• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk process

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Deterioration Prediction Model of Water Pipes Using Fuzzy Techniques (퍼지기법을 이용한 상수관로의 노후도예측 모델 연구)

  • Choi, Taeho;Choi, Min-ah;Lee, Hyundong;Koo, Jayong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2016
  • Pipe Deterioration Prediction (PDP) and Pipe Failure Risk Prediction (PFRP) models were developed in an attempt to predict the deterioration and failure risk in water mains using fuzzy technique and the markov process. These two models were used to determine the priority in repair and replacement, by predicting the deterioration degree, deterioration rate, failure possibility and remaining life in a study sample comprising 32 water mains. From an analysis approach based on conservative risk with a medium policy risk, the remaining life for 30 of the 32 water mains was less than 5 years for 2 mains (7%), 5-10 years for 8 (27%), 10-15 years for 7 (23%), 15-20 years for 5 (17%), 20-25 years for 5 (17%), and 25 years or more for 2 (7%).

The Quantitative Risk Analysis in Rail Transport of Propylene (프로필렌의 철도 수송에 따른 정량적 위험성 평가)

  • Lee, Jae-Hean;Song, Dong-Woo;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.38-44
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    • 2010
  • This treatise analyzed the risk of propylene transported by railroad through quantitative analysis. As a result of survey on propylene transportation route, Iksan station, Suncheon station and Jeonju station were selected as object regions those were expected to have high accident risks. This treatise deduced the scenario of accident and the occurrence rate in accordance with the type of accident possibly to be happening during propylene transportation through ETA( Event Tree Analysis), and expressed the level of personal, social risks after calculating the level of demage influencing over surroundings based on the evaluation for the expected accident damage through PHAST 6.53.

A Study on the Work Management Method Considering Risks in Nuclear Power Plants (원자력발전소에서 리스크를 고려한 작업관리 방법)

  • Song, Tae-Young
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Pressure Vessels and Piping
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2014
  • Nuclear power plants(NPPs) are consisted of power production functions and safety functions preventing leakage of radiation. Operators working in NPPs shall maintain these functions during an operation period through various activities such as improvement & modification, corrective maintenance, preventive maintenance and surveillance test. According to the performance of these work activities, there are configuration changes in NPPs systems. Its changes cause the increase of safety risks(CDF) and plant trip risks. Recently, the importance of risk management is increasing gradually in the operation process of NPPs. Therefore, this paper presents the work management methods using the various risk monitoring systems during power operation and overhaul period. Also this paper suggests the optimum application ways of risk systems for work management.

Health Risk Assessment of Lead Exposure through Multi-pathways in Korea (납의 다경로 노출에 의한 건강위해성평가 : 우리 나라 일부 지역 성인들을 대상으로)

  • Chung, Yong;Hwang, Man-Sik;Yang, Ji-Yeon;Jo, Seong-Joon
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a set of multi-pathway models for estimating health risk to lead. The models link concentrations of an environmental contaminant (lead) in air, water and food to human exposure through inhalation, ingestion, and dietary routes. Exposure is used as the foundation for predicting risk of health detriment within the population. The process of estimating exposure using often limited data and extrapolating to a large diverse population requires many assumption, inferences, and simplification. This paper is divided into four section. The first section provides lead contaminant levels on obtaining environmental concentration of air, tap water, and foods. The second section provides a discussion of exposure parameters and uncertainty associated predicting human health risk of contaminants. The third and fourth section illustrate lifetime average daily exposure (LADE) and excess cancer risk (ECR) based on exposure parameters. The relationship between concentration of lead in an environmental medium and human exposure is determined with pathway exposure factors (PEFs). The calculation of LADE and ECR is carried out using Monte-Carlo simulation with probability density function of exposure parameters. Examination of the result reveals that, for lead exposure, ingestion (food) is the dominant route of exposure rather than inhalation (air), and ingestion (tap eater).

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The Assessment of Risk of Bias on Clinical Studies of Herbal Treatment for Acne (여드름의 한약 치료 임상연구에 대한 비뚤림 위험 평가)

  • Park, Hye-ryun;Roh, Seok-sun
    • Journal of Haehwa Medicine
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2015
  • Objectives : This study was carried out to assess the risk of bias of clinical trials on acne treatment with herbal medicine that have been published in Korea. Methods : 7 electronic databases in Korea were searched for clinical trials on acne treatment. Two independent reviewers selected clinical trials on herbal medicine treatment for acne. Selected studies are categorized according to DAMI(Study Design Algorithm for Medical literature of Intervention). RCTs are assessed according to Cochrane RoB(Risk of Bias), non-randomized studies(Before-after studies) are assessed according to RoBANS(Risk of Bias Assessment tool for Non-randomized Study). Results : After selection process, 25 articles are left. Among 25 articles, 3 RCTs and 4 before-after studies are finally included. In RCTs, the proportion of 'unclear' is high in criteria of 'random sequence generation', 'allocation concealment', and 'blinding'. In before-after studies, 'high' is high in criteria of 'blinding for outcome assessment' and 'incomplete outcome data'. Conclusions : Considering the above results of the assessment, it is necessary to conduct more well designed clinical trials on acne treatment with herbal medicine.

