• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk process

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Spatial prioritization of climate change vulnerability using uncertainty analysis of multi-criteria decision making method (다기준 의사결정기법의 불확실성 분석기법을 이용한 기후변화 취약성에 대한 지역별 우선순위 결정)

  • Song, Jae Yeol;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2017
  • In this study, robustness index and uncertainty analysis were proposed to quantify the risk inherent in the process of climate change vulnerability assessment. The water supply vulnerability for six metropolitan cities (Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, and Ulsan), except for Seoul, were prioritized using TOPSIS, a kind of multi-criteria decision making method. The robustness index was used to analyze the possibility of rank reversal and the uncertainty analysis was introduced to derive the minimum changed weights of the criteria that determine the rank reversal between any paired cities. As a result, Incheon and Daegu were found to be very vulnerable and Daegu and Busan were derived to be very sensitive. Although Daegu was relatively vulnerable against the other cities, it can be largely improved by developing and performing various climate change adaptation measures because it is more sensitive. This study can be used as a preliminary assessment for establishing and planning climate change adaptation measure.

Design and Implementation of Event Hierarchy through Extended Spatio-Temporal Complex Event Processing (시공간 복합 이벤트 처리의 확장을 통한 계층적 이벤트 설계 및 구현)

  • Park, Ye Jin;Yom, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.30 no.6_1
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    • pp.549-557
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    • 2012
  • Spatial phenomena such as environment pollution, disease and the risk of spreading information need a rapid initial response to perceive spread event. Moving data perceive spread event through real-time processing and analysis. To process and analysis the event, spatial-temporal complex event processing is used. Previous spatialtemporal complex event processing is possible basis spatial operator but insufficient apply to design spatialtemporal complex event processing to perceive spatial phenomena of high complexity. This study proposed hierarchical spatio-temporal CEP design which will efficiently manage the fast growing incoming sensor data. The implementation of the proposed design is evaluated with GPS location data of moving vehicles which are used as the incoming data stream for identifying spatial events. The spatial component of existing CEP software engine has been extended during the implementation phase to broaden the capabilities of processing spatio-temporal events.

Climate Change and Coping with Vulnerability of Agricultural Productivity (기후변화와 농업생산의 전망과 대책)

  • 윤성호;임정남;이정택;심교문;황규홍
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.220-237
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    • 2001
  • Over the 20th century global temperature increase has been 0.6$^{\circ}C$. The globally averaged surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.4 to 5.8$^{\circ}C$ over the period 1990 to 2100. Nearly all land areas will have higher maximum temperature and minimum temperature, and fewer cold days and frost days. More intense precipitation events will take plate over many areas. Over most mid-latitude continental interiors will have increased summer continental drying and associated risk of drought. By 2100, if the annual surface temperature increase is 3.5$^{\circ}C$, we will have 15.9$^{\circ}C$ from 12.4$^{\circ}C$ at present. Also the annual precipitation will range 1,118-2,447 mm from 972-1,841 mm at present in Korea. Consequently the average crop periods for summer crops will be 250 days that prolonged 32 days than at present. In the case of gradual increase of global warming, an annual crop can be adapted to the changing climate through the selection of filial generations in breeding process. The perennial crops such as an apple should be shifted the chief producing place to northern or high latitude areas where below 13.5$^{\circ}C$ of the annual surface temperature. If global warming happens suddenly over the threshold atmospheric greenhouse gases, then all ecosystems will have tremendous disturbance. Agricultural land-use plan, which state that farmers decide what to plant, based on their climate-based advantages. Therefore, farmers will mitigate possible negative imparts associated with the climate change. The farmers will have application to use agricultural meteorological information system, and agricultural long-range weather forecast system for their agroecosystems management. The ideal types of crops under $CO_2$ increase and climate change conditions are considered that ecological characteristics need indispensable to accomplish the sustainable agriculture as the diversification of genetic resources from yield-oriented to biomass-oriented characteristics with higher potential of $CO_2$ absorption and primary production. In addition, a heat-and-cold tolerance, a pest resistance, an environmental adaptability, and production stability should be also incorporated collectively into integrated agroecosystem.

