• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk response

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Scientific rationale and applicability of dose-response models for environmental carcinogens (환경성 발암물질의 용량-반응모델의 이론적 근거와 응용에 관한 연구 - 음용수 중 chloroform을 중심으로)

  • Shin, Dong-Chun;Chung, Yong;Kim, Jong-Man;Lee, Seong-Im;Hwang, Man-Sik
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.29 no.1 s.52
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    • pp.27-41
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    • 1996
  • This study described methods to predict human health risk associated with exposure to environmental carcinogens using animal bioassay data. Also, biological assumption for various dose-response models were reviewed. To illustrate the process of risk estimate using relevant dose-response models such as Log-normal, Mantel-Bryan, Weibull and Multistage model, we used four animal carcinogenesis bioassy data of chloroform and chloroform concentrations of tap water measured in large cities of Korea from 1987 to 1995. As a result, in the case of using average concentration in exposure data and 95% upper boud unit risk of Multistge model, excess cancer risk(RISK I) was about $1.9\times10^{-6}$, in the case of using probability distribution of cumulative exposure data and unit risks, those risks(RISK II) which were simulated by Monte-Carlo analysis were about $2.4\times10^{-6}\;and\;7.9\times10^{-5}$ at 50 and 95 percentile, respectively. Therefore risk estimated by Monte-Carlo analysis using probability distribution of input variables may be more conservative.

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XRCC1 Polymorphisms are Associated with Cervical Cancer Risk and Response to Chemotherapy: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

  • Shuai, Han-Lin;Luo, Xin;Yan, Rui-Ling;Li, Jian;Chen, Dan-Liang
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.12
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    • pp.6423-6427
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    • 2012
  • Background: Functional single nucleotide polymorphisms of x-ray repair cross-complementing protein 1 (XRCC1) have been suspected to contribute to uterine cervical cancer risk for a long time; however, most previous case-control studies were small sized and biased. Additionally, recent studies suggested that XRCC1 polymorphisms could be a biomarker of response to platinum-based chemotherapy. Methods: A comprehensive search was conducted to retrieve eligible studies and odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated to measure association strength. Results: A total of 13 studies were identified and analyzed. We found that the Arg194Trp polymorphism (Trp vs. Arg, OR=1.342, 95% CI: 1.176) was associated with increased risk of cervical cancer, while no significant association was found with Arg280His (His vs. Arg, OR=1.059, 95% CI: 0.863, 1.299) or Arg399Gln (Gln vs. Arg, OR=1.144, 95% CI: 0.938, 1.394). As for response to platinum-based chemotherapy, the variant XRCC1 399Gln allele (Gln vs. Arg, OR=0.345, 95% CI: 0.163, 0.729) was linked with a poor response; however, the Arg194Trp polymorphism (TrpArg vs. ArgArg, OR=6.421, 95% CI: 1.573, 26.205) predicted a good response. Conclusion: The Arg194Trp polymorphism of XRCC1 increases risk of cervical cancer; the variant 399Gln allele predicts poor response to platinum-based chemotherapy, while the Arg194Trp polymorphism indicates a good response.

The Effects of a Sexual Abuse Prevention Program on the Children's Perceptions of the Risks of Sexual Abuse (성학대 예방 프로그램이 아동의 성학대 위험 지각에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Mi Kyoung;Lee, Jae Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.193-209
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    • 1998
  • The present study assessed children's perceptions of risk of sexual abuse before and after participation in a sexual abuse prevention program, and investigated the effects of the sexual abuse prevention program on the children's emotional response. The subjects for this study were 135 3rd and 145 6th graders, attending elementary school in Seoul. Instruments were the Sexual Abuse Situational Risk (Jacobs, Hashima, & Kenning, 1995) and the Children's Emotional Response Questionnaire (Garbarino, 1987). The results of this study were that (1) children's perceptions of the risk of sexual abuse by a stranger decreased, relative to those by familiar persons which increased after the program. Especially, 6th graders had higher perceptions of the likelihood of abuse by familiar persons than 3rd graders. Girls had higher perceptions of risk than boys. (2) Children perceived adults as more dangerous than adolescents both before-and after-program. (3) Children's perceptions of the risk of sexual abuse in public settings decreased, relative to perceptions of risk in private settings which increased after the program. Girls had higher perceptions of the liklihood of abuse in private settings than boys; no significant difference was found by grade. (4) Children's emotional response did not reveal a significant change between pretest and posttests.

