• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk quantification

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A Study on Fire Protection of Chemical Plants Using FRA (Fire Risk Assessment) Method (FRA(Fire Risk Assessment)기법을 이용한 화학공장의 Fire Protection에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Seung-Hoon;Yoo, Byung-Tae;Tae, Chan-Ho;Chae, Chung Keun;Ko, Jae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2016
  • Chemical plants and oil gas refinery facilities are intrinsically vulnerable to industrial hazards, such as explosion or fire. Especially, the fire is extremely dangerous to facility structures and plant personnel because of direct flame, radiant heat and smoke. In addition, it has the ripple effect of destroying infra-structures and polluting the environment. In an effort to tackle these potential industrial risks, the procedure of FRA techniques in chemical plants were investigated. The main focus was put on the time variation of physical properties of the main building, i.e. control rooms, warehouses and electrical substations, from a direct flame contact and radiant heat. The deformation of a building due to fire was monitored and modeled with respect to time variable. A variety of case studies, domestic and abroad, was tested in the model to verify the FRA procedure. The developed model was proven to be highly effective to reduce the possible risks at chemical plants. An accurate accident frequency prediction and damage quantification was made by the developed model.

Proposal Methodology for Disaster Risk Analysis by Region Using RFM Model (RFM 모형을 활용한 지역별 재해 위험도 분석 방법론 제안)

  • Kim, TaeJin;Kim, SungSoo;Jeon, DaHee;Park, SangHyun
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.493-504
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to propose an analytical methodology for selecting the priority of preventive projects in the course of carrying out disaster prevention projects that improve disaster-hazardous areas. Method: Data analysis was performed using RFM model which can divide data grade and perform target marketing based on Recency, Frequency, and Monetary. Result: The top 10% of the area with high RFM value was mainly in the East Sea and the South Sea coast, and the number of damage in private facilities was high. Conclusion: In this study, we used the RFM model to select the priority of disaster risk and to implement the regional disaster risk using GIS. These results are expected to be used as basic data for selecting priority project sites for disaster prevention projects and as basic data in the decision-making process for disaster prevention projects.

Quantification for Collapsion Probability of Building Structures( I ) (건축구조물 붕괴위험도 정량화에 관한 연구( I ))

  • 손기상
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.110-120
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    • 1994
  • The Quantitative analysis for collapsion probability of each construcion work has not been developed, despite of that the one for safety management itself has been reported, up to now. It is concluded that showing critical check points against structure collapsion due to each work at construction site, and Quantifying those could be useful Quality-assuring tool, not to prevent Quality failure. Risk classes of each work at construction site, classified by German Builders Mutual-Aid Association (GEBMAS), and by special instruction rates of Korea Insurance Development Institute, are introduced to compare with the results of this study. As of a study method, total 2,002 sheets of questionwares are distributed directly to new city development areas, which are called, Ilsan 110 points : Pundang 79points and Chungdong 38points, including additional Changwon 125sheets and pusan 60sheets, by four(4) people, for contact with actual site engineers. Total responses of 1,056 sheets, are collected. Interrelationship diagram between experience years of Engrs., and risk rate of responses are also classified, with the criteria of four(4) years. Domestic journals with relation to construction have reported that main building Structure collapsions are mainly shown on apartment buildings and office ones. These two(2) building structures are again classified as five(5) kinds of works. This study takes use of an approach on haying the risk rates for each construction work on the above individual construction work. Additionally, site investigations have been performed to find out any possible unreasonable check items, due to construction method ; Reinforced Concret structure, Pre cast Concrete structure, and Steel structure building. Developed Quality Assurance Analysis Form with the Quantitative danger class, resulted from this study, are verified as it is able to be a good efficiency tool against collapsion of building structures.

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Determination of Ovalbumin in Processed Foods by Immunological Methods

  • Seo, Ji-Hyun;Lee, Ju-Woon;Kang, Sin-Bok;Lee, Ha-Baik;Yook, Hong-Sun;Kim, Mee-Ree;Kim, Kee-Hyuk;Byun, Myung-Woo
    • Preventive Nutrition and Food Science
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.373-377
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    • 2002
  • Allergens in processed foods may place persons with food allergies at significant risk when the labels do not Provide sufficient warnings or identification of high-risk ingredients. Because egg proteins are common food allergens, this study was carried out to identify hen's egg albumin (ovalbumin, OVA) in five commercially processed foods containing egg (custayd, cookie and pasta), and chicken meat (sausage and meatball) by immunological methods using commercially produced murine monoclonal immunoglobulin G (M-IgG), immunoblotting and enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Sample buffer with chelating and reducing agents was prepared and used for the preparation of the protein fractions from the foods. Most bands in sodium dodecyl sulfate polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (SDS-PAGE) profile (5~15% gradient gel) presented at 75 kDa below. OVA (43 kDa) in the sample lanes could not be visually observed on the gel. However, OVA in solutions prepared from custard and cookie could be detected by M-IgG, but were not detected in sausage and pasta. OVA in all samples could be quantitatively determined by the equation obtained from the standard curve by ELISA. Cookie and custard containing egg white and egg, respectively, contained very high concentrations of OVA. OVA in the other products were present in relatively low concentrations, but sufficiently high to pose possible risk of allergy, ELISA is a very sensitive and precise method for the identification and quantification of allergens in food products including allergy-inducible materials.