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Construction of NCAM-LAMP Precipitation and Soil Moisture Database to Support Landslide Prediction (산사태 예측을 위한 NCAM-LAMP 강수 및 토양수분 DB 구축)

  • So, Yun-Yeong;Lee, Su-Jung;Choi, Sung-Won;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.152-163
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    • 2020
  • The present study introduces a procedure to prepare and manage a high-resolution rainfall and soil moisture (SM) database in the LAMP prediction system, especially for landslide researchers. The procedure also includes converting the data into spatial resolution suitable for their interest regions following proper map projection methods. The LAMP model precipitation and SM data are quantitatively and qualitatively evaluated to identify the model prediction characteristics using the ERA5 reanalysis precipitation and observed 10m depth SM data. A detailed process of converting LAMP Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) output data for 10m horizontal resolution is described in a step-wise manner, providing technical convenience for users to easily convert NetCDF data from the WRF model into TIF data in ArcGIS. The converted data can be viewed and downloaded via the LAMP website (http://df.ncam.kr/lamp/index.do) of the National Center for AgroMeteorology. The constructed database will contribute to monitoring and prediction of landslide risk prior to landslide response steps and should be data quality controlled by more observation data.

A Study of Extracting Appropriate Conditions for Efficient Desalination for the Underwater Archaeological Ceramics from Ma Island in Taean (태안 마도출토 도자기의 효율적 탈염처리를 위한 조건도출 연구)

  • Nam, Byeong-Jik;Park, Dae-Woo;Kang, Hyun-Mi;Jang, Sung-Yoon;Jung, Yong-Hwa
    • Journal of Conservation Science
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.133-142
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    • 2010
  • This paper focused on desalination method for the underwater archaeological ceramics. The desalination method applied in this study takes additional conditions such as the amount of desalting water, temperature, and agitation conditions and compares the effects of desalt process. The result of efficiency rate appears that the twenty-times of the object weight of desalting water is more effective than that of ten-times one, but shows less economic compared to the cost. In addition, the research shows that the efficiency rate has been improved around 20 to 30 %, yet such improvement is not taken into account as an effective result considering the risk of damage from the physical and chemical impact and the consumption of energy in applying additional method.

The Finite Element Analysis for a Micro Turbine Fabricated by LIGA-like Process (LIGA-like 공정으로 제작된 마이크로 터빈의 유한 요소 해석)

  • Oh, J.;Choi, B.;Kim, N.
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.380-388
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    • 2000
  • The finite element analysis of a micro turbine was made to investigate safety margin of its operating condition for the high aspect ratio nickel micro turbine blades fabricated by conventional LIGA-like method. From our study, we found that the fabricated turbine could not exceed its yield strength even if the pressure difference between inlet and outlet of turbine blade was about 44kPa, and the correlation of friction coefficient and the maximum stress, caused by contact friction between outer diameter of shaft and inner diameter of turbine blade, was somewhat reciprocal. The maximum stress was decreased with the increasing contact friction, when turbine blade was in its state of rotation. By the results of our study, we conclude that it is possible to fabricate metal micro turbine more easily han surface micromachining technology and to operate with no risk of metal structure's damage, which is caused by yield strength, if the operating condition with the design of micro turbine itself are optimized. It is useful to adopt other applications which have the contact problems between a moving part and the fixed one in micro structures.

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Analysis the job-ability demanded in the security and secretary (경호비서에게 요구되는 업무능력 분석)

  • Park, Ok-cheol
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.40-50
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the job of the security and secretary, to offer useful basic data throughout human resources management by withdrawing the ability required from the security and secretary based on the analyzed results. In this regard, this study intended to look into the job of the security and secretary, the necessary ability for the job of the security and secretary. To achieve the research goals, the study selected the research participants, composed of 5 secretaries for security with more than 5-year careers after graduating from a security and secretarial service department in a college and conducted an in-depth interview with them concerning their jobs. The in-depth interview data from the 5 participants was applied with a classification analysis used by Spradley (1980). In order to enhance the dependability and validity of the research, the study held an expert meeting composed of 2 persons with a doctoral degree in securities service studies and 1 person with a master's degree in secretarial information studies, twice. Also, the study drew results concerning the job of the security and secretary and the necessary ability of the job. Though the above process, the following conclusions were drawn; the job of the security and secretary includes the areas of job safety, a housing residence job, a health care job, an interpersonal relationships job, an assistant' s job, document and office works, general affairs, and an education job. The necessary ability for the job of the security and secretary involves martial arts abilities, risk management ability, the strict keeping of secrets, decision-making ability, information processing ability, foreign language proficiency, understanding other cultures, communications skills and office work ability.

