• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk based prioritization

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Sewer CCTV Inspection Prioritization Based on Risk Assessment (위험도 기반의 하수관로 CCTV 조사 우선순위 결정 연구)

  • Son, Jooyoung;Lee, Jaehyun;Oh, Jeill
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.585-592
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    • 2017
  • Most sewer lines buried in the city are likely to be collapsed due to serious aging. Also, due to the high concentration of development and high population density and traffic, the collapse of the sewer will cause enormous social and economic damage. Therefore, proactive maintenance is required to prevent accidents caused by deteriorated sewer pipe. In order to utilize limited budget effectively, risk-based prioritization methods should be proposed that simultaneously consider the consequence of failure and the probability of failure. In this study, the method of risk-based prioritization of sewer was examined by reviewing various cases of overseas studies and applied to the urban sub-catchment. First, the impact factors that can be secured through the sewer GIS DB in Seoul were derived, and the weight, sub-criteria, and impact score of each impact factor were determined and the consequence of failure was calculated by weight sum method. In addition, the probability of failure was calculated by dividing the service life by the estimated useful life, and the consequence of failure and the probability of failure were classified into five grades by the Jenks natural breaks classification method. The prioritization method was applied to sub-catchment in the Seoul to derive a risk matrix and a risk grade. As a result, 26% of all subjects were selected as the inspection priority subjects with 4-5 risk grade. Therefore, using the risk-based CCTV prioritization methodology, it will be possible to systematically determine the objects that need investigation first.

Retrofit Prioritization of Highway Network considering Seismic Risk of System (지진 위험도를 고려한 도로 교통망의 내진보강 우선순위 결정)

  • Na, Ung-Jin;Park, Tae-Won;Shinozuka, Masanobu
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2008
  • This research focuses on the issue of seismic retrofit prioritization based on the Caltrans' highway network serving Los Angeles and Orange counties. Retrofit prioritization is one of most important problems in earthquake engineering, and it is a problem that most decision makers face in the process of resource allocation. This study demonstrates the methods of prioritized resource allocation in the process of retrofitting a regional highway network. For the criteria of a retrofit ranking, seismic vulnerability and the importance of network link are first introduced. Subsequently, link-based seismic retrofit cases are simulated, investigating the effects of the seismic retrofit in terms of seismic performance, such as driver's delay. In this study, probabilistic scenario earthquakes are used to perform a probabilistic seismic risk analysis. The results show that the retrofit prioritization can be differently defined and ranked depending on the stakeholders. This study provides general guidelines for prioritization strategy for the effective retrofitting of a highway network system.

Damage Risk Based Approach for Retrofit Prioritization of Bridges (기존 교량구조물의 내진보강을 위한 우선순위 결정방법)

  • 이상우;김상효;마호성
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.295-302
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    • 2003
  • A quantitative approach for the retrofit prioritization of bridges is developed based on the damage risk of seismic vulnerable components. In the developed approach, seismic damage risk is estimated in the probabilistic perspectives with an analytical bridge model, which can consider various phenomena found in the seismic behaviors of girder-type bridges and damage models of various vulnerable components. Based on the total cost due to failure of structural components, weighting factors are proposed. Finally, the ranking index and retrofit priority of bridges are estimated from the overall damage risk and weighting factors of bridges. As a result, the retrofit priority of four PSC girder bridges is evaluated by using the proposed approach. The vulnerable components in need of seismic retrofit are selected accordingly. From simulated results, the validity of the proposed approach is verified by comparison with the existing approach. In addition, the proposed approach is found to be appropriate in evaluating the priority of existing bridges.

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Automated Prioritization of Construction Project Requirements using Machine Learning and Fuzzy Logic System

  • Hassan, Fahad ul;Le, Tuyen;Le, Chau;Shrestha, K. Joseph
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.304-311
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    • 2022
  • Construction inspection is a crucial stage that ensures that all contractual requirements of a construction project are verified. The construction inspection capabilities among state highway agencies have been greatly affected due to budget reduction. As a result, efficient inspection practices such as risk-based inspection are required to optimize the use of limited resources without compromising inspection quality. Automated prioritization of textual requirements according to their criticality would be extremely helpful since contractual requirements are typically presented in an unstructured natural language in voluminous text documents. The current study introduces a novel model for predicting the risk level of requirements using machine learning (ML) algorithms. The ML algorithms tested in this study included naïve Bayes, support vector machines, logistic regression, and random forest. The training data includes sequences of requirement texts which were labeled with risk levels (such as very low, low, medium, high, very high) using the fuzzy logic systems. The fuzzy model treats the three risk factors (severity, probability, detectability) as fuzzy input variables, and implements the fuzzy inference rules to determine the labels of requirements. The performance of the model was examined on labeled dataset created by fuzzy inference rules and three different membership functions. The developed requirement risk prediction model yielded a precision, recall, and f-score of 78.18%, 77.75%, and 75.82%, respectively. The proposed model is expected to provide construction inspectors with a means for the automated prioritization of voluminous requirements by their importance, thus help to maximize the effectiveness of inspection activities under resource constraints.

