• 제목/요약/키워드: risk process

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Computer modelling of fire consequences on road critical infrastructure - tunnels

  • Pribyl, Pavel;Pribyl, Ondrej;Michek, Jan
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.363-377
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    • 2018
  • The proper functioning of critical points on transport infrastructure is decisive for the entire network. Tunnels and bridges certainly belong to the critical points of the surface transport network, both road and rail. Risk management should be a holistic and dynamic process throughout the entire life cycle. However, the level of risk is usually determined only during the design stage mainly due to the fact that it is a time-consuming and costly process. This paper presents a simplified quantitative risk analysis method that can be used any time during the decades of a tunnel's lifetime and can estimate the changing risks on a continuous basis and thus uncover hidden safety threats. The presented method is a decision support system for tunnel managers designed to preserve or even increase tunnel safety. The CAPITA method is a deterministic scenario-oriented risk analysis approach for assessment of mortality risks in road tunnels in case of the most dangerous situation - a fire. It is implemented through an advanced risk analysis CAPITA SW. Both, the method as well as the resulting software were developed by the authors' team. Unlike existing analyzes requiring specialized microsimulation tools for traffic flow, smoke propagation and evacuation modeling, the CAPITA contains comprehensive database with the results of thousands of simulations performed in advance for various combinations of variables. This approach significantly simplifies the overall complexity and thus enhances the usability of the resulting risk analysis. Additionally, it provides the decision makers with holistic view by providing not only on the expected risk but also on the risk's sensitivity to different variables. This allows the tunnel manager or another decision maker to estimate the primary change of risk whenever traffic conditions in the tunnel change and to see the dependencies to particular input variables.

석유화학공정에서 재정적 위험도에 의한 위험기반검사의 적용 (Application of Risk-Based Inspection with Financial Risk for a Petrochemical Process)

  • 김태옥;이중희;최성규;이헌창;조지훈
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2009
  • 냉각수, 수증기 등과 같은 유틸리티를 사용하는 설비에서는 장치손상지역에 의한 사고 피해크기(COF)가 0의 값을 나타내고, 이로 인해 위험도가 0으로 나타난다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 위험기반검사(RBI)에서 장치손상지역에 의한 COF로부터 위험도를 산출하는 방법을 개선하여 재정적 손실에 의한 COF로부터 위험도를 산출하는 RBI 절차를 개발하였다. 그리고 장치손상지역과 재정적 손실에 의한 위험도로부터 검사주기를 동시에 산정하는 RBI 프로그램(KS-RBI Ver 3.1)을 개발하여 석유화학공정에 적용하였다. 그 결과, 재정적 손실에 의한 COF로부터 산출한 위험도는 장치손상지역에 의한 COF로부터 산출한 위험도 결과와 거의 유사하였다. 그러나 유틸리티를 사용하거나 고가의 설비에서는 장치손상지역에 의한 경우보다 재정적 손실에 의한 COF로부터 설비의 위험도를 보다 정확하게 산출할 수 있었다.

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도시재생사업 참여주체별 위험인지 체크리스트 개발 (A Development of Risk Identification Checklist for Stakeholder in Urban regeneration-Projects)

  • 박규영;김선규
    • 한국건설관리학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건설관리학회 2008년도 정기학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.487-490
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    • 2008
  • 최근 활발히 진행되고 있는 도시재생사업과 같은 대규모 복합개발사업은 사업기간이 길고 다양한 사업주체들이 참여한다. 이러한 특성 때문에 사업추진 과정상 많은 위험요인들을 내포하게 되고 이를 관리하는 것은 사업의 성패에 큰 영향을 미친다. 그러므로 도시재생사업에서 위험을 인지하고 대응하는 일련의 위험관리 과정은 정확하고 체계적으로 수행되어야 한다. 위험관리과정에서 위험인지단계는 다양한 위험요인을 인지하고 그 위험의 성격을 규정하는 첫 단계이다. 위험을 인지하는 기법 중 체크리스트는 가장 보편적이고 실용적인 방법이라고 할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 도시재생사업의 개발단계에서 사업주체들의 업무를 분석하고, 위험을 도출하여 사업주체별로 위험을 분류하는 체크리스트를 제안하였다. 이러한 주체별 위험요인 체크리스트는 실무자가 쉽게 위험을 파악할 수 있는 도구로써, 도시재생사업과 같이 다양한 사업주체들이 자신은 물론 다른 사업 참여자들의 위험을 인지하는데도 효과적일 것이라고 기대된다.