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Risk Assessment of Escherichia coli Infection from Use of Interactive Waterscape Facilities (수경시설 물놀이에 따른 대장균 감염의 위해도 분석)

  • Zo, Young-Gun
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: With the goal of quantifying the risk of children contracting gastroenteritis while playing at interactive waterscape facilities and evaluating the adequacy of current water quality regulations, risk assessment was performed with Escherichia coli as pathogen. Methods: Abundances of E. coli in the waters of interactive water features in South Korea were acquired from survey reports. A gamma distribution describing the volume of water swallowed by children during swimming activities was adopted. Exposure rate and risk were calculated by Monte Carlo simulation and dose-response models for various pathogenic E. coli. Results: E. coli was detected in 25 out of 40 facilities, with range of ~1,600 CFU/100 ml. The abundance fitted an exponential distribution. Simulated exposures ranged ${\sim}1.9{\times}10^{10}$ CFU, varying greater along E. coli abundance than the volume of water. Risk of children being infected by enterohemorrhagic E. coli was high, with range of ~0.85. When E. coli abundance was <200 CFU/100 ml, which is the current government threshold, the risk decreased to <0.43. Although the guideline successfully reduced the risk of adults being infected by a less virulent E. coli strains (<0.03), the risk for children could not be quantified due to lack of dose-response models for those pathogens for children. Conclusions: Under the current guideline, children are at risk of being infected if water is contaminated with by enterohemorrhagic E. coli. For other E. coli strains, the risk appears to be considerably less. The result warrants need for developing dose-response models for children for each pathogenic E. coli strain.

A Study on the Safety through Response Analysis Evaluation of Pre-Anxiety Behavior and Risk Sensitivity Images (대응분석을 통한 안전·불안전 행동 및 위험감수성 이미지 평가)

  • Yu Mi Moon
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.471-483
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to understand the relationship between risk-sensitive factors and safety and unsafe behavior, and to clarify the relationship between risk-sensitive factors and demographic cha- racteristics through response matching analysis. To this end, a survey was conducted on 501 construc- tion site workers and data were analyzed using the SPSS program. Method: Six factors were derived through frequency analysis, cross-analysis, exploratory factor analysis, and reliability analysis for data purification. Multiple regression analysis and response analysis were conducted. Result: Risk-sensitive sensitivity and avoidance were found to have a significant effect on safety behavior and unsafe behavior, and the relationship was found according to age and occupation. Conclusion: Taken together, it shows that safety behavior is influenced by managing individual risk sensitivity and sensitivity, and properly managing avoidance. Accordingly, it suggests that intervention is necessary to manage risk sensitivity and sensitivity to promote safety behavior and maintain a sustainable safety culture, and to prevent excessive avoidance.

A Study on Risk Response against Ship Fire using Robot

  • Park, Dea-Woo;Park, Young-Suk;Nam, Jae-Min
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.230-234
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    • 2011
  • It is endeavoring for sea safety and fire[1] at sea prevention solidifying control of standard technology and safety supervision aspect in IMO[2] but sea accident and ship fire are happening continuously. Because using Robot in artistic talent of ship in this treatise, studied that correspond to Risk and manage. Attach fire perception sensor for Robot's Risk confrontation, and because using infrared rays sensor, TOUCH SWITCH, sound perception sensor, gas perception sensor, light perception sensor that is threaded in Robot and is achieved, controlled Robot, and establish Low-High value the speed of sound output use and DC MOTOR and COM SEN of when indicate Risk confrontation to Robot and establish Robot's Risk confrontation administration action.