Study on Selection Criteria of Small-Scales Reservoirs for Emergency Action Plan(EAP) Establishment (소규모 저수지 대상 비상대처계획 수립 선정기준 연구)

  • Park, Ki-Chan;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.3
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2019
  • This study developed selection criteria of small-scales reservoirs, having under $300,000m^3$ storage capacity, for the Emergency Action Plan(EAP) establishment in order to reduce the disaster risks of the reservoir's failures. Those reservoirs are out of ranges of Korean EAP establishment standard, but have potential risk of disasters as they have often failed by the recent extreme rainfall events and earthquakes, causing economical and life losses. The problem of reservoir aging is also one of the reasons of them. In this study, the developed selection criteria of small reservoirs for EAP establishment are storage capacity, embankment height, reservoir age, heavy rain factor and earthquake factor. These criteria were selected based on the review of the existing EAP establishment guidelines, analysis of the past dam failure cases, and the previous related studies. The quantification of these criteria were conducted for the practical applications in the fields, and applied to 67 previous failures in order to investigate the relation of each criteria with these failures. The earthquake factor found to be the highest relations followed by heavy rain factors, combination of earthquake and heavy rain factors, and reservoir age. The classification was made as observation and review groups for EAP establishments based on overlapping numbers of each criteria. This classifications applied to 354 reservoirs designated as having the potential disaster risk by MOIS, and showed 38.4% of observation and 11.9% of review groups. Anticipatory monitoring and regular inspection should be made by professional facility managers for the observation group, and necessity of EAP establishment should be assessed for the review group based on the downstream status and financial budget.

Simultaneous Analysis of Mycotoxins and Risk Assessment in Seeds using LC-MS/MS (LC-MS/MS를 이용한 종자류 생약의 곰팡이독소 동시분석 및 위해도 평가)

  • Choi, Eun Jung;Park, Young Ae;Choi, Su Jeong;Jung, Sam Ju;Park, Youn Sun;Hwang, In Sook;Yu, In Sil;Shin, Gi Young
    • Korean Journal of Pharmacognosy
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.270-277
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed mycotoxins, aflatoxin B1, B2, G1, G2, fumonisin B1, B2, ochratoxin A and zearalenone, using LC-MS/MS and conducted risk assessment on 54 samples of seeds distributed in SeoulYangnyeongsi and the management status of extramural herbal dispensary facility. The matched calibration showed a good linearity as observed in 6 concentration levels(r2>0.999) as a result of method validation applied with Arecae semen. Limits of detection(LOD) and quantification(LOQ) were in the range of 0.02-0.11 ㎍/kg and 0.08-0.34 ㎍/kg, respectively. Recoveries also estimated, ranging from 65.1-99.7% with relative standard deviation(RSD) 0.5-6.3%. As a result of the method on 54 samples, mycotoxins were detected in 16 samples. Among them, two Thujae semen showed a degree of concentration that exceeded the aflatoxin specification. In the risk assessment, the human exposure safety standard values were calculated as ADI(Acceptable Daily Intake) for aflatoxin B1, fumonisin and zearalenone. Ochratoxin A was calculated as PTWI(Provisional Tolerable Weekly Intake). The MOE(Margine of Exposure) of aflatoxin B1 was in the range of 40.36-3536.88. And no items exceeded 100% in %TDI(Tolerable Daily Intake) and %TWI(Tolerable Weekly Intake) of fumonisin, zearalenone and ochratoxin A.

A Study on the Influencing Factors of Falling Disaster in Small and Medium-sized Construction Sites (중소형 건설현장의 추락재해 영향요인 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Ji-Yeob;Lee, Jae-Hyeon;Son, Seunghyun;Kim, Ji-Myong;Son, Kiyoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.821-830
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    • 2023
  • This research aims to identify risk factors for fall accidents at small and medium-sized construction sites through a comprehensive regression analysis. Initially, the study involved collecting a decade's worth of fall accident data from these sites. A t-test confirmed a significant variation in the treatment duration following fall accidents between two distinct groups: small and medium-sized versus large construction sites. Subsequently, a regression analysis was conducted to establish a model highlighting the risk factors associated with safety accidents. The factors influencing fall accidents were determined to be, in descending order of impact, the time of the accident, the day of the accident, and the occupational classification. The findings from this study are expected to serve as foundational data for enhancing policies and conducting statistical analyses tailored to construction site sizes. They also provide crucial information for future research on risk quantification at small and medium-sized construction sites.