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웹 디자인 프로젝트에서 리스크 매니지먼트 요인에 대한 사례 연구 (A Case Study of Risk Management factors in Web Design Project)

  • 박은영
    • 디자인학연구
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2003
  • 웹 디자인 프로젝트에서 리스크 매니지먼트는 매우 중요한 프로젝트 매니지먼트 항목 중 하나이다. 리스크 매니지먼트란 웹 디자인 프로젝트 위기사항을 피하기 위하여 시간을 가지고 리스크의 원인을 찾아내어 적절한 대응책을 강구하여 프로젝트의 최종 목표를 성공적으로 수행하는데 있다. 즉 프로젝트 3대 요소인 일정, 비용, 품질을 만족하기 위한 프로세스이다. 본 논문은 첫째, 웹 디자인 프로젝트 매니지먼트의 개념 및 목적, 프로세스와 지식 영역을 살펴보고 둘째, 웹 디자인 프로젝트 기 계획 단계에서 리스크 매니지먼트 계획에 대한 체계적인 리스크 매니지먼트 프로세스와 리스크 관리 모델을 제안하고 있다. 세 째는 제시한 리스크 매니지먼트 모델의 표준화 및 모델 화의 타당성을 실제 사례인 E사 프로젝트를 통해 검증하고 있다.

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공역의 구조적 변경에 따른 위험평가 절차 연구 (A study on Risk Assessment Procedure for the Structural changes of Navigable Airspaces)

  • 김도현;김웅이
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2012
  • 'Navigable airspace' means an airspace at and above the minimum safe flight level, including airspace or flight procedures needed for safe takeoff and landing. Airspace may be established as needed and may be abolished, and in some cases may be limited to airspace management. These are absolutely based on risk assessment. Safety is the state in which the risk of harm to persons or of property damage is reduced to, and maintained at or below, an acceptable level through a continuing process of hazard identification and risk management. 'Risk' is the assessed potential for adverse consequences resulting from a hazard and 'Risk assessment' involves consideration of both the frequency and the severity of any adverse consequence. This paper proposed 'risk assessment procedure' for the structural changes of Navigable Airspaces through literature reviews relevant to manuals on airspace management and risk management.

The Limitations of Risk-based Auditing using Fuzzy Methods

  • Mohammadi, Shaban
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.37-40
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - Investors, creditors, governments, and others make decisions using reasonable information provided by others. In many cases, the users of this information have goals and objectives conflicting with those of the information's producers, indicating the need for external auditors. Research design, data, and methodology - Competition in auditing has noticeably intensified globally, especially in developed countries. This means that auditors are striving to increase the efficiency of their methods. In recent years, risk-based auditing has become prominent among these efforts. In risk-assessment auditing, the auditor may directly affect the effectiveness and efficiency of the audit. Results - As a central framework, the risk assessment process improves audit quality and effectiveness such that the audit will lead to necessary changes. Previous studies have shown that risk assessment affects the nature, timing, and content of audit procedures. Conclusions - In the planning stage of an audit, audit risk assessment may identify any inappropriate or inefficient distribution of resources or determine whether the results of an audit will be ineffective or incorrect. Thus, assessing audit risk is a critical task.

