• Title/Summary/Keyword: root-mean-square error

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Modeling properties of self-compacting concrete: support vector machines approach

  • Siddique, Rafat;Aggarwal, Paratibha;Aggarwal, Yogesh;Gupta, S.M.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.461-473
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    • 2008
  • The paper explores the potential of Support Vector Machines (SVM) approach in predicting 28-day compressive strength and slump flow of self-compacting concrete. Total of 80 data collected from the exiting literature were used in present work. To compare the performance of the technique, prediction was also done using a back propagation neural network model. For this data-set, RBF kernel worked well in comparison to polynomial kernel based support vector machines and provide a root mean square error of 4.688 (MPa) (correlation coefficient=0.942) for 28-day compressive strength prediction and a root mean square error of 7.825 cm (correlation coefficient=0.931) for slump flow. Results obtained for RMSE and correlation coefficient suggested a comparable performance by Support Vector Machine approach to neural network approach for both 28-day compressive strength and slump flow prediction.

Parameter Estimation of Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curve using Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 강우강도식의 매개변수 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Kim, Soo-Young;Kim, Tae-Soon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.142-146
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 강우강도식의 매개변수를 보다 효율적으로 산정하기 위해서 유전자알고리즘을 적용한 매개변수 산정법을 제시하였으며, 지속기간의 장, 단기간에 따른 매개변수의 변화를 고려하기 위하여 다목적 유전자알고리즘을 적용하여 매개변수를 추정한 후 기존의 강우강도식에 의한 결과와 비교해 보았다. 매개변수는 지점빈도해석을 통해 산정된 확률강우량을 사용하여 추정하였고, 유전자 알고리즘의 목적함수로는 Nash & Sutcliffe Index, Root Mean Square Error(RMSE), Relative Root Mean Square Error(RRMSE), 결정계수, 평균들을 사용하여 가장 효율적인 형태의 목적함수를 구성하였다. 그 결과 기존의 매개변수 추정 방법들에 비해 유전자알고리즘을 이용한 경우에 더 정확한 강우량값을 산정할 수 있었고, 특히 다목적 유전자 알고리즘을 사용할 경우 장기간과 단기간에 걸쳐서 동시에 정확도를 향상시킬 수 있는 매개변수를 추정할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다.

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Combined GPS/BeiDou Positioning Performance in South Korea

  • Choi, Byung-Kyu;Cho, Chang-Hyun;Lee, Sang Jeong
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2014
  • The BeiDou is a satellite-based positioning and navigation system, which is under construction by the China Satellite Navigation Office. Until the June of 2014, the constellation of BeiDou navigation satellite system consists of 14 satellites including five geostationary earth orbit (GEO), five inclined geosynchronous earth orbit (IGSO) and four medium earth orbit (MEO). In this paper, we present the positioning results using BeiDou B1 code measurements obtained from three GNSS reference stations (BHAO, SKMA, MKPO). Combined Beidou/GPS positioning results are also compared to BeiDou and GPS only. BeiDou-only positioning errors for the east-west and north-south direction had less than 2 meter with root mean square (RMS) value. However, the positioning error for the up-down direction had larger than 10 meter at a 95% confidence level. Our results also suggest that the position precision is improved by combined BeiDou/GPS compared to BeiDou-only.

Prediction of Blast Vibration in Quarry Using Machine Learning Models (머신러닝 모델을 이용한 석산 개발 발파진동 예측)

  • Jung, Dahee;Choi, Yosoon
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.508-519
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a model was developed to predict the peak particle velocity (PPV) that affects people and the surrounding environment during blasting. Four machine learning models using the k-nearest neighbors (kNN), classification and regression tree (CART), support vector regression (SVR), and particle swarm optimization (PSO)-SVR algorithms were developed and compared with each other to predict the PPV. Mt. Yogmang located in Changwon-si, Gyeongsangnam-do was selected as a study area, and 1048 blasting data were acquired to train the machine learning models. The blasting data consisted of hole length, burden, spacing, maximum charge per delay, powder factor, number of holes, ratio of emulsion, monitoring distance and PPV. To evaluate the performance of the trained models, the mean absolute error (MAE), mean square error (MSE), and root mean square error (RMSE) were used. The PSO-SVR model showed superior performance with MAE, MSE and RMSE of 0.0348, 0.0021 and 0.0458, respectively. Finally, a method was proposed to predict the degree of influence on the surrounding environment using the developed machine learning models.

Confidence Intervals for a tow Binomial Proportion (낮은 이항 비율에 대한 신뢰구간)

  • Ryu Jae-Bok;Lee Seung-Joo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.217-230
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    • 2006
  • e discuss proper confidence intervals for interval estimation of a low binomial proportion. A large sample surveys are practically executed to find rates of rare diseases, specified industrial disaster, and parasitic infection. Under the conditions of 0 < p ${\leq}$ 0.1 and large n, we compared 6 confidence intervals with mean coverage probability, root mean square error and mean expected widths to search a good one for interval estimation of population proportion p. As a result of comparisons, Mid-p confidence interval is best and AC, score and Jeffreys confidence intervals are next.

