• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk ranking method

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Debris Flow Risk Evaluation and Ranking Method for Drainage Basin adjacent to Road (도로인근 유역의 토석류 위험평가 및 등급화 방안)

  • Kim, Kyung-Suk;Jang, Hyun-Ick
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2010.03a
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    • pp.279-290
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    • 2010
  • Technical countermeasures against debris flow should be established upon the risk level of the target location. Risk of debris flow should consider the hazard imposed by debris flow and vulnerability of the facilities to debris flow. In this research, we have defined the target location for risk evaluation and suggested scoring method of hazard of debris flow and vulnerability of road to debris flow. By defining risk rank into 6 categories in terms of possibility of damage during rainfall and using the risk scores of 46 debris flow cases, we have suggested risk ranking matrix. The method can be used in ranking the drainage basin adjacent to road by simply determining the hazard with vulnerability score and can be used for planning the debris flow countermeasures.

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A Determining Contingency Ranking Using the Weather Effects of the Power System (날씨효과를 고려한 전력계통의 상정사고 순위 결정)

  • 김경영;이승혁;김진오;김태균;전동훈;차승태
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.53 no.9
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    • pp.487-493
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    • 2004
  • The electric power industry throughout the world is undergoing considerable changes from the vertically integrated utility structure to the deregulated market. However, the deregulated electricity market is operated with respect to theory of economical efficiency, and therefore, the system operator requires data with fast contingency ranking for security of the bulk power system. This paper compares the weather dependant probabilistic risk index(PRI) with the system performance index for power flow in the IEEE-RTS. The system performance index for power flow presents the power system stability. This paper presents fast calculation method for determining contingency ranking using the weather dependant probabilistic risk index(PRI). The probabilistic risk index can be classified into the case of normal and adverse weather. This paper proposes calculation method using the probabilistic risk index in determining contingency ranking required for security under the deregulated electricity market.

Human Health Risk based Priority Ranking for Hazardous Air Pollutants (대기중 유해 화학 물질의 인체 위해도 우선순위 선정 연구)

  • Park Hoa-sung;Kim Ye-shin;Lee Dong-soo;Shin Dong-chun
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 2004
  • Although it is suggested that risk -based management plan is needed to manage air pollution effectively, we have no resources enough to evaluate all aspects of substances and set priorities. So we need to develop a logical and easy risk-based priority setting method. However, it if impossible that only one generic system that is consistent with all the use is developed. In this study, we proposed a human health risk based priority-setting method for hazardous air pollutants, and ranked priorities for this method. First of all, after investigating previous chemical ranking and scoring systems, we chose appropriate indicators and logics to goal of this study and made a chemical priority ranking method using these. As results, final scores in priority ranking method were derived for 25 substances, and ethylene oxide, acrylonitrile and vinyl chloride were included in high ranks. In addition, same substances were highly ranked when using default values like when using no default, but the scores of hydrofluoric acid and ryan and compounds were sensitive to default values. This study could be important that priorities were set including toxicity type and quality and local inherent exposure conditions and we can set area-specific management guidelines and survey plans as a screening tool.

Determining Contingency Ranking Using the Probabilistic Method of the Power System (확률적 방법을 이용한 전력계통의 상정사고 순위 결정)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Young;Lee, Seung-Hyuk;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07a
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    • pp.113-115
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    • 2003
  • The electric power industry throughout the world is undergoing considerable changes from the vertically integrated utility structure to the deregulated market. However, the deregulated electricity market is operated with respect to theory of economical efficiency, and therefore, the system operator requires data with fast contingency ranking for security of the bulk power system. This paper presents fast calculation method for determining contingency ranking using the weather dependant probabilistic risk index(PRI). The probabilistic risk index can be classified into normal weather and adverse weather. This paper proposes calculation method using the probabilistic risk index in determining contingency ranking requiring for security under the deregulated electricity market.

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A Study on the Selection of Candidates for Substances Subject to Permission Using Chemicals Ranking and Scoring (CRS) (화학물질 우선순위 선정기법(CRS)을 활용한 허가대상 후보물질 선정 연구)

  • Kim, Hyo-dong;Park, Kyo-shik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.253-267
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: This study was performed to check whether the CRS (Chemical Ranking and Scoring) system is appropriate as a method to determine substances as candidates for substances subject to permission and to apply this system to the selection of candidates for substances subject to permission. Methods: A risk score was obtained by multiplying the hazard score and the exposure score and then ranking them. The hazard sub-indicators are carcinogenicity, germ cell mutagenicity, reproductive toxicity, specific target organ toxicity-repeated exposure, respiratory sensitization and endocrine disrupting chemicals. Exposure sub-indicators are persistence, bioaccumulation and emission volume. Sensitivity analysis was performed for missing values. Correlation analysis and multivariable linear regression analysis were performed among hazard, exposure and risk in order to confirm that CRS was an appropriate method. Results: As a result of the sensitivity analysis on missing values, it was confirmed that the effect on the risk ranking was not sensitive. Correlation and regression analysis confirmed that exposure had a greater effect on risk than hazard. Conclusions: The CRS system, which derives a risk score using a hazard and exposure score, is judged to be appropriate as a method for the selection of preliminary of candidates for substances subject to permission. Benzene, cadmium, nickel, and cobalt were selected as priority candidates for substances subject to permission.

