site analysis in the observed and simulated data were computed and compared. It has shown that at-site frequency analysis by GEV distribution using L-moments is confirmed as more reliable than that of GEV and LP3 distributions using LH-moments and Indirect method of moments in view of relative efficiency.

Development of a Real-Time Soil Moisture Meter using Oscillation Frequency Shift Method

  • Kim, Ki-Bok;Lee, Nam-Ho;Lee, Jong-Whan;Lee, Seoung-Seok;Noh, Sang-Ha
    • Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2001
  • The objective of this study was to develop a real-time soil moisture meter using RF impedance. The impedance suchas capacitance and resistance (or conductance) was analyzed using parallel cylinder type capacitance probe(C-probe) and Q-meter (HP4342). The capacitance and conductance of soil increased as volumetric water content increased. The 5 MHz of modified Colpitts type crystal oscillator was designed to detect the capacitance change of the C-probe with moist soil. A third order polynomial regression model was proposed to describe the relationship between RF impedance and volumetric water content. The prototype real time moisture meter consisted of the C-probe, sample container, oscillator, frequency counter and related signal processing units. The calibration equation for measurement of volumetric moisture content of soil was developed and validated. The correlation coefficient and root mean square error between measured volumetric water content by oven method and predicted values by prototype moisture meter for unknown soil samples were 0.984 and 0.032$cm^3$$cm\^3$, respectively.

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Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis - On the method of L-moments - (지역화빈도분석에 의한 설계강우량 추정 - L-모맨트법을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Park, Jong-Hwa;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Jee, Ho-Keun;Jeon, Taek-Ki;Shin, Yong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.319-323
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among apt]lied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the Generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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Correlation of Convective Boiling Heat Transfer in a Horizontal Tube for Pure Refrigerants and Refrigerant Mixtures (순수 및 혼합냉매의 유동증발 열전달 상관식)

  • Shin, J.Y.;Kim, M.S.;Ro, S.T.
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.254-266
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    • 1996
  • Boiling heat transfer coefficients of pure refrigerants(R22, R32, R125, R134a, R290, and R600a) and refrigerant mixtures(R32/R134a and R290/R600a) are measured experimentally and compared with several correlations. Convective boiling term of Chen's correlation predicts experimental data for pure refrigerants fairly well(root-mean-square error of 12.1% for the quality range over 0.2). An analysis of convective boiling heat transfer of refrigerant mixtures is performed for an annular flow to study degradation of heat transfer. Annular flow is the subject of this analysis because a great portion of the evaporator in refrigeration or air conditioning system is known to be in the annular flow regime. Mass transfer effect due to composition difference between liquid and vapor phases, which is considered as a driving force for mass transfer at interface, is included in this analysis. Correction factor $C_F$ is introduced to the correlation for the pure substances through annular flow analysis to apply the correlation to the mixtures. The flow boiling heat transfer coefficients are calculated using the correlation considering nucleate boilling effect in the low quality region and mass transfer effect for nonzazeotropic refrigerant mixtures.

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AUTOMATIC ORTHORECTIFICATION OF AIRBORNE IMAGERY USING GPS/INS DATA

  • Jang, Jae-Dong;Kim, Young-Seup;Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.684-687
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    • 2006
  • Airborne imagery must be precisely orthorectified to be used as geographical information data. GPS/INS (Global Positioning System/Inertial Navigation System) and LIDAR (LIght Detection And Ranging) data were employed to automatically orthorectify airborne images. In this study, 154 frame airborne images and LIDAR vector data were acquired. LIDAR vector data were converted to raster image for employing as reference data. To derive images with constant brightness, flat field correction was applied to the whole images. The airborne images were geometrically corrected by calculating internal orientation and external orientation using GPS/INS data and then orthorectified using LIDAR digital elevation model image. The precision of orthorectified images was validated using 50 ground control points collected in arbitrary selected five images and LIDAR intensity image. In validation results, RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) was 0.365 smaller then two times of pixel spatial resolution at the surface. It is possible that the derived mosaicked airborne image by this automatic orthorectification method is employed as geographical information data.

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Simulation of chlorine decay by waterhammer in water distribution system based on hypothetical water demand curve (가상의 물 수요곡선에 따른 수충격에 의한 염소농도변동 모의연구)

  • Baek, Dawon;Kim, Hyunjun;Kim, Sanghyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2018
  • Maintaining adequate residual chlorine concentration is an important criteria to provide secure drinking water. The chlorine decay can be influenced by unstable flow due to the transient event caused by operation of hydraulic devices in the pipeline system. In order to understand the relationship between the transient event and the chlorine decay, the probability density function based on the water demand curve of a hypothetical water distribution system was used. The irregular transient events and the same number of events with regular interval were assumed and the fate of chlorine decay was compared. The chlorine decay was modeled using a generic chlorine decay model with optimized parameters to minimize the root mean square error between the experimental chlorine concentration and the simulated chlorine concentration using genetic algorithm. As a result, the chlorine decay can be determined through the number of transients regardless of the occurrence intervals.