Automatic Calibration of SWAT Model Using LH-OAT Sensitivity Analysis and SCE-UA Optimization Method (LH-OAT 민감도 분석과 SCE-UA 최적화 방법을 이용한 SWAT 모형의 자동보정)

  • Lee Do-Hun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.677-690
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    • 2006
  • The LH-OAT (Latin Hypercube One factor At a Time) method for sensitivity analysis and SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution at University of Arizona) optimization method were applied for the automatic calibration of SWAT model in Bocheong-cheon watershed. The LH-OAT method which combines the advantages of global and local sensitivity analysis effectively identified the sensitivity ranking for the parameters of SWAT model over feasible parameter space. Use of this information allows us to select the calibrated parameters for the automatic calibration process. The performance of the automatic calibration of SWAT model using SCE-UA method depends on the length of calibration period, the number of calibrated parameters, and the selection of statistical error criteria. The performance of SWAT model in terms of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), NSEF (Nash-Sutcliffe Model Efficiency), RMAE (Relative Mean Absolute Error), and NMSE (Normalized Mean Square Error) becomes better as the calibration period and the number of parameters defined in the automatic calibration process increase. However, NAE (Normalized Average Error) and SDR (Standard Deviation Ratio) were not improved although the calibration period and the number of calibrated parameters are increased. The result suggests that there are complex interactions among the calibration data, the calibrated parameters, and the model error criteria and a need for further study to understand these complex interactions at various representative watersheds.

A Modulation and Channel State Estimation Algorithm Using the Received Signal Analysis in the Blind Channel (블라인드 채널에서 수신 신호 분석 기법을 사용한 변조 및 채널 상태 추정 알고리즘)

  • Cho, Minhwan;Nam, Haewoon
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.41 no.11
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    • pp.1406-1409
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we propose the heuristic signal grouping algorithm to estimate channel state value over full blind communication situation which means that there is no information about the modulation scheme and the channel state information between the transmitter and the receiver. Hereafter, using the constellation rotation method and the probability density function(pdf) the modulation scheme is determined to perform automatic modulation classification(AMC). Furthermore, the modulation type and a channel state value estimation capability is evaluated by comparing the proposed scheme with other conventional techniques from the simulation results in terms of the symbol error rate(SER) and the root mean square error (RMSE).

Mean Square Projection Error Gradient-based Variable Forgetting Factor FAPI Algorithm (평균 제곱 투영 오차의 기울기에 기반한 가변 망각 인자 FAPI 알고리즘)

  • Seo, YoungKwang;Shin, Jong-Woo;Seo, Won-Gi;Kim, Hyoung-Nam
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.177-187
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes a fast subspace tracking methods, which is called GVFF FAPI, based on FAPI (Fast Approximated Power Iteration) method and GVFF RLS (Gradient-based Variable Forgetting Factor Recursive Lease Squares). Since the conventional FAPI uses a constant forgetting factor for estimating covariance matrix of source signals, it has difficulty in applying to non-stationary environments such as continuously changing DOAs of source signals. To overcome the drawback of conventioanl FAPI method, the GVFF FAPI uses the gradient-based variable forgetting factor derived from an improved means square error (MSE) analysis of RLS. In order to achieve the decreased subspace error in non-stationary environments, the GVFF-FAPI algorithm used an improved forgetting factor updating equation that can produce a fast decreasing forgetting factor when the gradient is positive and a slowly increasing forgetting factor when the gradient is negative. Our numerical simulations show that GVFF-FAPI algorithm offers lower subspace error and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) of tracked DOAs of source signals than conventional FAPI based MUSIC (MUltiple SIgnal Classification).

Performance and Root Mean Squared Error of Kernel Relaxation by the Dynamic Change of the Moment (모멘트의 동적 변환에 의한 Kernel Relaxation의 성능과 RMSE)

  • 김은미;이배호
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.788-796
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    • 2003
  • This paper proposes using dynamic momentum for squential learning method. Using The dynamic momentum improves convergence speed and performance by the variable momentum, also can identify it in the RMSE(root mean squared error). The proposed method is reflected using variable momentum according to current state. While static momentum is equally influenced on the whole, dynamic momentum algorithm can control the convergence rate and performance. According to the variable change of momentum by training. Unlike former classification and regression problems, this paper confirms both performance and regression rate of the dynamic momentum. Using RMSE(root mean square error ), which is one of the regression methods. The proposed dynamic momentum has been applied to the kernel adatron and kernel relaxation as the new sequential learning method of support vector machine presented recently. In order to show the efficiency of the proposed algorithm, SONAR data, the neural network classifier standard evaluation data, are used. The simulation result using the dynamic momentum has a better convergence rate, performance and RMSE than those using the static moment, respectively.

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Sensitivity Analysis for Operation a Reservoir System to Hydrologic Forecast Accuracy (수문학적 예측의 정확도에 따른 저수지 시스템 운영의 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Yeong-O
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.855-862
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    • 1998
  • This paper investigates the impact of the forecast error on performance of a reservoir system for hydropower production. Forecast error is measured as th Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and parametrically varied within a Generalized Maintenance Of Variance Extension (GMOVE) procedure. A set of transition probabilities are calculated as a function of the RMSE of the GMOVE procedure and then incorporated into a Bayesian Stochastic Dynamic Programming model which derives monthly operating policies and assesses their performance. As a case study, the proposed methodology is applied to the Skagit Hydropower System (SHS) in Washington state. The results show that the system performance is a nonlinear function of RMSE and therefor suggested that continued improvements in the current forecast accuracy correspond to gradually greater increase in performance of the SHS.

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