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A Study on Risk Assessment in Transporting Hazardous Material (위험물질 수송 시 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu Byung Tae;Ko Jae Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.6 no.4 s.18
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    • pp.53-58
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    • 2002
  • In this research, the goal is to ascertain the potential danger when transporting hazardous material by considering the important elements that contribute to such situation, instead of relying on the quantitative risk assessment of fixed facilities. Also, this study will verify the social and personal risk according to damage zone limits, by applying the worst case scenario and the alternative scenario that occur during the transportation process. Moreover, it has selected the optimum transportation route for maximum safety. The result of this research could be used to construct a systematic emergency system that can minimize the damage from serious industrial accidents, by effectively decreasing the danger zone and forming a connection between the community, the society, and the industries according to such evaluations.

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Safety Helmet Capable of Indicating the Worker's Risk Indices (근로자의 위험지수를 표시하는 안전모)

  • Gu, Jong-Hwa;Lee, Ho-Hyun;Lee, Kang-Suk;Chun, Myung-Geun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.106-111
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    • 2018
  • Recently, due to the effect of global warming, the high temperature phenomenon continues, and the time for workers exposed to high temperature, cold and infrared is increasing and then safety is threatened. Due to the nature of on-site work, the work is being carried out in an unreasonable manner due to the process, which is exposed to disasters due to high temperature and cold. Even though the injured skin may be damaged, the worker may not be aware of it and may be injured. By understanding the working environment of the worker and calculating the risk index and expressing it on the helmet, the surrounding colleagues inform the worker of the risk and take appropriate measures so that the accident can be prevented in advance. This study was conducted to investigate the effect of exposure duration on the workers' by measuring the exposure time, the risk index is displayed in the form of a traffic light to the helm, informing neighboring workers and managers, and transmitting to the workers by voice.

An Empirical Study on the Control Mechanism of ASP Outsourcing Risks using Real Option Approach (ASP Outsourcing 위험의 효율적인 통제를 위한 실물옵션 적용 가능성에 대한 연구)

  • Nam, Seung-Hyeon;Yang, Hui-Dong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
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    • 2008.10b
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    • pp.365-384
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    • 2008
  • Many studies on ASP outsourcing area have focused on the Critical Success Factors(CSFs) of ASP outsourcing projects or on the service quality of ASP Service. But these studies have limitations to explain how to succeed in doing ASP outsourcing project. The objective of this research is to overcome this limitation by using the concept of "IT Risk" in Outsourcing. The effective control of the risks-caused during the IS outsourcing process-gives (ASP service using) users a powerful tool to minimize the risks and thus maximizes the possibility of ASP outsourcing project success. In order to perform this objective, this research set up the research model which is composed of three concepts. The three concepts are 1. Undesirable Outcomes(:UO) as IT outsourcing Risks, 2. The Source of Risks(:SOR) influencing the UO, and 3. the intention to get/execute Real Option Portfolio to control the risk level of SORs and UOs. This research has some important and interesting implications on the ASP outsourcing area. First, this research classifies the risk factors as three concepts and finds the interactions among them. Second, Using Real Option portfolio can control the risks effectively occurred during outsourcing projects. Third, Vendors(ASP service providers) can offer users IN TIME the options which can minimize the occurrence of risks.

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NEW VISIONS IN PEDIATRIC DENTISTRY - KEEPING HEALTHY TEETH CARIES FREE: PEDIATRIC CAMBRA PROTOCOLS (소아치과의 새로운 비전 - 우식 없는 건강한 치아를 보존하기 위해: 소아치과에서의 CAMBRA 사용)

  • Ramos-Gomez, Francisco;Kim, Young Jae;Ng, Man-Wai;Yang, Stephanie
    • Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.72-81
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    • 2013
  • Early childhood caries prevalence has increased significantly in children ages 2~5 years. ECC disproportionately affects lower socioeconomic and minority groups, is a predictor for future decay, but is preventable and manageable. Caries risk assessment systematically derives a patient's caries risk and is important during an infant oral health visit beginning at age 1. Information obtained through a risk assessment can guide a disease management care path tailored to an individual's age and risk to effectively treat and manage one's caries disease process.

Information security risk: Application of the conjoint analysis (정보 보안 위험: 컨조인트 분석 활용 사례 연구)

  • Pak, Ro-Jin;Lee, Dong-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2011
  • This Risk analysis on information related assets is conducted primarily according to the standards the Korea Information and Telecommunications Technology Association (TTA) or the International Organization for Standardization (ISO). The process is made of asset analysis, threat analysis, vulnerability analysis, and response plan analysis. The risk for information related assets belongs to the operational risks suggested by BIS (Bank for International Settlements) and the information related losses can be estimated in terms of BIS' suggestion. In this paper it is proposed that how to apply the method proposed by BIS to estimate the loss of information assets.