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Achievement of Health Promotion Program in Korea (국민건강증진사업 10년의 성과)

  • Lee Kyu-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.143-171
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    • 2006
  • There has been 10 years since the Health Promotion Act was legislated. The government began to establish a health promotion fund on the basis of Health Promotion Act in 1995, and to manage and operate the fund from 1998. It is evaluated that health promotion program have had various outcomes in many aspects. First, there has been growing awareness of the impotance of health promotion through the establishment of Health Plan 2010 and the effort to actualize the Plan. Second, the importance of securing health equity and identifying health determinants have been recognized during the planning process of Health Plan 2010. Third, the health promotion program have mainly focused on improving healthy life style of the population. As a result, desirable health behavior change of the population could be expected from the result of 2005 National Health and Nutrition Survey. Fourth, public health centers began to play a crucial role in implementing health promotion programs, and began to build infrastructure for health promotion programs. Fifth, management efficiency of private health related organizations have been improved. Finally, training for health promotion personnel and their participation in the program could be the foundation for the higher level of outcome achievement from the health promotion programs. Important challenges for future health promotion would be identification of the determinants and risk factors of health, formulating plan of regional health promotion programs, building infrastructure for health promotion, creation of specific action model by public health center, development of health promotion program for the elderly, conducting research for evidence concerning major factors reducing the need for health care through prevention disease activities, and establishment of evaluation and feed back system for health promotion programs.

Heat transfer monitoring between quenched high-temperature superconducting coated conductors and liquid nitrogen

  • Rubeli, Thomas;Colangelo, Daniele;Dutoit, Bertrand;Vojenciak, Michal
    • Progress in Superconductivity and Cryogenics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.10-13
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    • 2015
  • High-temperature superconducting coated conductors (HTS-CCs) are good candidates for resistive superconducting fault current limiter (RSFCL) applications. However, the high current density they can carry and their low thermal diffusivity expose them to the risk of thermal instability. In order to find the best compromise between stability and cost, it is important to study the heat transfer between HTS-CCs and the liquid nitrogen ($LN_2$) bath. This paper presents an experimental method to monitor in real-time the temperature of a quenched HTS-CC during a current pulse. The current and the associated voltage are measured, giving a precise knowledge of the amount of energy dissipated in the tape. These values are compared with an adiabatic numerical thermal model which takes into account heat capacity temperature dependence of the stabilizer and substrate. The result is a precise estimation of the heat transfer to the liquid nitrogen bath at each time step. Measurements were taken on a bare tape and have been repeated using increasing $Kapton^{(R)}$ insulation layers. The different heat exchange regimes can be clearly identified. This experimental method enables us to characterize the recooling process after a quench. Finally, suggestions are done to reduce the temperature increase of the tape, at a rated current and given limitation time, using different thermal insulation thicknesses.

Development of an Effective Time Scheduling Mechanism of the Structural Framework for the High-rise Apartment Housing -Focusing on One Cycle Time Scheduling Mechanism of Typical Floor- (아파트 골조공사의 공기단축 및 효과적 공정운영 방안 -기준층 사이클 공정분석을 중심으로-)

  • Han Choong-Hee;Bang Jong-Dae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.4 s.20
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2004
  • The construction duration in apartment construction is an important factor which affects project cost. Henceforth, the time shortening is essential to retrench project cost and project risk when there adopt Five-Day Workweek and introduce apartment sales after completion of construction. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to examine closely the affecting factors on the duration of framework which forms about $40\sim50\$ percent of total time in apartment construction by analyzing the schedule mechanism of typical floor and to show the reasonable time shortening methods by case study. The shown schedule mechanism and basic schedule table can utilize as a guideline in case of scheduling of framework in the existing construction method. Also, the shown time shortening methods by three case studies will guide the direction and process of time shortening while there need time shortening in many-sided projects.