Comparative Study of Regional Frequency Analysis Methods of Rainfall in Han River Basin (한강 유역에서의 강우 지역빈도 해석 방법의 비교 연구)

  • Um, Myoung-Jin;Lim, Seung-Teak;Nam, Woo-Sung;Cho, Won-Cheol;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1072-1076
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 한강유역 109개 지점의 강우관측소에서 관측된 지속기간별 연최대강우량을 기본으로 각 지속기간별 L-모멘트값을 산정하고, 한강유역에 적합한 빈도해석기법을 정의하기 위하여 지역구분을 실시하였다. 지역구분을 위한 군집분석을 수행하기 위하여 각 지점별 기상학적 인자와 지형학적 인자를 변수로 사용하였다. 군집분석 기법인 Ward, 평균연결법, Fuzzy-c means, Two-Step방법을 이용하여 지역구분을 실시하였다. GIS를 이용하여 각 방법들을 이용하여 군집된 결과를 도시한 결과 Fuzzy-c means방법으로 구분된 지역구분이 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 구분된 지역의 동질성 여부를 판단하고 적정 분포형을 선정하였으며 지점빈도해석 및 지역빈도해석을 통하여 빈도별 확률 수문량을 산정하였다. 산정된 결과의 정확도 알아보기 위해 모의발생을 시킨 후, 각 기법별로 산정된 상대 평균 제곱근 오차(Relative Root Mean Square Error, RRMSE)를 비교 분석한 결과 대체적으로 지수홍수법과 계층적 방법이 낮은 RRMSE를 나타냈다. 따라서 한강유역에서는 지수홍수법과 계층적 방법을 적용한 지역빈도해석이 적합한 것으로 판단된다.

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Estimation of weibull parameters for wind energy application in Iran's cities

  • Sedghi, Majid;Hannani, Siamak K.;Boroushaki, Mehrdad
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.203-221
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    • 2015
  • Wind speed is the most important parameter in the design and study of wind energy conversion systems. The weibull distribution is commonly used for wind energy analysis as it can represent the wind variations with an acceptable level of accuracy. In this study, the wind data for 11 cities in Iran have been analysed over a period of one year. The Goodness of fit test is used for testing data fit to weibull distribution. The results show that this data fit to weibull function very well. The scale and shape factors are two parameters of the weibull distribution that depend on the area under study. The kinds of numerical methods commonly used for estimating weibull parameters are reviewed. Their performance for the cities under study was compared according to root mean square and wind energy errors. The result of the study reveals the empirical, modified maximum likelihood estimate of wind speed with minimum error. Also, that the moment and modified maximum likelihood are the best methods for estimating the energy production of wind turbines.

The estimation of winning rate in Korean professional baseball league (한국 프로야구의 승률 추정)

  • Kim, Soon-Kwi;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.653-661
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we provide a suitable optimal exponent in the generalized Pythagorean theorem and propose to use the logistic model & the probit model to estimate the winning rate in Korean professional baseball league. Under a criterion of root-mean-square-error (RMSE), the efficiencies of the proposed models have been compared with those of the Pythagorean theorem. We use the team historic win-loss records of Korean professional baseball league from 1982 to the first half of 2015, and the proposed methods show slight outperformances over the generalized Pythagorean method under the criterion of RMSE.

Gaze Detection by Wearable Eye-Tracking and NIR LED-Based Head-Tracking Device Based on SVR

  • Cho, Chul Woo;Lee, Ji Woo;Shin, Kwang Yong;Lee, Eui Chul;Park, Kang Ryoung;Lee, Heekyung;Cha, Jihun
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.542-552
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a gaze estimation method is proposed for use with a large-sized display at a distance. Our research has the following four novelties: this is the first study on gaze-tracking for large-sized displays and large Z (viewing) distances; our gaze-tracking accuracy is not affected by head movements since the proposed method tracks the head by using a near infrared camera and an infrared light-emitting diode; the threshold for local binarization of the pupil area is adaptively determined by using a p-tile method based on circular edge detection irrespective of the eyelid or eyelash shadows; and accurate gaze position is calculated by using two support vector regressions without complicated calibrations for the camera, display, and user's eyes, in which the gaze positions and head movements are used as feature values. The root mean square error of gaze detection is calculated as $0.79^{\circ}$ for a 30-inch screen.