Quantification Model Development of Human Accidents based on the Insurance Claim Payout on Construction Site (건설공사보험 사례를 활용한 건설현장 인명사고 정량화 모델 개발)

  • Ha, Sun-Geun;Kim, Tae-Hui;Son, Ki-Young;Kim, Ji-Myong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.151-159
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    • 2018
  • Accident rate in the construction industry of South Korea is increasing every year, and it represents the highest percentage among industries. This shows that activities performed to prevent safety accidents in the country are not efficient when it comes to reduce the accident rate. In order to resolve this issue, a model for the prediction of human accidents should be established. In addition, it is required a quantification study based on pattern of human accidents. Therefore, the objective of this study is to quantify uncertainty of human accidents risk and predict how to change in various circumstances by using Monte Carlo Simulation. To achieve the objective, first, pattern of human accidents was defined. Second, insurance claim payout and information of human accidents during 14 years in construction site were collected. Third, descriptive analysis is conducted to determine the characteristics of the accident pattern. Fourth, to quantitatively analyze the pattern of the human accidents, the population of each accident occurrence and payout were estimated. Finally, estimated populations was analyzed according to characteristics of distribution by using Monte carlo simulation. In the future, this study can be used as a reference for developing the safety management checklist in construction site and development of prediction models of human accident.

Quantitative Cyber Security Scoring System Based on Risk Assessment Model (위험 평가 모델 기반의 정량적 사이버 보안 평가 체계)

  • Kim, Inkyung;Park, Namje
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.1179-1189
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    • 2019
  • Cyber security evaluation is a series of processes that estimate the level of risk of assets and systems through asset analysis, threat analysis and vulnerability analysis and apply appropriate security measures. In order to prepare for increasing cyber attacks, systematic cyber security evaluation is required. Various indicators for measuring cyber security level such as CWSS and CVSS have been developed, but the quantitative method to apply appropriate security measures according to the risk priority through the standardized security evaluation result is insufficient. It is needed that an Scoring system taking into consideration the characteristics of the target assets, the applied environment, and the impact on the assets. In this paper, we propose a quantitative risk assessment model based on the analysis of existing cyber security scoring system and a method for quantification of assessment factors to apply to the established model. The level of qualitative attribute elements required for cyber security evaluation is expressed as a value through security requirement weight by AHP, threat influence, and vulnerability element applying probability. It is expected that the standardized cyber security evaluation system will be established by supplementing the limitations of the quantitative method of applying the statistical data through the proposed method.

Determination of Mycotoxins in Agricultural Products Used for Food and Medicine Using Liquid Chromatography Triple Quadrupole Mass Spectrometry and Their Risk Assessment (LC-MS/MS를 이용한 식·약 공용 농산물의 곰팡이독소 분석 및 위해평가)

  • Choi, Su-Jeong;Ko, Suk-Kyung;Park, Young-Ae;Jung, Sam-Ju;Choi, Eun-Jung;Kim, Hee-sun;Kim, Eun-Jung;Hwang, In-Sook;Shin, Gi-Young;Yu, In-Sil;Shin, Yong-Seung
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.24-33
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    • 2021
  • For this study, we surveyed concentrations of 8 mycotoxins (aflatoxin B1, B2, G1, G2, ochratoxin A, fumonisin B1, B2 and zearalenone) in agricultural products used for food and medicine by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry and conducted a risk assessment. Samples were collected at the Yangnyeong Market in Seoul, Korea, between January and November 2019. Mycotoxins were extracted from these samples by adding 0.1% formic acid in 50% acetonitrile and cleaned up by using an ISOLUTE Myco cartridge. The method was validated by assessing its matrix effects, linearity, limit of detection (LOD), limit of quantification (LOQ), recovery and precision using four representative matrices. Matrix-matched standard calibration was used for quantification and the calibration curves of all analytes showed good linearity (r2>0.9999). LODs and LOQs were in the range of 0.02-0.11 ㎍/kg and 0.06-0.26 ㎍/kg, respectively. Sample recoveries were from 81.2 to 118.7% and relative standard deviations lower than 8.90%. The method developed in this study was applied to analyze a total of 187 samples, and aflatoxin B1 was detected at the range of 1.18-7.29 ㎍/kg (below the maximum allowable limit set by the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety, MFDS), whereas aflatoxin B2, G1 and G2 were not detected. Mycotoxins that are not regulated presently in Korea were also detected: fumonisin (0.84-14.25 ㎍/kg), ochratoxin A (0.76-17.42 ㎍/kg), and zearalenone (1.73-15.96 ㎍/kg). Risk assessment was evaluated by using estimated daily intake (EDI) and specific guideline values. These results indicate that the overall exposure level of Koreans to mycotoxins due to the intake of agricultural products used for food and medicine is unlikely to be a major risk factor for their health.