감각추구성향과 사회화 요인이 남녀 청소년의 위험행동에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Sensation Seeking and Socialization on Risk Taking Behavior among Adolescent Girls and Boys)

  • 오미경;박성연
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.211-227
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this research was to examine the effects of sensation seeking and socialization on the risk taking behavior of adolescents. The subjects were 460 3rd year high school adolescents (272 boys and 188 girls) in Seoul, Korea. Data were collected through questionnaires, including the Arnett Inventory of Sensation Seeking (1994) a socialization scale (mother's parenting style, parent's open communication and relationship with friends), and a risk taking scale devised by the researcher. The results showed that both the degree of sensation seeking and the socialization process influenced risk taking behaviors in both males and females. The effect of sensation seeking on risk taking behavior was mediated by the degree of communication with fathers for male but not for female adolescents. For males, sensation seeking directly and indirectly influenced risk taking behaviors through closeness with risk taking friends. For females, sensation seeking did not directly influence risk taking behavior but had an indirect influence through closeness with risk taking friends. Implications were discussed in terms of sensation seeking and socialization.

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Research on Risk-Based Piping Inspection Guideline System in the Petrochemical Industry

  • Tien, Shiaw-Wen;Hwang, Wen-Tsung;Tsai, Chih-Hung
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.97-124
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this research is to create an expert risk-based piping system inspection model. The proposed system includes a risk-based piping inspection system and a piping inspection guideline system. The research procedure consists of three parts: the risk-based inspection model, the risk-based piping inspection model, and the piping inspection guideline system model. In this research procedure, a field plant visit is conducted to collect the related domestic information (Taiwan) and foreign standards and regulations for creating a strategic risk-based piping inspection and analysis system in accordance with the piping damage characteristics in the petrochemical industry. In accordance with various piping damage models and damage positions, petrochemical plants provide the optimal piping inspection planning tool for efficient piping risk prediction for enhancing plant operation safety.

INFLUENCE FACTOR-BASED RISK ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY FOR CONSTRUCITON

  • Hyunsoo Kim;Hyunsoo Lee;Moonseo Park;Kwang-pyo Lee
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.1231-1236
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    • 2009
  • Many work-related risk factors can cause construction site hazards. Therefore, safety management begins with measuring the magnitude of risk involved in a project. This study proposes a methodology for risk assessment of major trades at a particular construction site. To assess risk, this methodology integrates hazard severity and frequency, and their magnitude is calculated based on actual work-site hazards. This methodology also considers the influence factors that affect the frequency of work-related hazards. To select the appropriate influence factors, a two step approach is deployed. First, the predominant factors are identified through a literature review. Second, a selective process filters out the influence factors that are difficult to analyze quantitatively, and these extracted factors are weighted using expert surveys. Finally, the factors are combined and a quantitative risk assessment methodology is proposed.

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자연어 처리 기법을 활용한 산업재해 위험요인 구조화 (Structuring Risk Factors of Industrial Incidents Using Natural Language Process)

  • 강성식;장성록;이종빈;서용윤
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 2021
  • The narrative texts of industrial accident reports help to identify accident risk factors. They relate the accident triggers to the sequence of events and the outcomes of an accident. Particularly, a set of related keywords in the context of the narrative can represent how the accident proceeded. Previous studies on text analytics for structuring accident reports have been limited to extracting individual keywords without context. We proposed a context-based analysis using a Natural Language Processing (NLP) algorithm to remedy this shortcoming. This study aims to apply Word2Vec of the NLP algorithm to extract adjacent keywords, known as word embedding, conducted by the neural network algorithm based on supervised learning. During processing, Word2Vec is conducted by adjacent keywords in narrative texts as inputs to achieve its supervised learning; keyword weights emerge as the vectors representing the degree of neighboring among keywords. Similar keyword weights mean that the keywords are closely arranged within sentences in the narrative text. Consequently, a set of keywords that have similar weights presents similar accidents. We extracted ten accident processes containing related keywords and used them to understand the risk factors determining how an accident proceeds. This information helps identify how a checklist for an accident report should be structured.