Evaluation of Inundation Risk Ranking for Urban Sewer Systems using PROMETHEE (PROMETHEE를 이용한 도시 하수관거시스템 침수위험순위 평가)

  • Song, Yang-Ho;Lee, Jung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.388-398
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    • 2012
  • In this study, Entropy method and PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods are applied to estimate the relative inundation risk ranking of the urban sewer systems. Then, the evaluation factors were selected considering two main items to estimate the inundation risk using Entropy and PROMETHEE. In the first item considering topographical and environmental factor, average elevation, average slope, width of area, population, density of conduit were selected as the detailed factors of first item which have influence of the overflow occurrence and damage scale in urban sewer system. And, the relative reliability of sewer network was considered as the second item which can quantify the inundation appearance. Then, the reliability is estimated considering the number of overflow nodes and overflow volume simultaneously. Therefore, the suggested inundation risk evaluation method can be used as the evaluation index for sewer networks and contribute to decision making for the sewer rehabilitation policy.

Determination of Risk Ranking of Combination of Potentially Hazardous Foods and Foodborne Pathogens Using a Risk Ranger (Risk Ranger를 활용한 잠재적 위해식품과 미생물 조합에 대한 위해순위 결정)

  • Min, Kyung-Jin;Hwang, In-Gyun;Lee, Soon-Ho;Cho, Joon-Il;Yoon, Ki-Sun
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2011
  • Risk ranking must be determined for various hazards/food combinations to conduct microbial risk management effectively. Risk Ranger is a simple, easy-to-use calculation tool developed in Microsoft Excel and designed to rank the risk (low, medium, and high) for semi-quantitative microbial risk assessment. The user is required to answer 11 questions in Risk Ranger related to 1) severity of the hazard, 2) likelihood of a disease-causing dose of the hazard being present in the meal, and 3) the probability of exposure to the hazard in a defined time. This study determined the risk ranking for twenty three combinations of foodborne pathogens/potentially hazardous foods (PHFs) using a Risk Ranger. In this study, pathogenic E. coli in fresh cut produce salad was scored as 79, which was the highest rank among the 23 combinations of the foodborne pathogens and PHFs. On the other hand, zero risk was obtained with V parahaemolyticus in sushi, Salmonella in meat products and E. coli O157:H7 in hamburger patties. Although Risk Ranger is very simple method to rate the risk of foodborne pathogens and PHFs combination, the accuracy of result was mainly affected by the availability and accuracy of data in the literature. According to the result of literature review, the data are needed for contamination rate of raw materials, consumption amount/frequency of PHFs, and the effect of processing on pathogen. Risk ranking must be continuously revalidated with new data.

A Determining Contingency Ranking Using the Weather Effects of the Power System (날씨효과를 고려한 전력계통의 상정사고 순위 결정)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Young;Park, Jong-Jin;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Tae-Gyun;Choo, Jin-Bu
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.134-136
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    • 2003
  • The deregulated electricity market is operated with respect to theory of economical efficiency, and therefore, the system operator requires data with fast contingency ranking for security of the bulk power system. This paper compares the weather dependant probabilistic risk index(PRI) with the system performance index for power flow in the IEEE-RBTS. also, the system performance index for power flow presents the power system stability. The probabilistic risk index can be classified into normal weather and adverse weather. This paper proposes calculation method using the probabilistic risk index in determining contingency ranking requiring for security under the deregulated electricity market.

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Comparative Study of Exposure Potential and Toxicity Factors used in Chemical Ranking and Scoring System (화학물질 우선순위선정 시스템에서 고려되는 노출.독성인자 비교연구)

  • An, Youn-Joo;Jeong, Seung-Woo;Kim, Min-Jin;Yang, Chang-Yong
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2009
  • Chemical Ranking and Scoring (CRS) system is a useful tool to screen priority chemicals of large body of substances. The relative ranking of chemicals based on CRS system has served as a decision-making support tools. Exposure potential and toxicity are significant parameters in CRS system, and there are differences in evaluating those parameters in each CRS system. In this study, the parameters of exposure potential, human toxicity, and ecotoxicity were extensively compared. In addition the scoring methods in each parameter were analyzed. The CRS systems considered in this study include the CHEMS-1 (Chemical Hazard Evaluation for Management Strategies), SCRAM (Scoring and Ranking Assessment Model), EURAM (European Union Risk Ranking Method), ARET (Accelerated Reduction/Elimination of Toxics), and CRS-Korea. An comparative analysis of the several CRS systems is presented based on their assessment parameters and scoring methods.

Development of Loss Model Based on Quantitative Risk Analysis of Infrastructure Construction Project: Focusing on Bridge Construction Project (인프라건설 프로젝트 리스크 분석에 따른 손실 정량화 모델 개발 연구: 교량프로젝트를 중심으로)

  • Oh, Gyu-Ho;Ahn, Sungjin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.04a
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    • pp.208-209
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to analyze the risk factors caused by object damage and third-party damage loss in actual bridge construction based on past insurance premium payment data from major domestic insurers for bridge construction projects, and develop a quantitative loss prediction model. For the development of quantitative bridge construction loss model, the dependent variable was selected as the loss ratio, and the independent variable adopted 1) Technical factors: superstructure type, foundation type, construction method, and bridge length 2) Natural hazards: flood anf Typhoon, 3) Project information: total construction duration, total cost and ranking. Among the selected independent variables, superstructure type, construction method, and project period were shown to affect the ratio of bridge construction losses, while superstructure, foundation, flood and ranking were shown to affect the ratio of the third-party losses.

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