A Study on the Key Performance Factors of Passenger Airbag and Injury Risk Prediction Technique Development (동승석 에어백 핵심 성능 인자 및 상해위험도 예측 기법 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Dongkyou
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2013
  • Until now, passenger airbag design is based on the referred car design and many repetitive crash tests have been done to meet the crash performance. In this paper, it was suggested a new design process of passenger airbag. First, key performance factors were determined by analyzing the injury risk effectiveness of each performance factor. And it was made a relationship between injury risk and performance factor by using the response surface model. By using this one, it can be predicted the injury risk of head and neck. Predicted injury risk of optimal design was obtained through this injury risk prediction model and it was verified by FE analysis result within 18% error of head and 9% error of neck. It was shown that a target crash performance can be met by controlling the key performance factors only.

Male Mating Strategies through Manipulation of Female-perceived Predation Risk: A Minireview and a Hypothesis

  • Han, Chang-S.;Jablonski, Piotr G.
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2008
  • In this minireview we focus on how males may exploit female's sensitivity to predation risk in the context of mating. It has been shown in studies on guppies and jumping spiders that in response to altered female behaviors, which are adaptations to the unfavorable environment and a consequence of females' higher sensitivity to predator's presence as well as females' higher predation risk, males can adopt condition-dependent mating tactics. It appears that in such cases males do not modify their reproductive behavior directly in response to their own perception of predation risk, but indirectly in response to changes in female behavior induced by predator presence. It has also been recently shown in crabs that males can exploit female behavior by creating safer habitat spots, which increases the male mating success. Hence all the evidence suggests that males not only respond to female sensitivity to the natural variation in predation risk, but that males can also exploit female behavior by altering the environment. As a logical extension of these findings, we present a hypothesis that in certain conditions males can manipulate the environment in order to increase the predation risk and to induce female behaviors that enhance the male's mating success with the increased predation risk. We propose that such a manipulation to increase predation risk is expected to evolve in males of species with a strong sexual conflict and female-biased predation risk. Although empirical evidence has not been yet shown, initial observations in a water strider species in Korea, Gerris gracilicornis, seem to support this hypothesis.

Quantitative microbial risk assessment of Campylobacter jejuni in jerky in Korea

  • Ha, Jimyeong;Lee, Heeyoung;Kim, Sejeong;Lee, Jeeyeon;Lee, Soomin;Choi, Yukyung;Oh, Hyemin;Yoon, Yohan
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.274-281
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    • 2019
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the risk of Campylobacter jejuni (C. jejuni) infection from various jerky products in Korea. Methods: For the exposure assessment, the prevalence and predictive models of C. jejuni in the jerky and the temperature and time of the distribution and storage were investigated. In addition, the consumption amounts and frequencies of the products were also investigated. The data for C. jejuni for the prevalence, distribution temperature, distribution time, consumption amount, and consumption frequency were fitted with the @RISK fitting program to obtain appropriate probabilistic distributions. Subsequently, the dose-response models for Campylobacter were researched in the literature. Eventually, the distributions, predictive model, and dose-response model were used to make a simulation model with @RISK to estimate the risk of C. jejuni foodborne illness from the intake of jerky. Results: Among 275 jerky samples, there were no C. jejuni positive samples, and thus, the initial contamination level was statistically predicted with the RiskUniform distribution [RiskUniform (-2, 0.48)]. To describe the changes in the C. jejuni cell counts during distribution and storage, the developed predictive models with the Weibull model (primary model) and polynomial model (secondary model) were utilized. The appropriate probabilistic distribution was the BetaGeneral distribution, and it showed that the average jerky consumption was 51.83 g/d with a frequency of 0.61%. The developed simulation model from this data series and the dose-response model (Beta Poisson model) showed that the risk of C. jejuni foodborne illness per day per person from jerky consumption was $1.56{\times}10^{-12}$. Conclusion: This result suggests that the risk of C. jejuni in jerky could be considered low in Korea.