• Title/Summary/Keyword: root-mean-square error

Search Result 1,242, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Development of Yield Forecast Models for Autumn Chinese Cabbage and Radish Using Crop Growth and Development Information (생육정보를 이용한 가을배추와 가을무 단수 예측 모형 개발)

  • Lee, Choon-Soo;Yang, Sung-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.279-293
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study suggests the yield forecast models for autumn chinese cabbage and radish using crop growth and development information. For this, we construct 24 alternative yield forecast models and compare the predictive power using root mean square percentage errors. The results shows that the predictive power of model including crop growth and development informations is better than model which does not include those informations. But the forecast errors of best forecast models exceeds 5%. Thus it is important to establish reliable data and improve forecast models.

Estimation of the wind speed in Sivas province by using the artificial neural networks

  • Gurlek, Cahit;Sahin, Mustafa;Akkoyun, Serkan
    • Wind and Structures
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.161-167
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, the artificial neural network (ANN) method was used for estimating the monthly mean wind speed of Sivas, in the central part of Turkey. Eighteen years of wind speed data obtained from nine measurement stations during the period of 2000-2017 at 10 m height was used for ANN analysis. It was found that mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) ranged from 3.928 to 6.662, mean bias error (MBE) ranged from -0.089 to -0.003, while root mean square error (RMSE) ranged from 0.050 to 0.157 and R2 ranged from 0.86 to 0.966. ANN models provide a good approximation of the wind speed for all measurement stations, however, a tendency to underestimate is also obvious.

Prediction of Barge Ship Roll Response Amplitude Operator Using Machine Learning Techniques

  • Lim, Jae Hwan;Jo, Hyo Jae
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.167-179
    • /
    • 2020
  • Recently, the increasing importance of artificial intelligence (AI) technology has led to its increased use in various fields in the shipbuilding and marine industries. For example, typical scenarios for AI include production management, analyses of ships on a voyage, and motion prediction. Therefore, this study was conducted to predict a response amplitude operator (RAO) through AI technology. It used a neural network based on one of the types of AI methods. The data used in the neural network consisted of the properties of the vessel and RAO values, based on simulating the in-house code. The learning model consisted of an input layer, hidden layer, and output layer. The input layer comprised eight neurons, the hidden layer comprised the variables, and the output layer comprised 20 neurons. The RAO predicted with the neural network and an RAO created with the in-house code were compared. The accuracy was assessed and reviewed based on the root mean square error (RMSE), standard deviation (SD), random number change, correlation coefficient, and scatter plot. Finally, the optimal model was selected, and the conclusion was drawn. The ultimate goals of this study were to reduce the difficulty in the modeling work required to obtain the RAO, to reduce the difficulty in using commercial tools, and to enable an assessment of the stability of medium/small vessels in waves.

Variation in Energy and Nutrient Composition of Oilseed Meals from Different Countries (수입 박류사료내 에너지 및 영양소 함량의 변이)

  • Son, Ah Reum
    • Korean Journal of Poultry Science
    • /
    • v.47 no.2
    • /
    • pp.107-114
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to investigate the variation in nutrient composition of oilseed meals and to develop prediction equations for amino acid concentrations. Energy and nutrient contents were determined in a total of 1,380 feed ingredient samples including copra byproducts, corn distillers, dried grains with solubles, palm kernel byproducts, and soybean meal. The ingredient samples were imported to the Republic of Korea between 2006 and 2015. Data were analyzed using the MIXED procedure of SAS. The regression procedure of SAS was used to generate the prediction equation for the lysine concentration using the crude protein (CP) concentration as an independent variable. The concentrations of moisture, gross energy, CP, ether extract, crude fiber, ash, calcium, phosphorus, lysine, methionine, cysteine, and threonine in tested oilseed meals differed (P<0.05) depending on producing countries. The prediction equations for amino acid concentrations (% as-is basis) in the oilseed meals are: lysine = -1.08 + 0.080 × CP (root mean square error = 0.244, R2 = 0.924, and P<0.001); threonine = -0.297 + 0.044 × CP (root mean square error = 0.099, R2 = 0.958, and P<0.001). In conclusion, energy and nutrient compositions vary in the oilseed meals depending on the producing countries. Moreover, the crude protein concentration can be used as a suitable independent variable for estimating lysine and threonine concentrations in the oilseed meals.

Flood Runoff Measurements using Surface Image Velocimetry (표면영상유속계(SIV)를 이용한 홍수유출량 측정)

  • Kim, Yong-Seok;Yang, Sung-Kee;Yu, Kwon-Kyu;Kim, Dong-Su
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.581-589
    • /
    • 2013
  • Surface Image Velocimetry(SIV) is an instrument to measure water surface velocity by using image processing techniques. Since SIV is a non-contact type measurement method, it is very effective and useful to measure water surface velocity for steep mountainous streams, such as streams in Jeju island. In the present study, a surface imaging velocimetry system was used to calculate the flow rate for flood event due to a typhoon. At the same time, two types of electromagnetic surface velocimetries (electromagnetic surface current meter and Kalesto) were used to observe flow velocities and compare the accuracies of each instrument. The comparison showed that for velocity distributions root mean square error(RMSE) was 0.33 and R-squared was 0.72. For discharge measurements, root mean square error(RMSE) reached 6.04 and R-squared did 0.92. It means that surface image velocimetry could be used as an alternative method for electromagnetic surface velocimetries in measuring flood discharge.