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A Study on Operating Profile Creation Method for Risk-Based Oversight (위험기반 항공안전감독을 위한 운영 프로파일 생성기법 연구)

  • Kim, Yong;Jeong, Hyunjin;Sim, Yeongmin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2018
  • Risk Based Oversight is a way of performing oversight, where planning is driven by the combination of risk profile and safety performance. Risk Based Oversight enables prioritization and allocation of State's safety management resources commensurate with the safety risk profile of each service provider. This paper presents the concept of Risk Based Oversight and applies it to the current Korean aviation safety oversight process. In particular, this study presents a method for generating operating profiles, one of the key concepts of Risk Based Oversight. Operations Specifications of Part 121 Airlines can generate operating profiles. In this study, a practical study was conducted to generate the operating profile and scoped DCTs using Part 121 Airlines's Operations Specifications.

A Study on Development and Implementation of Risk Based Inspection Software to a Petrochemical Plant (RBI 소프트웨어 개발 및 국내 석유화학 플랜트에의 적용사례)

  • Shim, Sang-Hoon;Han, Sang-In;Yoon, Kee-Bong
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.598-603
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    • 2003
  • During the last ten years, the need has been increased for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments and ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. RBI (Risk Based Inspection) methodology is one of the most promising technologies satisfying the need in the field of integrity management. In this study, a user-friendly software, realRBI for RBI based on the API 581 code was developed and a quantitative analysis was performed for over 500 equipments in a domestic plant whose operating time reaches about 13 years. Current risks for each equipment parts were evaluated and risk based prioritization were determined as a conclusion.

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Risk-based Test Case/Test Set Value Estimation Model (리스크 기반 테스트 케이스/테스트 세트 가치 추정 모델)

  • Kwon, Won-Il;Kim, Jong-Ku;Kwon, Ho-Yeol
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.32 no.A
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    • pp.125-128
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we proposed a prioritization method of test cases using a value estimation model of test sets, that are key elements for highly effective software testings as well as involve a large cost factor in software developments and maintenances. Based on previous studies, our idea includes introducing some practical factors of the test case prioritization which critically influence the value of a test case: Relative values of test sets before and after the test running, Average value of these two relative values, Severity of the defect, Risks that are covered, Frequency of use, Change related values, Systematic elicitations, etc. Finally we discussed the usefulness and the expected effects of the proposed scheme.

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A Study on Implementation of Risk Based Inspection Procedures to a Petrochemical Plant (RBI 절차의 석유화학 플랜트 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Jung-Soo;Shim, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Ji-Yoon;Yoon, Kee-Bong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.416-423
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    • 2003
  • During the last ten years, the need has been increased for reducing maintenance cost for aged equipments and ensuring safety, efficiency and profitability of petrochemical and refinery plants. RBI (Risk Based Inspection) methodology is one of the most promising technologies satisfying the need in the field of integrity management. In this study, a user-friendly software, realRBl for RBI based on the API 581 code was developed. This software has modules for evaluating qualitative and semi-quantitative risk level, analyzing quantitative risks using the potential consequences of a failure of the pressure boundary, and assessing the likelihood of failure. A quantitative analysis was performed for 16 columns in a domestic NCC (Naphtha Cracking Center) plant whose operating time reaches about 12 years. Each column was considered as two equipment parts by dividing into top and bottom. Generic column failure frequencies were adjusted based on likelihood data. After determining release rate, release duration and release mass for each failure scenario, flammable/explosive and toxic consequences were assessed. Current risks for 32 equipment parts were evaluated and risk based prioritization were determined as a final result.

Prioritization of Price Volatility Management Strategies in Construction Projects

  • Joukar, Alireza;Nahmens, Isabelina;Harvey, Craig
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2017
  • The existence of material price volatility in construction projects puts forward substantial risks for all parties involved. Depending on the parties involved in the project, type of contracts, and state of the market various risk management strategies are practiced by contracting parties to manage project risks related to price volatility. Unfortunately, in many cases companies fail to select an adequate approach to better manage volatilities of material prices due to the lack of a decision support system to aid in the selection of an appropriate strategy based on the project characteristics. The aim of this study is to identify critical project factors and align them to documented strategies to manage price volatility based on an extensive literature review and industry interviews. This study found Integrated Project Delivery (IPD) as the ideal strategy with respect to project duration; quantitative risk management methods with respect to the cost; and Price Adjustment Clauses (PAC) with respect to the risk allocation, as the top price volatility management strategies.

Value & Risk-based SW Test Prioritization Method (가치 및 위험 기반의 SW 테스트 우선순위 방법론)

  • Lee, Jung-Woo;Lee, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Neung-Hoe;In, Hoh Peter
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2009.11a
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    • pp.837-838
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    • 2009
  • 기존에 위험기반 테스팅(Risk-based Testing) 방법은 널리 알려져 있다. 또한 가치기반의 소프트웨어 공학(Value-based SW engineering)이 고전적인 방법론과 더불어 대두되고 있다. 요구공학을 기반으로 하면서 소프트웨어의 생산절차를 가치(Value)를 기반으로 구성하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 위험기반 테스팅 기법을 Value-based Testing과 접목하여, 테스트케이스에 우선순위를 부여하고, 우선순위별로 적절한 테스트 기법을 도출, 적용하여 그 효과를 검증하고자 한다. 검증의 방법은 적용 전/후의 품질비용을 기준으로 한다.