Development of Dynamic Fiber Optic Gyrocompass (동적방식 광섬유자이로 콤파스의 제작)

  • Lee, Seok-Jeong;Choi, Woo-Jin;Bae, Jeong-Chul;Kim, Sung-Jin;Lee, Sang-Sik;Kwon, Yong-Soo;Hong, Tchang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.67-74
    • /
    • 1997
  • This paper described the method and the result of making a dynamic fiber optic gyrocompass measuring the heading angles of ships by processing the output signal from a constant rotating fiber optic sensor and also showed the measurement to test the performance of our system. Considerig an economical view we designed and ordered a cheap medium grade fiber densors increased not fiber length but the diameter of a fiber sensing loop. The scale factor and noise was 267mV/deg/s and 2 deg/hr/$\sqrt{Hz}(1{\sigma})$, respectively. We made the dynamic fiber optic gyrocompass by this sensor. We measured the heading angles in an arbitrary direction to evaluate the accuracy of our system and the root mean square error was $0.4^\circ$. Moreover, we measured the angles ineach direction of $45^\circ$. successive rotation to know whether this system has distoritions in a specific direction or not and the root mean square error in this case was $0.5^\circ$.

  • PDF

Digital image stabilization based on bit-plane matching (비트 플레인 정합에 의한 디지털 영상 안정화)

  • 이성희;전승원;고성제
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1471-1481
    • /
    • 1998
  • In this paper, we propose a new digital image stabilization scheme based on the bit-plane matching. In the proposed algorithm, the conventional motion estimation algorithms are applied to the binary images extracted from the bit-plane images. It is shown that the computational complexity of the proposed algorithm can be significantly reduced by replacing the arithmetic calculations with the binary Boolean functions, while the accuracy of motion estimation is maintained. Furthermore, an adaptive algorithm for selecting a bit-plane in consideration of changes in external illumination can provide the robustness of the proposed algorithm. We compared the proposed algorithm with existing algorithms using root mean square error (RMSE) on the basis of the brute-force method, and proved experimentally that the proposed method detects the camera motion more accurately than existing algorithms. In addition, the proposed algorithm performs digital image stabilization with less computation.

  • PDF

Linearity Analysis and Calibration of a Cable-Conduit Bend Sensor (케이블 컨듀잇 굽힘 센서의 선형 특성 분석 및 켈리브레이션)

  • Jeong, Useok;Cho, Kyu-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
    • /
    • v.12 no.1
    • /
    • pp.26-32
    • /
    • 2017
  • Previous shape sensors including bend sensors and optic fiber based sensors are widely used in various applications including goniometer and surgical robots. But theses sensors have large nonlinearity, limited in the range of sensing curvature, and sometimes are expensive. This study suggests a new concept of bend sensor using cable-conduit which consists of the outer sheath and the inner wire. The outer sheath is made of helical coil whose length of the central line changes as the sheath bends. This length change of the central line can be measured with the length change of the inner cable. The modeling and the experimental results show that the output signal of the proposed sensor is linearly related with the bend angle of the sheath with root mean square error of 5.3% of $450^{\circ}$ sensing range. Also the polynomial calibration of the sensor can decrease the root mean square error to 2.1% of the full sensing range.

A Study on Estimation of Quantile using Regional Scaling Model and Frequency Analysis (빈도해석과 지역 스케일 모델을 이용한 확률강우량 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Younghun;Kim, Sunghun;Kim, Hanbeen;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.301-301
    • /
    • 2016
  • 국내의 경우 수공구조물을 설계하기 위해서는 빈도해석을 통해 설계수문량을 산정한다. 일반적으로 실무에서는 지점빈도해석을 수행하게 되는데 설계빈도보다 대부분 짧은 기간의 자료를 이용하여 산정한다. 지역빈도해석은 이러한 자료기간이 가지는 문제점을 극복하기 위하여 확률수문량의 정확도와 신뢰도를 향상시키는 기법이다. 스케일 모델은 지속기간별로 관측된 강우자료를 이용하여 재현기간에 대한 지속기간의 함수로 표현이 가능하며, 이를 통해 강우의 IDF곡선을 제시할 수 있는 수학적 모델이다. 대상지역의 강우관측소에서 관측된 강우자료가 일단위이면, 기준지속기간이 24시간이 되며, 기준지속기간에 대한 확률강우량으로부터 임의의 지속기간에 대한 확률강우량을 스케일 모델을 이용하여 추정할 수 있다. 따라서 짧은 자료를 보유한 지역이거나 미계측 지역에 대한 확률강우량을 추정을 위해 지역빈도해석과 지역 스케일 모델을 이용하여 확률강우량을 추정하여 지점빈도해석과 비교하고자 한다. 본 연구를 위해 한강유역의 강우 관측소를 이용하였으며, 군집분석 중 k-means방법을 적용하여 수문학적 동질성을 확보한 후 지역을 구분하였다. 구분된 지역은 지점 및 지역빈도해석을 수행한 후 상대평균제곱근오차(relative root mean square error, RRMSE)를 비교하여 정확도를 판단하였고, 정확도가 높은 빈도해석에 지역 스케일 모델을 적용하여 미계측 지점에 대한 임의의 시간에 대한 확률강우량을 추정하고자 한다.

  • PDF